₦airaland Forum

lagdmark:
GEJ has always been a Winner in politics. No doubt, he will always win every election and retain the Aso Rock till 2019 this is our prayers for the humble president who gave freedom of speech & press and allowed the opposition to stand.

PassingShot:
The summary of this is given below:

PDP is projected to win in 13 states: Anambra, Ebonyi, Imo, Enugu, Abia, Delta, Bayelsa, Cross River, Akwa Ibom, Rivers, Ondo, Benue and Taraba

APC is projected to win in 16 states: Ogun, Osun, Oyo, kwara, Niger, Kaduna, Kano, Katsina, Jigawa, Kebbi, Zamfara, Sokoto, Bauchi, Gombe, Yobe and Borno.

The following states (eight) are too close to call: Edo, Lagos, Benue, Plateau, Ekiti, Nasarawa, Adamawa and I will add FCT in the list.

Going by this analysis, GMB will win the election on the following facts:

1. He is expected to record outright win in 16 states while GEJ should win outrightly in 13 states.

2. The states GMB is projected to win have more votes than GEJ's states.

3. Even if GEJ wins all the eight too-close-to-call states, GMB will record at least 40% of the votes there. The win margin for GEJ (assuming he wins all of them) will be very narrow because they are states that can be won by either of them.

4. With all eight toss-up states marginally won by GEJ (big assumption), his total states won will be 19 (13+6) while GMB wins in 16 states with additional 40% to 50%% in the spring states. The implication of this scenario is that GMB will record more popular votes and will have equally secured more than 25% in 2/3 of the 36 states of the federation (i.e wins in 16 states, 40%-50% in 8 states, and at least 25% in Imo, Rivers, Ondo and Taraba which are projected for GEJ's win).

Therefore, however it turns out in the too-close-to-call states, GMB will be declared the president based on more popular votes.

boluyongp:
Thank you for this. Much appreciated.

jpphilips:
You think god is stvpid abi? why will God be in Nigeria when there is a city called Paris?
Continue voting PDP and expect god to intervene in your situation, in 2011, he travelled to Paris, once you vote PDP again and with terrorist threats in Paris, god will vacate to the Bahamas, dont say I didnt warn you!!
god is not dumb to be on the side of people who failed to utilize their God given common sense!!

aperture11:
Lagos too close to call. I am so laughing. Saturday is very close

patrickmuf:
Do you honestly think GEJ will have a roller coaster ride in the south west? The odds favour Buhari in this election and with the introduction of card reader, it'd be impossible for the president to record very high percentage of victory in the SE and SS

mrmetoo1:
Seriously guy what are you smoking?? Igbo votes in Ogun?? Are you just here to make jokes. GEJ doesn't stand a chance in Ogun and Oyo. I'm an Ogun boy and I'm saying this with all confidence. I have family in Ibadan, my cousin is serving in a town in Oyo, I have workers from Oyo, no one is talking about Jonathan. I won't want to touch Ondo and Ekiti as I don't know a lot of people from there but I know at least two people from Ekiti that are not happy about what Fayose is doing. You PDP guys say forget media hype but you guys are actually the ones that dwell on media hype and what some folks somewhere are feeding you. Go check the reality on ground, what has GEJ done in those places that you think they'll vote for him?? What can GEJ do for them. Think about things critically because you express yourself in public. Yorubas are now counting on getting some favors they lost out on to their SE/SS counterparts and you they'll just let that go for nothing.

Please where do you live?? This guy actually said GEJ will win Oyo and Ogun, what a joke

harde2lah:
Una want make Jega Gej postpone this election again bah? The fear of Buhari...
SAI BABA

Riodiao:
SO THE GOD IN CHURCHES IN NIGERIA IS WHAT GOD?

You believe that God is in Nigerian churches? , If you were God, will you sit and watch a man of god telling his customers that Jehovah can be bribed with 10% to open the windows of heaven?
God actually left when those nonsense started in churches, you and I know that majority of Nigerian churches preach the same nonsense how do you expect God to be there? anyways, don't derail the thread, Nigerian churches are too filthy for God to dwell in.

PassingShot:
Kaduna is not too-close-to-call. It is safe for GMB.

They left out Adamawa, Nassarawa and FCT in their table but have them as too-close-to-call in their analysis.

whizkid10:
These are all mind games... one thing i know for sure is Jonathan is going to be re-elected....

kasiem:
can u bet on that? Obj will never play any part cos he knows supporting buhari will mean him coming under tinubu. And the structures there will favor gej seriously, no element will there challenge the police led by mbu when they are protecting pdp stalwarts in doing their thing. As for oyo brother buhari can only get 20% of all the votes there. Moreover, I'm open to bet on this o

PassingShot:
The summary of this is given below:

PDP is projected to win in 13 states: Anambra, Ebonyi, Imo, Enugu, Abia, Delta, Bayelsa, Cross River, Akwa Ibom, Rivers, Ondo, Benue and Taraba

APC is projected to win in 16 states: Ogun, Osun, Oyo, kwara, Niger, Kaduna, Kano, Katsina, Jigawa, Kebbi, Zamfara, Sokoto, Bauchi, Gombe, Yobe and Borno.

The following states (eight) are too close to call: Edo, Lagos, Benue, Plateau, Ekiti, Nasarawa, Adamawa and I will add FCT in the list.

Going by this analysis, GMB will win the election on the following facts:

1. He is expected to record outright win in 16 states while GEJ should win outrightly in 13 states.

2. The states GMB is projected to win have more votes than GEJ's states.

3. Even if GEJ wins all the eight too-close-to-call states, GMB will record at least 40% of the votes there. The win margin for GEJ (assuming he wins all of them) will be very narrow because they are states that can be won by either of them.

4. With all eight toss-up states marginally won by GEJ (big assumption), his total states won will be 19 (13+6) while GMB wins in 16 states with additional 40% to 50%% in the spring states. The implication of this scenario is that GMB will record more popular votes and will have equally secured more than 25% in 2/3 of the 36 states of the federation (i.e wins in 16 states, 40%-50% in 8 states, and at least 25% in Imo, Rivers, Ondo and Taraba which are projected for GEJ's win).

Therefore, however it turns out in the too-close-to-call states, GMB will be declared the president based on more popular votes.

oieda:
Nice info
Source?

emmykk:
Buhari has never won any southern state before.

Yobe ,Bornu and Adamawa state PDP will win at least 2.

Edo state is PDP confirmed. Oba Palace,tom and tony gets there convered


Lagos will vote GEJ as President but may vote APC governor

PassingShot:
The summary of this is given below:

PDP is projected to win in 13 states: Anambra, Ebonyi, Imo, Enugu, Abia, Delta, Bayelsa, Cross River, Akwa Ibom, Rivers, Ondo, Benue and Taraba

APC is projected to win in 16 states: Ogun, Osun, Oyo, kwara, Niger, Kaduna, Kano, Katsina, Jigawa, Kebbi, Zamfara, Sokoto, Bauchi, Gombe, Yobe and Borno.

The following states (eight) are too close to call: Edo, Lagos, Benue, Plateau, Ekiti, Nasarawa, Adamawa and I will add FCT in the list.

Going by this analysis, GMB will win the election on the following facts:

1. He is expected to record outright win in 16 states while GEJ should win outrightly in 13 states.

2. The states GMB is projected to win have more votes than GEJ's states.

3. Even if GEJ wins all the eight too-close-to-call states, GMB will record at least 40% of the votes there. The win margin for GEJ (assuming he wins all of them) will be very narrow because they are states that can be won by either of them.

4. With all eight toss-up states marginally won by GEJ (big assumption), his total states won will be 19 (13+6) while GMB wins in 16 states with additional 40% to 50%% in the spring states. The implication of this scenario is that GMB will record more popular votes and will have equally secured more than 25% in 2/3 of the 36 states of the federation (i.e wins in 16 states, 40%-50% in 8 states, and at least 25% in Imo, Rivers, Ondo and Taraba which are projected for GEJ's win).

Therefore, however it turns out in the too-close-to-call states, GMB will be declared the president based on more popular votes.

But please don't say it too loud so that they won't postpone the elections again!

Jorussia:
Edo is sure bet for GMB.Ask 10 non partisan person living Edo who will win this forthcoming election based on his/her observation the answer will be GMB.its going to be 65-35 win for Edo.

kasiem:
I think this represents a better analysis than that of punch. But seriously I don't see the president loosing any of the states he won in last election. This time I see Niger and jigawa states adding to the improvements gej will make

PassingShot:
The summary of this is given below:

PDP is projected to win in 13 states: Anambra, Ebonyi, Imo, Enugu, Abia, Delta, Bayelsa, Cross River, Akwa Ibom, Rivers, Ondo, Benue and Taraba

APC is projected to win in 16 states: Ogun, Osun, Oyo, kwara, Niger, Kaduna, Kano, Katsina, Jigawa, Kebbi, Zamfara, Sokoto, Bauchi, Gombe, Yobe and Borno.

The following states (eight) are too close to call: Edo, Lagos, Benue, Plateau, Ekiti, Nasarawa, Adamawa and I will add FCT in the list.

Going by this analysis, GMB will win the election on the following facts:

1. He is expected to record outright win in 16 states while GEJ should win outrightly in 13 states.

2. The states GMB is projected to win have more votes than GEJ's states.

3. Even if GEJ wins all the eight too-close-to-call states, GMB will record at least 40% of the votes there. The win margin for GEJ (assuming he wins all of them) will be very narrow because they are states that can be won by either of them.

4. With all eight toss-up states marginally won by GEJ (big assumption), his total states won will be 19 (13+6) while GMB wins in 16 states with additional 40% to 50%% in the spring states. The implication of this scenario is that GMB will record more popular votes and will have equally secured more than 25% in 2/3 of the 36 states of the federation (i.e wins in 16 states, 40%-50% in 8 states, and at least 25% in Imo, Rivers, Ondo and Taraba which are projected for GEJ's win).

Therefore, however it turns out in the too-close-to-call states, GMB will be declared the president based on more popular votes.

jpphilips:
People are saying they don't have money again to import products and you are talking nonsense!, how can you expect me to spend 450m on a product that 320m used to buy because you devalued the naira?

I continue telling Nigerians, by the time Jonathan is done with their ars@, they will regret Jonathan 2019.
It is clear that the nation needs to start afresh but we must punish the culprits at the polls, the government's austerity measures is suffocating and the masses think its cool!!

How can you have kids studying abroad and you want to vote Jonathan, are you insane? what devalued the naira? shortage of FOREX
where does our FOREX come from? Sale of Oil, under Jonathan 400,000bbls of this oil is stolen daily worth $46,000,000 when oil was $115.
Jonathan had the temerity to award a security pipeline contract of $1.3b to Tompolo who is part of the theft, can you imagine the wickedness of this man?
Tompolo got his $1.3b in 2011, yet millitary got theirs in 2014 after boko has killed over 13,000 Nigerians? Is jonathan not wicked? are you guys ok! how can you vote poverty on your counscience? Let the Abuja big boys vote him, let us see how many votes he will get, yet the poor people who will soon become armed robbers and prost!tutes are shouting Sai Jonathan!! shame on your souls!!

Other oil producing countries saved at the time reason they are not complaining much, Russia saved $480b, their only achilles heel is their EU sanction.

Norway saved $780b, they are not complaining, Saudi Arabia saved $920b, depleted to $760b they are not complaining, Iran could not save because they were funding several terrorists organizations with their wealth, in cohort with Qatar, Nigeria decided to deplete the ECA and Foreign reserve, that is the genesis of this mess and we say SAI Jonathan? Why did the governors demand for their share of the ECA, because Jonathan was misappropriating it, several personal withdrawals from the account was proved in court.
Under OBJ nobody touched that account, that was how we survived drop in oil price as low as $38, Jonathan is $60, right now and Nigeria is on fire, can't you guys see?

You are an importer getting dollars at 225 naira and you say jonathan 2019? you are a m0r0n.
By the end of 2015 if Jonathan continues, most of the students here will drop out because your parents will lose their jobs, I am firing three next month and a lot of people are doing the same, you guys have no idea what is going to happen by this year end.

let me give you the history, oil price down, devalued naira, shortage of fuel, removal of all subsidies including HIV drugs, do you guys know where austerity measures end? food shortages.

You are a student and you want to vote Jonathan, sorry for you because when the government is running budget deficit like now, salaries will be owed and your lecturers will go on strike, cant you see?

If you took any loan bank , office or cooperative loan, with a devalued currency, you are in for an upward review of your interest rate, and some people think it is cool to be shouting GEJ 2019, those people deserve to be shot without trial

All government funded subsidies will disappear, if you have HIV, just save for your burial because in rivers state now, they are stranded, the ones supplied by the Americans can no longer go round, cant you guys see?

We must punish PDP at the polls, why are you scared of Buhari, are you a thief? the undisciplined and the thieves don't want buhari, while you a nobody is singing their praise, what are you scared of?
Anytime you fall in love with Jonathan ask yourself? what do you have to lose?

We are already down with Jonathan, we cannot fear any worse.

Buhari is not a jesus but Jonathan must be punished for this mess, he should be held responsible and accountable for this mess, How can Jonathan approve austerity measures for Nigerians while he could not cut his feeding budget and you guys think its ok!!

He flies 9 private jets and you don't even have a tokumbo car shouting SAI jonathan?

Crude price is down and you think Jonathan is not responsible are you daft? how about saving and appreciating the naira when it was high so that as it goes down, it won't be this low?

jonathan is a walking disgrace if you support Jonathan and you are rich, benefitting from this government, you are wise, if you are an average Nigerian who is gonna face this austerity measures and still support his presidency, you are a f00l and a m0r0n, shaken together and runneth over.

This election has exposed one thing, Nigerians are very bad people, they are willing to stand and die for evil, the next hitler will be a Nigerian, mark my words.

PassingShot:
The summary of this is given below:

PDP is projected to win in 13 states: Anambra, Ebonyi, Imo, Enugu, Abia, Delta, Bayelsa, Cross River, Akwa Ibom, Rivers, Ondo, Benue and Taraba

APC is projected to win in 16 states: Ogun, Osun, Oyo, kwara, Niger, Kaduna, Kano, Katsina, Jigawa, Kebbi, Zamfara, Sokoto, Bauchi, Gombe, Yobe and Borno.

The following states (eight) are too close to call: Edo, Lagos, Benue, Plateau, Ekiti, Nasarawa, Adamawa and I will add FCT in the list.

Going by this analysis, GMB will win the election on the following facts:

1. He is expected to record outright win in 16 states while GEJ should win outrightly in 13 states.

2. The states GMB is projected to win have more votes than GEJ's states.

3. Even if GEJ wins all the eight too-close-to-call states, GMB will record at least 40% of the votes there. The win margin for GEJ (assuming he wins all of them) will be very narrow because they are states that can be won by either of them.

4. With all eight toss-up states marginally won by GEJ (big assumption), his total states won will be 19 (13+6) while GMB wins in 16 states with additional 40% to 50%% in the spring states. The implication of this scenario is that GMB will record more popular votes and will have equally secured more than 25% in 2/3 of the 36 states of the federation (i.e wins in 16 states, 40%-50% in 8 states, and at least 25% in Imo, Rivers, Ondo and Taraba which are projected for GEJ's win).

Therefore, however it turns out in the too-close-to-call states, GMB will be declared the president based on more popular votes.

ogene007:
[s]The underage and multiple voting that gave Buhari massive numbers in the last elections would be eliminated, that is why GEJ is detailing special security team to arrest such people. At the end of the day, a lot of those diverted PVCs in the north will be rendered useless because they will not be useful to the APC. This election will give us a true representation of the strength in population of northern Christians who are undoubtedly the majority in the north. There is just no way a truly free and fair election can favour Buhari because this is a man whose political relevance thrives on violence and intimidation. This time around, it will not be business as usual because only voters of eligible age will vote, and multiple voting will be minimized to the barest minimum. GEJ is undoubtedly coasting to an overwhelming victory[/s].

forkadict:
Maguy. Lagos is massively for Buhari. I wonder the kind of analyst that calls Laos 'too close to call'