Civil War Looms: Why Nigeria Risk Collapse If Igbos Are Denied 2027 Presidency - Politics - Nairaland
Nairaland Forum › Nairaland General › Politics › Civil War Looms: Why Nigeria Risk Collapse If Igbos Are Denied 2027 Presidency (2681 Views)
| Civil War Looms: Why Nigeria Risk Collapse If Igbos Are Denied 2027 Presidency by Radicalwarrior(op): 11:58am On May 14 |
Nigeria is at a crossroads once again. The storm clouds are gathering, and if the nation refuses to act decisively and justly, a second civil war may be inevitable. The exclusion of the South East — the homeland of the Igbo people — from the highest office in the land is pushing Nigeria to the brink. If the Igbo are denied the presidency in 2027, the consequences could be catastrophic. Not just politically, but existentially. The scars of the 1967–1970 Biafra War have never truly healed. Over 3 million Igbos were killed in a war triggered largely by marginalization, ethnic violence, and the fight for justice and inclusion. Yet, 54 years later, the Igbo people have still never been allowed to produce a democratically elected president of Nigeria. Despite being one of the three major ethnic groups in the country — alongside the Hausa-Fulani and the Yoruba — the Igbos remain politically sidelined at the national level. Yoruba presidency: 1999–2007 (Olusegun Obasanjo) Hausa-Fulani presidency: 2007–2023 (Umaru Musa Yar’Adua, Muhammadu Buhari) South-South (Ijaw): 2010–2015 (Goodluck Jonathan) South East (Igbo): Never This systematic exclusion is not just unjust — it is unsustainable. The South East may be the smallest of Nigeria’s six geopolitical zones by land mass, but the Igbo people are one of the most widely spread, industrious, and economically impactful ethnic groups in Nigeria. Igbos control over 60% of Nigeria’s informal trade and business in major cities — Lagos, Kano, Abuja, and beyond. The region has some of the highest literacy and school enrollment rates in the country. Igbo Nigerians lead in the diaspora, sending billions in remittances annually and promoting Nigeria’s image globally. It is politically dangerous and morally indefensible to keep such a group excluded from the presidency while expecting peace and unity. The rise of pro-Biafra separatist movements like IPOB is not random — it is a direct reaction to decades of marginalization. When a people feel unheard and unwanted, they seek to leave. IPOB, MASSOB, and others have gained traction because the Nigerian state continues to treat the South East as second-class citizens. Denying the region the presidency in 2027 will radicalize millions of young Igbos already disillusioned with the country. This will turn agitation into full-blown rebellion. And this time, it won’t just be a political crisis — it could be an armed insurrection. A nation cannot survive when it is built on selective inclusion. You cannot call for unity while promoting exclusion. Every region in Nigeria must have a sense of belonging. Every major ethnic group must see itself represented in the highest office. Zoning and rotation have been used to maintain balance — North and South taking turns. The North has ruled for 14 of the last 24 years. The South West and South South have had their turns. It is only just that the South East should take its rightful place in 2027. If zoning is abandoned now that it's the South East’s turn, it will be seen — rightly — as a deliberate strategy to keep Igbos perpetually excluded. That perception will destroy whatever fragile unity still exists in Nigeria. Nigeria’s youth — more than 60% of the population — are not blind to ethnic injustice. Many young people from all over Nigeria supported Peter Obi, an Igbo man, in the 2023 election, seeing him as a symbol of hope and change. Despite not winning, the message was clear: the South East has national appeal and leadership capacity. To deny the region in 2027 is to betray a generation looking for fairness. Youth anger in the South East, if left to boil over, will not be limited to protests. It could evolve into an uncontainable security nightmare for Nigeria. The first civil war was fought with limited weapons and international awareness. A second civil war will be fought in a 21st-century Nigeria filled with armed non-state actors, widespread internet activism, drone technology, and porous borders. A war today will not stay in the East. It will burn across Nigeria and likely draw in foreign interests. It is better to give justice and preserve peace than to suppress justice and ignite war. 2027 is a moral test for Nigeria. If equity, justice, and national cohesion still matter, the Igbo people must produce the next president. This is not a threat — it is a warning grounded in history, current reality, and future consequence. To continue to exclude the Igbos is to choose the path of instability, chaos, and perhaps disintegration. Let us not wait for another war to realize what could have been prevented with wisdom. |
| Re: Civil War Looms: Why Nigeria Risk Collapse If Igbos Are Denied 2027 Presidency by tonesky(m): 12:01pm On May 14 |
This post is unnecessary please. |
| Re: Civil War Looms: Why Nigeria Risk Collapse If Igbos Are Denied 2027 Presidency by Freshtruth(m): 12:05pm On May 14 |
Radicalwarrior:Oga no dey spoil things for obi . Ogaoooo this post is unnecessary. Pls every one should disregard this post the poster is not even Igbo he is an Apc man |
| Re: Civil War Looms: Why Nigeria Risk Collapse If Igbos Are Denied 2027 Presidency by Freshtruth(m): 12:06pm On May 14 |
tonesky:he just wan spoil things for obi. He is not even igbo |
| Re: Civil War Looms: Why Nigeria Risk Collapse If Igbos Are Denied 2027 Presidency by esnbrutality: 12:09pm On May 14 |
I need that WAR... So even if Nigeria survives it...( i doubt) ![]() Boundaries will be set and we know the real cowards. Not be cho cho cho. ![]() |
| Re: Civil War Looms: Why Nigeria Risk Collapse If Igbos Are Denied 2027 Presidency by 1nice(m): 12:12pm On May 14 |
tonesky:This post is necessary please to remind those insisting to sabotage southeast Igbos from getting 2027 Nigeria presidency. Where is the justice, fairness and equity if an Igbo can not be the president of Nigeria in 2027? |
| Re: Civil War Looms: Why Nigeria Risk Collapse If Igbos Are Denied 2027 Presidency by favor914: 12:13pm On May 14 |
esnbrutality:Aqualinaxyz @ least to occupy your time, go & look 👀 for bricklayer work at a construction site in your neighborhood there in Port Harcourt. |
| Re: Civil War Looms: Why Nigeria Risk Collapse If Igbos Are Denied 2027 Presidency by favor914: 12:17pm On May 14 |
1nice:Nnamdi Kanu is in Sokoto, na Gombe, or Zamfara the Federal Government go go drop u. |
| Re: Civil War Looms: Why Nigeria Risk Collapse If Igbos Are Denied 2027 Presidency by 1nice(m): 12:17pm On May 14 |
Freshtruth:This is a necessary post because some enemies of Nigeria are planning to stop peter obi from becoming the president of Nigeria in 2027. How long will the Igbos continue to wait to become the president of Nigeria? This post is necessary please to remind those insisting to sabotage southeast Igbos from getting 2027 Nigeria presidency. Where is the justice, fairness and equity if an Igbo can not be the president of Nigeria in 2027? |
| Re: Civil War Looms: Why Nigeria Risk Collapse If Igbos Are Denied 2027 Presidency by 1nice(m): 12:19pm On May 14 |
favor914:You are talking nonsense. Say No To Tribalism And Emilokan Mentality. |
| Re: Civil War Looms: Why Nigeria Risk Collapse If Igbos Are Denied 2027 Presidency by omenka(m): 12:20pm On May 14 |
Radicalwarrior:What a pile of nauseating bunkum. You people used this strategy the last time and it failed. It'll still fail again. |
| Re: Civil War Looms: Why Nigeria Risk Collapse If Igbos Are Denied 2027 Presidency by 1nice(m): 12:22pm On May 14 |
esnbrutality:Do not mind those Yorubas boasting people. Surprise awaits them. |
| Re: Civil War Looms: Why Nigeria Risk Collapse If Igbos Are Denied 2027 Presidency by lawani(m): 12:22pm On May 14 |
Focus on disintegration rather than Igbo or any group ruling. Focus on disintegration but if Nigeria does not breakup, an Igbo person will eventually become President again fairly and not by arm twisting others. Igbos have headed the country thrice. Azikiwe two times and Ironsi once Yoruba is five times Obasanjo three times, Shonekan once and Tinubu once NW seven times Muritala once Shagari twice, Yaradua once and Buhari three times Northern Christians one time of Gowon Niger state two times of Babangida and Abdulsalam NE tone and a half time Abacha, Balewa supporting Zik. Southern minorities two times Good luck Jonathan All counting the number of times oaths were taken I don't see anywhere here that the Igbos were marginalized because even after the civil war, one of them was VP and they shared in ruling, in making decisions, determining who gets what and etc. Therefore they are not marginalized. Akwa-Cross people are almost half of Igbo in population and wouldn't you think they should have at least one slot if Igbos have had three? The contribution of Yoruba to Nigeria in population and taxes is easily three times that of Igbos, don't you think they should have nine slots if Igbos have three but they have only four. So Igbos are not and have never been marginalized. Then the number of people that died in the civil war due to famine according to the CIA is around 500k. 3 million is a huge number and it will be up to half of the total Igbo population back then if not more. I believe the people killed by firearms on both sides can not be up to 50k. Therefore the figure is wrong. Join those seeking for Nigeria to break up because that is what can ensure development of the whole region of west Africa and if we don't succeed then an Igbo man will at one point become leader again but the claim of Igbo marginalization is totally unfounded |
| Re: Civil War Looms: Why Nigeria Risk Collapse If Igbos Are Denied 2027 Presidency by 1nice(m): 12:24pm On May 14 |
omenka:Think before you talk because you are already talking nonsense. |
| Re: Civil War Looms: Why Nigeria Risk Collapse If Igbos Are Denied 2027 Presidency by seunowa(f): 12:25pm On May 14 |
Radicalwarrior:See your life. Your Igbo brothers and sisters are denying your igboish. |
| Re: Civil War Looms: Why Nigeria Risk Collapse If Igbos Are Denied 2027 Presidency by christistruth01: 12:28pm On May 14 |
1nice: esnbrutality:Just make sure you keep your War in your own Region this time And dont bring it anywhere near Lagos or the rest of Yorubaland |
| Re: Civil War Looms: Why Nigeria Risk Collapse If Igbos Are Denied 2027 Presidency by TallNigerian: 12:31pm On May 14 |
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| Re: Civil War Looms: Why Nigeria Risk Collapse If Igbos Are Denied 2027 Presidency by lebienconnu(m): 12:31pm On May 14 |
Dear Ijiatic Op In a democracy, elections are won by votes, not by threats. Thank you |
| Re: Civil War Looms: Why Nigeria Risk Collapse If Igbos Are Denied 2027 Presidency by iichidodo: 12:34pm On May 14 |
This is very much unnecessary...Igbos are peaceful people, to jolly with and do business with .. |
| Re: Civil War Looms: Why Nigeria Risk Collapse If Igbos Are Denied 2027 Presidency by 21lucky(m): 12:37pm On May 14 |
lawani:Counting how many times someone from an ethnic group took an oath doesn’t automatically mean the group wasn’t marginalized. Azikiwe’s ceremonial presidency 1960-1963 was under a parliamentary system where the PM held real power. Ironsi ruled 6 months before being killed. That’s different from 8 years as an elected executive president. Marginalization isn’t only about ‘who became president’. It’s also about federal projects, appointments, policing, and post-war policy. The 3Rs - Reconciliation, Rehabilitation, Reconstruction - are still debated for a reason. Population/tax argument: If we’re using contribution to decide slots, then we should apply it consistently across all regions, and let the census settle the numbers. Until then, it’s speculation. Civil war death toll: Historians and organizations give different figures from 500k to 3m. The point isn’t to argue numbers, but that the war left deep wounds that still affect politics today. Dismissing it doesn’t heal it. If the goal is a united Nigeria, the answer is power-sharing that feels fair to all, not telling any group ‘you’ve had enough’. If breaking up is the only way for regions to develop, then we’ve already failed as a country. If keeping Nigeria together is the goal, then every group needs to feel they have a fair shot. That’s all Igbos are asking for in 2027. Let’s debate policies, not who suffered more. You said ‘if Nigeria doesn’t break up, an Igbo will become president fairly’. Good. Then why is it a problem when Igbos organize and campaign for that now? You can’t say ‘wait your turn’ and also say ‘stop asking’. That’s the definition of moving the goalpost. |
| Re: Civil War Looms: Why Nigeria Risk Collapse If Igbos Are Denied 2027 Presidency by 21lucky(m): 12:40pm On May 14 |
seunowa:It is the Yorubas and some northerners that wants to deny the Igbos from southeast the Nigeria presidency in 2027 like they deny Igbos Nigeria presidency in 2023. |
| Re: Civil War Looms: Why Nigeria Risk Collapse If Igbos Are Denied 2027 Presidency by sweerychick(f): 12:41pm On May 14 |
Oga pull this post down |
| Re: Civil War Looms: Why Nigeria Risk Collapse If Igbos Are Denied 2027 Presidency by 21lucky(m): 12:44pm On May 14 |
iichidodo:This is very much necessary. We igbos will speak our minds. We Igbos are peaceful people and that is why the Yorubas and northerners think they can take advantage of us and prevent us igbos from producing the next president of Nigeria in 2027. If Yorubas and northerners push Igbos to the wall then igbos will retaliate and fight the fight of justice, fairness and equity. |
| Re: Civil War Looms: Why Nigeria Risk Collapse If Igbos Are Denied 2027 Presidency by Freshtruth(m): 12:46pm On May 14 |
1nice:tinubu people una done start |
| Re: Civil War Looms: Why Nigeria Risk Collapse If Igbos Are Denied 2027 Presidency by 21lucky(m): 12:47pm On May 14 |
sweerychick:Boy you are talking nonsense. |
| Re: Civil War Looms: Why Nigeria Risk Collapse If Igbos Are Denied 2027 Presidency by Flangelo12: 12:47pm On May 14 |
You won't do sheet. ![]() |
| Re: Civil War Looms: Why Nigeria Risk Collapse If Igbos Are Denied 2027 Presidency by 21lucky(m): 12:51pm On May 14 |
Flangelo12:Rude Surprise awaits enemies of igbos. |
| Re: Civil War Looms: Why Nigeria Risk Collapse If Igbos Are Denied 2027 Presidency by Freshtruth(m): 12:54pm On May 14 |
Everybody should disregard this government sponsor post. Seun pls help us to pull down this post thanks |
| Re: Civil War Looms: Why Nigeria Risk Collapse If Igbos Are Denied 2027 Presidency by 21lucky(m): 12:54pm On May 14 |
lebienconnu:You are talking nonsense. In 2023 an igbo peter obi won the presidential election but was rigged out to third position and now they planned to do the same but serious consequences awaits them. |
| Re: Civil War Looms: Why Nigeria Risk Collapse If Igbos Are Denied 2027 Presidency by lawani(m): 12:56pm On May 14 |
21lucky:Azikiwe controlled who got what in the civil service more than Balewa. The first republic favoured Igbos more than any group in Nigeria, so I don't regard those who say Azikiwe was only ceremonial as serious people. Everybody called him sir, so he must be counted as President. Then the short regimes of other people were counted so it is fair to count Ironsi's as well because all of them affected the country one way or the other. They made irreversible decisions. It is not a problem if anybody or any group organises but it is a problem to be making unfounded claims of marginalization. No group is more represented or getting more federal presence than the SE because they have the lowest population but are still entitled to what a zone with three times their population is entitled to. Tax contribution is the only fair way to determine representation in a federal system because it will make everybody sit up. If Abuja has more revenue than Lagos, it should have more seats at the national assembly than Lagos and if you say Abuja was built by non indigenes then those non indigenes should fight for seats there. Good luck to them but soon they will realize they are better off contributing to their own native lands Tell me what is the benefit to any group of a united Nigeria? To the Yoruba, there is no benefit. They are a major Earth ethnicity and they are better off in control of their own space not a Yoruba land with security forces who are not Yoruba. That is not good for any group |
| Re: Civil War Looms: Why Nigeria Risk Collapse If Igbos Are Denied 2027 Presidency by iichidodo: 12:58pm On May 14 |
21lucky:You are not igbo, stop taking Panadol for our headache... |
| Re: Civil War Looms: Why Nigeria Risk Collapse If Igbos Are Denied 2027 Presidency by 21lucky(m): 1:01pm On May 14 |
Freshtruth:Everybody have regarded this post because it reveal the truth that igbos from south east have been marginalized for a long time in Nigeria and the right time have come to end igbos marginalization in Nigeria come 2027 as an Igbo will be elected president of Nigeria wether people like you like it or not. |
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