nelsonebby:
What’s the meaning of this?

Is 460k that much?

Congrats bro......I tap into your winning cos I will be needing Mother Luck soon

IamJix:
The mentions self dey make me laugh.

That Donpikko na mad guy himself.

shey you know wetin dey keep me busy offline lately?
Lhimeet and Chiefheywhy can attest to this too.

yea i know

Lhimeet suppose play u de tape....dem call him name for dat thread self.......

ositadima1:


Now, the fun part, if you can estimate probabilities better than the bookies you have an edge. Bookies are not always correct in there estimation, and if you can analyse certain markets better than them you will make profits long term as long as you have a neat staking plan.

You see, winning long term lies not in picking and backing winners but in playing value bets consistently.

But what is a value bet? For example let's assume the bookies offer you 2.22 odds for heads on a coin flip, if you are sharp you would see that this bet is overpriced and therefore it is a value bet, why?

2.22 odds translates to 45% but actually head turn up about 50% of the time, 5% more than estimated by bookie. That is, if you play the game 10 times you win 5 (heads) and loose 5 (tails).

Let's do the calculation:

5 win = #1 x 5 x 2.22 =#11.1
profit =#11.1-#5 (initial investment)
=#5.1
5 Losses =#1 x 5 x -1 =- #5

Sum = #5.1 - #5 = #0.1

Overall profit #0.1

If you can estimate better than the bookies you will make money long term.

There is a standard formula to calculate EV, Expected Value;

Odds x your Prob - 1

In the example above

(2.22 x 0.5) - 1 = 0.1

more likes and I will post a link to a book that explains this concept in more detail.

In the book their are other concepts, money management, variance etc. If you have issues studying you can quote me with ur question.

Mind you, you have to have above average IQ to understand it, lol.

https:// drive. google. com/file/d/1-BWKWA_DYgKlhkF7ADVWS0WLEk4m3L0F/view?usp=drivesdk

I deliberately placed 3 gaps in d link so I don't get flagged by nairaland bot.

Note: I am not advertising the authors system, this is purely for education.

Please is 2nd half most scoring half option available on 1xbet
Please

eunisam:




can you convince me with your coupon cos I have no fund to stake

I no understand you

SmilingMary:
what are u saying? U talk shit G

This airtel thing is real, got 9 Gb with just 400 naira, thanks bro

BetterKola:




Congrats bro......I tap into your winning cos I will be needing Mother Luck soon

Best of luck

Abdulize:

This airtel thing is real, got 9 Gb with just 400 naira, thanks bro

mtn...go rest b dat......de advantage be say mtn na free.....

Airtel...i go spent #200

well...Airtel dey fast sha....make i go watch all dose crazy South Africa songz n amazing beatz

Abdulize:

This airtel thing is real, got 9 Gb with just 400 naira, thanks bro

that 9 gig is just a carricature of 1 gb

Chiefheywhy:
M-Pfp
Merrybet Username : Chiefay
Bet ID : 213338302


Netherlands - Germany
Under/Over 2.5 goals - over 2.5 (2.5) 1.74

Belgium - Switzerland
Belgium to win either half - yes 1.24

Russia - Sweden
Double chance - Russia or draw 1.23

Belarus - Luxembourg
Under/Over 3.5 goals - under 3.5 (3.5) 1.25

Kosovo - Malta
1x2 - Kosovo 1.26

Armenia - Gibraltar
Handicap 0:1 - Armenia (0:1) 1.21

Deportivo Pasto - Atletico Bucaramanga
Highest scoring half - 2nd half 2.15

FC Sochaux - FC Metz
Double chance - draw or FC Metz 1.28

TSG Hoffenheim II - VfB Stuttgart II
Both halves under 1.5 - no (1.5) 1.34

Botafogo RJ - Vasco Da Gama RJ
Botafogo RJ win to nil - no 1.29

CD River Plate Ecuador - Deportivo Cuenca
CD River Plate Ecuador win to nil - no 1.21

Sunderland AFC - Carlisle Utd
1x2 - Sunderland AFC 1.48

Cork City FC - Bohemians Dublin FC
1x2 - Cork City FC 1.70

Bohemians 1905 - SK Slavia Praha
Under/Over 2.5 goals - over 2.5 (2.5) 1.42

Bamber Bridge - North Ferriby Utd
Under/Over 2.5 goals - over 2.5 (2.5) 1.61



TOTAL ODD : 167.45

Last week two games, this week one!

I will still caught them.

uvemi:
The game later cast. Oya begin dey swear for that guy

Lol.

IamJix:
The mentions self dey make me laugh.

That Donpikko na mad guy himself.

shey you know wetin dey keep me busy offline lately?
Lhimeet and Chiefheywhy can attest to this too.

Just ignore Bro..

eunisam:
night Nurse
Z6V6LVPD

Eunisam, u got my WhatsApp msg?

Coldplayyy:


FT Netherland 1-1 Germany

Quote me after the game

never knew you're into match fixing!
Mr fix tips!

Chiefheywhy:


Last week two games, this week one!

I will still caught them.

Armenia odd was 34! Shiitt

ibj55:
Two games spoilt dis 300k plus game, we go again anoda day

mistercharles:
Armenia odd was 34! Shiitt

I swear, to think that was the smallest odd on the slip.

nelsonebby:
What’s the meaning of this?

Is 460k that much?

Congrats.
Abeg keep us posted when dem free mk u withdraw the money...
I wan know if they r trusted.

nelsonebby:
What’s the meaning of this?

Is 460k that much?

Only you just carry luck full head. Nice one.

Make i collect the 5k untop

Waiting for those antagonists like...

nelsonebby:
What’s the meaning of this?

Is 460k that much?

My brother show me love oh. Onyeoma! When I hammer, I go show you love oh. I go spray you money. Onyeoma!

Jagaban880:


mtn...go rest b dat......de advantage be say mtn na free.....

Airtel...i go spent #200

well...Airtel dey fast sha....make i go watch all dose crazy South Africa songz n amazing beatz

Can you pls tell me how to go about that of MTN??

uvemi:
that 9 gig is just a carricature of 1 gb

Don’t know what you mean by that but I’ve been using it on my mifi since afternoon

Turkeelex:


the way all this sakamanje mommy's pet dey join cult these days is alarming, children wey never see anything for life, if dem go Kirikiri Maximum just once, for their life if dem hear Cu.....them no go wait hear the remainder.....

he joined cultism to feel among, he's a small boy.. But I am determined to track him down and have him arrested

My intel is already on it

pussyMagnett:
he joined cultism to feel among, he's a small boy.. But I am determined to track him down and have him arrested

My intel is already on it

get him arrested for wat crime?

baba no go shoot your self for your leg by your self

Jagaban880:
...yea

abeg u go show me
I wan fund my 1xbet account

Jagaban880:


get him arrested for wat crime?

baba no go shoot your self for your leg by your self

the legislature has passed an order to arrest and imprison any cultist for a minimum of 30years, I'm simply trying to sanitize the nation and contribute to sanity

I will keep you posted

Bushyhair:


abeg u go show me

I wan fund my 1xbet account

....

just go to corners.....remember not 1half or 2half corners........

only corners......scroll down u go see am

tomorrow i go screenshot am show u

pussyMagnett:
the legislature has passed an order to arrest and imprison any cultist for a minimum of 30years, I'm simply trying to sanitize the nation and contribute to sanity

I will keep you posted

wich legislature?....most of dem belong...


abeg make we hear word....notin d happen

Jagaban880:

wich legislature?....most of dem belong...


abeg make we hear word....notin d happen

yes they do but they obey the golden rule and that is to 'never get caught '

Jagaban880:
....
just go to corners.....remember not 1half or 2half corners........
only corners......scroll down u go see am
tomorrow i go screenshot am show u

whr corners dy? like bet9ja own

Chiefheywhy: