₦airaland Forum

senatordave1:
Oga,your also hallucinating for thinking that tambuwal and other northerners will divide bubu's votes but the the numerous apc bigwigs in the south south and east wont divide pdp votez.thats double speak and standard.stop that.do you realize that apc is more formidable in ss/se than pdp in the north? The southerners dislike both apc and pdp just as they despise bubu and other northerners.if tambuwal is to win in the south,the difference wont be much.
In the south east,buhari will take imo,get 25% in anambra,ebonyi and abia and lose heavily in enugu.
In the ss,buhari will win edo,get 25% in cross river,akwa ibom,rivers,delta and akwa ibom and lose badly in bayelse.
Please,dont forget pdp's candidate will be a northerner so no bloc votes and no federal might

buhariguy:
divide the vote for who?

Pls tell me any state buhari can not win.
Is it in Enugu or bayelsa atiku or saraki will win buhari? Or in ekiti?

PrecisionFx:
""in the south/south and south east
Buhari will definitely win more than he did last time around, ""

Ur hallucinating .

""No incumbent president have ever lost their own region since the time of obasanjo and it's no coincidence""

U keep missing the point, Nobody is saying Buhari will lose the NW, instead PDP candidate will gain a huge chunk of Votes there, As much as 35% or 40%. Against Tambuwal, Buhari won't win Sokoto.

If Tambuwal gets 40% votes in NE n NW, 50% of SW n NC n then 92% in eastern nigeria, He will win.






"" No numbers of defection in the south /south south east including the defection of Amechi in the Rivers state and Rochas in Ink state spoiled his votes.""

Rochas n Oshiomole were able to get a lot of Votes and the important 25% total votes in imo n edo

truthfulparrot:
The big question is will the 2019 election be free and fair? Will Buhari concede victory to the opposition the same way Jonathan did? ........ Will our votes counts?
Buhari is standing on the threshold of history. He should examine his conscience and listen to the voice of his God. He should not listen to the Cabal and sycophants who are only out to protect their I terests

aolawale025:
APC cannot win the presidential elections in 2019. All the analysis isn't in their favor

osazsky:
which Edo,come Benin na make u c hunger,he b like say this one never go market ,traders dey complain, no sales cuz things are too high ,we get most of our product from Benue ,there are no farmers in Benue again,lower supply ,higher demand,don't mention obaseki,he is not a tout like oshiomole,no more agbero for Benin again o,who wan rigg for am,even d last one d agbero oshiomolo rigged for him he still lost , there are some places in Edo ,like sabo if u mention bubu name u may be killed by mob as in lynched

osazsky:
u are claiming rights online when u know what is on ground can't u see u and sarki are d last man standing ,sarki is already having a second thought cos he is a fractional BMC and d faac loggerhead last month affected his allowee ,there are some places in south south and east u there not shout buhari name in public cuz u may be lynched,anybody would defeat bubu hands down ,he has noting to campaign with ,u can't win an election by fighting people if u served well people will fight for u,not this fractional and which hunting politics man grow up,

Iamgrey5:
This is the most incoherent nonsense I have ever seen

Buhari got 1.6m votes in Kano in 2011 without Kwakwasor with the party he formed five months before the election

ANPP got 500000 + votes

PDP got 400000 + with Rabiu

APc is the fusion of CPC, ANPP , ACN and NPDP

He got 1.9 m with Rabiu

CPC had no local structure nothing whatsoever in 2011 unlike now that they have the state governor with two senators and local structures

in the North west, there are other states too

There's Niger
There's kastina
There's Sokoto
There's is kebbi state

And don't forget that no Nigerian president have ever lost his own region in an election


@ Benue

Buhari only won Benue by around 20000 or so before, so a lost there now won't mean the end of the world.

@ Plateau

Jonathan only won by a couple of thousands, he didn't floor Buhari


@ the southwest

The flooring of ACN in 2011 was simply because most of its supporters voted Jonathan instead of Nuhu Ribadu


This article is full of rubbish

wakaman:
He would scale each and every hurdle as they come.

Sai Baba

senatordave1:
Oga,your also hallucinating for thinking that tambuwal and other northerners will divide bubu's votes but the the numerous apc bigwigs in the south south and east wont divide pdp votez.thats double speak and standard.stop that.do you realize that apc is more formidable in ss/se than pdp in the north? The southerners dislike both apc and pdp just as they despise bubu and other northerners.if tambuwal is to win in the south,the difference wont be much.
In the south east,buhari will take imo,get 25% in anambra,ebonyi and abia and lose heavily in enugu.
In the ss,buhari will win edo,get 25% in cross river,akwa ibom,rivers,delta and akwa ibom and lose badly in bayelse.
Please,dont forget pdp's candidate will be a northerner so no bloc votes and no federal might

SternProphet:
SPONSORED ARTICLE . There will be many like this . Articles bought by politicians to cause confusion. Watch out for SUN, VANGUARD. For the heavy hitters who can pay, they will use THIS DAY.

bobnatlo:
What of Abiola over Tofa's in kano during 1993 elections

What of Falae over Obasanjo in Ogun n southwest in 1999 elections

maestroferddi:
Go and play in the sand.

You are embarrassing yourself....

SternProphet:
SPONSORED ARTICLE . There will be many like this . Articles bought by politicians to cause confusion. Watch out for SUN, VANGUARD. For the heavy hitters who can pay, they will use THIS DAY.

konoplyanka:
Tambuwal will get 50% of SW because 50% of SW are ibos. Ibos and delusion.

The only scenario that can make buhari lose the election is if some governors in the SW decamp to PDP.

Senators and representatives decamping is of no significant. He will get more than 70% of SW votes and Edo then nw and ne 40% of SS and 30% of SE. Anything else is delusion.

Chigold101:
you can't even understand simple analysis...
Na wa oh

airsaylongcon:
And the two million people votes most from under aged voting won't be dealt with? Watch and see how Card reader will fail across the country

konoplyanka:
Tambuwal will get 50% of SW because 50% of SW are ibos. Ibos and delusion.

The only scenario that can make buhari lose the election is if some governors in the SW decamp to PDP.

Senators and representatives decamping is of no significant. He will get more than 70% of SW votes and Edo then nw and ne 40% of SS and 30% of SE. Anything else is delusion.

opribo:
Why on earth wont Bubu respect his old age and emulate the footsteps on yhe great Nelson Mandela.
What on earth can he do again for znigeria at this stage other than to go home and pray for the country as most great leaders fo at this age.

It is only a greedy and wicked man that will cling on to power and yhis age when he knows there are millions of ypung men and women that can do this job 100 times better than whatever he thinks he is doing there. Does he not have any shame in his eyes.
What was expected of him was to go in there to clean the Augean stable and prepare the way for a new generation of leaders by jailing all past leaders found wanting but NO, he is not different as he claimed.

Iamgrey5:
Check the results of imo presidential election again to observe the gap.

Edo doesn't usually have a voting pattern of the rest of south south, unlike the northwest states you mentioned that have often voted with similar patterns

Plus osho never defected from PDP he was in LP in the early stages of his administration, he already contested and won elections as a member of ACN in the state.

No, you are the one hallucinating to think PDP will get up to 40% of the north west that Buhari have always won for fun as an outsider.



And To think most of the people you mentioned have always been in the opposition in that period..

And why don't you add 80% for PDP in the south west just so you can sleep better at night olobe

APC now has better structures in the south south and south east than 2015, more politicians with political pedigree, if nobody else vote for Buhari, their supporters of will Meaning more votes for Buhari.

senatordave1:
Oga,your also hallucinating for thinking that tambuwal and other northerners will divide bubu's votes but the the numerous apc bigwigs in the south south and east wont divide pdp votez.thats double speak and standard.stop that.do you realize that apc is more formidable in ss/se than pdp in the north? The southerners dislike both apc and pdp just as they despise bubu and other northerners.if tambuwal is to win in the south,the difference wont be much.
In the south east,buhari will take imo,get 25% in anambra,ebonyi and abia and lose heavily in enugu.
In the ss,buhari will win edo,get 25% in cross river,akwa ibom,rivers,delta and akwa ibom and lose badly in bayelse.
Please,dont forget pdp's candidate will be a northerner so no bloc votes and no federal might

Iamgrey5:
Shey you don't understand the meaning of incumbent abi

buhariguy:
I am from Benin, and nobody is hearing of PDP.
Edo state is APC,

senatordave1:
Oshiomhole as apc chair will never lose edo,you know that.

PrecisionFx:
GEJ lost as an incumbent, It's no big deal.

PrecisionFx:
""No, you are the one hallucinating to think PDP will get up to 40% of the north west that Buhari have always won for fun as an outsider.
""

GEJ lost as an insider .

"" unlike the northwest states you mentioned that have often voted with similar patterns
""

How many states did Buhari win in the NW against a fellow fulani man Yaradua? He couldn't even win Sokwoto against a fellow kastina man ...... Talk more about wining Sokwoto against n extremely popular fulani governor.