₦airaland Forum

The Obi wave of 2023 was real. But the evidence after 2023 suggests that it has seriously waned, especially when tested outside presidential emotion.

In 2023, Peter Obi turned Labour Party into a national protest vehicle. But since then, the party has struggled to convert that emotional wave into durable electoral structure.

The first major test came in the 2023 off-cycle governorship elections in Imo, Bayelsa and Kogi. Labour Party failed to reproduce its presidential momentum. Then came Edo 2024, where LP’s Olumide Akpata finished third with **22,763 votes**, far behind APC’s **291,667** and PDP’s **247,274**.

In Ondo 2024, APC won with **366,781 votes**, PDP came second with **117,845**, while LP was not a serious factor in the contest.

The August 2025 bye-elections were even more revealing. APC swept the majority of seats, while APGA, PDP and NNPP picked some wins. Labour Party did not demonstrate anything close to a national wave.

Then came the biggest embarrassment: Anambra 2025. In Obi’s home state, Soludo won with **422,664 votes**, APC scored **99,445**, while LP’s George Moghalu managed only **10,576**. LP also lost Peter Obi’s own polling unit.

That is the story.

The Obi wave was powerful as protest politics.

But elections after 2023 show it has not matured into structure.

As our elders say: the flood that cannot return to the river becomes ordinary water.

Obidients had noise.

Soludo, APC, PDP and others showed structure.

And in politics, structure outlives sentiment.

Clap for yourself ... 7 momths is not too long again. Infact you should be very happthat Tinubu is now the new rave.

Validated:
Clap for yourself ... 7 momths is not too long again. Infact you should be very happthat Tinubu is now the new rave.

My brother, clap for yourself. 😁

You have beautifully demonstrated the very point of the article.

The thread is titled "The Obi Wave: From 2023 Tsunami to Electoral Drizzle."

The article discussed election results, vote patterns, Anambra, Edo, bye-elections and the inability of the Obi movement to convert enthusiasm into structure.

Your response?

"Tinubu! Tinubu! Tinubu!"

Not a single counterpoint.

Not a single fact.

Not a single rebuttal.

Just the ritual chanting of Tinubu's name like a political rosary. 😂

This is why Obidients struggle in debates.

When confronted with uncomfortable facts about Obi , they immediately change the subject to Tinubu.

The article was about Obi's declining electoral performance.

You responded by proving it.


Thank you for your contribution.

You have helped my case more than yours.

Unfortunately, that's the BITTER TRUTH
.Yeah! In 7 months time,those wey sabi CRY ,will CRY their CRY ON NATIONAL TV.Not far again.

Validated:
Clap for yourself ... 7 momths is not too long again. Infact you should be very happthat Tinubu is now the new rave.

Papa OSELOKA, ALAGULU OF AGULU LAND himself is aware..This is exercise in FUTILITY

They can never believe you more so when Kwakwaso has joined him. They believe he is still growing not knowing he is down already. Obi's utterances are even a problem to him. Common interview he can't answer properly. Obi is not as intelligent as his followers portray him. Even their Kwakwaso cannot have the same support he had in 2023

Omo Obi must be your nightmare,all your thread is about Obi.So you now agree Obi had wave in 2023,I thought you guys said it's 3 guys tweeting in a room.Dont worry wait for 2027 when Obi is on the ballot and see the double wave this time around with kwankwanso

Obi is not a movement. Never was, never will be.

Trying to see PO in the light of a PMB who had a cult following dedicated to him, would be missing the point of what the masses really want.

PO is simply a convenient symbol for change. A case of the best from a bad bunch.

It is the masses that provides the fuel for PO, and not the other way round.

Are there people who view PO as some sought of messiah? Certainly. And those people are probably more vocal than most. We saw it with PMB and we are seeing it with bat. OBJ, Yar' Adua and GEJ did not have such fanatic supporters who defend incompetence regardless of how obvious it is.

So, the flood or wave was never about PO. It was the people and PO was simply a beneficiary of it.

One thing is undisputed. Bat has failed. Coincidentally, his failure is also his greatest weapon. By further impoverishing the masses, it becomes easier to buy thier votes at the point of the polling booth. Vote bat and get immediate monetary rewards. It is why those who troop out massively to vote are usually the poor who live from hand to mouth and bat knows this.

Right now, all political indicies favour bat, but socio-economic that matter to the masses do not.

But one thing OP is right about, PO needs to learn to manage the support he has better.

Nigerians don show Papa OSELOKA, ALAGULU OF AGULU LAND what to expect in 2027 in the last off circle weekend election.

Time of post 6.20am

Chai!!!!

CharlesCNG:
The Obi wave of 2023 was real. But the evidence after 2023 suggests that it has seriously waned, especially when tested outside presidential emotion.

In 2023, Peter Obi turned Labour Party into a national protest vehicle. But since then, the party has struggled to convert that emotional wave into durable electoral structure.

The first major test came in the 2023 off-cycle governorship elections in Imo, Bayelsa and Kogi. Labour Party failed to reproduce its presidential momentum. Then came Edo 2024, where LP’s Olumide Akpata finished third with **22,763 votes**, far behind APC’s **291,667** and PDP’s **247,274**.

In Ondo 2024, APC won with **366,781 votes**, PDP came second with **117,845**, while LP was not a serious factor in the contest.

The August 2025 bye-elections were even more revealing. APC swept the majority of seats, while APGA, PDP and NNPP picked some wins. Labour Party did not demonstrate anything close to a national wave.

Then came the biggest embarrassment: Anambra 2025. In Obi’s home state, Soludo won with **422,664 votes**, APC scored **99,445**, while LP’s George Moghalu managed only **10,576**. LP also lost Peter Obi’s own polling unit.

That is the story.

The Obi wave was powerful as protest politics.

But elections after 2023 show it has not matured into structure.

As our elders say: the flood that cannot return to the river becomes ordinary water.

Obidients had noise.

Soludo, APC, PDP and others showed structure.

And in politics, structure outlives sentiment.

Exposed Yarimo is working for NDC downfall

Validated:
Clap for yourself ... 7 momths is not too long again. Infact you should be very happthat Tinubu is now the new rave.

And in 7 months time, you will reunite with your Gucci flag.

CharlesCNG

6.20am

Chai..!!!

GUCCI is a lovely design....even Hushpuppy loves Gucci.

DomPerignon:
And in 7 months time, you will reunite with your Gucci flag.

CharlesCNG:
The Obi wave of 2023 was real. But the evidence after 2023 suggests that it has seriously waned, especially when tested outside presidential emotion.

In 2023, Peter Obi turned Labour Party into a national protest vehicle. But since then, the party has struggled to convert that emotional wave into durable electoral structure.

The first major test came in the 2023 off-cycle governorship elections in Imo, Bayelsa and Kogi. Labour Party failed to reproduce its presidential momentum. Then came Edo 2024, where LP’s Olumide Akpata finished third with **22,763 votes**, far behind APC’s **291,667** and PDP’s **247,274**.

In Ondo 2024, APC won with **366,781 votes**, PDP came second with **117,845**, while LP was not a serious factor in the contest.

The August 2025 bye-elections were even more revealing. APC swept the majority of seats, while APGA, PDP and NNPP picked some wins. Labour Party did not demonstrate anything close to a national wave.

Then came the biggest embarrassment: Anambra 2025. In Obi’s home state, Soludo won with **422,664 votes**, APC scored **99,445**, while LP’s George Moghalu managed only **10,576**. LP also lost Peter Obi’s own polling unit.

That is the story.

The Obi wave was powerful as protest politics.

But elections after 2023 show it has not matured into structure.

As our elders say: the flood that cannot return to the river becomes ordinary water.

Obidients had noise.

Soludo, APC, PDP and others showed structure.

And in politics, structure outlives sentiment.

By this time in 2023, virtually all Tinubu lackeys of today from the Southwest were afraid to publicly campaign for Tinubu. They were being intimated and dominated by the Obidients. Today, they are the loudest in the room after Northerners like Elrufai and co did the hard work and made Tinubu president. Well, as is typical, even Tinubu has gone ahead to betray all who made him president while rewarding the ones who insulted him all through the campaigns and made his election difficult.

"The vulture is a patient bird" - James Hardly Chase

CharlesCNG:
The Obi wave of 2023 was real. But the evidence after 2023 suggests that it has seriously waned, especially when tested outside presidential emotion.

In 2023, Peter Obi turned Labour Party into a national protest vehicle. But since then, the party has struggled to convert that emotional wave into durable electoral structure.

The first major test came in the 2023 off-cycle governorship elections in Imo, Bayelsa and Kogi. Labour Party failed to reproduce its presidential momentum. Then came Edo 2024, where LP’s Olumide Akpata finished third with **22,763 votes**, far behind APC’s **291,667** and PDP’s **247,274**.

In Ondo 2024, APC won with **366,781 votes**, PDP came second with **117,845**, while LP was not a serious factor in the contest.

The August 2025 bye-elections were even more revealing. APC swept the majority of seats, while APGA, PDP and NNPP picked some wins. Labour Party did not demonstrate anything close to a national wave.

Then came the biggest embarrassment: Anambra 2025. In Obi’s home state, Soludo won with **422,664 votes**, APC scored **99,445**, while LP’s George Moghalu managed only **10,576**. LP also lost Peter Obi’s own polling unit.

That is the story.

The Obi wave was powerful as protest politics.

But elections after 2023 show it has not matured into structure.

As our elders say: the flood that cannot return to the river becomes ordinary water.

Obidients had noise.

Soludo, APC, PDP and others showed structure.

And in politics, structure outlives sentiment.

Wait make campaign start na

As at June 2022, who know Obi?
Everything started from August.
People were even saying he won't win a single local govt
Some said they were just 4people in a room twitting.
Even Tinubu didn't see him as a threat until very close to the election.
Atiku was asked about him and his reply was he can't use LP to go anywhere and that interview was even in October 2022.
So don't rejoice yet

Like I keep telling u guys but u dont want to listen
Tinubu performance would have been the only thing that could have silence Obi.
In fact, giving Nigerians that 247 electricity he promised would have ended all oppositions.
But he failed in all
Obi is now at an advantage like never before.
Some People voted Tinubu then because of he built Lagos propaganda and want to see what he will do nationally
My landlord na Yoruba Muslim
Immediately Tinubu was swore in, there was nothing he didn't say.
All the praises in this world he heaped on Tinubu
The expectation and everything.
Just 3yrs after, go and ask the same man about tinubu
He will clearly tell you Tinubu is a disappointment but I will still vote him because he is my tribe man.
Let him just finish our turn and get out.

CharlesCNG:
The Obi wave of 2023 was real. But the evidence after 2023 suggests that it has seriously waned, especially when tested outside presidential emotion.

In 2023, Peter Obi turned Labour Party into a national protest vehicle. But since then, the party has struggled to convert that emotional wave into durable electoral structure.

The first major test came in the 2023 off-cycle governorship elections in Imo, Bayelsa and Kogi. Labour Party failed to reproduce its presidential momentum. Then came Edo 2024, where LP’s Olumide Akpata finished third with **22,763 votes**, far behind APC’s **291,667** and PDP’s **247,274**.

In Ondo 2024, APC won with **366,781 votes**, PDP came second with **117,845**, while LP was not a serious factor in the contest.

The August 2025 bye-elections were even more revealing. APC swept the majority of seats, while APGA, PDP and NNPP picked some wins. Labour Party did not demonstrate anything close to a national wave.

Then came the biggest embarrassment: Anambra 2025. In Obi’s home state, Soludo won with **422,664 votes**, APC scored **99,445**, while LP’s George Moghalu managed only **10,576**. LP also lost Peter Obi’s own polling unit.

That is the story.

The Obi wave was powerful as protest politics.

But elections after 2023 show it has not matured into structure.

As our elders say: the flood that cannot return to the river becomes ordinary water.

Obidients had noise.

Soludo, APC, PDP and others showed structure.

And in politics, structure outlives sentiment.

Conjectures upon conjectures from the ruling party who acts like opposition.

What do you really mean by waned?

Peter has gained more followers than he had in 2023, while Tinubu has lost 40% of his followers to Atiku and Obi.

If we talk on internet, you'd say it's not by internet noise, now the very same thing you flatly critique is your yardstick for guaging popularity. That's serious.

duro4chang:
They can never believe you more so when Kwakwaso has joined him. They believe he is still growing not knowing he is down already. Obi's utterances are even a problem to him. Common interview he can't answer properly. Obi is not as intelligent as his followers portray him. Even their Kwakwaso cannot have the same support he had in 2023

How does a supporter of a deaf and mute who's demonstrated total disconnection from realities on ground, fears the press, never talks to the press and even when he bothers to, gaffes at every given opportunity be the one criticizing another? Your IQ is suspect o.

Tinubu till 2031...... na dem be this

I will only take Agbadorians serious the day Tinubu grants any local or international TV station an interview

Despite the fact that Buhari was seen as an illiterate,he was at least able to grant interviews

But the demented Yoruba god is hiding away in ASO ROCK but employs thousands of internet Rats to disturb the airwave with lies and propaganda.

Tinubu casted since the first day he became president


UNAM -IKOT

OredoPikin:
Wait make campaign start na

As at June 2022, who know Obi?
Everything started from August.
People were even saying he won't win a single local govt
Some said they were just 4people in a room twitting.
Even Tinubu didn't see him as a threat until very close to the election.
Atiku was asked about him and his reply was he can't use LP to go anywhere and that interview was even in October 2022.
So don't rejoice yet

Like I keep telling u guys but u dont want to listen
Tinubu performance would have been the only thing that could have silence Obi.
In fact, giving Nigerians that 247 electricity he promised would have ended all oppositions.
But he failed in all
Obi is now at an advantage like never before.
Some People voted Tinubu then because of he built Lagos propaganda and want to see what he will do nationally
My landlord na Yoruba Muslim
Immediately Tinubu was swore in, there was nothing he didn't say.
All the praises in this world he heaped on Tinubu
The expectation and everything.
Just 3yrs after, go and ask the same man about tinubu
He will clearly tell you Tinubu is a disappointment but I will still vote him because he is my tribe man.
Let him just finish our turn and get out.

"He will clearly tell you Tinubu is a disappointment but I will still vote him because he is my tribe man"

The above uttered by your landlord is the same thing you are doing regarding Peter Obi. Why the hypocrisy?

By the way, Peter Obi never had any advantage to become president and he is spinning away from centre the more he opens his mouth.

Currently projected third or fourth behind APC, ADC and maybe even PDP.

Your oga's momentum ended when your fellow Ndigbo Obidients insulted and abused other Nigerians whose sin was not believing in your messiah. Good luck now asking politely for their votes.

AMINDA:
By this time in 2023, virtually all Tinubu lackeys of today from the Southwest were afraid to publicly campaign for Tinubu. They were being intimated and dominated by the Obidients. Today, they are the loudest in the room after Northerners like Elrufai and co did the hard work and made Tinubu president. Well, as is typical, even Tinubu has gone ahead to betray all who made him president while rewarding the ones who insulted him all through the campaigns and made his election difficult.

"The vulture is a patient bird" - James Hardly Chase

so if the north have the option to pick an ibo man or a Yoruba man

Which one do u think they will pick?

BeardedMeat:
How does a supporter of a deaf and mute who's demonstrated total disconnection from realities on ground, fears the press, never talks to the press and even when he bothers to, gaffes at every given opportunity be the one criticizing another? Your IQ is suspect o.

Your education is doubtful with the way you reason. If obi is your choice then your education is a waste. Common interview questions he can't answer properly. It's so shameful that a man like obi is aspiring to be president. President of which country. He will never be president.

MemphitzDgreat1:
Tinubu till 2031...... na dem be this

shebi it is insult that will get u presidency?

I will rather vote shekau than someone from your side

BATified2023:
shebi it is insult that will get u presidency?

I will rather vote shekau than someone from your side

Na hunger go kpai you before January 2027 reach. Una never see anything

MemphitzDgreat1:
Na hunger go kpai you before January 2027 reach. Una never see anything

don't think everyone is hungry like u

Either u like it or not, tinubu will rule u till 2031

aswani:
"He will clearly tell you Tinubu is a disappointment but I will still vote him because he is my tribe man"

The above uttered by your landlord is the same thing you are doing regarding Peter Obi. Why the hypocrisy?

By the way, Peter Obi never had any advantage to become president and he is spinning away from centre the more he opens his mouth.

Currently projected third or fourth behind APC, ADC and maybe even PDP.

Your oga's momentum ended when your fellow Ndigbo Obidients insulted and abused other Nigerians whose sin was not believing in your messiah. Good luck now asking politely for their votes.

🤣🤣
U are here again.

I repeat
only Tinubu performance would have silenced any opposition
Just that 247 electricity he boldly promise would have rendered the opposition to nothing
Every other thing u are saying is an imagination from your head.

Just imagine me will go and vote Tinubu because someone abused me🤣
Not because Obi became president and he failed to deliver on his promises😏
Omo
It means I wasted my 5yrs in Uniben.
Wasted 2yrs in ICC, wasted 1yr in western boys high school and wasted good 3years in Niger college.
God forbid bad thing

U nor dey reason like Edo person sha.
So i am not surprised

aswani:
"He will clearly tell you Tinubu is a disappointment but I will still vote him because he is my tribe man"

The above uttered by your landlord is the same thing you are doing regarding Peter Obi. Why the hypocrisy?

By the way, Peter Obi never had any advantage to become president and he is spinning away from centre the more he opens his mouth.

Currently projected third or fourth behind APC, ADC and maybe even PDP.

Your oga's momentum ended when your fellow Ndigbo Obidients insulted and abused other Nigerians whose sin was not believing in your messiah. Good luck now asking politely for their votes.

🤣🤣
U are here again.

I repeat
only Tinubu performance would have silenced any opposition
Just that 247 electricity he boldly promise would have rendered the opposition to nothing
Every other thing u are saying is an imagination from your head.

Just imagine me will go and vote Tinubu because someone abused me🤣
Not because Obi became president and he failed to deliver on his promises😏
Omo
It means I wasted my 5yrs in Uniben.
Wasted 2yrs in ICC, wasted 1yr in western boys high schooland wasted good 3years in Niger college.
God forbid bad thing

U nor dey reason like Edo person sha.
So i am not surprised

OredoPikin:
🤣🤣
U are here again.

I repeat
only Tinubu performance would have silenced any opposition
Just that 247 electricity he boldly promise would have rendered the opposition to nothing
Every other thing u are saying is an imagination from your head.

Just imagine me will go and vote Tinubu because someone abused me🤣
Not because Obi became president and he failed to deliver on his promises😏
Omo
It means I wasted my 5yrs in Uniben.
Wasted 2yrs in ICC, wasted 1yr in western boys high school and wasted good 3years in Niger college.
God forbid bad thing

U nor dey reason like Edo person sha.
So i am not surprised

You went to ICC on 3rd and Uniben and you think like this? A shame

aswani:
You went to ICC on 3rd and Uniben and you think like this? A shame

Yes
ICC
And then when igbinedion handed it over to Catholic, i moved to western boys in Ikpoba hill and then completed my secondary school education in Niger college before proceeding to Uniben.
Shey u say i be igbo because i support the only man that actually have the vision to lead this country to prosperity.
I chest am with my full chest

Tinubu has failed and must be voted out.
I find it shameful that an Edo man is defending a failure.
How can u hate Obi because someone from his region abused u and not because he became president and Nigerian became worst under him.
Does abuse buy things in the market?
Does abuse cause kidnapping and insecurity we are facing?
I wondered how u think sha.
Is this the Nigeria u plan to leave for your generation?

This guy with his useless article

HIGHESTPOPORI:
Omo Obi must be your nightmare,all your thread is about Obi.So you now agree Obi had wave in 2023,I thought you guys said it's 3 guys tweeting in a room.Dont worry wait for 2027 when Obi is on the ballot and see the double wave this time around with kwankwanso

My brother, you have missed the subject again.

The article is not denying that Obi had a wave in 2023. In fact, it clearly says the wave was real.

The point is that the wave has since reduced to electoral drizzle. Edo, Ondo, Anambra and the bye-elections after 2023 all show the same pattern: noise without structure.

As for Kwankwaso, please calm down.

In 2023, Kwankwaso was on the ballot himself. He won only **one state — Kano** — and finished fourth nationally with about **1.49 million votes**, while Tinubu won nationally with about **8.79 million votes**.

Outside Kano, where exactly was the Kwankwaso tsunami?

Tinubu defeated him across the North except Kano. So this “Obi plus Kwankwaso double wave” sounds more like two leaking buckets forming an alliance against a river. 😂

If Obi’s wave is fading and Kwankwaso’s strength barely crossed Kano in 2023, what exactly are we supposed to fear?

A coalition of nostalgia and red caps?