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Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 - Business (3876) - Nairaland

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Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Viking007(m): 7:57pm On Jul 04, 2018
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 8:00pm On Jul 04, 2018
stemmez:

I have plenty male hormones fr body.. Buh I be gal

Stripe yourself to your panties, write your moniker on a plane paper place it on your pûna snap and upload I beg.


gringrin

8 Likes

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 8:01pm On Jul 04, 2018
Timbuktu14:
Check your email. A temporary password has been sent to you. Login and change immediately.

You welcome cheesy

I couldn't complete it from my mail. I clicked the link, It's bringing up a dialog box with javascript alert error. Wouldn't it be able to wait for like an hour? So I could use a better phone and complete it..
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by chewbacca: 8:02pm On Jul 04, 2018
Jay95:

Do you have a WhatsApp or Telegram group?

nah bro, I post my games here smiley
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by chewbacca: 8:03pm On Jul 04, 2018
Addme:
One thing I like most about you is that you play any game you dropped here. Congrats......


B93SPASPCAAQW-5276887

Thanks for this.........

thanks bro, congrats to you too cheesy
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by chewbacca: 8:05pm On Jul 04, 2018
locust:


U be ps2 cheat oo

lol grin
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 8:06pm On Jul 04, 2018
chewbacca:


nah bro, I post my games here smiley
OK.
Thanks and all the best!

1 Like

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by bujebudanu1(m): 8:13pm On Jul 04, 2018
EmekaBlue:
Golden State Warriors - Los Angeles Lakers
Over 164.5

Totals
1.75

But why these big guyz over 164.5 come get big odd like these...NBA wey dey score 200+

?

8pm kickoff

Na pre season.they don't score much now
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by egbeocha(m): 8:14pm On Jul 04, 2018
JixNation:
cheesy



Egbeocha, I think I know you.



Yaaa, mayb 4rm guruslodge bro cheesy cheesy
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 8:15pm On Jul 04, 2018
stemmez:

I have plenty male hormones fr body.. Buh I be gal
N yu re nt a lesbian habi na yu dey homophobic
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 8:16pm On Jul 04, 2018
egbeocha:

Yaaa, mayb 4rm guruslodge bro cheesy cheesy
Are you from Benue?
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Bigmex: 8:21pm On Jul 04, 2018
FRoosevelt:
I think with this analogy, your method still utilizes the bookie's probability on the expected outcomes despite the fact that you have been able to subtract the bookie's margin from it.
If you are able to generate your own probability independent of the bookie's probability, and calculate the expected value based on the odds given, I think you can have a positive EV (expected value) for such odds making it more profitable than following the bookie's probability.
What do you think?

well its good to calculate or determine the odds yourself using poisson distribution or through whatever means. but hey note this you can never have all the information and data odd compilers or traders have which they use to arrive at the odds shown on bet exchanges. these guys have superior in depth knowledge of the games or leagues. infact they specialise on at most two leagues. they know everything about a team from A to Z statistically. these are things you dont know. so at most times, they are right with their values. it is your duty to calculate the vig they built in and determine the true odd values set. but you may ask why then do we see unexpected outcomes in some games. some games not all games. the answer is very simple, in as much as the analysis of a match may be thorough, a players emotional build up to the game and during the game cannot be predicted accurately, this major factor has been left out and contributes also to the outcome of a game

3 Likes

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by eunisam: 8:22pm On Jul 04, 2018
Z7FYBB7Q
shure game
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 8:24pm On Jul 04, 2018
Bigmex:


well its good to calculate or determine the odds yourself using poisson distribution or through whatever means. but hey note this you can never have all the information and data odd compilers or traders have which they use to arrive at the odds shown on bet exchanges. these guys have superior in depth knowledge of the games or leagues. infact they specialise on at most two leagues. they know everything about a team from A to Z statistically. these are things you dont know. so at most times, they are right with their values. it is your duty to calculate the vig they built in and determine the true odd values set. but you may ask why then do we see unexpected outcomes in some games. some games not all games. the answer is very simple, in as much as the analysis of a match may be thorough, a players emotional build up to the game and during the game cannot be predicted accurately, this major factor has been left out and contributes also to the outcome of a game
Are you on WhatsApp please?
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by chewbacca: 8:29pm On Jul 04, 2018
AXYZ:
Chewbacca, kindly help to panelbeat this for tennis bettors. Tomorrow games

Z7FYPMNR

Thanks

Cc yehmy

Really nice picks I must say.. but I’ll advice you to remove those 2:0 correct score sha.. I usually go for 1st set and match.. some players usually rest 2nd set then win match in 3rd set.

check this remix out: B91SPAAPQSPEE-4686395
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 8:37pm On Jul 04, 2018
Z7FY9KB5
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 8:38pm On Jul 04, 2018
qualityGod:
1412K


17sweet odds

Gl kiss
17+ 0dds booooooom cool

Congratulations if you played

5 Likes

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by TissuePaper: 8:38pm On Jul 04, 2018
Bigmex:


well its good to calculate or determine the odds yourself using poisson distribution or through whatever means. but hey note this you can never have all the information and data odd compilers or traders have which they use to arrive at the odds shown on bet exchanges. these guys have superior in depth knowledge of the games or leagues. infact they specialise on at most two leagues. they know everything about a team from A to Z statistically. these are things you dont know. so at most times, they are right with their values. it is your duty to calculate the vig they built in and determine the true odd values set. but you may ask why then do we see unexpected outcomes in some games. some games not all games. the answer is very simple, in as much as the analysis of a match may be thorough, a players emotional build up to the game and during the game cannot be predicted accurately, this major factor has been left out and contributes also to the outcome of a game
indeed...i think the issue of unexpected events occurring is one of the reasons why i suggested we use the Algebra of Random Variables to pick out our less valuable picks, then you can follow it through with the Anti-Maria

2 Likes

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 8:41pm On Jul 04, 2018
[quote author=chewbacca post=69086511]

Really nice picks I must say.. but I’ll advice you to remove those 2:0 correct score sha.. I usually go for 1st set and match.. some players usually rest 2nd set then win match in
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 8:45pm On Jul 04, 2018
Bigmex:


well its good to calculate or determine the odds yourself using poisson distribution or through whatever means. but hey note this you can never have all the information and data odd compilers or traders have which they use to arrive at the odds shown on bet exchanges. these guys have superior in depth knowledge of the games or leagues. infact they specialise on at most two leagues. they know everything about a team from A to Z statistically. these are things you dont know. so at most times, they are right with their values. it is your duty to calculate the vig they built in and determine the true odd values set. but you may ask why then do we see unexpected outcomes in some games. some games not all games. the answer is very simple, in as much as the analysis of a match may be thorough, a players emotional build up to the game and during the game cannot be predicted accurately, this major factor has been left out and contributes also to the outcome of a game
I like the part where you mentioned the players emotional state.

Football matches or any other competition are 60% psychological. Statistics aside, you can't compare the performance of a strong team playing preseason friendlies, to playing in a decisive knockout game.

Also, derby games, backroom crises, fatigue, weather,injuries, lineups, formations etc are decisive considerations in making a prediction.

Bookies don't consider most of these things until the last minute where you are likely to see their odds fluctuating based on what majority of people are staking on.
So the bookies, though smart, don't have it all. A smart punter should be able to explore these flaws and make a killing.

I can attest to that.

1 Like

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 8:47pm On Jul 04, 2018
stemmez:
I came ro this thread to have fun but bacluck ppl use dia own dabaru my bets.. I come jam scammer Ifunaya fr here again.. This is too much. ifunaya, return my 200k. Me and u go enter same bra for PH if u no behave
Gheen,gheen!!! No let that notorious chief catch you

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Rushmore(f): 8:47pm On Jul 04, 2018
qualityGod:
17+ 0dds booooooom cool

Congratulations if you played
Missed... cry
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Betnomore: 8:47pm On Jul 04, 2018
Algebra of Random variables Now I can call it a night and sleep

3 Likes

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by EmekaBlue(m): 8:50pm On Jul 04, 2018
bujebudanu1:


Na pre season.they don't score much now
na waa...but it's likely over for Nba I guess
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by TissuePaper: 8:50pm On Jul 04, 2018
FRoosevelt:
I like the part where you mentioned the players emotional state.

Football matches or any other competition are 60% psychological. Statistics aside, you can't compare the performance of a strong team playing preseason friendlies, to playing in a decisive knockout game.

Also, derby games, backroom crises, fatigue, weather,injuries, lineups, formations etc are decisive considerations in making a prediction.

Bookies don't consider most of these things until the last minute where you are likely to see their odds fluctuating based on what majority of people are staking on.
So the bookies, though smart, don't have it all. A smart punters should be able to explore these flaws and make a killing.

I can attest to that.
Apt smiley..However, it takes a lot of brainwork and attention to detail.

1 Like

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Bigmex: 8:52pm On Jul 04, 2018
FRoosevelt:
I like the part where you mentioned the players emotional state.

Football matches or any other competition are 60% psychological. Statistics aside, you can't compare the performance of a strong team playing preseason friendlies, to playing in a decisive knockout game.

Also, derby games, backroom crises, fatigue, weather,injuries, lineups, formations etc are decisive considerations in making a prediction.

Bookies don't consider most of these things until the last minute where you are likely to see their odds fluctuating based on what majority of people are staking on.
So the bookies, though smart, don't have it all. A smart punter should be able to explore these flaws and make a killing.

I can attest to that.

true talk..well said bro

2 Likes

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 8:55pm On Jul 04, 2018
TissuePaper:
Apt smiley..However, it takes a lot of brainwork and attention to detail.
Exactly. Most punters only consider events happening within the mean percentile. Veteran punters evaluate the outliers in the 90th percentile. The skewed occurrences are mostly what determine outcomes.

1 Like

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Chiefheywhy(m): 8:56pm On Jul 04, 2018
La Galaxy v DC United

U (3.5)

1.58

Starts 3:30am

2 Likes

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by sukhothai: 9:02pm On Jul 04, 2018
Jay95:
Do you have a WhatsApp or Telegram group?
stop this kind question..
Before you go pass the spirit of ogbeniayo unto am..
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 9:03pm On Jul 04, 2018
Rushmore:

Missed... cry
tomorrow is another day wink

1 Like

Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by AXYZ: 9:04pm On Jul 04, 2018
chewbacca:


Really nice picks I must say.. but I’ll advice you to remove those 2:0 correct score sha.. I usually go for 1st set and match.. some players usually rest 2nd set then win match in 3rd set.

check this remix out: B91SPAAPQSPEE-4686395


Thanks bro. I've played it.

I was tempted to also play a very long one. Perhaps some peeps can eke out 5 odds.

B934SPAAEPPCCC-5265153
Re: Football (+Other Sports) Betting Season 12 by Nobody: 9:06pm On Jul 04, 2018
Timbuktu14:
Check your email. A temporary password has been sent to you. Login and change immediately.

You welcome cheesy

I tried with a better phone now. It's now saying "Connection error, please try again" after I input username and password. I generated another password from "forgot password", still same issue.

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