Conservative Projections For The 2015 Presidential Elections. - Politics - Nairaland
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| Conservative Projections For The 2015 Presidential Elections. by doctokwus(op): 7:40pm On Dec 21, 2014*. Modified: 8:36pm On Dec 21, 2014 |
This is strictly based on my fair assessment using inec's voter total for each state and assuming @best 70% voter turn out.Power bases av also bn taken into consideration. Also less dan 100,000 votes I tag 0 Votes(m). GMB. GEJ SE -Abia. 1.4. 0. 1 Anam. 1.75. 0. 1.3m -Enugu. 1.3. 0. 1m Ebonyi. .87. 0. 700,000 Imo. 1.6. 500,000. 800,000 -Swest Ekiti. .75m. 300,000 300,000 Ogun. 1.86. 1.2m. 200,000 Osun. 1.29m. 800,000. 200,000 Ondo. 1.55m. 2000,000. 1.0m Oyo. 2.0m. 1.3m. 300,000 Lagos. 6m. 3.5m. 1m -SS Edo. 1.4m. 700,000. 400,000 Delta. 1.9m. 200,000. 1.2m Bayelsa. .47m. 0. 300,000 A/ibom. 1.7m. 0. 1.2m Rivers. 2.4m. 500,000. 1.0 C/rivers. 1.02m. 0. 700,000 -Ncentral Benue. 1.4m. 400,000. 500,000 Kogi. 1.2m. 200,000. 600,000 Kwara. 1.12m. 600,000. 200,000 Nassara. 1.2m. 600,000. 200,000 Niger. .72m. 300,000. 200,000 Plateau. 1.9m. 200,000. 1m -NEast Adamawa 1.7m. 500,000. 600,000 -Bauchi. 1.83m. 1.2m. 300,000 -Borno. 2.7m. 1.3m. 0 -Gombe. 1.2m. 600,000. 300,000 Taraba. 1.3m. 300,000. 6000,000 Yobe. 1.2m. 600,000. 0 -Nwest Jigawa. 1.8m. 1m. 0 Kano. 5.1m. 4m. 500,000 Katsina. 2.9m. 2m. 0 Kaduna. 3.5m. 2m. 500,000 Kebbi. 1.6m. 1m. 200,000 Sokoto. 2.0m. 1.2m. 0 Zamfara 1.7m. 1m. 0 Total: 28.2m. 18.3m Buhari from MY OWN projections wins,topping gej in d west,Neast and Nwest while gej wins in seast,ss and ncentral but wt less numb of votes |
| Re: Conservative Projections For The 2015 Presidential Elections. by Adminisher: 8:00pm On Dec 21, 2014 |
doctokwus:GEJ does not win North Central i keep saying this. The margin of defeat of Jonathan will be greater than this. |
| Re: Conservative Projections For The 2015 Presidential Elections. by doctokwus(op): 8:18pm On Dec 21, 2014 |
Adminisher:I think he may edge it slightly due to d greater voting population of plateau state((1.9m). Gmb wins kware,nassarawa and niger,but gej,s kogi,benue and plateau may just gv him a slight edge,but not enuf to make any much difference. Benue is a tight call due to d recent crisis in d pdp following their governorship and senatorial fiascos,but mark and d incumbent may just av too much cash and power of incumbency to throw around. |
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