₦airaland Forum

Akpakomiza2:
Lol. The elections went as I predicted largely. Aregbe people are making the difference after adeleke realized he needs them. Oyinlola has never been a core politician

I thought you said Aregbesola is irrelevant? Lessons!

Noblex2011:
You are absolutely correct.
If Tinubu is going to make the election fair, he would lost .

That's why we are praying for a total ELECTORAL REFORM.

Imagine INEC becoming truly independent and the chairman not appointed by the president. Most of our politicians today won't even smell the seat of power.

In a free and fair election, Tinubu won't win in 2027 because he has no achievement to campaign with. Majority of those that are supporting him are not doing so based on ideology, it's because of financial gains. Which organic followers Tinubu get? He only relies on "rigging machinery & the structure of Chop I Chop".

AMINDA:
I thought you said Aregbesola is irrelevant? Lessons!

Another reason why Atiku can't win. Most politicians are pro Tinubu

This Oyebamiji guy dey pull weight, he wasn't known before now. He is stressing Adeleke.

He is irrelevant, which election can he influence?

AMINDA:
I thought you said Aregbesola is irrelevant? Lessons!

That's why I don't like to talk about politics because everyone holds passionately to his belief. You cannot pretend to to wake up who's pretending to sleep.

I was only responding to initial point raised by the person you responded to. I don't want to go into dynamics of 2023 election. I was only affirming the point raised earlier person that the Adeleke winning does not affect Tinubu winning Osun State ceteris paribus.
I know over 20 people in my own corner that voted Adeleke but will always vote Tinubu.
That was the point I was making. Their votes for Adeleke was not against Tinubu but perhaps influenced by "Adeleke is our our son'. There are people that voted for APC candidate, not because they hate Adeleke but because the guy is from their town or compound.

That's the point I was making, over analysis of these things do not hold water. Politicians are all the same by extension, support whoever you want to support and don't over stretch it .

1Youngestuk:
1 million bro, who should we give the money to??

You choose nd copy me. Make Toilet choice and update me then we carry on from there.

I'm waiting

ravensckar:
You're kidding right?

Please, tell me you are!

During Aregbe's first tenure as governor (when the court removed Oyinlola), I hope you know ACN won Osun state even though Tinubu instructed the then governors to support JONATHAN? After his failed negotiation with CPC.

The last presidential election as well, I hope you know PDP won in Osun state? Even though Tinubu (a presidential aspirant then) is from Osun.

Yes, politics is local. But if you think ADELEKE will support Tinubu after winning re-election, then, it means your political naivety is follow-come.

You just wait and see!

Lets bet it,the first place he will visit after winning will be aso rock, if he wins he has o ly uped his bargaining power and he can now dictate to apc in the state what he wants and tunubu will be more than ready to give him......politics is all about patronage.

PJ123:
I guess you're not getting what he's saying.

I am from Ede, our compound in country home Ede is just beside Adeleke's house in Ede.

Though I am not around in Ede to vote, but all my family and friends back at home all campaigned and voted for Adele because he's our own. And it's to our advantage that he wins. However, none of these people will vote against Tinubu in 2027. I don't know of Adeleke himself. I don't know who he will vote for but I can tell you more than 60% of people who voted for Adeleke will vote for Tinubu in 2027.

This has nothing to do with emotion. The sameway Anambra people didn't vote for Obi's candidate in Anambra state election but you're sure they all will vote for Obi.

We should not be emotional about all these things. Politics is largely local, and is largely influenced by tribe, religion and poverty.

If this is the case, Tinubu will still struggle to get re-elected. Obi will dominate him in the Southeast and Southsouth while Atiku’s people will also support him with their full chest this time. 5.6m votes out of Tinubu's 8m votes were from the North while Atiku only got circa 1m votes of his total 6.9m from the South. If the 2027 elections becomes regional, Tinubu will have no pathway to victory.

HIGHESTPOPORI:
Obi would win those states now ,nothing for tinubu there.h

Did obi win cross rivers? Or you want to rewrite history,udom couldn't do much in akwa ibom because of the obi tsunami and the people over there chose obi as the better evil between himself and Tinubu.......its going to be different in 27,apc will do all they can to win the SS and there is really little counter force NDC can bring up.

erad:
Are you an illiterate? Don't know know time based websites are calibrated to the timezone of your isp or location? Which kine ignorant argument be this?

Nigeria is in problem with the Yahoo Yahoo and Yahoo plus generation that we have and they have populated Social Media.

I only corrected him to WORK SMART next time, now you brought out your own FOLLY again making a mockery of yourself. What concerns Timezone of ISP or time based website with Client - Server Application running on a Server with Database and Application Server domiciled in Nigeria? He claimed the Dashboard at the frontend picks the Timezone on his phone and not the time logged on the server, you came now and brought up another funny reason. Have you forgotten he changed the date and time immediately I corrected him? Can he change website or ISP Timezone from his phone? Or is he the owner of the ISP or Website?

Already, so many things are wrong there. I will not talk again. You don't want to learn.

Akpakomiza2:
I knew it will be difficult esp with Aregbe supporting adc and fadahunsi and oke defecting

How come the "alignment " didn't work in Aregbe's polling units? APC won both ADC and Accord there..


https://www.nairaland.com/8729162/osun-2026-rauf-aregbesola-loses

opes:
How come the "alignment " didn't work in Aregbe's polling units? APC won both ADC and Accord there..


https://www.nairaland.com/8729162/osun-2026-rauf-aregbesola-loses

Aregbe has never really been strong in his Ilesa LGA as much as osogbo and Ejigbo. APC won his LGA in 2022

Lithiumite:
Did obi win cross rivers? Or you want to rewrite history,udom couldn't do much in akwa ibom because of the obi tsunami and the people over there chose obi as the better evil between himself and Tinubu.......its going to be different in 27,apc will do all they can to win the SS and there is really little counter force NDC can bring up.

Apc will do all they can with which achievement?

We are waiting for their Abracadabra as usual...

erad:
Adeleke can actually support tinubu, the people know where they will vote.

And who will mount the structures for atiku and obi in osun? I bet you can go in and mobilise all the people to come and vote them when adeleke has already told you where his allegiance lies if he wins......or if apc wins,where una wan pass.

ravensckar:
You really get sense! You sabi how e dey go?

Almost all the people I spoke to back home told me that ADELEKE would win. At the moment, there's no discontent between him and the Civil servants. Bros still construct roads full everywhere. On top all that, he still share money. Tell me, why will the people reject him at the poll?

The only reason APC is having a good showing because they presented a formidable candidate. AMBO too is well liked. And from what I understand, his people (The Ikires) have been yearning to govern the state.

If APC had presented OYETOLA, Adeleke would have defeated him before 12 noon.

#Picks_tooth

Even Omisore would have been defeated too......

AMINDA:
If this is the case, Tinubu will still struggle to get re-elected. Obi will dominate him in the Southeast and Southsouth while Atiku’s people will also support him with their full chest this time. 5.6m votes out of Tinubu's 8m votes were from the North while Atiku only got circa 1m votes of his total 6.9m from the South. If the 2027 elections becomes regional, Tinubu will have no pathway to victory.

You can say anything while we wait for 2027.
Obi will dominate SE- no doubt. For South South, I can't say because human beings are dynamics, I will await the results before I comment, there's no point arguing over what I cannot control.

Also, there other factors, I listed- religion and poverty are all part of factors that will play out, especially Northern part of the country.

Saying a sitting president has no pathway to victory is too ambitious. Anyway, politicians and their supporters are the most ambitious people. They will claim to win what they cannot win.

ravensckar:
That's why we are praying for a total ELECTORAL REFORM.

Imagine INEC becoming truly independent and the chairman not appointed by the president. Most of our politicians today won't even smell the seat of power.

In a free and fair election, Tinubu won't win in 2027 because he has no achievement to campaign with. Majority of those that are supporting him are not doing so based on ideology, it's because of financial gains. Which organic followers Tinubu get? He only relies on "rigging machinery & the structure of Chop I Chop".

which drugs are you taking? For your small mind everybody supporting tinubu are doing so for monetary agains, only your candidate has organic followers, abi? Una go cry tire come 2027 election, make una dey deceive una self.

Lithiumite:
And who will mount the structures for atiku and obi in osun? I bet you can go in and mobilise all the people to come and vote them when adeleke has already told you where his allegiance lies if he wins......or if apc wins,where una wan pass.

Oga you're a novice.

What gave you the assurance that Adeleke will support Tinubu by 2027 if he win this his re-election?

Did he support him in 2023 ?

Don't forget. he have nothing to lose come 2027. Whether Tinubu win or not, he will complete his second tenure.

ravensckar:
You're the one missing the point! When it comes to Osun state, our vote is often used to make a statement; by way of showing acceptance or registering our displeasure. We are always that way!

I'm from Osun state (although I was born in Lagos). My family house is not far from Tinubu's ancestral home, yet, I'm not from Iragbiji. If you're very conversant with Osun state, by now, you must have figured out which town I hail from.

Before the last presidential election, we were arguing in my family house whether Tinubu would win in Osun state or not. I (being from Lagos) was shocked when those on ground told me that nobody gives a fffck about him. As far as they were concerned, he wasn't one of them. Now, remind me again who was PDP's presidential candidate. ATIKU? The truth is that Osun people didn't vote PDP because of ATIKU, they just wanted to make a statement against TINUBU because they blamed him for imposing OYETOLA on them.

I believe you understand my point by now.

2027 is still a long way to go, and it's not certain that ADELEKE will honour any agreement of supporting Tinubu. But I'm happy APC is being defeated in today's election. It will dampen their cockiness a bit and make TINUBU shelve whatever anti-people policy he has up his sleeve. At least, for now.

As far as I'm concerned, APC losing today's governorship election is a WIN for the people. The message is simple; if you want our vote, at least, have the decency to do something for us. Don't depend on the corrupt structure of Chop I Chop to win election.

Tinubu came from a weaker position in 23,he is now the CinC.......obj lost SW in 99 but we all know what happened in 03.....adeleke winning is to a bigger advantage to tinubu than if he had lost.......tinubu knows this and he wouldn't want a repeat of 23,he would have done his home work and knows its best not to stand in Adeleke's way to victory only he can't support him openly......a lot of handshake would have gone under the table for adeleke not to follow atiku to ADC.

Una results no dey change since afternoon lol

Lithiumite:
Tinubu came from a weaker position in 23,he is now the CinC.......obj lost SW in 99 but we all know what happened in 03.....adeleke winning is to a bigger advantage to tinubu than if he had lost.......tinubu knows this and he wouldn't want a repeat of 23,he would have done his home work and knows its best not to stand in Adeleke's way to victory only he can't support him openly......a lot of handshake would have gone under the table for adeleke not to follow atiku to ADC.

Keep shifting goal post.

You think oppostion will keep allowing him to manipulate results?

This time around, some northern APC governors will work against him.

Akpakomiza2:
True. They voted against him 2023

23 isn't 27,the whole SW voted against obj in 99 but we all know what happened in 03......osun and oyo votes are tge most fluid in Nigeria together with kano,they can swing anyway at anytime.

Bendeco2020:
Keep shifting goal post.

You think oppostion will keep allowing him to manipulate results?

This time around, some northern APC governors will work against him.

Like who? For who? Most of them are going for second term so they cant

Noblex2011:
Wait till January.
You will get the answer very soon
I am from Osun state
I schooled in the most prestigious university in Osun and even in the country.
Even one of the Osun best Federal Polytechnic
Did INEC ad hoc staff for good 2 to 3 times even as one of the PO
You go understand very soon

What does that change,vote who apart from tinubu,is it atiku that has lost his pdp structure or obi that doesn't even know the way to osun.

Akpakomiza2:
Like who? For who? Most of them are going for second term so they cant

If he lose re-election first. What made you think that the governors won't still deliver their states to themselves?

The only game he will play is to allow the votes count in governoship election to spoil their re-election as well. And that will burry APC Nationwide.

Omenlon:
which drugs are you taking? For your small mind everybody supporting tinubu are doing so for monetary agains, only your candidate has organic followers, abi? Una go cry tire come 2027 election, make una dey deceive una self.

He is correct.
Your baba buy people's conscious.
Thuggery politics
Chop n chop as well while enslaves others

AMINDA:
If this is the case, Tinubu will still struggle to get re-elected. Obi will dominate him in the Southeast and Southsouth while Atiku’s people will also support him with their full chest this time. 5.6m votes out of Tinubu's 8m votes were from the North while Atiku only got circa 1m votes of his total 6.9m from the South. If the 2027 elections becomes regional, Tinubu will have no pathway to victory.

this man the online money wen dem dey pay you just dey blur your vision and reasoning faculty. Is like you are a political neophyte, so no need to argue with person like you. if it will be possible for Atiku, obi and kwankwaso to be on the same ticket this time around, tinubu will still beat them hands down. Know this and know peace.

Lithiumite:
23 isn't 27,the whole SW voted against obj in 99 but we all know what happened in 03......osun and oyo votes are tge most fluid in Nigeria together with kano,they can swing anyway at anytime.

He will still lost there except he use Federal might.
I know what I am saying.
I can't drag Lagos with you but in that place he will lose

ravensckar:
That's why we are praying for a total ELECTORAL REFORM.

Imagine INEC becoming truly independent and the chairman not appointed by the president. Most of our politicians today won't even smell the seat of power.

In a free and fair election, Tinubu won't win in 2027 because he has no achievement to campaign with. Majority of those that are supporting him are not doing so based on ideology, it's because of financial gains. Which organic followers Tinubu get? He only relies on "rigging machinery & the structure of Chop I Chop".

Election isnt free and fair but adeleke is winning in osun? Elections isnt free and fair obi won lagos and atiku won osun........The way you people reason certainly shames your creator......no gov can stand in the way of the fg if him cup full,adeleke himself won't be that dumb to carry light to see the lions face.

Prince111111:
believe me alot of alignment is still coming and even without that, ADC would easily get more than 50,000 votes

50,000 where?