₦airaland Forum

In Nigerian politics, timing is not just everything—it is the only thing. Those who understand this rise. Those who don’t spend decades chasing a power that never settles in their hands. Like the rudderless atiku

Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso stands today at a familiar crossroads: pursue the presidency at all costs, or position himself strategically for a victory that is not immediate, but far more certain.
History has already given him the answer—if he is willing to listen.
Nigeria’s fragile political balance has long rested on an unwritten but deeply respected principle: rotation. Power shifts between North and South, not out of charity, but out of necessity. It is the glue holding together a country of competing identities and interests.
When it was the North’s turn, Peter Obi accepted the role of deputy to Atiku Abubakar without fracturing the system. That decision was not weakness—it was discipline. It was an understanding that power, when pursued with patience, eventually returns its rewards.
But when the pendulum swung to the South, that same discipline was absent. Ambition overtook balance. Greed, plain and simple, disrupted what should have been a straightforward continuation of the rotational principle. The result? Division, distrust, and a political landscape more fractured than ever.
Kwankwaso must not repeat that mistake.
There is a difference between a politician and a statesman. A politician grabs at power; a statesman positions himself for it. Right now, the path to relevance—and eventual dominance—for Kwankwaso is not through confrontation, but alignment. He should take the deputy role.
Yes, it may appear like a step down. But in Nigeria’s political chessboard, it is a calculated move forward. By aligning with a Southern presidential candidate like Obi, Kwankwaso secures something far more valuable than a risky solo run: trust.
And in Nigerian politics, trust translates to votes—block votes.
The North does not forget its own. But neither does it reward recklessness. By demonstrating restraint and respect for rotation, Kwankwaso signals to both North and South that he understands the rules of the game. That signal matters. Because when the South completes its turn, the question will not just be “who is next?” but “who waited their turn?”
And when that moment comes, a patient Kwankwaso will not need to campaign aggressively. The momentum will already be built. The narrative will already be written. From ogoja to asaba/benin . From bayelsa to port-harcourt his name will carry weight—not as a desperate contender, but as the rightful successor.
Even more critically, the north will not resist him. It will endorse him. He’s a northerner
That is how power is won in Nigeria—not by force, but by sequence.

Kwankwaso must understand this: politics is not about who runs first. It is about who finishes last.
If he chooses impatience, he risks isolation. If he chooses strategy, he secures inevitability. The choice is his. But history has already shown which path leads to power. It’s the turn of the south. Obi has the ground support in the south already. Do not be deceived by lies and social media . Obi won the president in Lagos. No other statesman could have pulled this off.

Is the turn of Nigerians

Nothing like north or south

Stop being and acting out southwest script.

If you’re real micro it to turn of east.

Very cunning funny people

Odin13:
Is the turn of Nigerians

Nothing like north or south

Stop being and acting out southwest script.

If you’re real micro it to turn of east.

Very cunning funny people

you need to read the post and understand my assertions.

The only politician from the south that can remove tinubu today is obi . Ameachi and the rests are bored moneybags that wants to waste thier loots

Lordhanzo:
In Nigerian politics, timing is not just everything—it is the only thing. Those who understand this rise. Those who don’t spend decades chasing a power that never settles in their hands. Like the rudderless atiku

Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso stands today at a familiar crossroads: pursue the presidency at all costs, or position himself strategically for a victory that is not immediate, but far more certain.
History has already given him the answer—if he is willing to listen.
Nigeria’s fragile political balance has long rested on an unwritten but deeply respected principle: rotation. Power shifts between North and South, not out of charity, but out of necessity. It is the glue holding together a country of competing identities and interests.
When it was the North’s turn, Peter Obi accepted the role of deputy to Atiku Abubakar without fracturing the system. That decision was not weakness—it was discipline. It was an understanding that power, when pursued with patience, eventually returns its rewards.
But when the pendulum swung to the South, that same discipline was absent. Ambition overtook balance. Greed, plain and simple, disrupted what should have been a straightforward continuation of the rotational principle. The result? Division, distrust, and a political landscape more fractured than ever.
Kwankwaso must not repeat that mistake.
There is a difference between a politician and a statesman. A politician grabs at power; a statesman positions himself for it. Right now, the path to relevance—and eventual dominance—for Kwankwaso is not through confrontation, but alignment. He should take the deputy role.
Yes, it may appear like a step down. But in Nigeria’s political chessboard, it is a calculated move forward. By aligning with a Southern presidential candidate like Obi, Kwankwaso secures something far more valuable than a risky solo run: trust.
And in Nigerian politics, trust translates to votes—block votes.
The North does not forget its own. But neither does it reward recklessness. By demonstrating restraint and respect for rotation, Kwankwaso signals to both North and South that he understands the rules of the game. That signal matters. Because when the South completes its turn, the question will not just be “who is next?” but “who waited their turn?”
And when that moment comes, a patient Kwankwaso will not need to campaign aggressively. The momentum will already be built. The narrative will already be written. From ogoja to asaba/benin . From bayelsa to port-harcourt his name will carry weight—not as a desperate contender, but as the rightful successor.
Even more critically, the north will not resist him. It will endorse him. He’s a northerner
That is how power is won in Nigeria—not by force, but by sequence.

Kwankwaso must understand this: politics is not about who runs first. It is about who finishes last.
If he chooses impatience, he risks isolation. If he chooses strategy, he secures inevitability. The choice is his. But history has already shown which path leads to power. It’s the turn of the south. Obi has the ground support in the south already. Do not be deceived by lies and social media . Obi won the president in Lagos. No other statesman could have pulled this off.

Kwaks overrates himself! Atiku just cut him to size when he effectively described Kwans as a Northern politician whose Northern influence is limited to Kano and even at that other politicians exist in Kano with large following. His influence in any of the other geopolitical zones in Nigeria is virtually nil! An Obi/Kwaks Presidential ticket will further lead to fractioning in the voting pattern like it happened in 2023. It will favour the failed Tinubu! Truth is, Tinubu while not winning Kano will obtain the required percentage of votes and in other States except the South-East. Lagos voters have seen through the smokescreen that Peter Obi was in 2023 and are not likely to vote form as massively as they did then. Atiku will never win in South West nor obtain the required percentage and same for the South-East except he nominates Obi as his vice-president . .... The permutations are not difficult to fathom. Tinubu is likely to win. I wish we had an alternative!!

Lordhanzo:
you need to read the post and understand my assertions.

The only politician from the south that can remove tinubu today is obi . Ameachi and the rests are bored moneybags that wants to waste thier loots

Only Atiku has the aura right now to boot out the incumbent. The rest are mincemeat for Tinubu. Think about this: For the very first time in a long while Atiku granted a live interview on national TV, even the president who's always being reticent reacted personally the following day. This was after two or three of his spokespersons had reacted. Tinubu knows he has a fight on his hands with an Atiku on the ballot, and that the north has crowned him as their heir apparent to Buhari. That's why calls for respect for power rotation have dominated the air. A Peter Obi might be popular, but he lacks the charisma to match Tinubu move for move. Moreover, the north would be generally suspicious of Obi. No Nigerian president respects a single term agreement. Obi won't be the first.

zoedew:
Kwaks overrates himself! Atiku just cut him to size when he effectively described as a politician whose Northern influence is limited to Kano and even at that other politicians exist in Kano with large following. His influence in any of the other geopolitical zones in Nigeria is virtually nil!

he needs to play his cards right. Deputise obi.

Atiku isn’t loved in the south. Only dele momodu is busy singing his praise. Only God knows what he’s been promised. Kwankwanso on the other hand isn’t known. By aligning with obi he becomes a more national figure

The problem is that an Obi /Kwakwanso ticket can't evn win Kano convincingly. In fact if Atiku is on the ballot, he will defat Obi/Kwakwanso ticket even in Kano. In a two horse race, Tinubu will use the Obi/Kwakwanso ticket to mop the floor. The ticket can only win the five Eastern states convincingly and Kano narrowly. They will lose everywhere else.

Lordhanzo:
you need to read the post and understand my assertions.

The only politician from the south that can remove tinubu today is obi . Ameachi and the rests are bored moneybags that wants to waste thier loots

u are delusional if u believe obi will defeat tinubu in a two horse race

So u believe the north will gamble obi a southerner again after Jonathan tasted power n changed agreement?

If obi n tinubu are on the ballot, the north will gladly vote tinubu cos constitutionally he can't use pass 8 years. They will never try obi cos they know once he enters nothing can stop his 8 years for sure

So u think north will want to b out of power for good 12 years?

Many of u don't even understand how politics works

Svoboda:
Only Atiku has the aura right now to boot out the incumbent. The rest are mincemeat for Tinubu. Think about this: For the very first time in a long while Atiku granted a live interview on national TV, even the president who's always being reticent reacted personally the following day. This was after two or three of his spokespersons had reacted. Tinubu knows he has a fight on his hands with an Atiku on the ballot, and that the north has crowned him as their heir apparent to Buhari. That's why calls for respect for power rotation have dominated the air. A Peter Obi might be popular, but he lacks the charisma to match Tinubu move for move. Moreover, the north would be generally suspicious of Obi. No Nigerian president respects a single term agreement. Obi won't be the first.

tinubu will beat atiku any day. Every 8 yrs voting age blocks shifts massively. Do you know how many people cloaked 18 in the last 8 yrs ? Atiku now has generation of dele momodu now. While strong politically before, now he simply isn’t popular anymore. Obedients own the South. Already. They already won Lagos. The main problem for obi is inec not the contenders

Svoboda:
Only Atiku has the aura right now to boot out the incumbent. The rest are mincemeat for Tinubu. Think about this: For the very first time in a long while Atiku granted a live interview on national TV, even the president who's always being reticent reacted personally the following day. This was after two or three of his spokespersons had reacted. Tinubu knows he has a fight on his hands with an Atiku on the ballot, and that the north has crowned him as their heir apparent to Buhari. That's why calls for respect for power rotation have dominated the air. A Peter Obi might be popular, but he lacks the charisma to match Tinubu move for move. Moreover, the north would be generally suspicious of Obi. No Nigerian president respects a single term agreement. Obi won't be the first.

just leave them to their delusion

They see their peter obi as an heavyweight whereas he's just a lightweight

Obi has been granting interviews for ages n tinubu no send am but atiku talks n tinubu replies, that's to show u who gr rates.

How can tinubu rate obi that even south east governor's don't rate, see wetin soludo dey use obi eye see and these people believe tinubu fear obi

BATified2023:
u are delusional if u believe obi will defeat tinubu in a two horse race

So u believe the north will gamble obi a southerner again after Jonathan tasted power n changed agreement?

If obi n tinubu are on the ballot, the north will gladly vote tinubu cos constitutionally he can't use pass 8 years. They will never try obi cos they know once he enters nothing can stop his 8 years for sure

So u think north will want to b out of power for good 12 years?

Many of u don't even understand how politics works

what could be worse for Nigerians than Apc. 4 yrs is enough for any sensible person to set the country right.

Lordhanzo:
he needs to play his cards right. Deputise obi.

Atiku isn’t loved in the south. Only dele momodu is busy singing his praise. Only God knows what he’s been promised. Kwankwanso on the other hand isn’t known. By aligning with obi he becomes a more national figure

Maybe. I get your drift but the mere mention of Peter Obi's name as the President and Kwaks as the Vice-President will affect the chances of the ticket in the North where the outcome of Presidential elections is decided. For now, in the order of priority the North will prefer to trust other geo-political zones rather than the South-East. Nnamdi Kanu over the years has not helped matters and sadly so as that could work against NOI one my preferred candidates for the Presidency.

BATified2023:
just leave them to their delusion

They see their peter obi as an heavyweight whereas he's just a lightweight

Obi has been granting interviews for ages n tinubu no send am but atiku talks n tinubu replies, that's to show u who gr rates.

How can tinubu rate obi that even south east governor's don't rate, see wetin soludo dey use obi eye see and these people believe tinubu fear obi

doesn’t matter what you say. Obi has the southern voting block under lock. Expect may be core Yoruba states. The post is for keankwanso. If he pays he’s card right he will be president eventually

zoedew:
Maybe. I get your drift but the mere mention of Peter Obi's name as the President and Kwaks as the Vice-President will affect the chances of the ticket in the North where the outcome of Presidential elections is decided. For now, in the order of priority the North will prefer to trust other geo-political zones rather than the South-East. Nnamdi Kanu over the years has not helped matters and sadly so as that could work against NOI one my preferred candidates for the Presidency.

that imagination is yours alone. Yiur assertion is tinubu is more loved than obi in the north ? They have seen that he’s a useless man. They don’t live him

Lordhanzo:
what could be worse for Nigerians than Apc. 4 yrs is enough for any sensible person to set the country right.

oga forget all the useless noise u make out there

Politics n political office holders make calculations u people can't see

There's already a precedent that even the gentlest man on earth won't respect one man agreement so nobody will trust peter obi on that so forget it.

If it's a two man race n it's obi vs tinubu, the north will jejely let tinubu finish his tenure and have it than try a southerner who will use 8 years

Lordhanzo:
doesn’t matter what you say. Obi has the southern voting block under lock. Expect may be core Yoruba states. The post is for keankwanso. If he pays he’s card right he will be president eventually

which southern block?

I need to stop engaging u cos it's obvious u don't know about politics, even in obi Anambra state he's been given bigger problem.

Hope u know that since 2023 none of the candidates obi supported won

From Anambra to Edo to Abuja n so on and u believe he still have block vote?

BATified2023:
which southern block?

I need to stop engaging u cos it's obvious u don't know about politics, even in obi Anambra state he's been given bigger problem.

Hope u know that since 2023 none of the candidates obi supported won

From Anambra to Edo to Abuja n so on and u believe he still have block vote?

that is your version of politics. Are you saying tinubu will defeat obi in Anambra? Even if soludo runs as tinubus vp still not possible. Obi won edo, delta, Benue plateau. Even without logistics and pooling boot staff. Are you taking about the same obi ?

Lp allowed itself to be dragged by apc . Apc tried to trap obi in lp yet here he is.

Lordhanzo:
that imagination is yours alone. Yiur assertion is tinubu is more loved than obi in the north ? They have seen that he’s a useless man. They don’t live him

I will be glad to see the North reject him. However, that is not the reality on the ground! He is set to win. Tinubu has not done well and does not deserve to return as President. He takes us for a ride!! He failed to fix power as promised by him. We should hold him to his word when he said he would not be electable in 2027 unless he fixed electricity challenges in Nigeria. He failed!

zoedew:
I will be glad to see the North reject him. However, that is not the reality on the ground! He is set to win. Tinubu has not done well and does not deserve to return as President. He takes us for a ride!! He failed to fix power as promised by him. We should hold him to his word when he said he would not be electable in 2027 unless he fixed electricity challenges in Nigeria. He failed!

main reason everyone has to join hands and send him packing from the rock. This post is not an appeal to atiku. He can jump off the cliff. It’s to a more vibrant and younger states man Rabiu. Join hands with obedients and see the change we crave

Lordhanzo:
main reason everyone has to join hands and send him packing from the rock. This post is not an appeal to atiku. He can jump off the cliff. It’s to a more vibrant and younger states man Rabiu. Join hands with obedients and see the change we crave

None of the politically rotten guys on offer in the Association of Disgruntled Comrades known as ADC can offer good governance. Check their trajectories ALL!! They are ALL thieves, corrupt and political vagabonds in power. They will tell you it is one thing to be a thief but quite another to be corrupt!
I wished some party had on the ballot NOI, Osinbajo and other folks whose past records indicate that they are capable of providing good governance

zoedew:
None of the politically rotten guys on offer in the Association of Disgruntled Comrades known as ADC can offer good governance. Check their trajectories ALL!! They are ALL thieves, corrupt and political vagabonds in power. They will tell you it is one thing to be a thief but quite another to be corrupt!
I wished some party had on the ballot NOI, Osinbajo and other folks whose past records indicate that they are capable of providing good governance

obi put this issue to rest long ago by asking the Apc govt or anyone that have proof about any corruption scandal. No one. Not even one came forth. He’s not like tinubu without origin or atiku the old moneybag

Lordhanzo:
you need to read the post and understand my assertions.

The only politician from the south that can remove tinubu today is obi . Ameachi and the rests are bored moneybags that wants to waste thier loots

Stop being Naive!… Obi this Obi that!

No Southern Politician Can Defeat Tinubu!

Infact No Candidate at the moment can Defeat Tinubu!

Be Realistic and stop being Emotional! (the problem with political supporters)

Lordhanzo:
obi put this issue to rest long ago by asking the Apc govt or anyone that have proof about any corruption scandal. No one. Not even one came forth. He’s not like tinubu without origin or atiku the old moneybag

But he lacks integrity and is desperate to have power. Men who lack integrity and are sold to unbridled ambition for power are not suited to handle the levers of power for reasons that are quite obvious. Peter Obi will eat faeces just to be President of Nigeria! That is not how it goes!

Good analysis.. even Atiku a northern candidate can’t defeat Tinubu!

It’s still the turn of the south.

Svoboda:
Only Atiku has the aura right now to boot out the incumbent. The rest are mincemeat for Tinubu. Think about this: For the very first time in a long while Atiku granted a live interview on national TV, even the president who's always being reticent reacted personally the following day. This was after two or three of his spokespersons had reacted. Tinubu knows he has a fight on his hands with an Atiku on the ballot, and that the north has crowned him as their heir apparent to Buhari. That's why calls for respect for power rotation have dominated the air. A Peter Obi might be popular, but he lacks the charisma to match Tinubu move for move. Moreover, the north would be generally suspicious of Obi. No Nigerian president respects a single term agreement. Obi won't be the first.

Lordhanzo:
that is your version of politics. Are you saying tinubu will defeat obi in Anambra? Even if soludo runs as tinubus vp still not possible. Obi won edo, delta, Benue plateau. Even without logistics and pooling boot staff. Are you taking about the same obi ?

Lp allowed itself to be dragged by apc . Apc tried to trap obi in lp yet here he is.

see it's obvious u don't understand politics

There's what we call stronghold in politics, u don't need to win the opponent stronghold all u need to do is eat into their votes.

Reduce their votes, tinubu isn't even planning to win south east but reduce that obi 90% to 55% but u lots won't understand

zoedew:
I will be glad to see the North reject him. However, that is not the reality on the ground! He is set to win. Tinubu has not done well and does not deserve to return as President. He takes us for a ride!! He failed to fix power as promised by him. We should hold him to his word when he said he would not be electable in 2027 unless he fixed electricity challenges in Nigeria. He failed!

see u too

So it's easy to fix power within 4 years?

So obi will fix power within 4 years right?

Lordhanzo:
obi put this issue to rest long ago by asking the Apc govt or anyone that have proof about any corruption scandal. No one. Not even one came forth. He’s not like tinubu without origin or atiku the old moneybag

so do u have any corruption case against atiku too?

The government isn't chasing amaechi too, the government isn't chasing David mark n co

Does that means they ain't thieves?

commoditiesnig:
Stop being Naive!… Obi this Obi that!

No Southern Politician Can Defeat Tinubu!

Infact No Candidate at the moment can Defeat Tinubu!

Be Realistic and stop being Emotional! (the problem with political supporters)

just leave them

Obi that his votes has been drastically reduced in the south east not to even talk about other regions coupled with the fact that today tinubu is no longer an ordinary citizen but the president.

As an ordinary citizen tinubu won despite all the gang up even from his party but those delusional lots believe he will lose now that he's the president

BATified2023:
see u too

So it's easy to fix power within 4 years?

So obi will fix power within 4 years right?

Wow! I have no business with Obi! The cat is let out of the bag!! The real you is out in the open!!! You are classified right away!!! You are one of those politicians who believe that! Why did Tinubu not tell us that from the beginning of this matter when he come 419 us! Na 419 una be. Una collect our votes under false pretences. Kuma, you no get shame!

zoedew:
But he lacks integrity and is desperate to have power. Men who lack integrity and are sold to unbridled ambition for power are not suited to handle the levers of power for reasons that are quite obvious. Peter Obi will eat faeces just to be President of Nigeria! That is not how it goes!

wrong on the contrary it’s atiku. Who killed pdp. And tinubu that have these traits. Obi is a saint where these men are. Still waiting for receipts of wrong doing not hearsay or takes by moonlight

BATified2023:
so do u have any corruption case against atiku too?

The government isn't chasing amaechi too, the government isn't chasing David mark n co

Does that means they ain't thieves?

there are receipts of thier Couruptions. Even yaya bello that has the countries 80 billion is still in the loose.

But can you tie one to obi ? No. If you have anyone bring it let’s see

BATified2023:
just leave them

Obi that his votes has been drastically reduced in the south east not to even talk about other regions coupled with the fact that today tinubu is no longer an ordinary citizen but the president.

As an ordinary citizen tinubu won despite all the gang up even from his party but those delusional lots believe he will lose now that he's the president

Well said.. that’s why I comment sparingly on NL.. too many emotional and mischievous folks full this forum