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How China Will Crumble As World Power - The US Sun - Foreign Affairs (3) - Nairaland

Nairaland ForumNairaland GeneralPoliticsForeign AffairsHow China Will Crumble As World Power - The US Sun (12774 Views)

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Re: How China Will Crumble As World Power - The US Sun by Abagworo(m): 3:01pm On Jun 10
Population decline is a good thing for the world as scramble for scarce resources will reduce. The US is great because her population is stable
Re: How China Will Crumble As World Power - The US Sun by CanadaOrBust(op): 3:07pm On Jun 10
QuinQQ:
Hiw about Nigeria? What did we do to deserve Buhari and Tinubu and APC?? And we have churches in every corner
Nigeria is a crime scene. Evrerywhere bribery and corruption. Just the Karma from money ritualists and evil politicians and police alone. Infact we're even lucky a country called Nigeria still exists
Re: How China Will Crumble As World Power - The US Sun by frankson1(m): 3:08pm On Jun 10
CanadaOrBust:
It is what will happen between now and then - STEADY decline of China. Just recently India overtook China as the world's most populous nation (despite Beijing’s inflated numbers! grin)
China don beat your almighty US in everything. Na population una dey use brag now 😭😀😀😀
Re: How China Will Crumble As World Power - The US Sun by CanadaOrBust(op): 3:11pm On Jun 10
Abagworo:
Population decline is a good thing for the world as scramble for scarce resources will reduce. The US is great because her population is stable
Wrong! Demographics not just population. Too many old people and not enough young people. People who go to China are surprised at the number of old people working - right from the airport
Re: How China Will Crumble As World Power - The US Sun by blingxx(m): 3:12pm On Jun 10
Ailover:
I don't think this is completely true about China.

It is what will happen between now and then - STEADY decline of China. Just recently India overtook China as the world's most populous nation (despite Beijing’s inflated numbers! grin)
The same china that have been existing for more than a thousand years ?.. you people are really funny with your headlines ?
Re: How China Will Crumble As World Power - The US Sun by CanadaOrBust(op): 3:14pm On Jun 10
Sheuns:
US is world’s super power and it’s not by mouth.
Correct. And it is not even close
Re: How China Will Crumble As World Power - The US Sun by CanadaOrBust(op): 3:18pm On Jun 10
jonsn:
Whoever came up with this conclusion must be disillusioned. Period.
Probably never read the article. I'd summarize for ya:
China is on an irreversible downward trajectory because of rapidly dropping population, and because too many old people compared to number of young people
Re: How China Will Crumble As World Power - The US Sun by CanadaOrBust(op): 3:23pm On Jun 10
Lukuluku69:
America became a Superpower when they had the most people living in that space?
Not just population, demographics. Too many old people and not enough young people to counterbalance it. US always has young immigrants flooding in. While in China the young leave if they can
Re: How China Will Crumble As World Power - The US Sun by CanadaOrBust(op):
Blakjewelry:
One of the most stupid postulation I have ever seen, why is the US with ¼ of china's population still a world power. I was expecting to see a compelling argument only to see this rubbish.
Population was China’s superpower. How do you think they were able to flood the world with ridiculously cheap goods? Now go to China and all you see are old people working everywhere then add massive debt as shown below!

CaseSensitive:
"How China will crumble as a world power" - coming from a USA media machine.

China is already a superpower, they're leapfrogging into the future while USA is still trying to figure out if Iran's supreme head is dead or injured.
China is on an irreversible downward trajectory and only the blind will refuse to see it

Re: How China Will Crumble As World Power - The US Sun by CanadaOrBust(op): 3:34pm On Jun 10
CorperKola:
So you are telling me china does nore abortions than the USA that literally glamorizes and promotes aboetions under the guise of reproductive rights

Population decline is the fate of the whole world as women get more wealth and power
This is what feminism brings

Enjoy it
During those decades of one-child policy in China, all subsequent pregnancies were aborted. Also, girls were routinely aborted so as to make the one child a male. You're comparing this to abortion in US??
Re: How China Will Crumble As World Power - The US Sun by CanadaOrBust(op): 3:37pm On Jun 10
zinaunreal:
Na by population?? Omo na wa you ooo. With you crisp english see wetin you dey dish out
YES, in China’s case na by population! That's their superpower. That's why they were able to flood the world with cheap goods from cheap labor. Now too many old workers, not enough young workers. And it'll only get worse
Re: How China Will Crumble As World Power - The US Sun by CanadaOrBust(op): 3:42pm On Jun 10
Kemetian:
WILL YOU SHUT UP.

THEY PAID WHAT?

DO YOU KNOW AFRICA IS OWED $5,000 TRILLION IN REPARATIONS FOR ITS HISTORICAL PLUNDER BY THE WEST?

DO YOU KNOW THE AU IS DEMANDING REPARATIONS FOR WHAT IT CALLS "A CRIME AGAINST HUMANITY" AND "AFRICA'S HOLOCAUST"?

DO YOU KNOW THAT REPARATIONS ARE DUE TO AFRICA AS A LEGAL RIGHT UNDER INTERNATIONAL LAW?

WHAT DO YOU MEAN BY "THEY'VE PAID"?
How long ago was slavery? How long ago was one-child policy that just ended 2016.
Besides, no country is a Saint. Will Nigeria pay reparations for millions of Biafran children starved to death??
Re: How China Will Crumble As World Power - The US Sun by CanadaOrBust(op): 3:43pm On Jun 10
ppogba:
So, why then is the US SUN crying more than the bereaved?

Is it their population?
They're just observing a FACT
Re: How China Will Crumble As World Power - The US Sun by zinaunreal(m): 3:48pm On Jun 10
CanadaOrBust:
YES, in China’s case na by population! That's their superpower. That's why they were able to flood the world with cheap goods from cheap labor. Now too many old workers, not enough young workers. And it'll only get worse
If not for cheap goods you will still be in yiur village looking through your neighbors windows watching their tv. Be wise
Re: How China Will Crumble As World Power - The US Sun by QuinQQ: 3:57pm On Jun 10
CanadaOrBust:
Nigeria is a crime scene. Evrerywhere bribery and corruption. Just the Karma from money ritualists and evil politicians and police alone. Infact we're even lucky a country called Nigeria still exists
Right? Just the karma from starved Biafran children alone is enough to give Nigeria ten Tinubus grin
Re: How China Will Crumble As World Power - The US Sun by CorperKola: 4:09pm On Jun 10
CanadaOrBust:
During those decades of one-child policy in China, all subsequent pregnancies were aborted. Also, girls were routinely aborted so as to make the one child a male. You're comparing this to abortion in US??
U ever heard of family planning
Or contraceptives huh huh
Re: How China Will Crumble As World Power - The US Sun by QuinQQ: 4:17pm On Jun 10
BestLife247:
Currently the weathiest Nation on Earth, China is already the current World Power, arming both Russia and Iran simultaneously is why Trump became gentle and went cap in hand to Xi.

Those that already contacted now using our remedies should please start testifying.
US is actually the wealthiest nation on earth.
And China is actually a DEVELOPING country. See below

Re: How China Will Crumble As World Power - The US Sun by ponziponzi(m): 4:37pm On Jun 10
CanadaOrBust:
Meaning what exactly? Did I say I was happy China is on an irreversible downward trajectory? It is just a fact. Just same way I'd say Nigeria has serious insecurity problem due to Buhari and Tinubu. Doesn't mean I'm happy about it.
China was able to lift out of poverty mainly because US (mainly) opened her market and allowed China to dump cheap goods, while China closed her own market. Everything everywhere became made in China!
Yes, China has a demographic problem that will worsen over time, but so do most countries in Asia and Europe. See the list of approximate total fertility rates (births per woman). For context, a rate of 2.1 is considered the replacement level.

Country
South Korea ~0.7–0.8
Taiwan ~0.8–0.9
Singapore ~0.9–1.0
Hong Kong (SAR) ~0.8–1.0
Macau (SAR) ~0.7–1.0
Italy ~1.2
Spain ~1.2
Japan ~1.2–1.3
China ~1.0–1.2
Greece ~1.2–1.3

To say China is on an irreversible downward trajectory is laughable. There is absolutely no evidence to support that claim. China has grown at around 5% annually over the past five years—how many $20 trillion economies can achieve that? This year, China’s economy is expected to grow at roughly twice the rate of the US and contribute about 26% of global GDP growth, which is nearly three times the US contribution of around 9%. They also recorded the highest trade surplus in history last year, and it is projected to continue expanding this year. The “China decline” narrative has been repeated for more than 30 years, yet it has not materialized. In fact, during that period, China’s economy has grown from roughly $4 trillion to around $20 trillion—about a fivefold increase.

I agree that the US moving manufacturing and technology to China kick-started its development, but that was not done as charity. At the time, China had low-cost skilled labour and a large market, so US companies shared technology and provided investment to train workers to produce products for them. These were then sold in the Chinese market, with the surplus exported back to the US. US companies made substantial profits from this arrangement. For example, a Nike shoe produced in China for about $25 (including materials, labour, electricity, and other costs) is sold in the US for around $250. That is roughly $225 in value captured in the US. This made many CEOs and companies very wealthy, but often at the expense of the working class in these industries. China, in turn, used the revenues generated to uplift its population, develop world-class cities, and invest in education and infrastructure. It is also moving up the value chain, as it does not want to remain simply a production base for US companies. The US and many Western companies are not pleased with this shift, but it is the natural outcome of development. In fact, I do not doubt that China will continue to move up the manufacturing supply chain for the next 2-3 decades and will be a leader in many areas.

The claim that the US has closed its market is not entirely accurate. Just last year, the top 100 US companies generated a total of about $368 billion in revenue from China alone. Many US companies still have a large presence there. For example, KFC has more than 12,000 stores in China (almost twice the number in the US), Starbucks has more than 8,000, and McDonald’s has around 7,000 stores across the country and continues to expand. Even Microsoft controls more than 80% of the desktop operating system market in China. In 2019, before China’s EV expansion accelerated, General Motors sold more cars in China than in the rest of the world combined, although it has since been losing market share due to increased competition and a lack of innovation relative to local EV players. This does not seem like a country that is closed to US companies.
Re: How China Will Crumble As World Power - The US Sun by Poske95(m): 4:51pm On Jun 10
HacheNoire:
China cannot crumble! It is on track to be the super power!

With or without an inflated population, they have massively invested in human development which the country will continue to reap from forever.

The US government would even disagree with you because it’s the major hub of US manufacturing.

China already invested in the future with less than $20 trillion debt. They were able to invest in infrastructure, manufacturing, education , military and just name it.

Unlike the US AT $40 trillion where debt has already surpassed GDP with not even one speed train to show for it.

Let’s face fact, nothing is close to China as it stands today. Nothing is even near, and they ain’t stopping.

Did India do same? No! Indians are world traces outside their home.
Too much grammar...i bet yu proposed same for the US years ago
Look, with all that latent oppression of its people and others, this will be a punishment they must contend with.
....help is on the way....
Import the black man...shikena
Re: How China Will Crumble As World Power - The US Sun by frog12: 5:38pm On Jun 10
jealous western press grin grin
Re: How China Will Crumble As World Power - The US Sun by untoldtruth: 6:02pm On Jun 10
ponziponzi:
So why are you interested in their downfall? What do you gain as a Nigerian from China’s downfall? China lifted more than 800 million of her people out of poverty in less than 30 years. This has never been done in human history. A country that moved from being dirt poor country to one of the most technology advanced country in the world in less than three decades. Instead of you looking at what they have done right and try to implement it, you are looking and happy for their downfall. I understand that the US government as the world leader are not happy to have a peer competitor in China but how does that help you and your family. Let’s image China crashes today, will that improve your life and that of your children? Just think about it and stop consuming news and information not meant for you.
You're the only one on this thread using that 1% active part of your brain 😁.
If china falls, even a new smartphone will become luxury goods. Basically all the things made in China will suddenly become hard to obtain goods and pray tell, what isn't produced there these days?
Re: How China Will Crumble As World Power - The US Sun by CaseSensitive(m): 6:34pm On Jun 10
CanadaOrBust:
Population was China’s superpower. How do you think they were able to flood the world with ridiculously cheap goods? Now go to China and all you see are old people working everywhere then add massive debt as shown below!


China is on an irreversible downward trajectory and only the blind will refuse to see it
Ode-oponu is quoting yahoo finance article for me - what do you expect Yahoo Finance (an American tech company) to publish about China? Then he even went ahead to quote AI summary - no original thought or insight of his own, no idea of China's economic stature and trajectory.

I bet he's probably using a Chinese phone as well.
Re: How China Will Crumble As World Power - The US Sun by Lukuluku69(m): 6:55pm On Jun 10
CanadaOrBust:
Not just population, demographics. Too many old people and not enough young people to counterbalance it. US always has young immigrants flooding in. While in China the young leave if they can
Yes, China do have an ageing population but that will be addressed with the overturn of the One child Policy.

And yes, the United States do attract the young and the brainy from every corner of the world and that I think is still why they are very at the top but things do change and it will change.
Re: How China Will Crumble As World Power - The US Sun by Blazebond(m): 6:56pm On Jun 10
So says a dumb Nigerian.
Re: How China Will Crumble As World Power - The US Sun by QuinQQ: 7:34pm On Jun 10
untoldtruth:
You're the only one on this thread using that 1% active part of your brain 😁.
If china falls, even a new smartphone will become luxury goods. Basically all the things made in China will suddenly become hard to obtain goods and pray tell, what isn't produced there these days?
But they will be quality durable things that last for years instead of breaking after 2 days so you'll buy another!
Re: How China Will Crumble As World Power - The US Sun by agabusta: 7:52pm On Jun 10
ponziponzi:
So why are you interested in their downfall? What do you gain as a Nigerian from China’s downfall? China lifted more than 800 million of her people out of poverty in less than 30 years. This has never been done in human history. A country that moved from being dirt poor country to one of the most technology advanced country in the world in less than three decades. Instead of you looking at what they have done right and try to implement it, you are looking and happy for their downfall. I understand that the US government as the world leader are not happy to have a peer competitor in China but how does that help you and your family. Let’s image China crashes today, will that improve your life and that of your children? Just think about it and stop consuming news and information not meant for you.
This is so on point! Thank you. This your comment has made it unnecessary for some of us to add ours.
Re: How China Will Crumble As World Power - The US Sun by MrGerald(m): 8:50pm On Jun 10
HacheNoire:
You can google the data and present it!

Where was China 4 decades ago? Now they competitive in Infrastructure, energy, telecoms, automobile, IT, AI, Military, education, and anything you can think of.

Even the US knows China will nail its coffin in a free market.

Hate or like China, you cannot take away the tremendous growth and human development in last 4 decades. No country in their league.
How many of those things you mentioned China invented? Apart from dismantling and copying technology then trying innovation. All the big shots are in the US, big market big money.
Re: How China Will Crumble As World Power - The US Sun by Easylife1234: 8:59pm On Jun 10
China is next on the line to rule the world
Re: How China Will Crumble As World Power - The US Sun by HacheNoire: 9:29pm On Jun 10
MrGerald:
How many of those things you mentioned China invented? Apart from dismantling and copying technology then trying innovation. All the big shots are in the US, big market big money.
Everyone copied the inventor! How they are able to make it better at a cheaper cost is what should amaze you!

Did Elon Musk invent Tesla? Did Nokia, Damsung or Apple invent the mobile phone? That your narration does not sell.

Let’s even accept they copied all and enhanced it, is it not worth appreciating that even those who invented it could not compete.

Did they also copy infrastructure, or copied how to invest in their people?

Give it up for China. If it’s good, say it’s good.
Re: How China Will Crumble As World Power - The US Sun by Insipidvamp(m): 9:30pm On Jun 10
[quote author=CanadaOrBust post=139674322]You must be kidding. How come other countries are fine without one-child rule? So many things they could have done - education, birth control, etc, but like typical totalitarian regime, CCP chose a draconian measure. So many families were put through hell because they secretly had two children. So many female children were aborted

China's population issues precede modern western democracy, I hope you know that. In the 90s, China was one-fifth i.e 1.1 million of the 5.5 million persons in the world.
Re: How China Will Crumble As World Power - The US Sun by CanadaOrBust(op): 9:52pm On Jun 10
Insipidvamp:
China's population issues precede modern western democracy, I hope you know that. In the 90s, China was one-fifth i.e 1.1 million of the 5.5 million persons in the world.
Remember Malthus's theory (below). Well it turned out to be wrong. Same thing happened to CCP. They turned out to be wrong. That's what happens when you apply Humans' very limited reasoning to things of God!

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