₦airaland Forum

bossmini84:
So it was said about ngige they said the people love him but look what happened. I can tell you that adamawa is for GEJ. You know sumfin about the presidential election is that it is very hard to prove riggin. Okorocha knows he has no futur in imo so he would go for the vp post that would split the yourbas most yourbas on nairaland support buhari cos of a fashola vp. Even tinubu knows he cannot control a gambari and nyamiri. Together. The igbos also know that vp position has no political weight. I would say it again APC time is 2019 if they can still be one party the man GEJ has to many things working for him. What if Gej picks a yourba VP or even an igbo VP
2015 is not for APC.

Kayyy:
The Best candidate for VP in the forthcoming election for APC is not currently in the party, he is the most sellable candidate that can split votes in jonathans stronghold ,his name is Donald Duke, do all you can to get him and watch all PDP's cookies crumble

Asoozy:
Alhaji Alhaji. Na Buhari you detest now, not Tinubu? You don upgrade be dat o.

bossmini84:
I even detest tinubu more

Asoozy:
If he picks anyone other than a northerner na die be dat. If he likes make im pick Awolowo pikin, Yoruba no go vote am.

ilugunboy:
You've written a lot....the lack of paragraphing makes reading your type of comment above a bit tedious.

I don't think you can blame APC for the lackluster attitude and sometimes hostile behavior of Easterners towards the party...that would be a very uncharitable thing to do.

Almost all the political bigwigs of Anambra has made it clear that their political destiny lies with GEJ and not with any other party (even those in rivalry with Peter Obi).....and as long as Anambra is the political compass that the Igbo nation follows....any political decision for Igbo will always emanates from Anambra.

Please desist from blaming APC for the political choices made by the Igbo nation.

Kayyy:
The Best candidate for VP in the forthcoming election for APC is not currently in the party, he is the most sellable candidate that can split votes in jonathans stronghold ,his name is Donald Duke, do all you can to get him and watch all PDP's cookies crumble

Chiwude:
Anambra is just a single state in the South/East same as Imo and Enugu. It's is not the political compass of the Igbo nation. And the Igbo nation is not a boy boy area who follow people sheepishly. We are republicans and leadership to us is earned and not given. Anybody with plans to lead the Igbos must earn it.

Asoozy:
I suppose it was a huge compliment when in reply to my post, you said My post was rubbish.

Respect begets respect. Kponkwem!

bossmini84:
VP position in nigeria is always about blancing the political and tribal equation. The position does not carry any political weight. I doubt fashola would want a man like buhari to be his boss. Let's watch tinubu would make a buhari fail. The guy knows once buhari is president he has no more control over the party.

Chiwude:
If I may ask, are all Yoruba's anti-PDP. You don't base your judgement on the opinions of few people. If it were so, why did Fayemi's APC lose in Ekiti? Why weren't Ondo people antagonistic towards Mimiko's carpet crossing to PDP? It shows you that Nigerians no longer base their judgement on party but on the capability of individual to deliver developmental promises.
A typical Igbo man is not a party apologist. All he aspires for are people who can bring about changes in his community. No matter how much PDP re-brands itself they would still find it difficult to convince Anambra electorates to vote them into Governorship positions because of their animalistic and destructive antecedent in the state. The same thing applies to Imo state, though to a lesser extent than the former. But the problem with the east is that folks like Peter Obi rode on ethnic sentiments to achieve his selfish political ambition. Had Anambrarians read the plot earlier, I doubt if they would have fallen for his bait. Indeed the most nationalistic and committed Nigerians are from that part of the country. Yet Obi's mess has suddenly stained that good image that characterizes those folks. A huge chunk of the blame I think should go to APC. It was obvious that during the formative days of the party, some ethnic/religious chief fanatics used the party on a personnal vendetta against it's perceived opponents. Rather than give Nigerians reasons why it's a viable option to the PDP, they went about manipulating scathing attacks on a particular region who just felt satisfied with the leadership of the current President.
APC has a lot of work to do and chief among it, is to dispel the rumors that it is'nt a religious/regional party. The party's founding father's involved in the merger - not decampees - (Buhari (CPC), Tinubu (ACN), Onu (ANPP), Ogboru (DPP) Okorocha (APGA fac) et al) should make this their agenda.

Obiagelli:
This is how the states will vote come 2015
1. Abia - Goodluck
2. Adamawa - Buhari
3. Akwa Ibom - Goodluck
4. Anambra - Goodluck
5. Bauchi - Buhari
6. Bayelsa - Goodluck
7. Benue - Goodluck
8. C/River - Goodluck
9. Delta - Goodluck
10. Enugu - Goodluck
11. Ebonyi - Goodluck
12. Gombe - Buhari
13. Imo - Goodluck
14. Jigawa - Buhari
15. Kano - Buhari
16. Kaduna - Buhari.
17. Edo - Goodluck (small margin)
18. Kebbi - Buhari
19. Borno - Buhari
20. Lagos - Buhari
21. Niger - Buhari
22. Ondo - Goodluck
23. Oyo - Buhari
24. Ogun - Buhari
25. Osun - Buhari
26. Ekiti - Goodluck
27. Plateau - Goodluck
28. Kogi -Goodluck (small margin)
29. Kwara - Buhari
30. Rivers - Goodluck (small margin)
31. Sokoto state - Buhari
32. Nassarawa - Buhari(small margin)
33 Taraba - Buhari (small margin).
34 Yobe - Buhari
35. Zamfara - Buhari
36. Katsina - Buhari
37. FCT - DICEY....
As we can see Buhari has 20 states as against
Goodluck's 16 states and if considering that the larger
population of the electorates reside in the North and
Southwest it stands to reason that Buhari will be our
next president, but that is if the contest is going to be
free and fair.

Chiwude:
Your permutations are not far from the truth honestly. But, APC can turn the tide around only if they drop sentiments when presenting their Presidential/VP candidates for the election. It is no longer a secret that the north-west vote will be sliced 70/30 in favour of Buhari. While 60/40 in the North/East and 65/35 in the North-Central favouring PDP respectively. Coming down South, one should expect a 60/40 votes for APC in the South/West (even if a Yoruba candidate is fielded) the reasons are obvious. While in the South/South a collossal 98/2 votes in favour of PDP.
Now, this is the part I think GEJ would definitely want to leverage on - the South/East vote. You will recall that the major reason GEJ floored Buhari in the 2011 election was to a large extent the overwhelming block vote he got from Ndigbo nation-wide. The South-East vote as it stands will be the determinant factor to who becomes President come 2015. If Buhari plays his card well by picking an influential Igbo VP, then it would be most certain that he would be sworn in as President next year. There is no two ways about it. Within 48hrs Ndigbo seeing their son in a campaign poster for either President or VP would surely reconsider where their interest lies. A vigorous campaign in the S/East by the suppose Igbo VP and the APC entourage will do the magic swinging the votes in Buhari's favour and dismantling GEJ believed strong-hold. Opinions that would mould the voting pattern of Ndigbo would be shaped to where lies its interest and the feasibility of an Igbo president in the years to come, unless GEJ decide not handing over to a northerner and secretly signs a pact to pick an Igbo man for President come 2019 - an idea I think he hasn't considered yet, due to the number of ass lickers with the tag 'Igbo Leaders' who have decided to selfishly sell their birthright for the spoils in government (Peter Obi inclusive).

ferderick:
before posting this rubbish on this forum, go and confirm the percentage of igbos and ijaw in yorubaland and the populations of xtians in your north. The truth is, APC's undoing is number of moslems in their fold. This is Nigeria and religion plays a role in our politics. Thanks

ferderick:
before posting this rubbish on this forum, go and confirm the percentage of igbos and ijaw in yorubaland and the populations of xtians in your north. The truth is, APC's undoing is number of moslems in their fold. This is Nigeria and religion plays a role in our politics. Thanks

Malcolmx12:
Ogboru is in Labour party not apc, he's nt part of DPP dat joined APC anymore

Obiagelli:
This is how the states will vote come 2015
1. Abia - Goodluck
2. Adamawa - Buhari
3. Akwa Ibom - Goodluck
4. Anambra - Goodluck
5. Bauchi - Buhari
6. Bayelsa - Goodluck
7. Benue - Goodluck
8. C/River - Goodluck
9. Delta - Goodluck
10. Enugu - Goodluck
11. Ebonyi - Goodluck
12. Gombe - Buhari
13. Imo - Goodluck
14. Jigawa - Buhari
15. Kano - Buhari
16. Kaduna - Buhari.
17. Edo - Goodluck (small margin)
18. Kebbi - Buhari
19. Borno - Buhari
20. Lagos - Buhari
21. Niger - Buhari
22. Ondo - Goodluck
23. Oyo - Buhari
24. Ogun - Buhari
25. Osun - Buhari
26. Ekiti - Goodluck
27. Plateau - Goodluck
28. Kogi -Goodluck (small margin)
29. Kwara - Buhari
30. Rivers - Goodluck (small margin)
31. Sokoto state - Buhari
32. Nassarawa - Buhari(small margin)
33 Taraba - Buhari (small margin).
34 Yobe - Buhari
35. Zamfara - Buhari
36. Katsina - Buhari
37. FCT - DICEY....
As we can see Buhari has 20 states as against
Goodluck's 16 states and if considering that the larger
population of the electorates reside in the North and
Southwest it stands to reason that Buhari will be our
next president, but that is if the contest is going to be
free and fair.

Asoozy:
Typical traits of the jungle you hail from.

ilugunboy:
You are very razz....

Kayyy:
The Best candidate for VP in the forthcoming election for APC is not currently in the party, he is the most sellable candidate that can split votes in jonathans stronghold ,his name is Donald Duke, do all you can to get him and watch all PDP's cookies crumble

ilugunboy:
Agreed...Anambra is a single state in the SE, but we will not be saying the truth if we fail to agree that the state has been the barometer with which the politics of the SE is measure.

You profess often to be republicans ..but never in politics....your politics has always been mono-dimensional right from the beginning of Nigeria..and especially this fourth republic.

oduaboy1:
Any attempt to put an ibo man on that ticket amounts to gross political miscaculation.Even if you put jesus on that ticket,this people are still going to vote enmasse for Jonathan.

Chiwude:
If you say barometer, then you are simply stereotyping. The thuggery that characterized Anambra post Obi, was it prevalent in other Igbo states? Is the politics of Enugu and that of Anambra the same in approach. Now, take a look at Imo; you will agree with me that the state is liberal when it comes to politics. So please Anambra can never be used as a benchmark in qualifying how politics is played in Alaigbo.
Also you made mention of Igbos not being liberal in politics. Have Imo, Enugu, Ebonyi and Abia ever because of the party of an aspirant foil his political ambition in a contest. Even in the east prior to the demonisation of APC as a party was Chris Ngige not a Senator in ACN. Didn't Igbo sons contest under the flag of ACN. At least it was on record that ACN was formidable in the east; virtually pulling top heavyweights in Igbo states. Men like Ararume, Udenwa, Annie Okonkwo et al.
Now, the question you asked Ndigbo should be directed to your folks. Are you liberal in politics? Apart from Adeniran Ogunsanya in the 2nd republic when last has a Yoruba son contested under the flag of a pro-Igbo party.

asandigbo:
pa ilugun boy,I respect ur old age,I think u should do the same .

Ikengawo:
stop this your statistical terrorism

This is the last election. and GEJ won with 24 million to buhari's 12 million. despite the internet, GEJ is very popular in the SW middle belt and even north because even the states buhari won were close calls.

hollandis:
Buhari will be imprisoned this time

ilugunboy:
...he is from Cross Rivers state...prior to this desperation by the PDP camp with introduction of tribal and religious card to the polity, Donald Duke could stand a chance...however who in Cross River will follow him and work with him in APC...in other words...what does his primary constituency brings to the table in term of electoral value.

The truth reality is that the SW is the stronghold of APC ...and where it VP will mostly likely emerge from.

APC is not strong in SS nor SE.....but very strong in SW and strong enough in NW and NE.

Any VP choice from SE or SS because of religion consideration will result to a GEJ win.