₦airaland Forum

south west should have been a win for APC (by
their permutation )but now it seem PDP have
beaten them beyond their expectation...from wats
at hand now APC agents now know that there is
fire on the mountain. PDP rooting out their their
presumed very high vote in south west...don't
just sai buhari but also call your agents and ask

PassingShot:
On a serious note, only those who don't know jack about politics talk like that.

Did you see that I predicted Ekiti for Jonathan? Lagos for APC at 60% and currently it's at 58% with the result declared so far. Oyo is at 63% presently against my prediction of 65%.

Beleive me, the party that out-performs the other in SW/NC will win this race.

It is either you just started observing the Nigerian election trends or you are trying to arrogate more importance to the southwest than it has. The 2011 elections showed how inconsequential the Sw votes can be.... If anything, it showed that it couldn't decide anything for the winner of the elections.

The regions that determined the election for Mr President was the Eastern and NC region, the SW and other region was a case of get 25% votes and move on..... The claims of the SW being a deciding region is a myth that has been proven to be false. I challenge you to argue based on the results of last elections.

GOODLUCK JONATHAN WINS BUT THIS TIME BY
VERY NARROW MARGIN.

themano:
Generally PDP is overachieving your projections. Be ready for some shocks coming soon.. Note you are the only APC guy here i listen to ..

Which of my projections has PDP overarchieved?

transformation .. Gej all the way. Til buhari restore his senses back

bros1234:
But guy, you get bad mouth sha.

I rep you.

Honestly, I don't have a bad mouth I'm just one guy that rejects injustice of any kind to any group of people .

I hate traitors because I would rather die fighting alongside with my friends and family than haul asss and abandon them .

Remain faithful to your own people and when they are wrong tell them they are wrong and be a free man internally and this is what I'm preaching .

That lady is a serious turncoat ho.
Even hos can be faithful once you stamp your feet and say enough is enough.

IVORY2009:
baba, invalid vote nkor?

So you think I didn't think about that? I was trying to point out the lazy attitude of our journalists. Half info here and there. If 100 people vote, you must account for the whole 100. You don't account for 85 and expect the consumers of your info to figure the rest out. Over 600 votes were unaccounted for. Why? We need to know if they were disqualified or something. No be so? Abi na waec abi jamb wey person no dey see script?

scantee:
if not that ur my fellow cules i would have called you...., jst ask people around Enugu to hlp u interprete this word the meaning NKANU EBUKA. i lived in katisina for 3yrs, dont be decieved by number of LGAs rather the populatation, i campainged for Orji Kalu there during his presidential election, i know Duara very well, i live @ IBB way by Abuja Street opp Abuja hotel. till now my uncle & families still live there by General hospital road. Bro do not be decieved. Thanks

Nkanu ebuka; Nkanu epeka! What different does it make! Daura ga aku ya aka na ala!

Up Daura!
Btw, Up Barça!!!!
Sai Buhari

incrediblestev:
It is either you just started observing the Nigerian election trends or you are trying to arrogate more importance to the southwest than it has. The 2011 elections showed how inconsequential the Sw votes can be.... If anything, it showed that it couldn't decide anything for the winner of the elections.

The regions that determined the election for Mr President was the Eastern and NC region, the SW and other region was a case of get 25% votes and move on..... The claims of the SW being a deciding region is a myth that has been proven to be false. I challenge you to argue based on the results of last elections.

Based on the last election, Jonathan won in all SW states except Osun. If you take the votes from there away (5 states mind you), that's a large chunk cut out of his total votes.

In the NC, he won in all of the six states there but may only win two or three at best. Now, that's 7/8 states taken out of the states he won in 2011.

SW/NC are battlegrounds now only because none of the two candidates are from these two region. It's a straight forward arithmetic.

Equalizer:
Even in my PU yesterday in Anambra, APC got just one vote and the APC polling agent was even angry with the person that voted for his party... hahahahaaha

LOL

I repeat, these results have been seriously violated.

It's so obvious jonathan we will win all the Se and SS.. but what the total number of those with PVC talk less of those that actually voted. The result there iinconsequential, now let's go to NE, NW , SW aside ekiti and battle ground NC which GMB will still win... let the counting begin..

Johnpaul88:
Nkanu ebuka; Nkanu epeka! What different does it make! Daura ga aku ya aka na ala!

Up Daura!
Btw, Up Barça!!!!
Sai Buhari

just accept defeat like RM. Gej till xavi stays back.

I pity the Igbos, still boasting after you ve committed political suicide in 9ja. Gej didn't get the northern vote in 2011 yet became president . Same applies here GMB does not need your votes but 25% in 25 states and simple majority.
The ss had a reason to vote GEJ but wetin be una own? Rather than starting political realignment and getting something 4 the region in the next dispensation they are still boasting.
If u had aligned with sw and nc you guys will be looking at 2019 because gmb can't go beyond that and then present Rochas or ingige. But your pride and hatred wouldn't make u see. Even in lagos you boast you will beat the yorubas in their land. Now every region know u guys and will pay you back 4 many many years to come. Mark my words

Ladex2012:
It's so obvious jonathan we will win all the Se and SS.. but what the total number of those with PVC talk less of those that actually voted. The result there iinconsequential, now let's go to NE, NW , SW aside ekiti and battle ground NC which GMB will still win... let the counting begin..

i feel like beating up for posting that trash.

aresa:
And of what relevance is any vote from the ss and se in the grand scheme of things...?. You people sabi take your sef too serious sha...

Aresa,I wouldn't know to what degree you know about our political history.These were the same sentiments voiced by the Moshood Kolawole Abiola popularly called MKO.He actually said,he can do without the vites on Nd'igbo.Arthur Nzeribe swore to him and said that no man born of a woman in Nigeria can take the Ibos for granted and get away with it.We all know the events that followed thereafter,MKO was never ever sworn into office.Don't say stuff you know nothing about.

Ladex2012:
It's so obvious jonathan we will win all the Se and SS.. but what the total number of those with PVC talk less of those that actually voted. The result there iinconsequential, now let's go to NE, NW , SW aside ekiti and battle ground NC which GMB will still win... let the counting begin..

SW?

queenbetty1:
Largas abi radarada or what do you call your name name you go die coz I can see u are for stupid party likewise your stupidity has led you to be telling yourself to "go and die" ewure Pdp

Haba! Take am easy now! E never reach like this o! Politics is not war neither a do or die affair. If you win...you win and if you lose....you gradually step aside.

Nice smile!

SPINA101:
69632 voted in daura my man that is riging Sha let him rig there we have many place to rig

Unconfirmed!

kboycrew:
I pity the Igbos, still boasting after you ve committed political suicide in 9ja. Gej didn't get the northern vote in 2011 yet became president . Same applies here GMB does not need your votes but 25% in 25 states and simple majority.
The ss had a reason to vote GEJ but wetin be una own? Rather than starting political realignment and getting something 4 the region in the next dispensation they are still boasting.
If u had aligned with sw and nc you guys will be looking at 2019 because gmb can't go beyond that and then present Rochas or ingige. But your pride and hatred wouldn't make u see. Even in lagos you boast GOODLUCK JONATHAN WINS BUT THIS TIME BY
THE VERY NARROW MARGIN. you will beat the yorubas in their land. Now every region know u guys and will pay you back 4 many many years to come. Mark my words

you mean south east will be marginalize if APC win?

scantee:
just accept defeat like RM. Gej till xavi stays back.

What defeat? APC is clearly leading in all the votes already released and here u talk of accepting defeat?
Nwanne, ugbo agbanwego o! PDP na azozi isi onwe ha azo. O bughizi ihe ha turu na ahia ka a na azutara ha.

PassingShot:
Based on the last election, Jonathan won in all SW states except Osun. If you take the votes from there away (5 states mind you), that's a large chunk cut out of his total votes.

In the NC, he won in all of the six states there but may only win two or three at best. Now, that's 7/8 states taken out of the states he won in 2011.

SW/NC are battlegrounds now only because none of the two candidates are from these two region. It's a straight forward arithmetic.

You are not getting my point, yes he won in most of the Southwest States but what was the percentage of votes he got from the region when compared to the other regions that actually decided the votes for Jonathan, the SW was the least, the whole region did not even gave up to 3million votes even though he won in most of the states in the region, if the less than 3million votes were to removed from Jonathan's 22million votes, he still would have won clearly, how does that make the SW a deciding region. It is either newspapers and Yoruba Journalists deliberately arrogate so much importance to the region than it actually has or it is a lie that has some how been confused as the truth.

Obiagelli:
SE and SS results are expected, i repeat those results don't determine anything.

haba my friend more than 10 million won't make a difference

PassingShot:
Which of my projections has PDP overarchieved?

PDP surpassed your Percentage projections in SW. Lagos, Osun, Ekiti, Ogun, and Ondo. Only Oyo wasnt
Let me not talk about NC, SS and SE. Watch this space...

gists:
I had this same line of thinking as yours. But then I realised the magic numbers from SS and SE are yet to be released. From the look of things, SE and SS will book the full PVCs collected. That is a massive figure. The only way to counter it is if Kano, Kaduna and katsina don't fully utilise theirs as well. Forget about litigation and asking biometric verification in court. It is not likely to work against a corrupt incumbent that will benefit from the fraud. The only way the block vote from SS and SE will amount to nothing is if NW & NE have near perfect turnout.

this has been my argument, so many people seem to be overlooking it

koruji:
He got 40% in Ekiti, although you guys were here saying he got less than 10%

Just as Jonathan is looking extremely good in Osun.

He might get up to 45% of the votes.

APC supporters have celebrated too early. They might end up playing into the hands of PDP.

Obiagelli:
SE and SS results are expected, i repeat those results don't determine anything.

Ok

Johnpaul88:
What defeat? APC is clearly leading in all the votes already released and here u talk of accepting defeat?
Nwanne, ugbo agbanwego o! PDP na azozi isi onwe ha azo. O bughizi ihe ha turu na ahia ka a na azutara ha.

oga eme gi vum na anya, keep swallowing fantasy result peddled by Buhari e-rats on nl.

incrediblestev:
You are not getting my point, yes he won in most of the Southwest States but what was the percentage of votes he got from the region when compared to the other regions that actually decided the votes for Jonathan, the SW was the least, the whole region did not even gave up to 3million votes even though he won in most of the states in the region, if the less than 3million votes were to removed from Jonathan's 22million votes, he still would have won clearly, how does that make the SW a deciding region. It is either newspapers and Yoruba Journalists deliberately arrogate so much importance to the region than it actually has or it is a lie that has some how been confused as the truth.

Abi o, primary concern should be on total number of VOTES CAST and NOT on CARDS COLLECTED!!!

themano:
PDP surpassed your Percentage projections in SW. Lagos, Osun, Ekiti, Ogun, and Ondo. Only Oyo wasnt
Let me not talk about NC, SS and SE. Watch this space...

In Lagos, I predicted APC to win by 60%. What has PDP recorded? Please tell me if you know cos I don't know yet.

In Osun, I predicted 80%. I agree PDP has exceeded myt expectation here.

In Ekiti, I predicted PDP to win by 60% and they won by 59.5%

I don't know what is the result of Ondo yet.

In Oyo, I gave APC 65% win and they have recorded 63% so far.


Has there been any major deviation apart from Osun? Or do you expect my predictions to be 100% accurate?

All this saTANs giving themselves hope, I pity you o. So even if Jonathan gets 25% in 24 and he gets a minority vote, then automatically he becomes the winner abi?! Better face reality and stop deluding yourselves.

Buhari just needs 25% from 3 southern States, he could get it from Imo, Rivers, and Edo. You say South Votes can defeat North?!! I laugh in Swahili, Zaria Local Government has killed that of Enugu and Akwa Ibom. Lemme not talk too much, let's wait and see, your fathers(Temitemi1, SeverusSnape, Barcanista, etc) are all shut, but you are still ill headed. This was the same way some miscreants said Jonathan would win 60% in NC and SW(!?) , and today they're shocked!

Here is the result of some local government in Katsina State(just imagine the results of the whole North)

PassingShot:
Niger is being declared and GMB is wining handsomely. Same for Kwara too. Kogi and Nassarawa are for APC as well. PDP will likely win Benue and Plateau. If APC win Lagos, and Ondo plus Osun and Oyo, only massive rigging can save PDP. Forget whatever result they will bring from SS/SE, I factored the unusually high percentages from the SE/SS in my analysis and PDP still didn't win.

Even Abuja which I gave to PDP, APC is currently leading there!

As far as am concerned prediction or not, the final result from INEC is the BOMB.....

All this permutation and combination to me is just on the face value....

Let's wait till the final result from jega.