₦airaland Forum

youneedjesus:
APC will win every state. No hope for ADC

Vinnie2000:
Based on the Assumption that we have Peter Obi/Kwankwanso ADC candidacy.

SOUTH EAST
Abia - Likely to be won by ADC (Otti na Obi man)
Anambra- Likely to be won by ADC
Enugu- Will be won by APC
Ebonyi- Will be won by APC
Imo- APC will win.

SOUTH SOUTH
Delta - APC will likely win
Edo - APC will definitely win
Bayelsa - Seriake Dickson will make ADC win.
Rivers- Can't say bcus you can't predict Wike.
Akwa-Ibom- APC will win
Cross Rivers- ADC can pull off a surprise

SOUTH WEST
Lagos- APC will win (Agberos will ensure it)
Osun- Can't say but they won't vote Tinubu.
Ogun- APC will win
Ondo- APC will win
Ekiti- APC will win
Oyo- Making could decide it

NORTH CENTRAL
Kwara- APC will win
Kogi- APC will win
Plateau- 50/50 for both ADC or APC
Benue- APC will win.
Taraba- APC will win
Nassarawa- ADC will win

CORE NORTH
Kano- ADC will clear it
Kaduna- ADC will win
Katsina- 50/50 for both parties
Sokoto- ADC will clear it
Adamawa- ADC will win
Niger- APC will win.
Other Northern states will decide the contest.

So Who do you think will emerge Winner between the two parties?

Akungitit:
There's no need for this Obidient political calculation because the ADC presidential candidate will.be Atiku Abubakar.
You should try NDC or NNPP which may not even be on the ballot.
Stop daydreaming, wake up.
If you don't know that Atiku owns ADC then you know nothing.

Akpakomiza2:
You couldn't hide your bias. APC can't win any southern eastern state but they should get reasonable votes in Ebonyi, Imo and Enugu. Seriake can't make ADC win Bayelsa, he is in NDC by the way. For you to say Wike is unpredictable is funny. ADC is non existent in kwara. ADC should narrowly win Edo and delta, the rest SS goes APC. All the SW states will go Tinubu. There's no way osun will vote obi, besides Adeleke said he supports Tinubu.
In the north central, ADC can only win plateau narrowly. The rest is Apc. Tinubu has kaduna as it stands. Apart from Kano, APC will win the entire core north except Adamawa and maybe Taraba.

Lanretoye:
This is the kind of delusional assumption most of you obi-dents keep making,which one is Obi/kwankwso,why can’t they assume kwankwaso/obi?.see how they culminated all the nothern votes for ADC as if kwankwaso only kwankwaso only can decide the nothern voting preteen…these obidents are really far from reality,all these kinds of assumptions while end up in supreme tears and siffere pains when election results are announced.
They don’t even know that winning majority of votes alone won’t make their party be declared as winner,they are just shouting electoral act upandan,they don’t know what the law says.

Akpakomiza2:
You couldn't hide your bias. APC can't win any southern eastern state but they should get reasonable votes in Ebonyi, Imo and Enugu. Seriake can't make ADC win Bayelsa, he is in NDC by the way. For you to say Wike is unpredictable is funny. ADC is non existent in kwara. ADC should narrowly win Edo and delta, the rest SS goes APC. All the SW states will go Tinubu. There's no way osun will vote obi, besides Adeleke said he supports Tinubu.
In the north central, ADC can only win plateau narrowly. The rest is Apc. Tinubu has kaduna as it stands. Apart from Kano, APC will win the entire core north except Adamawa and maybe Taraba.

Bluntguy:
Omo you started making the wrong forecast from the very beginning with that South East thing. I bet you that ADC will clear the votes in the region. That is the only region that don't give a damn who their governors are and what they want once it comes to presidential elections. They voted for who they think is the best candidate regardless of your #1,500 and two cups of rice.

Lanretoye:
This is the kind of delusional assumption most of you obi-dents keep making,which one is Obi/kwankwso,why can’t they assume kwankwaso/obi?.see how they culminated all the nothern votes for ADC as if kwankwaso only kwankwaso only can decide the nothern voting preteen…these obidents are really far from reality,all these kinds of assumptions while end up in supreme tears and siffere pains when election results are announced.
They don’t even know that winning majority of votes alone won’t make their party be declared as winner,they are just shouting electoral act upandan,they don’t know what the law says.

Vinnie2000:
Lol,
You are wrong.

With the way Peter Mbah of Enugu is going, he will convince the state citizens to vote Tinubu.

As for the North, remember that there is always Bandwagon effect.

If Kano is voting ADC, Kebbi, Jigawa, Gombe, etc will follow suite.

CharleyBright:
What many of you don't understand Nigerian politics is it stands presently is that there is high tendency that States can support their party Governorship candidate but not willing to support their party presidential candidate.
This will play out a lot in the South East and South South.
Anyone that thinks Nigerians that are suffering on the street will go and queue and vote Tinubu are jokers.
They will vote their governors and not vote Tinubu

Vinnie2000:
My brother, APC will win in Enugu, Imo and Ebonyi.
These 3 states are now core APC states.

Abia will vote Massively for ADC based on Obi/Otti's relationship.

Anambra will massively vote ADC bcus despite his achievement here and there, Anambra do NOT like Soludo.

Soludo is too Authoritarian. He cannot convince them to vote Tinubu.

Bluntguy:
Omo you started making the wrong forecast from the very beginning with that South East thing. I bet you that ADC will clear the votes in the region. That is the only region that don't give a damn who their governors are and what they want once it comes to presidential elections. They voted for who they think is the best candidate regardless of your #1,500 and two cups of rice.

Akpakomiza2:
You couldn't hide your bias. APC can't win any southern eastern state but they should get reasonable votes in Ebonyi, Imo and Enugu. Seriake can't make ADC win Bayelsa, he is in NDC by the way. For you to say Wike is unpredictable is funny. ADC is non existent in kwara. ADC should narrowly win Edo and delta, the rest SS goes APC. All the SW states will go Tinubu. There's no way osun will vote obi, besides Adeleke said he supports Tinubu.
In the north central, ADC can only win plateau narrowly. The rest is Apc. Tinubu has kaduna as it stands. Apart from Kano, APC will win the entire core north except Adamawa and maybe Taraba.

Akpakomiza2:
You are dead wrong. There's nothing convincing Enugu from voting from obi. Mbah can only convince them to vote for himself and secure some votes for Tinubu, that's all.
As for core north, They will never vote a non Muslim or go Gaga for a southerner
Kano has no connection with Jigawa, Gombe. Kano is only connected to Jigawa but not electorally. The bandwagon effect only stops with buhari or any radical candidate not Atiku tlkkess of Obi. In 2023, Nnpp only win Kano, tinubu win Jigawa, Atiku won Gombe and Kebbi. Obi cannot win any core northern state. Infact, he might lose Kano. Obi got ridiculous votes in sokoto, Kebbi and most of those states in 2023. It wouldn't change much

Hedonisco:
And if you think at his age and after all the heartbreaks he has suffered in chasing the presidency, Atiku merely wants to contest the election for contesting sake, then you know nothing.

Atiku knows that if he cannot manage to get Peter Obi into his ticket, then he can as well forget about the contest. This is not an ego thing, and you his supporters shouldn't pour sand sand into his garri.

As it stands, the configuration being worked out is Atiku/Obi/Kwankwaso - P/VP/SP.

Getting the ticket to contest for its own sake would be a spectacular waste of money and time, and Atiku of all people knows it at this stage in his life.

CharleyBright:
What many of you don't understand Nigerian politics is it stands presently is that there is high tendency that States can support their party Governorship candidate but not willing to support their party presidential candidate.
This will play out a lot in the South East and South South.
Anyone that thinks Nigerians that are suffering on the street will go and queue and vote Tinubu are jokers.
They will vote their governors and not vote Tinubu

Vinnie2000:
What makes you think Northerners can not vote enmasse for a Southern Presidential candidate?

In 1993 election, MKO Abiola got lots of votes from the North.

If the Presidential Election is a Two-Horse race, the North will pick Obi over Tinubu.

richmond500:
I don't know for other but Wike can't deliver Rivers state.

I heard APC wants to give SIM some conditions, but SIM has said if he doesn't like those conditions, he will step aside and allow Wike have his way in Rivers.

Vinnie2000:
Some Governors will influence their State citizens to vote for Tinubu.

Esp performing Governors

This is what will happen in state such as Enugu and Delta.