Why It Is Too Late To Rig - Cramjones - Politics (2) - Nairaland
Nairaland Forum › Nairaland General › Politics › Why It Is Too Late To Rig - Cramjones (3540 Views)
| Re: Why It Is Too Late To Rig - Cramjones by andico34: 8:23am On Mar 30, 2015 |
in my view what tipped this election in favor of PDP was the failure of the card readers in the SS and SE thereby allowing manual accreditation! |
| Re: Why It Is Too Late To Rig - Cramjones by gists: 8:30am On Mar 30, 2015 |
andico34:I am not sure 25% for apc in rivers and other SS/SE states is essential. From the look of things apc will get more than 25% of at least 24 other states, so apc doesn't need 25% in this region. My main concern is turnout ratio compared with pvcs collected. Inec didn't do anything to above average turn out in SS/SE in 2011. since it looks like card readers were not used, do you think inec will investigate unusually high turnout rates this time? I think not |
| Re: Why It Is Too Late To Rig - Cramjones by andico34: 8:32am On Mar 30, 2015 |
the analysis above was similar to what Silver NAtes in the USA used to call the election for obama in contrast to other analysts!......block votes and high voter turnout among blacks and other minorities approaching 90 plus % and low voter turnout among whites....similar scenario is happening here in nigeria and people are not observing this fact unfolding |
| Re: Why It Is Too Late To Rig - Cramjones by andico34: 8:34am On Mar 30, 2015 |
gists:INEC will not investigate this and I think this is what PDP all long has been banking on to win and what gives them confidence....it is their ace card! |
| Re: Why It Is Too Late To Rig - Cramjones by andico34: 8:51am On Mar 30, 2015 |
And watch out for this scenario.....the block votes from the SS and SE will start coming out when KANO ..the biggest state and perhaps JIGAWA and KATSINA is announced..(these are in the NW) |
| Re: Why It Is Too Late To Rig - Cramjones by andico34: 9:02am On Mar 30, 2015 |
below points have been their strategy close the gap in the SW........achieved (note also problem in SW.....voter turnout approaching 25% against PVC) come out tops in the NC........achieving that used the block votes from the SS and SE (with high voter turnout against PVC collected) to nill out the votes in the NW and NE (which is currently trending 30 to 40% votes against PVC collected) and pull ahead |
| Re: Why It Is Too Late To Rig - Cramjones by Nobody: 9:03am On Mar 30, 2015 |
superneutral:Are u saying Gej will not get 25% in hausa states? |
| Re: Why It Is Too Late To Rig - Cramjones by Volksfuhrer(m): 9:10am On Mar 30, 2015 |
andico34:In my view I smell sabotage! The failure of card readers in the SS and SE is just too convenient! Nevertheless, PDP will still lose this Presidential election! End of Story. 1 Like |
| Re: Why It Is Too Late To Rig - Cramjones by andico34: 9:13am On Mar 30, 2015 |
Volksfuhrer:my brother relax....as of now the maths dont add up for apc yet! |
| Re: Why It Is Too Late To Rig - Cramjones by kingbasil: 9:20am On Mar 30, 2015 |
I sense fear after the initial show of bravado from the Apc gulls on this thread...  ... I told ya to hold on a bit b4 that dance but I guess the shoes have been put on a long time ago that you forget that elections are not won on social media... I still maintain it keep calm... |
| Re: Why It Is Too Late To Rig - Cramjones by Volksfuhrer(m): 9:25am On Mar 30, 2015 |
andico34:Keep dreaming! The math looks too smooth for Buhari. Even GEJ knows the game is up! |
| Re: Why It Is Too Late To Rig - Cramjones by andico34: 9:40am On Mar 30, 2015 |
ok...pls then try and counter my analysis with facts based on released results |
| Re: Why It Is Too Late To Rig - Cramjones by andico34: 10:06am On Mar 30, 2015 |
onfolding analysis....for APC to win the presidential election...the gap( i.e the difference in votes between PDP and APC) in the votes they will receive in the SW, NW,NE and the states they win in NC MUST exceed at least 12 million votes....as of now...it is not happening |
| Re: Why It Is Too Late To Rig - Cramjones by superneutral(m): 10:21am On Mar 30, 2015 |
crixtex:Can check the wide Margin in Kano |
| Re: Why It Is Too Late To Rig - Cramjones by andico34: 10:30am On Mar 30, 2015 |
ongoing analysis.....factoring the results officially released by INEC from oyo,ogun, ekiti, kogi, kano, jigawa.....the gap is at 3.4 million plus votes, a deficiency of 8.6 million votes...waiting for katsina, sokoto, kebbi, zamfara, borno etc.....we will be able to call the election if we get this results from INEC |
| Re: Why It Is Too Late To Rig - Cramjones by VoteOutPDPJona: 10:44am On Mar 30, 2015 |
|
| Re: Why It Is Too Late To Rig - Cramjones by Amazo: 10:57am On Mar 30, 2015 |
cramjones:On behalf of CramJones, I thank myself also  for voting GMB  |
| Re: Why It Is Too Late To Rig - Cramjones by andico34: 7:39pm On Mar 30, 2015 |
we are ready to make a call.....PDP will win the election with at least 500,000 votes...the magic block votes as reported earlier have started coming in....you may ask how...PDP needed to nil the margins from the NW and NE and go ahead....collectively as of now 6.7 million votes: SW votes only gave APC about 600,000 votes margin adding that to the margins in both NW and NE (6.1 million)....total 6.7 million votes how can PDP overcome? Rivers ....1.4 million akwa ibom....approx 1 milllion enugu 550,000 anambra approx 650,000 abia.....400,000 bayelsa......approx 400,000 we are projecting the margins in this SE/SS to be cross river 400,000 imo....800,000 ebonyi....400,000 delta......800,000 total margin.....7.2 million if APC can overcome this margin....they will win.....but we believe it is over NC wasnt factored here....because it is approx 50/50 as of now |
| Re: Why It Is Too Late To Rig - Cramjones by Nobody: 12:58am On Mar 31, 2015 |
I like this [url=cramjones.showyourcertificate.com]old troll[/url]  . |
Femi Fani-kayode Punished By 'madam' For Coming Late To Dinner • Peter Obi Arrives Late To World Igbo Congress. See What He Did Next • How Buhari And Jega Planned To Rig This 2015 Election - Codewit.com Propaganda • 2 • 3 • 4
PDP's Magic In Taraba's Gov' Election Results.... With Pictures • Comparing The Appointments Of GEJ With That Of PMB. Who Is More Fairer? • To All Acclaimed Biafrans desist from empty war talks