₦airaland Forum

Welcome to this dedicated, fact-based discussion thread on investing and trading in the Nigerian Exchange Group (NGX) and the U.S. Stock Market.

Whether you are a complete beginner who just heard about "stocks," or an experienced trader looking to refine your strategy, this thread is for you. My goal is to break down complex financial concepts into simple, easy-to-understand English, backed by historical context, fact-checked data mostly technical analysis and realistic future predictions.


What this thread is NOT:
___________________________

- It is not a "get-rich-quick" scheme.

- It is not a place for "pump and dump" (trying to artificially inflate a stock's price to sell it at a profit).

- It is not financial advice, but rather educational discussion to help you make your own informed decisions.



What this thread IS:
______________________


- A place to get your information on how the NGX and U.S market is trading.

- A space to share proven trading and investing strategies (both Technical and Fundamental Analysis).

- A community to discuss historical market trends and where we predict these markets are heading in the coming years.

Let’s build wealth intelligently, together. Drop your questions, experiences, or topics you want us to cover next in the replies!

This was how the week finished yesterday 24/July.

Now I didn't see it coming that presco would sell off that much yesterday. It has been on consolidation for so long that most people were buying. From all indications, an hedge fund did the sell off of yesterday.

About ASI.

From what I am seeing... There is still a tug of war between sellers and buyers in the NGX market, on some days buyer will win in some selected sectors and in some other days seller will win in some other sectors.


Firstholdco, access, UBA, these banking stocks has all been responsible for putting up a good fight to lift the ASI.


By next next week. We need the intervention of MTN, Zenith and GTCO.

If those 3 can assist by next week, real bullish momentum will be confirmed in the NGX.

This concluded week, i noticed Insurance sector showed selective strength; CUSTODIAN +10%, NEM +10%

Next week will change positively.

popoolaRofiat:
Next week will change positively.

I can't even doubt this one bit. Especially if MTN, GTCO or ZENITH pull some weight, even one of them is enough to energize strength into the market next week.

At the beginning of July i noticed a new rally forming on Amazon, I was hesitant and gave it time, then proceeded to run the numbers and figured it was a bull trap forming. Now Even though Amazon fundamental was good for April, i just couldn't rule out the fact that Nasdaq was about to correct. Thank goodness, i didn't recommend Amazon in my group.

Okay so this is a funny one?

Google has been in profit since the Q3 of 2025 yet, it's succumbing to the pressure of Nasdaq correction. The big question is why?

The answer is simple FEAR.

Even though there are some truths here but this amount of distrust for the Nigeria market is bad for potential foreign investors, atleast we now know the mindset of some foreign investors.

So from the look of things, AI has created a new investment battle: The winners may NOT only be companies building AI, naah.

The winners may be companies providing:
chips,
electricity,
data centres,
cloud services.

So why is this important; If you investing in the U.S stocks, these are the sectors you should be investing in.

Oppsss I forgot to add; Cyber security and software infrastructure.

It's a brand new trading week. Let me drop this tip. You will need it.


It an unwritten rule for the stock market:

1. If the price drops 10%, just hold.
2. If the price drops 20%, add 10%.
3. If the price drops 30%, add 30%.
4. If the price drops 40%, add 30%.
5. If the price drops 50%, add 50%.
6. If the price rises 10%, just hold.
7. If the price rises 20%, still hold.
8. If the price rises 30%, sell 10%.
9. If the price rises 40%, sell 20%.
10. If the price rises 50%, sell 30%.
11. If the price rises 60%, sell 40%.
12. If the price rises 100%, sell everything.

Save it, because trust me, you will need it.

It will be quite unfortunate and sad seeing an innocent beginner investor rushing to buy Firstholdco not knowing that they are buying the top.

How the NGX traded today.

spot on about that AI infra shift mate. when US tech starts taking a breather, rotating into the underlying plumbing like chips, grid power and data centres is way safer for the long term. u can literally see the exact same sector rotation playing out on the NGX between big banks and telecom heavyweights. catching how smart money rotates during volatility beats getting chopped up in the daily noise any day. solid breakdown as always.

sakaida1125:
spot on about that AI infra shift mate. when US tech starts taking a breather, rotating into the underlying plumbing like chips, grid power and data centres is way safer for the long term. u can literally see the exact same sector rotation playing out on the NGX between big banks and telecom heavyweights. catching how smart money rotates during volatility beats getting chopped up in the daily noise any day. solid breakdown as always.

Good analysis you made here. You sound like an analyst and one who is experienced.

Good to have you here partner.

How the NGX traded today.

How the market traded today.

Update on ASI

I have been somewhat troubled about ASI movement lately especially since this week started.

First, since recovery from the correction, ASI has never fully recovered to a bullish phase, it's has been sluggish, lazy to climb and dazzling around which is normal for the sake of market volitility.

Secondly, since Monday, market has been slow but from my observation. What clearly move ASI are the banking stocks, Industrial and MTN.

If only Zenith, GTCO and MTN shows enough bullish strength; only those 3 are capable of making the market come alive but they are being sluggish and slow (except for Firstholdco which stole the limelight last week), but now the upside has been priced in and only hype buyers are still trying to buy first holdco out of ignorance.


Now this one leaves me to think about one thing. Most smart money are refusing to come to the market. Their presence in the market matters a lot because their buying power moves the market which in turn strengthen the bullish ASI signal.

This has caused ASI to be moving sideways clearly in a consolidation pattern. I really don't like this, because if more smart money don't come into the market especially in the banking sector, we might crash back to support level. But a twist of fate might just occur in just one trading session.

I also understand that these smart money guys are waiting for company reports as most companies are currently releasing reports.

Imagine big names like bua cement is down, Dangote cement is down, larfarge is now beginning to find its feet, zenith is sluggish, GTCO doesn't even know what green color is. Almighty MTN is doing green today, red tomorrow etc.

If smart money don't buy these stocks, our investments into them will just seem like small moon trying to lift the massive sun and planet Earth will just be laughing because he knows him too cannot do it but small moon is drunk and delusional for attempting it.

How the market traded today.

How the market traded today

How the market traded today.

How the NGX market traded today.

How the market traded today?

How the market traded today

How the market traded today.

Did you know these 4 days trade were the beginning of the correction on the NGX back in June, it started in June 1 and ended in June 4 but in those 4 days.

A total of 3.351Billion naira left the market, since then I have tracked the market to ensure atleast same value of fund buy back for 4 days straight days. It has never happened.

What keeps happening is, if one billion enters today, it leaves again before the week ends.

How the market traded yesterday


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k0hgE4I5Aqs

Be careful of Firstholdco
But can MTN and Zenith Bank withstand the pressure?



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YGM2PqcKrvk

Beeron:
Welcome to this dedicated, fact-based discussion thread on investing and trading in the Nigerian Exchange Group (NGX) and the U.S. Stock Market.

Whether you are a complete beginner who just heard about "stocks," or an experienced trader looking to refine your strategy, this thread is for you. My goal is to break down complex financial concepts into simple, easy-to-understand English, backed by historical context, fact-checked data mostly technical analysis and realistic future predictions.


What this thread is NOT:
___________________________

- It is not a "get-rich-quick" scheme.

- It is not a place for "pump and dump" (trying to artificially inflate a stock's price to sell it at a profit).

- It is not financial advice, but rather educational discussion to help you make your own informed decisions.



What this thread IS:
______________________


- A place to get your information on how the NGX and U.S market is trading.

- A space to share proven trading and investing strategies (both Technical and Fundamental Analysis).

- A community to discuss historical market trends and where we predict these markets are heading in the coming years.

Let’s build wealth intelligently, together. Drop your questions, experiences, or topics you want us to cover next in the replies!

Impressive insights.

AlphaTaikun:
Impressive insights.

Thanks Chief.

MTN in danger zone
But here is what will happen to Firstholdco next.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WilkrHNwduo

Firstholdco Is Still Struggling, MTN Gave Up Already While The Fight To Survive For GTCO And UBA is Getting Intense


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A0xq0m26_xM