₦airaland Forum

Predictor3:
He can win Osun...
He may win another. Let's wait until then

Which Osun?
Accord 500k votes for Tinubu
APC 400K Votes for Tinubu
ADC 17K VOTES FOR ATIKU

WhizdomXX:
Zamfara. Niger and Kwara seem more realistic. Why is no one talking about Bauchi?

Well, I said Zamfara because NDC has a strong candidate in the state.

I’ve not seen much activity from Kwara and Niger. That’s why I didn’t include them because I don’t speak when I don’t have sufficient information.

Then Bauchi, I feel Bauchi people will vote Atiku regardless of what happens. Also, governor Abdullahi is aligned with Makinde. So, I don’t know where they will pitch their tent.

But I must point out that Peter Obi recorded good votes from Bauchi in 2023 but they changed it because there was nobody on ground protect the votes.

Otamendi99:
Funny and more funnier. I can't remember the 5 govs from the south being angry apart from the G5 govs. But the others contributed financially to support him. Let me tell you one simple truth, Atiku isn't going anywhere, especially in the south. His biggest foot soldiers in the south are amaechi, ihedioha and Aregbesola. I'm in imo state, I will tell you the whole truth, nobody sends him here. Even ihedioha will never campaign for him in his mbaise because of his governorship ambition. I know you have never step your foot in imo state. But relax and watch.

See how you are gate-keeping the Southeast like anybody is dragging the region with Obi. Didn't he get 95% of the region's votes in 2023? What did it amount to? Is there any more room for Obi to squeeze more votes from the Southeast? No. He may even lose some ground. Tinubu did not even bother to campaign in the East. Through political naivety, the SE has secluded itself so much that presidential aspirants are now strategising to win their elections without the region. That's political suicide. Even if the 2027 elections become regionalised, only one candidate will stand to benefit. Men lie, women lie, but numbers don't.

Bimow:
Which Osun?
Accord 500k votes for Tinubu
APC 400K Votes for Tinubu
ADC 17K VOTES FOR ATIKU

Using the same logic for Anambra in the gubernatorial election, it's safe to say that APC will defeat Peter Obi in Anambra in the presidential elections because the candidate he endorsed and campaigned for, lost the elections. You all keep making the mistake of using off-cycle elections to judge, like politics is 1+1. APC had 21 states in 2023, but Tinubu only won 9 APC-governed states. Yet, none of the governors lost their re-election bid. This shows that politics is local and that Tinubu is even more unpopular than the APC.

Bimow:
Which Osun?
Accord 500k votes for Tinubu
APC 400K Votes for Tinubu
ADC 17K VOTES FOR ATIKU

Okay give us the Anambra gubernatorial votes. This simply means Soludo will deliver Anmabra to Tinubu because he won his re-election convincingly and currently supports Tinubu. It is because of this over-reliance on governors that make you all begin to accuse governors of working against Tinubu when they fail to deliver their states. Using Rivers as a case study, it has now occurred to me that many of you wouldn't mind if they kill their own people just to rig the elections for Tinubu but it won't happen.

AMINDA:
If the 2027 elections become regionalised as you all are desperate to make it become, Atiku will be the candidate with the most advantage, but he is still the only one currently running an issue-based campaign. Atiku won Osun, Bayelsa, and Akwa Ibom in 2023. If the South are now "wiser" and will no longer vote for him because he suddenly turned a Northerner in 2027, what makes you think Northerners are still "foolish?". Abi una think say Atiku na orphan? Na person born Atiku too na.

south still get 1 term to used abi you guys no dey think

olajizz01:
south still get 1 term to used abi you guys no dey think

Ola, that is very true, but which of the South? Because since 1999, Southwest has been president for 12 years and vice president for 8 years while the Southeast has never been president. Why not tell Tinubu to step down for Obi? Why did Tinubu go to Daura to convince a retired Buhari to come help remove his Southern brother from the SS in 2015?

AMINDA:
Ola, that is very true, but which of the South? Because since 1999, Southwest has been president for 12 years and vice president for 8 years while the Southeast has never been president. Why not tell Tinubu to step down for Obi? Why did Tinubu go to Daura to convince a retired Buhari to come help remove his Southern brother from the SS in 2015?

Then, you guys should leave only southern candidates to contest,any of them who wins is okey.

By the way,when will you too allowed Northern minority to taste the coveat sit and even the NC region

Penguin2:
Well, I said Zamfara because NDC has a strong candidate in the state.

I’ve not seen much activity from Kwara and Niger. That’s why I didn’t include them because I don’t speak when I don’t have sufficient information.

Then Bauchi, I feel Bauchi people will vote Atiku regardless of what happens. Also, governor Abdullahi is aligned with Makinde. So, I don’t know where they will pitch their tent.

But I must point out that Peter Obi recorded good votes from Bauchi in 2023 but they changed it because there was nobody on ground protect the votes.

Stop saying they changed obi votes when you have no proof please. Bauchi people are radical Muslims like zamfara , nothing for obi. Even Dogara didn't support obi. Atiku will likely win Bauchi with reduced margins

Akpakomiza2:
Stop saying they changed obi votes when you have no proof please. Bauchi people are radical Muslims like zamfara , nothing for obi. Even Dogara didn't support obi. Atiku will likely win Bauchi with reduced margins

You forgot that Southern Bauchi is predominantly Christian?

I had a colleague from southern Bauchi who told me what happened in their region. So, I’m not just making conjectures.

Penguin2:
You forgot that Southern Bauchi is predominantly Christian?

I had a colleague from southern Bauchi who told me what happened in their region. So, I’m not just making conjectures.

Only from one person? He was in all the units? Southern Bauchi is not predominantly christians please. Only three lgas are Christian dominated which are Bogoro and tafawa balewa. They are a good number of Christians in Dass and Toro but Muslims outnumber them.