2027: Opposition Parties MUST Independently Collate Their Results! - Politics - Nairaland
Nairaland Forum › Nairaland General › Politics › 2027: Opposition Parties MUST Independently Collate Their Results! (182 Views)
| 2027: Opposition Parties MUST Independently Collate Their Results! by Bigkoko(op): 4:17am On Oct 18*. Modified: 5:12am On Oct 18 |
WHY ELECTION RESULTS MUST BE INDEPENDENTLY VERIFIED: THE NIGERIAN COLLATION CENTRE IS WHERE POLITICIANS USUALLY RIG & REWRITE ELECTION RESULTS WHILE POLLING UNITS IS WHERE DEMOCRACY MUST PROVE ITSELF! All declared election results at the polling units must be independently collated and quickly announced. The hyenas banking on Amupitan announcing a forged election results will be disappointed. However, this globs best practice isn’t new or a Nigerian thing. All over the world the media, politicians, political parties independently collate results from each of the polling units….and compared it with what the election body announced. Saying people or political parties should not collate results independently smack of a hidden plan to rig election for Bola who already knew he is not going to win. If every polling unit has declared its results, why should the people have to wait until a central collation centre to discover who actually won? In the just concluded election in Sweden, it was even the media that announced the leading parties even though it was a mere 3 points difference (176 vs 173). That was also exactly what the election body also announced. Why is Tinubu and his kinsmen afraid of elections announced at the polling units Why INEC officials? Opposition parties never said they will announce their own manufactured results, rather, they hinted on collating all the results announced at the polling units before the hyenas rig & rewrite it at the Collation center! This is one of the most important questions in electoral integrity. Across democracies, election authorities have the legal responsibility to compile, verify and certify results. But the media, accredited election observers, civil-society organisations and political parties often conduct their own independent tallies—not because they are authorised to replace the electoral commission, but because transparency requires that the official figures can be checked against the original records. The electoral commission certifies the result. Independent verification tests whether the result is consistent with the evidence. The two functions should complement each other, not compete. 1. The global best practice: Make every polling unit verifiable The ACE Electoral Knowledge Network’s guidance on election results management recommends transparency throughout the counting and tabulation process. Party representatives and observers should be able to obtain official copies of polling-station results, follow the figures through successive levels of collation and identify discrepancies. Relevant tally sheets and other documents should be publicly accessible under the applicable legal framework. . A credible results-management system should therefore make it possible to answer five questions: 1. What were the votes recorded at each polling unit? 2. Where is the official result form supporting those figures? 3. Were the figures transmitted and entered correctly at the next collation level? 4. If a figure changed, was the change supported by a lawful, documented correction or recount? 5. Can the final certified result be reconciled with the underlying polling-unit records? This is the foundation of an auditable election. The best systems make results available quickly, preserve the original records, document every authorised correction and allow observers to trace the numbers from the polling unit to the final declaration. 2. Why do media organisations, observers and political parties conduct independent tallies? Because independent verification creates multiple opportunities to detect errors and irregularities. Imagine an election with 10,000 polling units. At each unit, officials count the votes and complete an official result form. Accredited party agents obtain copies, observers document the process, and the results are transmitted to the appropriate collation centre. Now imagine that journalists, civil-society organisations and political parties independently enter the figures from those forms into their own databases. They can compare their totals with the figures released by the electoral commission. If the numbers agree, that provides an additional layer of confidence—although it does not, by itself, prove that every aspect of the election was fair. If the numbers disagree, the discrepancy can be traced back to particular polling units and investigated. This is the logic behind parallel vote tabulation and other forms of independent results verification. Such methods must use transparent sampling or sufficiently complete data, disclose their methodology and distinguish estimates from official results. Independent verification is not an alternative to the electoral commission. It is an accountability mechanism that helps the public assess the commission’s work. 3. Why is the collation centre so sensitive? Because collation brings together the individual results that determine the overall outcome. The counting at a polling unit may be witnessed by voters, party agents and observers. The result may be written on an official form and displayed publicly. But the result must then travel through a chain of custody: transmission, receipt, verification, aggregation and certification. Every additional stage creates an operational responsibility which Nigerian politicians historically take advantage off to rig. It also creates a potential point of failure if procedures are weak, documentation is missing or officials exercise unauthorised discretion. The ACE Electoral Knowledge Network specifically identifies the need to maintain transparency and preserve the ability to trace polling-unit results through the tabulation process. . This is why collation centres require careful observation. A discrepancy could arise from a genuine arithmetic error, a transcription mistake, a missing result form, a technical failure or an unlawful alteration. The evidence must establish which explanation applies. The objective should not be to presume that every discrepancy proves fraud. It should be to ensure that no discrepancy capable of affecting the result is left unexplained. 4. Why might politicians try to subvert the people’s choice at collation?. Where political office offers access to public resources, influence over appointments, patronage and considerable personal power, the stakes of losing an election can be exceptionally high. A candidate who believes that losing office carries significant political or financial costs may have a strong incentive to challenge an unfavourable result. In an environment where oversight is weak and sanctions are unlikely, that incentive can become an incentive to manipulate the process. The institutional lesson is clear: electoral systems should be designed so that neither an honest mistake nor deliberate interference can easily remain undetected. 5. With polling-unit results available, why should the people be left guessing? This is where the argument becomes especially important. Suppose the official polling-unit records show Candidate A with 400,000 votes and Candidate B with 350,000 votes across the relevant units. If the final declaration differs materially from the sum of those records, the electoral authority should be able to explain the difference through documented, lawful adjustments. A proper reconciliation should account for every relevant polling unit, including units where results were rejected, cancelled, corrected or subject to a lawful recount. It should also account for legally recognised categories of special voting where applicable. The principle is not that the media’s arithmetic automatically overrides the official declaration. The principle is that the official declaration must be capable of being tested against the underlying evidence. Where the records are complete and publicly accessible, candidates, observers, journalists and citizens can calculate the provisional standings themselves. That does not eliminate every dispute, but it makes unexplained changes more difficult to conceal. A transparent election should not require citizens to choose between blind trust and unsupported suspicion. It should provide evidence that permits informed scrutiny. 6. The reform Nigeria—and other democracies—should take seriously The practical solution is not to abolish collation centres. Electoral authorities need mechanisms to receive, verify and aggregate results, and the law must determine how official results are certified. The solution is to make every stage auditable. A credible framework should include: First, immediate publication. Make each polling-unit result form publicly available as soon as legally and operationally feasible, subject to safeguards against premature disclosure where polls have not yet closed. Nigeria constitution already provided for this: the polling unit officials after counting must announced the polling unit results. That’s where opposition parties will get their results! Second, authenticated source records. Preserve the original signed forms and provide reliable copies or digital images so that the public can compare entered figures with the source document. The Nigeria constitution als provided for this, agents of political parties will be allowed to get a copy of the results announced by INEC officials at the polling units . Is Amupitan and Bola planning to change what was announced at the polling units? Third, a public results portal. Publish polling-unit figures, collation-level totals and the final aggregate in machine-readable formats wherever feasible. Since Amupitan and the hordes of crooks would rather allow. Gap for rigging, the Opposition should fix this gap. Create your public results portal where each of your agents will quickly upload each copy of the announced results at the polling units. While Amupitan and Bola will be engaged Trying to cook up figure, NIGERIA will erupt in victory celebration! Fourth, a documented correction process. Any change to a submitted result should identify the original figure, the corrected figure, the reason, the supporting evidence, the authorised decision-maker and the time of the change. Fifth, independent access. Accredited party agents and observers should be able to monitor the relevant stages of collation and receive copies of the records in accordance with the law. Sixth, rapid dispute resolution. Establish clear procedures and deadlines for challenging discrepancies, preserving evidence and obtaining a reasoned decision before the dispute becomes politically destabilising. Seventh, consequences for proven misconduct. Electoral offences should be investigated impartially, and sanctions should follow the evidence and due process—not political affiliation. A democratic election is not credible merely because citizens were permitted to cast ballots. It is credible when the votes cast can be traced through the counting process, the aggregation is accurate, the rules are applied consistently, disputes are resolved lawfully and the final declaration can be reconciled with the evidence. The question every electoral commission should be prepared to answer is straightforward: Can an independent observer take the authenticated results from the individual polling units, follow the lawful corrections and recounts, reproduce the final totals and understand every material difference? If the answer is yes, transparency becomes a source of institutional strength. If the answer is no, the system must explain why—and correct the weakness. My closing argument When polling-unit results are documented, authenticated and made accessible, the public does not have to depend exclusively on the statements of political candidates or election officials. The evidence becomes available for independent scrutiny. Candidates can assess their standing. Parties can identify discrepancies. Journalists can verify claims. Observers can report on the process. Citizens can understand how the outcome was reached. The media should not declare itself the electoral commission. Political parties should not replace lawful certification with their own preferred figures. Observers should not present estimates as official results. But neither should official certification become an excuse to withhold the evidence needed to verify the result. The ballot expresses the people’s choice. Transparent counting preserves it. Independent verification tests it. Lawful certification gives it official effect. And when a result is challenged, the answer should not be intimidation, secrecy or political rhetoric. It should be the records. Let every polling-unit result be visible. Let every material correction be explained. Let every final declaration be auditable. Because democracy is not merely the right to vote. It is the right to expect that your vote will be counted accurately—and that the evidence will show how the result was reached.
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| Re: 2027: Opposition Parties MUST Independently Collate Their Results! by Bigkoko(op): 5:09am On Oct 18 |
Chidi Odinkalu a prominent Human Rights campaigner in Nigeria wrote: The supporters of a very popular incumbent president clearly do not want a count & are not interested in a campaign. They only ever exercise their mandibles to threaten anybody & everybody darkly with everything from losing their wives, to losing their fingers, to losing their habitations or lives. @SegunShowunmi has gone further to call it treason to do what Obafemi Awolowo & Michael Ajasin did in Ondo State in 1983: have party agents willing to go the extra mile to collect the Form EC8As from every polling unit. He calls it treason for parties to do that which they are entitled to under law. These guys should just say it straight: forget the vote, they will write the results! Here’s the twist: OPPOSITION Parties will declared their own results! Segun Showumi and his co-travellers can threaten all they want, 2027 election can not be rigged! If Bola goes ahead to rig it, he will be dragged out of Aso Rock….and i hope he is not beaten like a common drug trafficker! |
| Re: 2027: Opposition Parties MUST Independently Collate Their Results! by Bigkoko(op): 5:11am On Oct 18 |
Listen for your self! |
| Re: 2027: Opposition Parties MUST Independently Collate Their Results! by aswani(m): 7:09am On Oct 18 |
Please has anyone heard from the person being owed monies, have the monies being paid back even if the accrued interest hasn't? |
| Re: 2027: Opposition Parties MUST Independently Collate Their Results! by Ofunaofu: 7:12am On Oct 18 |
Election results collation must be undertaken by every patriotic Nigerian. The era of passivity is over |
| Re: 2027: Opposition Parties MUST Independently Collate Their Results! by Bigkoko(op): 9:29am On Oct 18 |
That is why I laugh at people like Segun....if only he knew why Amupitan is committing the election to his god, rather than entrenching transparency and proper vote count .Even if Tinubu like let him and Amupitan change all INEC staff to their SW kinsman.... the election results announced at the close of the poll at the polling unit will be aggregated, collated and announced before rogues in INEC can change anything. Through that aggregation, and collation Nigerians will know their new president before 10pm that same day Ofunaofu: |
| Re: 2027: Opposition Parties MUST Independently Collate Their Results! by BigkokoRep: 11:50am On Oct 18 |
Someone asked this question on X. The answer lies on preempting Amupitan. Independent collation of results is usually faster..... Collate all the announced results at the polling units, sum them up and know the no bbastard can announce something else
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