HOW PETER OBI WINS IN 2027 - MY PROJECTION - Politics - Nairaland
Nairaland Forum › Nairaland General › Politics › HOW PETER OBI WINS IN 2027 - MY PROJECTION (1044 Views)
| HOW PETER OBI WINS IN 2027 - MY PROJECTION by greatiyk4u(op): 10:08am On Sep 22 |
This is how Obi is going to win the 2027 Presidential Election 1. Abia- Obi/Kwankwaso 2. Adamawa- Atiku/Amaechi 3. Akwa Ibom- Obi/Kwankwaso 4. Anambra- Obi/Kwankwaso 5. Bauchi- (Possible APM/NDC alliance) 6. Bayelsa- Obi/Kwankwaso 7. Benue- Obi/Kwankwaso 8. Borno- Tinubu/Shettima 9. Cross River- Obi/Kwankwaso 10. Delta- Obi/Kwankwaso 11. Ebonyi- Obi/Kwankwaso 12. Edo- Obi/Kwankwaso 13. Ekiti- Tinubu/Shettima 14. Enugu- Obi/Kwankwaso 15. Gombe- Atiku/Amaechi 16. Imo- Obi/Kwankwaso 17. Jigawa- Atiku/Amaechi 18. Kaduna- Atiku/Amaechi (NDC will get more than 25%) 19. Kano- Obi/Kwankwaso 20. Katsina- Atiku/Amaechi 21. Kebbi- Atiku/Amaechi 22. Kogi- Tinubu/Shettima 23. Kwara- Tinubu/Shettima 24. Lagos- Tinubu/Shettima (Margin here will be slim. Obi will get more than a Million votes 25. Nasarawa- Obi/Kwankaso 26. Niger- Atiku/Amaechi 27. Ogun- Tinubu/Shettima 28.Ondo-Tinubu/Shettima 29. Osun- Tinubu/Shettima 30. Oyo-Tinubu/Shettima 31. Plateau-Obi/Kwankwaso 32. Rivers- Obi/Kwankaso 33. Sokoto- Atiku/Amaechi 34. Taraba- Obi/Kwankaso 35. Yobe- Tinubu/Shettima 36. Zamfara- Atiku/Shettima 37. FCT- Obi/Kwankaso ( I perceive massive rigging here by the APC) My Analysis.......... This is not just about popularity, it is about mathematics. The 2027 election will be decided by three factors: a solidified base, a strategic Northern alliance, and a divided opposition. *1. The Solid Base:* Obi/Kwankwaso locks down the entire South-East and South-South. That is Abia, Anambra, Ebonyi, Enugu, Imo, Akwa Ibom, Bayelsa, Cross River, Delta, Edo and Rivers. Add Benue, Plateau, Taraba and Nasarawa in the North-Central/Middle Belt where Obi has proven strength. *2. The Kwankwaso Factor:* The game-changer is Kano. With Kwankwaso on the ticket, Kano - Nigeria's highest vote bank - flips from APC to the Obi movement. That alone cancels out Lagos. *3. The Split in the North:* Atiku/Amaechi and Tinubu/Shettima will split the core Northern and South-West votes. Atiku takes Adamawa, Gombe, Jigawa, Kaduna, Katsina, Kebbi, Niger, Sokoto, Zamfara. Tinubu holds Borno, Ekiti, Kogi, Kwara, Lagos, Ogun, Ondo, Osun, Oyo, Yobe. In Lagos, the margin will be very slim - Obi is projected to cross 1 million votes there. Bauchi remains the wild card with a possible APM/NDC alliance. On this projection: *Obi/Kwankwaso - 17 states + FCT* *Tinubu/Shettima - 10 states* *Atiku/Amaechi - 9 states* With 25% secured in Kaduna and competitive numbers across the North, the constitutional spread is met. The only threat to this victory in the FCT and other battlegrounds is massive rigging by the ruling party. This is how the numbers work. https://x.com/i/status/2102076896167039463 6 Likes
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| Re: HOW PETER OBI WINS IN 2027 - MY PROJECTION by duro4chang(m): 10:13am On Sep 22 |
When Men talk about the future, the gods laugh-Chinese proverb 6 Likes 3 Shares |
| Re: HOW PETER OBI WINS IN 2027 - MY PROJECTION by greatiyk4u(op): 10:57am On Sep 22 |
duro4chang:So what are you insinuating? |
| Re: HOW PETER OBI WINS IN 2027 - MY PROJECTION by Massdamm(m): 11:03am On Sep 22 |
You better wake up from sleep Just be deceiving yourself It’s between Atiku and Tinubu take it or leave it 7 Likes 1 Share |
| Re: HOW PETER OBI WINS IN 2027 - MY PROJECTION by Cyberterror: 11:05am On Sep 22 |
Peter Obi and his supporters should continue entertaining us  8 Likes 1 Share
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| Re: HOW PETER OBI WINS IN 2027 - MY PROJECTION by greatiyk4u(op): 11:12am On Sep 22 |
Massdamm:You mean I should accept your own conjecture as the Almighty that sees tomorrow? 2 Likes 1 Share |
| Re: HOW PETER OBI WINS IN 2027 - MY PROJECTION by Akpakomiza2: 11:18am On Sep 22 |
greatiyk4u:Whatever tinubu scores in the north will surpass obi southern votes. Obi will win Kano narrowly. If Tinubu is winning Borno and you've, zamfara will follow. |
| Re: HOW PETER OBI WINS IN 2027 - MY PROJECTION by Massdamm(m): 11:19am On Sep 22 |
greatiyk4u:Stop deceiving yourself You just sit down dy predict what’s cant happen, obi can’t defeat tinubu. They have the opportunity during the time he’s with atiku in ADC but as soon as he left and went to NDC bruv nothing for both.. Atiku we still get vote pass obi but tinubu will win… I’m not a supporter of tinubu but let’s be factual 5 Likes 1 Share |
| Re: HOW PETER OBI WINS IN 2027 - MY PROJECTION by greatiyk4u(op): 11:20am On Sep 22 |
Akpakomiza2:Always proofread your comments before posting because we are not in your mind to understand what you want to post. |
| Re: HOW PETER OBI WINS IN 2027 - MY PROJECTION by greatiyk4u(op): 11:22am On Sep 22 |
Massdamm:That's your assumption and nothing here makes it logically superior apart from the figment of your imagination |
| Re: HOW PETER OBI WINS IN 2027 - MY PROJECTION by seunmsg(m): 11:27am On Sep 22 |
Obi will not win Benue, Cross River, Bayelsa, Akwa Ibom, Rivers, Taraba and Kano. Edo and Delta will be very close but Obi should win narrowly. Plateau is too close to call at this point. Atiku will win Bauchi no matter who Bala Mohammed and his APM supports while Tinubu will come a close second. Obi won't get 25% in Bauchi state. Overall, Obi has no pathway to victory. He can't get 25% in more than 16-17 states. Atiku will not win Zamfara and Jigawa. Sokoto and Katsina are too close to call right now between Atiku and Tinubu. Tinubu will win Niger and not Atiku. 7 Likes 1 Share |
| Re: HOW PETER OBI WINS IN 2027 - MY PROJECTION by greatiyk4u(op): 11:30am On Sep 22 |
seunmsg:I can see you have upgraded yourself to the status of the INEC CHAIRMAN to determine with assurance who will win for sure..... 1 Like 1 Share |
| Re: HOW PETER OBI WINS IN 2027 - MY PROJECTION by grandstar(m): 11:33am On Sep 22 |
greatiyk4u:Kwamkwasos base is only in Kano state. The only state where he won more than 25% of the votes in Nigeria was Kano state where he won. 3 Likes 1 Share |
| Re: HOW PETER OBI WINS IN 2027 - MY PROJECTION by seunmsg(m): 11:43am On Sep 22 |
greatiyk4u:The audacity to accuse me of what you are guilty of is hilarious. 7 Likes 1 Share |
| Re: HOW PETER OBI WINS IN 2027 - MY PROJECTION by yomi531(m): 11:50am On Sep 22 |
Akpakomiza2:U f00ls like to underestimate Southern votes. Can anyone ever be President without votes from the 2 regions?? 1 Like |
| Re: HOW PETER OBI WINS IN 2027 - MY PROJECTION by yomi531(m): 11:55am On Sep 22 |
seunmsg:Is it the Cross River I stay or the one in kuvukiland? Just dey play...... 1 Like |
| Re: HOW PETER OBI WINS IN 2027 - MY PROJECTION by Penguin2: 11:56am On Sep 22 |
You gave Oyo to Tinubu. Tinubu won’t win Oyo. 2 Likes |
| Re: HOW PETER OBI WINS IN 2027 - MY PROJECTION by AndroBlaze: 12:01pm On Sep 22 |
grandstar:I even wonder why they are so sure they will win Kano sef. Kwakwanso won it convincingly as a Presidential Candidate, who had a governor he was trying to put in. Now all the major "powers" in Kano are in the president's camp except for him. Even his ally, Emir Sanusi, a proud Islamist Fulani , cannot tell his people to vote for Obi over Atiku or Tinubu. I think their will be less votes in Kano next year as a whole. Atiku will do better than his very distant third position and the OK movement will not come close to getting 65% of the numbers Kwakwanso got in the election last time around. 1 Like 1 Share |
| Re: HOW PETER OBI WINS IN 2027 - MY PROJECTION by Nijablast: 12:03pm On Sep 22 |
What time did you later wake up? 2 Likes 2 Shares |
| Re: HOW PETER OBI WINS IN 2027 - MY PROJECTION by christejames(m): 12:11pm On Sep 22 |
duro4chang:But your so called gods don't laugh when it involves APC? Evul! |
| Re: HOW PETER OBI WINS IN 2027 - MY PROJECTION by greatiyk4u(op): 12:29pm On Sep 22 |
seunmsg:I clearly stated that it's my projections not authentication |
| Re: HOW PETER OBI WINS IN 2027 - MY PROJECTION by Akpakomiza2: 12:45pm On Sep 22 |
yomi531:In the past three polls,votes from core north surpassed that of the south 2 Likes 1 Share |
| Re: HOW PETER OBI WINS IN 2027 - MY PROJECTION by Akpakomiza2: 12:46pm On Sep 22 |
greatiyk4u:Thanks. In addition, obi will lose benue and Taraba. 1 Like 1 Share |
| Re: HOW PETER OBI WINS IN 2027 - MY PROJECTION by Akpakomiza2: 12:47pm On Sep 22 |
Penguin2:Tinubu will win or lose Oyo narrowly. Most of the votes Atiku and obi would have gotten are gone to Makinde 2 Likes 1 Share |
| Re: HOW PETER OBI WINS IN 2027 - MY PROJECTION by Akpakomiza2: 12:48pm On Sep 22 |
seunmsg:Atiku can win Niger and Jigawa |
| Re: HOW PETER OBI WINS IN 2027 - MY PROJECTION by Akpakomiza2: 12:50pm On Sep 22 |
yomi531:Tinubu can win cross river if he dominates the rural areas. Obi won cross river because of the massive votes from Calabar metropolis |
| Re: HOW PETER OBI WINS IN 2027 - MY PROJECTION by Eba50: 12:52pm On Sep 22 |
Massdamm:whatever our 11 south and east no add am to one drug dealer votes . na obi we dey follow |
| Re: HOW PETER OBI WINS IN 2027 - MY PROJECTION by seunmsg(m): 12:54pm On Sep 22 |
Akpakomiza2:Not this Atiku of ADC. 2 Likes 2 Shares |
| Re: HOW PETER OBI WINS IN 2027 - MY PROJECTION by yomi531(m): 12:56pm On Sep 22 |
Akpakomiza2:If u sample 1000 people in Cross River, Tinubu won't see 100 votes in the entire 18 lgas |
| Re: HOW PETER OBI WINS IN 2027 - MY PROJECTION by yomi531(m): 1:02pm On Sep 22 |
Akpakomiza2:Subtract his Votes from Middle belts and, tell me the remaining figure in ur so called North. |
| Re: HOW PETER OBI WINS IN 2027 - MY PROJECTION by LottiOk: 1:02pm On Sep 22 |
🎶Make nobody stress me,I no be JJC, omo no look me less, u go chop crapping. I do u diligently, won le mi, won le gba mi🎵................ Rugar-Asiwaju
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