It Will Be Over For Tinubu, Momodu Outlines Atiku’s Strategy For 2027 - Politics

It Will Be Over For Tinubu, Momodu Outlines Atiku’s Strategy For 2027 - Politics - Nairaland

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It Will Be Over For Tinubu, Momodu Outlines Atiku’s Strategy For 2027 by treesun(op): 10:48pm On Jun 19

African Democratic Congress chieftain, Dele Momodu, has predicted that the 2027 presidential election will be a tough contest for President Bola Tinubu.

Momodu made the remark during an interview on Nevon Media with journalist Oseni Rufai on Friday, expressing optimism that the ADC’s presidential candidate, Atiku Abubakar, would emerge victorious.

According to him, Atiku could defeat both Tinubu and Nigeria Democratic Congress candidate, Peter Obi, if he secures strong support in the North while remaining competitive in the South.

“As I predicted, Atiku will win the majority of the North, and if he is able to compete favourably in the South, it will be over for President Tinubu and Peter Obi,” he said.

"Atiku will secure at least 25% of the votes in 26 states while also dominating the North, which is where the bulk of the votes are,” he added.

Momodu also referenced Nigeria’s constitutional requirements for winning the presidency, noting that a candidate must secure the highest number of total votes as well as at least 25% of votes in two-thirds of the states.

He expressed confidence that Atiku could meet the threshold by consolidating support in high-voting northern states.

He said, “Once you get voluminous votes from the north, it will leave the south limping. That’s why Tinubu is desperate to make sure that they delete some parties. Especially because of Atiku. And the north has already played a strategic thing this time. That move is so strategic that they made sure there is no strong leader competing against Atiku in the north.

“Now, Kwankwaso is a running mate. The north will not play second fiddle, just like in the south they are blaming anybody who is competing against Tinubu as a traitor, the same way the north is treating anybody who does not support Atiku as a traitor. So, that’s number one. So, that’s a different scenario from 2023.”

He added, “He (Atiku) will then navigate his way to the south. In the south, there is no way he will not compete well in Osun State. There is no way.”

This comes despite repeated endorsements of the president by Osun State Governor Ademola Adeleke of the Accord Party.

Momodu insisted that the people of Osun, not the governor, will ultimately decide the outcome.

His comments come as political actors position themselves ahead of the 2027 general elections.

In[b] the 2023 presidential election, Tinubu won with about 37 per cent of the vote, drawing strong support from the South-West and significant votes across other regions.[/b]

https://punchng.com/it-will-be-over-for-tinubu-momodu-outlines-atikus-strategy-for-2027/

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Re: It Will Be Over For Tinubu, Momodu Outlines Atiku’s Strategy For 2027 by yarimo(m): 10:51pm On Jun 19

Dele momudu is now turning ATIKU as online president like obi grin

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Re: It Will Be Over For Tinubu, Momodu Outlines Atiku’s Strategy For 2027 by Mynd44(mod): 3:30am On Jun 20

As of today, I don't see a single southern state Atiku can get 25% from as long as Tinubu as Obi are on the ballot.

As for Dele Momodu saying he will compete in Osun, the only reason he won last time was Governor Adeleke, with that support gone, Atiku will struggle.

The one thing atiku can pray 🙏 for is to get the highest votes and fight for a rerun which is difficult

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Re: It Will Be Over For Tinubu, Momodu Outlines Atiku’s Strategy For 2027 by WizardOfNG: 3:49am On Jun 20

Momodu is a disgrace same as all Southerners working for Atiku to usurp the turn of the South per the rotation agreement.

There won't be a single Northerner who will agree to work for a Southern Presidential candidate attempting to usurp the turn of the North.

I am really ashamed of Southerners. It is our cowardice and lack of principles that has allowed the North to become the over-privileged big problem it is to Nigeria today.

Atiku for where ? Too many Southerners act like b1tches and when you do that you give others the signal to dominate you.

The likes of Dele Momodu are the reason the core North has now become a major problem for Nigeria today when we should have all stood our ground ages ago to insist they shape up or ship out.

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Re: It Will Be Over For Tinubu, Momodu Outlines Atiku’s Strategy For 2027 by HacheNoire: 4:39am On Jun 20

The major and only problem of the opposition is that, they don’t know what or who they are up against.

If in 2026, Dele can still believe any living thing can defeat His Excellency, President Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu (GCFR), then we can always conclude that Dele is not educated about the demigod he is up against.

You can’t conquer something you have not recognized, quantified and acknowledged potentials, and why defeat is a constant!

If election were conducted a thousand times, Peter and Atiku won’t win 1

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Re: It Will Be Over For Tinubu, Momodu Outlines Atiku’s Strategy For 2027 by CharlesCNG: 5:07am On Jun 20

treesun:
https://punchng.com/it-will-be-over-for-tinubu-momodu-outlines-atikus-strategy-for-2027/

Atiku Is Not Buhari and can never be

One of the laziest assumptions in Nigerian politics, which Dele momodu is foolishly invested, is that Atiku Abubakar can simply inherit “the northern vote” in 2027.
That claim is weak for one basic reason: Atiku is not Buhari.

Buhari was not just another northern politician. He had a rare personal cult following, especially in parts of the North West, built over several election cycles. His appeal was deeper than party. His name itself carried emotional and political weight in ways very few northern politicians have ever matched.

Atiku does not command that kind of automatic loyalty. He may have influence, relevance, and recognition, but influence is not the same thing as mystique. Recognition is not the same thing as inherited mass followership.

That is the first weakness in the Dele Momodu-style theory that Atiku controls the North. It confuses Buhari’s personal political capital with Atiku’s ordinary northern relevance. Those are not the same thing.

The North did not become one man’s private estate under Buhari, and it certainly does not become Atiku’s inheritance now. Buhari built a following over years of repeated contests, strong emotional appeal, and a very particular northern image. Atiku has never commanded that same near-messianic standing.

So the first point is simple:

Atiku cannot be treated as Buhari’s automatic heir in the North.

That assumption is not strategy. It is lazy political storytelling.

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Re: It Will Be Over For Tinubu, Momodu Outlines Atiku’s Strategy For 2027 by CharlesCNG: 5:13am On Jun 20

treesun:
https://punchng.com/it-will-be-over-for-tinubu-momodu-outlines-atikus-strategy-for-2027/

The North Did Not Vote as One Bloc in 2023 and will not in 2027

The second mistake is to talk about “the North” as if it votes like one man. The 2023 presidential election shattered that myth.

In the North East, Atiku led strongly.
But in the North West, Tinubu actually came first, while Kwankwaso still pulled a very substantial bloc.
In the North Central, Tinubu also led, while Obi performed strongly and Atiku came third.

That is not one northern vote. That is three different northern political theatres.

So when Dele Momodu or anyone else talks as if Atiku can simply gather the North into one bag and carry it to the ballot box, they are ignoring the most basic evidence from the last election: the North was already fragmented.

The North East is not the North West.
The North West is not the North Central.
Each zone has its own political mood, rival ambitions, and local calculations.

And that is why the old phrase “the northern vote” is often more political propaganda than political science.

The real truth is this:

There is no single northern vote waiting in one purse. There are northern votes, spread across zones, interests, religions, local structures, and competing leaders.

That is the point many commentators refuse to accept. They keep speaking of “the North” as if it is a barracks taking one command. But the 2023 results already showed that the North is not one electoral choir singing one anthem.

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Re: It Will Be Over For Tinubu, Momodu Outlines Atiku’s Strategy For 2027 by Moroccoguy: 5:24am On Jun 20

They believes in Jonathan treatment in which without the support of the south it's not possible, Tinubu as a president is different from Tinubu we know 4 years back. Atiku will only get 25% in the south if Obi is not on the ballot and the work seems more easier for Tinubu if Obi is on the ballot.

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Re: It Will Be Over For Tinubu, Momodu Outlines Atiku’s Strategy For 2027 by DrAkpa(m): 5:47am On Jun 20

Moroccoguy:
They believes in Jonathan treatment in which without the support of the south it's not possible, Tinubu as a president is different from Tinubu we know 4 years back. Atiku will only get 25% in the south if Obi is not on the ballot and the work seems more easier for Tinubu if Obi is on the ballot.

Tinubu will not be on the ballot...
Mark my words on this date and time.

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Re: It Will Be Over For Tinubu, Momodu Outlines Atiku’s Strategy For 2027 by garykoeman: 6:10am On Jun 20

Dele living in limbo.

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Re: It Will Be Over For Tinubu, Momodu Outlines Atiku’s Strategy For 2027 by garykoeman: 6:11am On Jun 20

DrAkpa:
Tinubu will not be on the ballot...
Mark my words on this date and time.

All these nnamdi kanu followers and Peter obi supporters.

Tinubu is your president till 2031. cheesy

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Re: It Will Be Over For Tinubu, Momodu Outlines Atiku’s Strategy For 2027 by AMINDA: 6:27am On Jun 20

Mynd44:
As of today, I don't see a single southern state Atiku can get 25% from as long as Tinubu as Obi are on the ballot.

As for Dele Momodu saying he will compete in Osun, the only reason he won last time was Governor Adeleke, with that support gone, Atiku will struggle.

The one thing atiku can pray 🙏 for is to get the highest votes and fight for a rerun which is difficult

If Atiku won Bayelsa and Akwa Ibom in 2023 and got over 25% in Delta, is it in 2027 that he will fail to get 25% in any Southern state? 2023 was more of the "turn of the South" than 2027 will be and this time, Tinubu has been tested and has failed. The PDP structure who were sympathetic to Turaki still exists in those states and they will support Atiku. The Udom bloc in Akwa Ibom still exists and the Deputy governor of Bayelsa refused to decamp until he died under mysterious circumstances. Those bloc of votes are not for Tinubu. Atiku will also get good numbers in at least 2 states in the SW. Besides, once Nigerians see that Atiku has a clear path in emerging with the highest votes cast, a lot more people will flip and vote for him since Tinubu is very unpopular.

Rufai: “With these projections, how many states do you think Atiku Abubakar will win in the 2027 election?”

Dele Momodu: “As I predicted, Atiku will win the majority of the North, and if he is able to compete favourably in the South, it will be over for President Tinubu and…
— oseni rufai (@ruffydfire) June 19, 2026

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Re: It Will Be Over For Tinubu, Momodu Outlines Atiku’s Strategy For 2027 by kingbee90: 6:27am On Jun 20

Mynd44:
As of today, I don't see a single southern state Atiku can get 25% from as long as Tinubu as Obi are on the ballot.

As for Dele Momodu saying he will compete in Osun, the only reason he won last time was Governor Adeleke, with that support gone, Atiku will struggle.

The one thing atiku can pray 🙏 for is to get the highest votes and fight for a rerun which is difficult

So even as a nairaland mod you be, you sef dey support that yeye failed president.
Na WA oh!

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Re: It Will Be Over For Tinubu, Momodu Outlines Atiku’s Strategy For 2027 by AMINDA: 6:34am On Jun 20

I also forsee Tinubu panicking and attempting to use subterfuge in disqualifying one of the candidates (most likely Obi) thinking this will boost his chances. It will be a strategic mistake that will cost him the election as the people will revolt with their votes.

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Re: It Will Be Over For Tinubu, Momodu Outlines Atiku’s Strategy For 2027 by AMINDA: 6:40am On Jun 20*

Moroccoguy:
They believes in Jonathan treatment in which without the support of the south it's not possible, Tinubu as a president is different from Tinubu we know 4 years back. Atiku will only get 25% in the south if Obi is not on the ballot and the work seems more easier for Tinubu if Obi is on the ballot.

All previous Southern presidents enjoyed tremendous support from the rest of the South (except Obasanjo, who didn't enjoy support from the SW in his first tenure due to opposition from Tinubu who never supported him all through his 8 years). This isn't the case with Tinubu. He is even more unpopular in the South than he is in the North, and he is fast losing Northern support. Claiming Tinubu is not Jonathan is a mere cliché unless you mean he can use disqualification of his opponents or other ulterior means to declare himself president. The North made Tinubu president and as at today, Jonathan was in good standing in 2015 than Tinubu currently is.

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Re: It Will Be Over For Tinubu, Momodu Outlines Atiku’s Strategy For 2027 by Hedonisco: 6:52am On Jun 20

CharlesCNG:
Atiku Is Not Buhari and can never be

One of the laziest assumptions in Nigerian politics, which Dele momodu is foolishly invested, is that Atiku Abubakar can simply inherit “the northern vote” in 2027.
That claim is weak for one basic reason: Atiku is not Buhari.

Buhari was not just another northern politician. He had a rare personal cult following, especially in parts of the North West, built over several election cycles. His appeal was deeper than party. His name itself carried emotional and political weight in ways very few northern politicians have ever matched.

Atiku does not command that kind of automatic loyalty. He may have influence, relevance, and recognition, but influence is not the same thing as mystique. Recognition is not the same thing as inherited mass followership.

That is the first weakness in the Dele Momodu-style theory that Atiku controls the North. It confuses Buhari’s personal political capital with Atiku’s ordinary northern relevance. Those are not the same thing.

The North did not become one man’s private estate under Buhari, and it certainly does not become Atiku’s inheritance now. Buhari built a following over years of repeated contests, strong emotional appeal, and a very particular northern image. Atiku has never commanded that same near-messianic standing.

So the first point is simple:

Atiku cannot be treated as Buhari’s automatic heir in the North.

That assumption is not strategy. It is lazy political storytelling.

I find it weird that Atiku thinks he can be Buhari. It's just like Orji Uzor Kalu thinking that he can be Peter Obi. The very underpinning of Buhari's cult-like, organic following - similar to Peter Obi - is the feeling of personal integrity, frugality, austere simplicity and incorruptibility. Of course whether Buhari eventually lived up to that false belief is another matter, and is a differentiating feature between him and Peter Obi.

That said, we must admit that the average core northern voter is almost a zombie that prioritizes ethnicity and religion over anything else, especially when the contest is between a Muslim northerner and anyone else. It doesn't matter whether the Northern Muslim on the ballot is a big thief, as long as he is their brother, he will get the vote over a southern 'saint'.

This is very similar to what we have learnt about the average South Western voter as well - who would definitely chose a South Western thief on the ballot even over and beyond a South Western non-thief, let alone a non South Westerner.

So Atiku will clear the core northern Muslim votes without a doubt, except for Kano State and segments of Jigawa. Unfortunately for him, these would not be enough because Peter Obi will likely clear the Northern Christian votes which are quote significant on their own (Kaduna South, segments of Adamawa, segments of Bauchi, Nasarawa, Taraba, Plateau, Benue - added to the commanding position in Abuja, the South East, South South, and Lagos.

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Re: It Will Be Over For Tinubu, Momodu Outlines Atiku’s Strategy For 2027 by DrAkpa(m): 7:01am On Jun 20

garykoeman:
All these nnamdi kanu followers and Peter obi supporters.

Tinubu is your president till 2031.

Watch and see

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Re: It Will Be Over For Tinubu, Momodu Outlines Atiku’s Strategy For 2027 by Moroccoguy: 7:38am On Jun 20

AMINDA:
All previous Southern presidents enjoyed tremendous support from the rest of the South (except Obasanjo, who didn't enjoy support from the SW in his first tenure due to opposition from Tinubu who never supported him all through his 8 years). This isn't the case with Tinubu. He is even more unpopular in the South than he is in the North, and he is fast losing Northern support. Claiming Tinubu is not Jonathan is a mere cliché unless you mean he can use disqualification of his opponents or other ulterior means to declare himself president. The North made Tinubu president and as today, Jonathan was in good standing in 2015 than Tinubu currently is.

Lol, Obj is anti- Yoruba from beginning and he was imposed on the yoruba by the military regime of Abdusalam, what happens in 2003 when they introduced operation rice for vote, that was when politics became a career work in Nigeria.

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Re: It Will Be Over For Tinubu, Momodu Outlines Atiku’s Strategy For 2027 by Svoboda(m): 8:09am On Jun 20

Mynd44:
As of today, I don't see a single southern state Atiku can get 25% from as long as Tinubu as Obi are on the ballot.

As for Dele Momodu saying he will compete in Osun, the only reason he won last time was Governor Adeleke, with that support gone, Atiku will struggle.

The one thing atiku can pray 🙏 for is to get the highest votes and fight for a rerun which is difficult

I like how you guys simply underestimate Atiku. You think northerners are morons, or you think Tinubu has the whole south in his pockets?

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Re: It Will Be Over For Tinubu, Momodu Outlines Atiku’s Strategy For 2027 by seunowa(f): 8:21am On Jun 20

[quote author=AMINDA post=139774394]If Atiku won Bayelsa and Akwa Ibom in 2023 and got over 25% in Delta, is it in 2027 that he will fail to get 25% in any Southern state? 2023 was more of the "turn of the South" than 2027 will be and this time, Tinubu has been tested and has failed. The PDP structure who were sympathetic to Turaki still exists in those states and they will support Atiku. The Udom bloc in Akwa Ibom still exists and the Deputy governor of Bayelsa refused to decamp until he died under mysterious circumstances. Those bloc of votes are not for Tinubu. Atiku will also get good numbers in at least 2 states in the SW. Besides, once Nigerians see that Atiku has a clear path in emerging with the highest votes cast, a lot more people will flip and vote for him since Tinubu is very unpopular.

Rufai: “With these projections, how many states do you think Atiku Abubakar will win in the 2027 election?”

Dele Momodu: “As I predicted, Atiku will win the majority of the North, and if he is able to compete favourably in the South, it will be over for President Tinubu and…
— oseni rufai (@ruffydfire) June 19, 2026

don't stop being delusional grin

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Re: It Will Be Over For Tinubu, Momodu Outlines Atiku’s Strategy For 2027 by seunowa(f): 8:57am On Jun 20

Svoboda:
I like how you guys simply underestimate Atiku. You think northerners are morons, or you think Tinubu has the whole south in his pockets?

Which North are you people even talking about? If you are still thinking that the whole North is still under the control of one command, then you be mugu.

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Re: It Will Be Over For Tinubu, Momodu Outlines Atiku’s Strategy For 2027 by mctech(m): 10:05am On Jun 20

Bob Dee chopping Atiku's money till he decides he will no longer contest!

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Re: It Will Be Over For Tinubu, Momodu Outlines Atiku’s Strategy For 2027 by daniwise(m): 10:09am On Jun 20

Atiku has nothing to offer.He will only empower his fulani brothers and terrorists to inflict never before seeing nightmares on Nigerians

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Re: It Will Be Over For Tinubu, Momodu Outlines Atiku’s Strategy For 2027 by EmekaBlue(m): 10:11am On Jun 20

Chochocho nonsense... Talk finish chop atiku naijamoney in diaspora dubai make we hear word

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Re: It Will Be Over For Tinubu, Momodu Outlines Atiku’s Strategy For 2027 by givedemwotowoto: 10:12am On Jun 20

WizardOfNG:
Momodu is a disgrace same as all Southerners working for Atiku to usurp the turn of the South per the rotation agreement.

There won't be a single Northerner who will agree to work for a Southern Presidential candidate attempting to usurp the turn of the North.

I am really ashamed of Southerners. It is our cowardice and lack of principles that has allowed the North to become the over-privileged big problem it is to Nigeria today.

Atiku for where ? Too many Southerners act like b1tches and when you do that you give others the signal to dominate you.

The likes of Dele Momodu are the reason the core North has now become a major problem for Nigeria today when we should have all stood our ground ages ago to insist they shape up or ship out.

You’re literally talking to your fellow Tinubu supporters

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Re: It Will Be Over For Tinubu, Momodu Outlines Atiku’s Strategy For 2027 by FashionCookie(f): 10:13am On Jun 20

Can't wait for the elections to come and go.
Ariwo ti po ju.

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Re: It Will Be Over For Tinubu, Momodu Outlines Atiku’s Strategy For 2027 by Flo36: 10:14am On Jun 20

So we should congratulate Atiku in advance bcuz the last time I checked Atiku was never the solution to Nigeria problems but one of the people who gang up with tinubu to remove Jonathan.
Bros dele stop joking with us Atiku will never smell that seat

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Re: It Will Be Over For Tinubu, Momodu Outlines Atiku’s Strategy For 2027 by Eba50: 10:17am On Jun 20

mohmodu is a fool at 60 something. big one.how can atiku win with divided opposition? remove emotions, apc are 90 percent likely to win. for tinubooo to lose, we need just one opposition party. the south is locked for obi. 60 percent of north apc. the whole west, apart from lagos is apc.the whole 5 middle belt states infested with bandits are apc. exactly the same thing that happened in 2023 elections will replay

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Re: It Will Be Over For Tinubu, Momodu Outlines Atiku’s Strategy For 2027 by Wickedfacts: 10:21am On Jun 20

kingbee90:
So even as a nairaland mod you be, you sef dey support that yeye failed president.
Na WA oh!

As nothing wey you be, you servant of that Agulu jollof rice hawker.
Na wa o

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Re: It Will Be Over For Tinubu, Momodu Outlines Atiku’s Strategy For 2027 by xxxx999jon: 10:21am On Jun 20

CharlesCNG:
The North Did Not Vote as One Bloc in 2023 and will not in 2027

The second mistake is to talk about “the North” as if it votes like one man. The 2023 presidential election shattered that myth.

In the North East, Atiku led strongly.
But in the North West, Tinubu actually came first, while Kwankwaso still pulled a very substantial bloc.
In the North Central, Tinubu also led, while Obi performed strongly and Atiku came third.

That is not one northern vote. That is three different northern political theatres.

So when Dele Momodu or anyone else talks as if Atiku can simply gather the North into one bag and carry it to the ballot box, they are ignoring the most basic evidence from the last election: the North was already fragmented.

The North East is not the North West.
The North West is not the North Central.
Each zone has its own political mood, rival ambitions, and local calculations.

And that is why the old phrase “the northern vote” is often more political propaganda than political science.

The real truth is this:

There is no single northern vote waiting in one purse. There are northern votes, spread across zones, interests, religions, local structures, and competing leaders.

That is the point many commentators refuse to accept. They keep speaking of “the North” as if it is a barracks taking one command. But the 2023 results already showed that the North is not one electoral choir singing one anthem.

exactly what I wanted to point out about what he was saying.. The north is no more one anymore.. This bandits, terrorist attacks has split the north.. And you can't expect people of other tribes to vote someone from a tribe which most of the actors are from the same tribe to protect them.. We have tried that before it didn't work... I don't think it will work again. ATIKU is popular among the northeast and north west elites.. But not the masses and not at all in north central.

1 Like

Re: It Will Be Over For Tinubu, Momodu Outlines Atiku’s Strategy For 2027 by MrSly(m): 10:22am On Jun 20

HacheNoire:
The major and only problem of the opposition is that, they don’t know what or who they are up against.

If in 2026, Dele can still believe any living thing can defeat His Excellency, President Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu (GCFR), then we can always conclude that Dele is not educated about the demigod he is up against.

You can’t conquer something you have not recognized, quantified and acknowledged potentials, and why defeat is a constant!

If election were conducted a thousand times, Peter and Atiku won’t win 1

Hide yourself in shame. Tinubu a man with tiny integrity if any is who younrefered to as demigod. Little wonder you guys are the way you are.

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