₦airaland Forum

Based on the PVC collected, only 2584 voters are expected to participate in the rerun election. Assuming 100% turn-out which has NEVER happened, PDP needs about 1120 votes to win. APC has a bigger task on this. The odd gets slimmer where about 80% turn is recorded, which is even higher than the main election of less than 60% turnout.

Moreover, with allegation of deductions of 1000 votes in Ayedaade and inflation at Oshogbo being pursued by PDP, APC may as well kiss Osun goodbye!

PDP should mobilise men and resources and be highly vigilant on this one. While APC are romancing Omisore, PDP should strive to half votes in Oshogbo and Ife Polling units by direct contacts with voters. Tell electorates that Omisore has sold them to APC to become minister without consulting them in the first place. Then win Orolu Polls as they did earlier. Details below is unverified PVC collected by polling units. If turn-out exceed 60%, PDP should demand explanations from INEC!!!

Ipob analysis .

Good analysis. Never again will APC rule.

Lol... Let's assume the number of PVC's collected so far is truly 2584 and let's assume the turnout is 60% tomorrow. By my calculation, 60% of 2584 is 1550.4 which is approximately 1550. Let's then assume that with the support of Omisore, APC is able to secure 65% of 1550 votes which is 1007, that makes PDP's votes 543. Let's then add PDP's outstanding 353 votes to the 543, their votes would be 896. Now subtract 896 from 1007, then APC would lead with about 111 votes. All in all, I see APC winning the rerun tomorrow.!

PDP should be vigilant. INEC could hand over the uncollected PVCs to APC.

donphilopus:
Lol... Let's assume the number of PVC's collected so far is truly 2584 and let's assume the turnout is 60% tomorrow. By my calculation, 60% of 2584 is 1550.4 which is approximately 1550. Let's then assume that with the support of Omisore, APC is able to secure 65% of 1550 votes which is 1007, that makes PDP's votes 543. Let's then add PDP's outstanding 353 votes to the 543, their votes would be 896. Now subtract 896 from 1007, then APC would lead with about 111 votes. All in all, I see APC winning the rerun tomorrow.!

Wishes! Dream on bro!!!

donphilopus:
Lol... Let's assume the number of PVC's collected so far is truly 2584 and let's assume the turnout is 60% tomorrow. By my calculation, 60% of 2584 is 1550.4 which is approximately 1550. Let's then assume that with the support of Omisore, APC is able to secure 65% of 1550 votes which is 1007, that makes PDP's votes 543. Let's then add PDP's outstanding 353 votes to the 543, their votes would be 896. Now subtract 896 from 1007, then APC would lead with about 111 votes. All in all, I see APC winning the rerun tomorrow.!

You tried but you too arbitrary!
Use LGA's party ratio from result announced and the turnout witnessed state wide on Saturday Sept 22nd as basis for a more realistic projection.

Senator Adeleke will dance to govt house as PdP coast home.
When last did you see apc's oyetola?