₦airaland Forum

Validated:
Did you read the report? NDC currently leads APC by 44% to 25%. The remaining 23% are undecided, meaning they lean on either side.
However, nationality, NDC is OK.

Same sbm predicted obi in 2027

Akpakomiza2:
Where will Atiku get his votes since north east will be divided

Everywhere will be divided. Whoever emerges with the highest margin will become president and as at today, the odds favour the Atiku/Amaechi ticket.

SixSeven:
But they insult him with this too? Don't you see how they say they will teach him politics? They laugh at him for not having enough polling unit agents and I have outlined the electoral process in a past post. We do not need agents if not that we want to spend money and 'guard' the votes. The voting machine and iRev where meant to make polling agents redundant


It's not as if Obi is special but if he wins, one thing he will help our democracy to do is redefine the process of elections. In fact, one thing he did successfully, or maybe two he did was

1. You don't need a sitting governor to win.
Buhari always won some states despite the FG might and governors there. Obi is that kind of person in recent times to have that cult following. Another person like that is Kwankwaso and they have both proved it. Even if it's one state they are popular in, it means a lot.

2. You don't need a political party to win.
This is almost pushing the independent candidacy to our elections.



It's the gut to do without the so-called structure that makes the politicians afraid because they have somehow forgotten how to test their popularity with the people and they have to rely on parties, godfathers and financiers which is dangerous for our democracy because they will have no choice but repay the godfathers when they get there. We have seen this before.

Let me read your question again.

Hold on, but money plays a particular role in mobilization and sensitization.

Do you mean to say that this can either blur the grey area between genuinely getting the grassroots to play their part in politics or exploring such activities for selfish gains?
It plays a role but is it bribery! No. This is where Obi has advantage. The big parties literally pay people on social media to fight for them. Again, this is why they don't like Obi. What costs them money, he gets it almost free and they are mad at him because they think he is using jazz on the youth. Obi is just lucky that the youth see him as someone they can hold out of these people to represent them. It's not going to last forever but for them they don't care about the party, they just believe in him. Why? He talks to the issues they want to hear, he doesn't talk down at them. They feel a part of him in his campaign. The other parties have their parents who never want to retire sharing money and positions and calling it structure but it is not, it is business. The cost of social media mobilization and sensitisation is cheaper than the other type. Do you hear them say "elections are not on social media", "they don't know politics" etc. It's all lies. Why?they force people to vote for them by taking their PVCs, threatening them, bribing them etc to make sure they get numbers on election day. Those youth online eventually come out in person at the right time. They know when to come out and when to stay online.

The internet has also made them think about it and see us for who we are. They have the power of change too because in any democratic society, most youth always want to feel they made an impact. APC also gained from youth vote in 2015 when Buhari won. If the people choose you, you don't need to waste money to mobilize them. They will do it themselves. Why? Because their lives are at stake and the decisions you make in your 4 years will affect them so let's see how it goes. I hope this cycle helps us end this money politics to an extent because the guts of these people now in power are getting to a ridiculous height where they can do without us and very soon we'll be like Uganda and Cameroon.

It was a very very long read, and you answered my questions. I hope this will play out as you hace written.

Obi KERENKE inside APC rally.😂😂😂


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cBslqdRSiAw?is=ZpYgemr4oVPsywgQ

AMINDA:
Everywhere will be divided. Whoever emerges with the highest margin will become president and as at today, the odds favour the Atiku/Amaechi ticket.

It does not favour him sir. From this poll, he will come last. If sw is the decider, Tinubu wins. Anything division of votes favours Tinubu because he will pick votes everywhere, obi and Atiku cant

SW move over!


🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉

Nigerians DECIDE.


😍😍😍😍😍


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=anImHlEUE1U?is=u7mpj94c49x2XjwV

raumdeuter:
Tinubu will win the Southwest decisively

Many of those who fell for the LP propaganda in 2023 have now seen the light

Yes oooo we have seen the light of bandits and kidnapping in the south west!!!

Don’t trust “drug barons” and certificate-forgers to decide elections.

😍😍😍😍


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=msboRT63DUA?is=nJSV5sLvH4RZgUhr

According to the report, the survey was conducted across Nigeria’s six geopolitical zones and[b] covered 829 eligible voters in eight states and the Federal Capital Territory[/b]

Personally, I will not put much trust in a survey using 8 states and about 1000 respondents to predict election in Nigeria. Nigeria election is sentimental, tribal and very corrupt. 75% of these people interview will vote for whoever gives them the highest amount of money on election day. I may be wrong but time will tell.

D WAY OBIDIENTS ARE USING INSECURITY AS A PRIMARY CAMPAIGN TOOL..

ONE WOULD THINK PETER OBI IS A RETIRED MILITARY GENERAL

LagosOrigin:
Which state will tinubu win in south west?

Is it OYO state where children were kidnapped and teacher beheaded and the Seyi makinde factor?

Is it Lagos where majority of people there aren't indigines and even the indigines voted against tinubu in 2023 and the numbers will increase in 2027 especially now that poverty and insecurity has ravaged the state ?

Is it Ekiti state where herdsmen unalive farmers are will and nobody there say Jack?


Or it's Only where farmers no longer go to farm due to fear of there lives been taken away forcefully by the marauding Fulani herdsmen ??

raumdeuter:
Tinubu will win the Southwest decisively

Many of those who fell for the LP propaganda in 2023 have now seen the light

You never voted for LP the last time and the same people that voted for LP will vote for NDC this time around , the only way Tinubu will win this election is via rigging , he can’t win lagos for sure and that’s why they inflated the number of voters in other sw states

In a free and fair election even Portable will defeat the incompetent Tinubu.

yaroyaro619:
NDC with Peter Obi is likely to clear the whole regions in Nigeria

If Tinubu wants to retain power by all means, it might cost him his health.

This election isn't going to be business as usual...even the INEC chairman go fear,fear.

raumdeuter:
Tinubu will win the Southwest decisively

Many of those who fell for the LP propaganda in 2023 have now seen the light

SW is already settled

Nairametrics are just deceiving themselves

raumdeuter:
So who will win those states? Majority of voters dont even know what NDC is. They might think its a subsidiary of NTA or NNPC

Says u.

Abeg rest jor.

AderonkeOlaniyi:
That old goat called Gbola Tilumbu has already failed. He's going home. Big fuul.

Speak ur mind and God will bless u.

What is apparent is that Tinubu is not Jonathan. To win him, an incumbent president, requires God's intervention. Without that, with 31 governors on his side, he is a shoo-in for the presidency in 2027, and with high margin too.

Svoboda:
Going by this projection, Tinubu is one foot away from losing his re-election. Even if all the 23% undecided were to go for him, it won't materialize to much. This is the region he is expected to win handsomely, considering his general unpopularity and lack of genuine organic support.

So the opinion of 829 people is what you are realizing on. Watching obi speaking about Nmandi kanu issue, as already denied him many votes from other region who simply see him as a pure tribal bigot. imagine saying kanu was only insulting people online. obi will not get 20% of SW votes in 2027.

raumdeuter:
Tinubu will win the Southwest decisively

Many of those who fell for the LP propaganda in 2023 have now seen the light

The light of Tinubu releasing 744 terrorists?

The light of Ebinpawa?

Don't worry, more monarchs to kpavuka.

More principals to turn headies?

You don't know what tribalism does to the brain of a poor man

Is baba Sope aware of this
He said na statistics we go shop

AMINDA:
Yet he won with less than 2 million votes and with the North giving him 65% of his total votes. Tinubu was very popular in the North in 2023, can you say the same today?

Mr the north . President Tinubu will win

GoodLife4live:
Mr the north . President Tinubu will win

By government magic, INEC fraud, or rigging and thugs, which one? You know, if by people's actual votes, he already lost?

kedeojo:
So the opinion of 829 people is what you are realizing on. Watching obi speaking about Nmandi kanu issue, as already denied him many votes from other region who simply see him as a pure tribal bigot. imagine saying kanu was only insulting people online. obi will not get 20% of SW votes in 2027.

Imagine all the people being killed in the SW and the ongoing terror by bandits and jihadists enjoying freehand under this regime and convince yourself that survivors will not reject the APC and vote wisely.

Okay let the who of south south give their vote to obi
And north centra let's see how south west will decide

Okay let the who of south south give their vote to obi
And north centra let's see how south west will decide

The Yoruba people are saying Bola Tinubu is from the Zambia abi Gambia na.

raumdeuter:
Tinubu will win the Southwest decisively

Many of those who fell for the LP propaganda in 2023 have now seen the light

seen the light ? There is no light oga. Your kids are still with the kidnappers. Thier parents won’t vote Apc. Thier relatives won’t. Others affected by the senseless insecurity and inflation won’t either

AMINDA:
Winning is immaterial. What will be his margin of victory? He cannot win the Southwest in a landslide.

then a re-run will happen

Lordhanzo:
then a re-run will happen

Yes, if Atiku fails to get 25% in ⅔ of the states (he just might). As long as Obi is in the race, Atiku will emerge with the highest votes cast. The rerun will be between the candidate with the highest votes cast and the candidate with the most spread (not necessarily the second highest). Tinubu appears jittery and will rather not face his opponents at the ballot. He has no choice.