₦airaland Forum

APGA’s reported endorsement of President Bola Tinubu for 2027 may become one of the most politically significant developments in Anambra ahead of the presidential election.

For the first time in Nigeria’s current democratic era, APGA — the party most closely identified with Anambra’s political identity since the Peter Obi years — is openly aligning with the APC presidential candidate instead of fielding its own presidential flagbearer or staying neutral. Daily Post and Vanguard both reported that APGA’s National Publicity Secretary, Mazi Ejimofor Opara, said the party did not upload a presidential candidate to INEC’s portal because its NEC had resolved to support Tinubu’s re-election.

That is historically important.

In 2023, Anambra was almost a Peter Obi political fortress. Obi scored about 584,621 votes, roughly 95.24%, while Tinubu got only about 5,111 votes. But 2027 will not simply be 2023 photocopied.

APGA has deep roots in Anambra: governor, state structures, ward networks, local political actors, House of Assembly presence, and decades of emotional ownership of the state’s political space.

That does not mean APGA can automatically transfer every vote to Tinubu. Anambra voters are not remote-controlled. But it means Tinubu will not be entering Anambra in 2027 as an abandoned APC candidate carrying his own bag alone.

The effect may not be to make Tinubu win Anambra outright. That is not the immediate projection. The realistic impact is margin reduction: Tinubu moving from symbolic votes to measurable votes, possibly pushing toward the 25% conversation if APGA’s structure, Soludo’s political influence, federal incentives and local candidates work seriously.

For Obi, this is the danger. His 2023 Anambra vote was a wave. APGA’s 2027 endorsement is structure.

And waves can roar.

But structures can quietly count.

Never! I have never seen a more selective electorates like those in Anambra...

They vote Obi for president

PDP for NASS

APGA for state assembly ND governorship...

They can't easily be swayed

CharlesCNG:
APGA’s reported endorsement of President Bola Tinubu for 2027 may become one of the most politically significant developments in Anambra ahead of the presidential election.

For the first time in Nigeria’s current democratic era, APGA — the party most closely identified with Anambra’s political identity since the Peter Obi years — is openly aligning with the APC presidential candidate instead of fielding its own presidential flagbearer or staying neutral. Daily Post and Vanguard both reported that APGA’s National Publicity Secretary, Mazi Ejimofor Opara, said the party did not upload a presidential candidate to INEC’s portal because its NEC had resolved to support Tinubu’s re-election.

That is historically important.

In 2023, Anambra was almost a Peter Obi political fortress. Obi scored about 584,621 votes, roughly 95.24%, while Tinubu got only about 5,111 votes. But 2027 will not simply be 2023 photocopied.

APGA has deep roots in Anambra: governor, state structures, ward networks, local political actors, House of Assembly presence, and decades of emotional ownership of the state’s political space.

That does not mean APGA can automatically transfer every vote to Tinubu. Anambra voters are not remote-controlled. But it means Tinubu will not be entering Anambra in 2027 as an abandoned APC candidate carrying his own bag alone.

The effect may not be to make Tinubu win Anambra outright. That is not the immediate projection. The realistic impact is margin reduction: Tinubu moving from symbolic votes to measurable votes, possibly pushing toward the 25% conversation if APGA’s structure, Soludo’s political influence, federal incentives and local candidates work seriously.

For Obi, this is the danger. His 2023 Anambra vote was a wave. APGA’s 2027 endorsement is structure.

And waves can roar.

But structures can quietly count.

Don't worry Anambra people will now vote the drug baron because APGA party said so.Anambra of most igbo billionaire is not like any SW states so hungry that anyone can make them vote drug baron they rejected in 2023.
Even Soludo can not tell his son to support the drug baron and he will agree to do that.
Go to main market and mention the drug baron name and see if they won't stone u
Have u wondered why obi cabana no dey do city movements campaign again and have deleted all to do with it on his page..
Soludo won again not because of apga party but because Anambra people still saw him as the best candidate. We don't see your drug baron in SE as any option. If obi decides not to contest today. We will gladly vote Atiku instead

APGA had a Presidential candidate in 2023, Peter Obi still won over 90% of Anambra

Another thing people dont understand is that APGA endorsing Tinubu is all about what Soludo wants, as the only APGA Governor

Even Soludos wife will vote Peter Obi despite being a member of APGA

Streetinvestor2:
Don't worry Anambra people will now vote the drug baron because APGA party said so.Anambra of most igbo billionaire is not like any SW states so hungry that anyone can make them vote drug baron they rejected in 2023.
Even Soludo can not tell his son to support the drug baron and he will agree to do that.
Go to main market and mention the drug baron name and see if they won't stone u
Have u wondered why obi cabana no dey do city movements campaign again and have deleted all to do with it on his page..
Soludo won again not because of apga party but because Anambra people still saw him as the best candidate. We don't see your drug baron in SE as any option. If obi decides not to contest today. We will gladly vote Atiku instead

Your Comprehension Has Lost Battery: APGA Structure Is Not a Remote Control.

This is typical Obidient emotion in full throttle.

The article made a cautious electoral projection. It did not say every Anambra voter would automatically obey APGA and vote for Tinubu. In fact, it expressly stated:

“Anambra voters are not remote-controlled.”

Yet your comprehension apparently lost battery immediately you saw Tinubu’s name.

Instead of addressing the argument, you supplied the usual abuse, market-square threats and “drug baron” chants. Please learn to debate without insults. Abuse cannot substitute for electoral analysis.

The argument is straightforward: Tinubu received only 5,111 votes in Anambra in 2023. If APGA deploys its governor, ward executives, local candidates, campaign agents and grassroots networks for him in 2027, could that increase his vote and reduce Obi’s margin?

That is the question.

Nobody said Soludo owns Anambra voters. But pretending that APGA’s structure is politically irrelevant because your Obidient caucus dislikes Tinubu is equally unserious.

You are also projecting the opinions of your online circle onto the entire Igbo electorate. The South-East is not one giant Obidient WhatsApp group.

History provides another warning against your certainty. In 2019, Muhammadu Buhari secured 26.31% in Abia and 27.46% in Imo, despite the South-East’s overwhelming preference for Atiku. He also received 12.93% in Enugu, 5.50% in Anambra and lower support elsewhere in the zone. In other words, an APC presidential candidate has previously crossed 25% in two South-East states.

The original article did not predict that Tinubu must win Anambra. It suggested that APGA’s endorsement could transform his support from symbolic to measurable and perhaps place 25% within discussion.

That is a projection—not a prophecy.

It can only be validated or disproved by the actual election result.

So calm down, keep the insults in your pocket and answer the real question:

Will an APGA machinery campaigning for Tinubu make absolutely no difference to his 2023 total of 5,111 votes?

Screaming “drug baron” is not an electoral model.

bigpicture001:
Never! I have never seen a more selective electorates like those in Anambra...

They vote Obi for president

PDP for NASS

APGA for state assembly ND governorship...

They can't easily be swayed

Thank you for making a civil argument. That's how political discussions should be.

I actually agree that Anambra has a history of split-ticket voting. But that is precisely why I described the article as a projection, not a prediction.

Also, let's not rewrite history. Before 2023, Anambra was not permanently an "Obi presidential state." In 2003 and 2007, the PDP under Obasanjo dominated. In 2011 and especially 2015, Jonathan carried Anambra by an overwhelming margin—about 98% in 2015. APGA and PDP have also won governorships and legislative elections over the years.

My point is simple: the 2023 presidential result was driven by a unique convergence of factors—the Obi home-state effect, Labour's novelty, protest voting and an unprecedented emotional wave. Many of those conditions have weakened or changed.

Can APGA's structure narrow Obi's 2023 margin? That is the question.

We'll know the answer only when Anambra votes in 2027.

gidgiddy:
APGA had a Presidential candidate in 2023, Peter Obi still won over 90% of Anambra

Another thing people dont understand is that APGA endorsing Tinubu is all about what Soludo wants, as the only APGA Governor

Even Soludos wife will vote Peter Obi despite being a member of APGA

My brother, thank you for the polite response. This is the kind of disagreement that can produce a useful debate.

But what I made was a **projection**, not a prophecy. A projection looks at 2023 results, party structures, incumbency, local actors, voter behaviour and changed political incentives, then asks what may likely shift in 2027.

Yes, APGA had a presidential candidate in 2023 and Peter Obi still won Anambra massively. But there is a major difference between **APGA merely fielding its own presidential candidate** and **APGA deliberately collapsing its structure to support an incumbent president**.

That is the point of the article.

In 2023, APGA’s presidential candidate was not the same thing as APGA’s full structure, governor, ward network, local actors and existing APC machinery working in one direction for Tinubu. If Soludo is truly determined, and if APGA plus APC structures coordinate seriously, Tinubu does not need to win Anambra. He only needs a dramatically improved margin or a push toward 25%.

This has happened before in the South-East. In 2019, Buhari improved significantly in parts of the South-East . he scored more than 25% in imo and abia states due to the deployment of local structure.

So no, Anambra voters are not remote-controlled. But structure still matters.

My projection simply invites discussion. The actual election will prove who read the terrain better.

But dismissing APGA’s endorsement as “Soludo only” may be underestimating what a determined governor, party machinery and federal incumbency can do when they all pull in one direction.

I think APGA are going to show Peter Obi/NDC who owns Anambra state this Presidential elections.

I actually think Peter Obi's Ndigbo vote, all over Aligbo, is going to collapse spectacularly and Obidients are going to struggle to understand how.

CharlesCNG:
Thank you for making a civil argument. That's how political discussions should be.

I actually agree that Anambra has a history of split-ticket voting. But that is precisely why I described the article as a projection, not a prediction.

Also, let's not rewrite history. Before 2023, Anambra was not permanently an "Obi presidential state." In 2003 and 2007, the PDP under Obasanjo dominated. In 2011 and especially 2015, Jonathan carried Anambra by an overwhelming margin—about 98% in 2015. APGA and PDP have also won governorships and legislative elections over the years.

My point is simple: the 2023 presidential result was driven by a unique convergence of factors—the Obi home-state effect, Labour's novelty, protest voting and an unprecedented emotional wave. Many of those conditions have weakened or changed.

Can APGA's structure narrow Obi's 2023 margin? That is the question.

We'll know the answer only when Anambra votes in 2027.

Did Obi contest for President in 2003?

aswani:
I think APGA are going to show Peter Obi/NDC who owns Anambra state this Presidential elections.

I actually think Peter Obi's Ndigbo vote, all over Aligbo, is going to collapse spectacularly and Obidients are going to struggle to understand how.

Keep dreaming

aswani:
I think APGA are going to show Peter Obi/NDC who owns Anambra state this Presidential elections.

I actually think Peter Obi's Ndigbo vote, all over Aligbo, is going to collapse spectacularly and Obidients are going to struggle to understand how.

"I think . . . I actually think . . . I thought . . ."

Hehehe 🤭

APC goon reasoning 😏

HIGHESTPOPORI:
Keep dreaming

Na attention seeker no mind am

HIGHESTPOPORI:
Keep dreaming

Di tin go shock of una Obidients.

Streetinvestor2:
Don't worry Anambra people will now vote the drug baron because APGA party said so.Anambra of most igbo billionaire is not like any SW states so hungry that anyone can make them vote drug baron they rejected in 2023.
Even Soludo can not tell his son to support the drug baron and he will agree to do that.
Go to main market and mention the drug baron name and see if they won't stone u
Have u wondered why obi cabana no dey do city movements campaign again and have deleted all to do with it on his page..
Soludo won again not because of apga party but because Anambra people still saw him as the best candidate. We don't see your drug baron in SE as any option. If obi decides not to contest today. We will gladly vote Atiku instead

APC will not win any SE state in 2027, but it is likely to improve on its 2023 performance. The party received 99,445 votes in the 2025 Anambra election.

opes:
APC will not win any SE state in 2027, but it is likely to improve on its 2023 performance. The party received 99,445 votes in the 2025 Anambra election.

If anything they would get far less

CharlesCNG:
APGA’s reported endorsement of President Bola Tinubu for 2027 may become one of the most politically significant developments in Anambra ahead of the presidential election.

For the first time in Nigeria’s current democratic era, APGA — the party most closely identified with Anambra’s political identity since the Peter Obi years — is openly aligning with the APC presidential candidate instead of fielding its own presidential flagbearer or staying neutral. Daily Post and Vanguard both reported that APGA’s National Publicity Secretary, Mazi Ejimofor Opara, said the party did not upload a presidential candidate to INEC’s portal because its NEC had resolved to support Tinubu’s re-election.

That is historically important.

In 2023, Anambra was almost a Peter Obi political fortress. Obi scored about 584,621 votes, roughly 95.24%, while Tinubu got only about 5,111 votes. But 2027 will not simply be 2023 photocopied.

APGA has deep roots in Anambra: governor, state structures, ward networks, local political actors, House of Assembly presence, and decades of emotional ownership of the state’s political space.

That does not mean APGA can automatically transfer every vote to Tinubu. Anambra voters are not remote-controlled. But it means Tinubu will not be entering Anambra in 2027 as an abandoned APC candidate carrying his own bag alone.

The effect may not be to make Tinubu win Anambra outright. That is not the immediate projection. The realistic impact is margin reduction: Tinubu moving from symbolic votes to measurable votes, possibly pushing toward the 25% conversation if APGA’s structure, Soludo’s political influence, federal incentives and local candidates work seriously.

For Obi, this is the danger. His 2023 Anambra vote was a wave. APGA’s 2027 endorsement is structure.

And waves can roar.

But structures can quietly count.

Bros, deep down within you, you sincerely know that in a free and fair election, even you will never vote for Tinubu.

Without rigging, I believe that Tinubu will never win up to two states in Nigeria.

Be sincere at least for this once. You know who truly won in 2023. With every truthfulness, don't you?

Elusive001:
Be sincere at least for this once. You know who truly won in 2023. With every truthfulness, don't you?

Why not bring proof of who won?

Peter Obi didn't win nada, una suppose stop all dis slut shaming.

opes:
APC will not win any SE state in 2027, but it is likely to improve on its 2023 performance. The party received 99,445 votes in the 2025 Anambra election.

They won't see 10k votes this time in SE.All the political gatherings I have witnessed in SE of recent. The hate for the drug baron is on different level. The elderly are cursing if you mention his name.It is becoming a taboo to mention his name in SE because of Kanu and what igbos are going through in lagos.
Put his poster anywhere out side state capital and it won't stay for 24 hours

Streetinvestor2:
Put his poster anywhere out side state capital and it won't stay for 24 hours

Sha don't complain when Peter Obi's poster is also ripped apart all over Nigeria.

mrvitalis:
If anything they would get far less

They will get more actually