₦airaland Forum

All these online urchins deceiving themselves all the time.... nonsense

Hemanwel:
Let's settle it here first before INEC releases their results.

Hit the 'Like' button for Adeleke

Hit 'Share' for 'Ambo'

DeepSight:
Its Wike, that was his first deliverable to BAT.

it is not wike

it is the actions the northern caucus pulled in 2023

they gambled that atiku would win the election and they lost.

if atiku had won, pdp would be back in the center

as they are not close to the center so pdp requires money from state governors or big wigs to operate

that would be the SS governors who watched how wike carried the party for 8 years and then got brutused at the primaries

i thought pdp would have split , but instead, it has simply been abandoned

Because of Governship election
Country look like it's in a state of WAR.

Bone bandits showing us shege and everywhere quiet

Rubbish

Bayoonanuga:
apc is winning it this time around

only by rigging.

Hussein035:
We are aware that even if all people of osun decided to vote APC you people will complain democracy is gone

You will cry tire

don't mind him he doesn't want the touts party to take over

Hussein035:
We are aware that even if all people of osun decided to vote APC you people will complain democracy is gone

You will cry tire

Just like people in Kwara has been crying inside the bush.

Even their obas are not spared.


🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

1Youngestuk:
This is river state 2023 presidential election result sheet. Does this look like a free and fair to you??

But this is not Form EC8A. It is a collation-level document.

So if the allegation is that votes were altered during collation, don't stop at the collation sheet.

GO BACK TO THE POLLING UNITS.

Produce the underlying Form EC8As. Party agents may retain copies, while polling-unit result sheets uploaded to IReV provide another documentary trail.

This is precisely where tools such as SmartElectionGuard Pro become useful: organising polling-unit evidence so that later totals can be reconstructed and compared.

The test is straightforward:

EC8A → WARD → LGA → FINAL RESULT

If the EC8As add up to 10,000, but the ward collation suddenly says 12,000, we have a discrepancy to investigate.

If the ward figures reconcile but the LGA total changes, we know where to look.

And if everything reconciles from polling unit upward, that too is evidence.

That is the beauty of evidence-based election verification.

Don't merely show me a screenshot and shout “rigging.”

SHOW THE POLLING UNITS.
SHOW THE EC8As.
ADD THE NUMBERS.
SHOW WHERE THEY CHANGED.

Technology cannot make electoral malpractice impossible.

But increasingly, it can make manipulation traceable—and therefore much harder to hide.

SmartElectionGuard Pro — Follow the Evidence.

fergie001:
It's an old photo....the Appeal Court only upheld their candidate two days ago and he stepped down for the Governor but I agree the Party is gone.

Noooo, the party is still alive and kicking in Wabara's bedroom 🤣🤣🤣

AMINDA:
That is Tunubu's legacy on our democracy. He destroyed the political parties that came second (PDP), third (LP) and fourth (NNPP) in just 3 years of being in power using apparatus of state. He is still trying to destroy the ADC and the NDC too.

Grow up man . Atiku's greed destroyed pdp nobody is responsible for your foes.

MEGAWATCH:
Just like people in Kwara has been crying inside the bush.

Even their obas are not spared.


🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

any non Nigerian who comes to this forum will think your region is paradise, the same u lots that dare not go home for years?

Ahmadu bello was right after all, their house will b burning but they will b chasing rat in another man's house

anonymous1759:
Grow up man . Atiku's greed destroyed pdp nobody is responsible for your foes.

Don't worry about Atiku, he will be fine. This is what Tinubu's greed is doing to his own people in Osun state.

https://x.com/SodiqTade/status/2088604303929856357

Indigbo:
Unfortunately APC is winning Osun guber You may argue or create your own happiness all you want, the truth is bitter. Sad but it's reality.

IREWOLE: AMBO DOESN'T JUST NEED TO WIN HIS HOME LGA — WATCH THE MARGIN By CharlesCNG.

One of the numbers I am watching very closely today is Irewole.

Why?

Because this is Bola Oyebamiji's home LGA—and APC already won it in 2022.

The 2022 result was:

APC/Oyetola — 18,198
PDP/Adeleke — 14,216

APC MARGIN: +3,982

Now compare that with Ede North, one of Adeleke's strongest fortresses:

Adeleke — 23,931
APC — 9,603

ADELEKE MARGIN: +14,328

That gives us a fascinating election-night benchmark.

If Adeleke reproduces roughly +14,300 in Ede North, how much of that advantage can AMBO claw back from his own home territory?

That is why simply asking:

“WHO WON IREWOLE?”

misses the real story.

The question is:

BY HOW MUCH?

My rough scoreboard:

APC +4,000 → essentially repeats 2022.

APC +7,000 → meaningful improvement.

APC +10,000 → major home-LGA performance.

APC +14,000 → extraordinary performance; Irewole alone has almost neutralised an Ede North-sized Adeleke advantage.

And +14,000 would be no ordinary victory.

With around 35,000 valid votes, something like:

APC — 24,000
ACCORD — 10,000
Others — 1,000

would be required.

That is a landslide, not merely a home-LGA win.

So as Irewole results begin arriving, don't just watch who is leading.

WATCH THE MARGIN.

Because if Adeleke comes out of Ede North +14,000, but AMBO comes out of Irewole +10,000, then approximately 10,000 of Adeleke's Ede North firewall has already been erased before we even examine the other 28 LGAs.

And if Irewole somehow approaches APC +14,000:

ONE ADELEKE FORTRESS HAS EFFECTIVELY MET ONE AMBO LANDSLIDE.

Then we move to Osogbo, Ife, Ijesaland and the other battlegrounds to see who is accumulating the remaining margins.

This is exactly why Smart ElectionGuard Pro's Forecast Engine should not merely display who won an LGA.

It should tell us:

2022 MARGIN → 2026 LIVE MARGIN → SWING → STATEWIDE IMPACT

Because in Osun today:

WINNING LGAs MATTERS. WINNING MARGINS MAY MATTER EVEN MORE.

For the actual Forecast Engine UI, I would display Irewole as:

IREWOLE — HOME-LGA MARGIN WATCH

2022: APC +3,982
2026 LIVE: APC +_____
SWING vs 2022: _____
EDE NORTH OFFSET BENCHMARK: +14,328
OFFSET ACHIEVED: ___%

How much of an Ede North-sized Adeleke advantage has Irewole neutralised?

BATified2023:
any non Nigerian who comes to this forum will think your region is paradise, the same u lots that dare not go home for years?

Ahmadu bello was right after all, their house will b burning but they will b chasing rat in another man's house

At least the world has not come to rescue our children and their teachers inside the bush after spending 50 days.

You are now competing with the North and the way you are going, it's like you will win them with this introduction of flogging Obas.


🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

anonymous1759:
Grow up man . Atiku's greed destroyed pdp nobody is responsible for your foes.

Senator Fadahunsi doubling down on his threats of violence against his own people.

Senator Fadahunsi has authorized his supporters to be extremely violent towards people who didn’t vote for APC in his polling unit, this was the same Senator that said accord members should be killed if seen around Ilesa axis

FYA @TunjiDisu1 pic.twitter.com/FAYP7phCci

— OTUNBA (@ManLikeIcey) August 15, 2026

AMINDA:
That is Tunubu's legacy on our democracy. He destroyed the political parties that came second (PDP), third (LP) and fourth (NNPP) in just 3 years of being in power using apparatus of state. He is still trying to destroy the ADC and the NDC too.

He did not destroy anything.

Handle your own business well instead of crying about what other people are doing to you.

If the APC is struggling this hard to win an election in Osun, where then will Tinubu's votes come from? Will he send Senator Fadahunsi to the North or to the other South?

AMINDA:
If the APC is struggling this hard to win an election in Osun, where then will Tinubu's votes come from? Will he send Senator Fadahunsi to the North or to the other South?

Tinubu already knows that what can only safe him in 2027 is to write result.

Then if other oppositions leave him, they have themselves to blame.

AMINDA:
If the APC is struggling this hard to win an election in Osun, where then will Tinubu's votes come from? Will he send Senator Fadahunsi to the North or to the other South?

I am not saying you are wrong, neither am I APC but where are you getting info that APC are struggling to win the election?

Adeleke is the sitting governor so that must count for something. Don't forget he also won the state for Atiku's PDP last time out.

Good luck to all contestants. Don't kill children of the poor whist your own family are abroad.

fergie001:
The Osun Governorship election holds today, August 15 2026, and voting is expected to take place in the 30 Local Government Areas of the state.

Out of the total of 2,339,233 registered voters in the State, 1,906,390 PVCs, representing 81.50 per cent, have been collected.

15 Candidates will seek to occupy the Bola Ige House in Abeere for the next four years but the voters will only entrust one with their votes. There are however three frontrunners: The incumbent, Ademola Adeleke of the Accord Party, Najeem Salam of the ADC and Bola Oyebamiji of the APC.

All top three candidates hail from the Osun West Senatorial Zone

Is Clement Adesuyi the Owa of Ijeshaland whose picture is subscribed to the list of candidates also contesting the Gubernatorial election 😅😅😅. I know he was sometimes the Deputy Governor of Osun State.

AMINDA:
If the APC is struggling this hard to win an election in Osun, where then will Tinubu's votes come from? Will he send Senator Fadahunsi to the North or to the other South?

It's not like BAT has done enough to deserve a second time but the election in Osun State has no bearing on what 2027 presidential election would be.

Adeleke has said it times without number that Tinubu is his candidate in 2027. Head or tail in today's election, Tinubu has the state locked down against 2027, sadly so.

CharlesCNG:
IREWOLE: AMBO DOESN'T JUST NEED TO WIN HIS HOME LGA — WATCH THE MARGIN By CharlesCNG.

One of the numbers I am watching very closely today is Irewole.

Why?

Because this is Bola Oyebamiji's home LGA—and APC already won it in 2022.

The 2022 result was:

APC/Oyetola — 18,198
PDP/Adeleke — 14,216

APC MARGIN: +3,982

Now compare that with Ede North, one of Adeleke's strongest fortresses:

Adeleke — 23,931
APC — 9,603

ADELEKE MARGIN: +14,328

That gives us a fascinating election-night benchmark.

If Adeleke reproduces roughly +14,300 in Ede North, how much of that advantage can AMBO claw back from his own home territory?

That is why simply asking:

“WHO WON IREWOLE?”

misses the real story.

The question is:

BY HOW MUCH?

My rough scoreboard:

APC +4,000 → essentially repeats 2022.

APC +7,000 → meaningful improvement.

APC +10,000 → major home-LGA performance.

APC +14,000 → extraordinary performance; Irewole alone has almost neutralised an Ede North-sized Adeleke advantage.

And +14,000 would be no ordinary victory.

With around 35,000 valid votes, something like:

APC — 24,000
ACCORD — 10,000
Others — 1,000

would be required.

That is a landslide, not merely a home-LGA win.

So as Irewole results begin arriving, don't just watch who is leading.

WATCH THE MARGIN.

Because if Adeleke comes out of Ede North +14,000, but AMBO comes out of Irewole +10,000, then approximately 10,000 of Adeleke's Ede North firewall has already been erased before we even examine the other 28 LGAs.

And if Irewole somehow approaches APC +14,000:

ONE ADELEKE FORTRESS HAS EFFECTIVELY MET ONE AMBO LANDSLIDE.

Then we move to Osogbo, Ife, Ijesaland and the other battlegrounds to see who is accumulating the remaining margins.

This is exactly why Smart ElectionGuard Pro's Forecast Engine should not merely display who won an LGA.

It should tell us:

2022 MARGIN → 2026 LIVE MARGIN → SWING → STATEWIDE IMPACT

Because in Osun today:

WINNING LGAs MATTERS. WINNING MARGINS MAY MATTER EVEN MORE.

For the actual Forecast Engine UI, I would display Irewole as:

IREWOLE — HOME-LGA MARGIN WATCH

2022: APC +3,982
2026 LIVE: APC +_____
SWING vs 2022: _____
EDE NORTH OFFSET BENCHMARK: +14,328
OFFSET ACHIEVED: ___%

How much of an Ede North-sized Adeleke advantage has Irewole neutralised?

Calm down lol senator representing osun west is from Irewole and house of assembly member is from Irewole they’re both in accord party… you don’t expect Ambo to have higher margins here… The senator is more popular than him in Ikire… for APC to even get 9k+ in Ede it means APC is winning this if Oshogbo, Ilesha, Ejigbo, Ikirun/Iragbiji Ile-Ife block enter… Those places APC are winning there….

MEGAWATCH:
At least the world has not come to rescue our children and their teachers inside the bush after spending 50 days.

You are now competing with the North and the way you are going, it's like you will win them with this introduction of flogging Obas.


🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

u are only pained because Nigerians rejected u in d last election.

Either u go n kidnap yourself to make news na your problem, tinubu will rule your papa till 2031

If u like attack Yoruba land from not till next year, tinubu will rule your papa till 2031

Sonnobax15:

The APC is taking over osun state today, courtesy of Tinubu who wants to conquer the whole country to himself like he did, Lagos

Too bad.

Just listen to Yourself. You sound weird.

fergie001:
The Osun Governorship election holds today, August 15 2026, and voting is expected to take place in the 30 Local Government Areas of the state.

Out of the total of 2,339,233 registered voters in the State, 1,906,390 PVCs, representing 81.50 per cent, have been collected.

15 Candidates will seek to occupy the Bola Ige House in Abeere for the next four years but the voters will only entrust one with their votes. There are however three frontrunners: The incumbent, Ademola Adeleke of the Accord Party, Najeem Salam of the ADC and Bola Oyebamiji of the APC.

All top three candidates hail from the Osun West Senatorial Zone

Tinubu and APC are desperate to take over Osun State claiming he's done nothing for 4 years yet the same Tinubu is seeking re-election after destroying our democracy. Isn't that double standards?

aswani:
He did not destroy anything.

Handle your own business well instead of crying about what other people are doing to you.

You should stick to facts and stop being a balablu bulaba propagandist liar.

Abi, you have a different meaning of DESTROY ni



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y5Tta19OYEE?si=HknaDB2bw8FaAD3r

anonimi:
What group of politicians is more wicked than A-looter Propaganda Conmen, APC


https://x.com/BusinessDayNg/status/1554497253158658049


How we brought In Fulani militias from Mali, Sierra Leone, Senegal, others to win 2015 election — Kawu Baraje - mailchi.mp/businessday.ng…

Aug 2, 2022

Sonnobax15:
in a free and fair election,even a scare crow will defeat every single APC flag bearer across the country. Even ordinary street chairmanship position una no go see.

😆 🤣 😂

AMINDA:
If the APC is struggling this hard to win an election in Osun, where then will Tinubu's votes come from? Will he send Senator Fadahunsi to the North or to the other South?

What is your problem? Has osun elections ever been easy? There where two bye elections in Adamawa, what did ADC score

BATified2023:
u are only pained because Nigerians rejected u in d last election.

Either u go n kidnap yourself to make news na your problem, tinubu will rule your papa till 2031

If u like attack Yoruba land from not till next year, tinubu will rule your papa till 2031

At least we are better than those who are shouting Ebi mpawa azu after voting a criminal who has come to steal them dry.

Na una dey cry hunger, na una dey run away from bandit, na una head dem dey cut.....


🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

MEGAWATCH:
At least we are better than those who are shouting Ebi mpawa azu after voting a criminal who has come to steal them dry.

Na una dey cry hunger, na una dey run away from bandit, na una head dem dey cut.....


🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

at least we are running from bandits, no bandit in your own region but u are running from poverty

The only people from economic desert who still make noise

Sonnobax15:
in a free and fair election,even a scare crow will defeat every single APC flag bearer across the country. Even ordinary street chairmanship position una no go see.

Why are Governors not decamping to Obi's party?
Oh, I've forgotten that he's as dumb as his followers, no Governor worth his salt will follow him, not even Alex Otti.