Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes - Politics (3)

Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes - Politics (3) - Nairaland

Nairaland Forum › Nairaland General › Politics › Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes (8359 Views)

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34(op): 2:06pm On Feb 25, 2019

deji68:
Complete Overview almost patt situation
ABUJA AA +0.1M

PLATEAU AA +0.2M

TARABA AA +0.2M

ONDO AA < +0.1M

OYO AA +0.1M

BENUE AA +0.1M

EDO AA +0.1M

DELTA AA +0.3M

RIVERS AA +0.3M

BAYELSA AA +0.3M

AKWA IBOM AA +0.2M

CROSS RIVER AA +0.4M

IMO AA +0.2M

ENUGU AA +0.5M

ANAMBRA AA +0.4M

EBONYI AA +0.17M

ABIA AA +0.1M

thanks

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34(op): 2:10pm On Feb 25, 2019

ANAMBRA is looking good and ENUGU may be about 400k plus

1 Like

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by globemoney: 2:12pm On Feb 25, 2019

andico34:
bringing down AA projection to win with 250,000 votes

lets be realistic here even if PMB will win ...will be with less than 200k votes

This shows your an arm chair Analyst. You should know by now Atiku has lost, even Atiku knows this. Make a rough estimate

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by deji68: 2:15pm On Feb 25, 2019

Projections are rough estimates... shocked

globemoney:
This shows your an arm chair Analyst. You should know by now Atiku has lost, even Atiku knows this. Make a rough estimate

1 Like

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by Boss20: 2:15pm On Feb 25, 2019

andico34:
ANAMBRA is looking good and ENUGU may be about 400k plus

Zamfara and Bornu might be more than 200k margin each, say 300k each will be more realistic.

Nice one still

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by Okoroawusa: 2:15pm On Feb 25, 2019

wetin this one dey talk?

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by ozo13(m): 2:17pm On Feb 25, 2019

andico34:
THESE MARGINS ARE FLUCTUATING IN REAL TIME, THEREFORE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN ATIKU AND PMB MIGHT BE LESS THAN 300,000 VOTES

he hehe .only u dey project repro

andico34:
bringing down AA projection to win with 250,000 votes

lets be realistic here even if PMB will win ...will be with less than 200k votes

even sokoto margin is up to 0.5M

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34(op): 2:18pm On Feb 25, 2019

loooking now like ANAMBRA will overshoot projection...this might make up for other fluctuations elsewhere

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by deji68: 2:19pm On Feb 25, 2019

The total votes in Sokoto is not up to 500k.....

ozo13:
he hehe .only u dey project repro even sokoto margin is up to 0.5M

1 Like

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34(op): 2:19pm On Feb 25, 2019

ozo13:
he hehe .only u dey project repro even sokoto margin is up to 0.5M

sokoto as of now is > +0.2M

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34(op): 2:20pm On Feb 25, 2019

deji68:
The total votes in Sokoto is not up to 500k.....

correct

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by drshrewd: 2:21pm On Feb 25, 2019

andico34:
bringing down AA projection to win with 250,000 votes

lets be realistic here even if PMB will win ...will be with less than 200k votes

I know tell you https://archivengr.com/election-atiku-defeats-buhari-in-13-lgs-declared-in-enugu/

Margins for Enugu less than 0.2m with just 4 LGA to go

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by drshrewd: 2:21pm On Feb 25, 2019

andico34:
bringing down AA projection to win with 250,000 votes

lets be realistic here even if PMB will win ...will be with less than 200k votes

I know tell you https://archivengr.com/election-atiku-defeats-buhari-in-13-lgs-declared-in-enugu/

Margin for Enugu less than 0.2m with just 4 LGA to go

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34(op): 2:29pm On Feb 25, 2019

drshrewd:
I know tell you https://archivengr.com/election-atiku-defeats-buhari-in-13-lgs-declared-in-enugu/

Margins for Enugu less than 0.2m with just 4 LGA to go

the remaining 4 LGAs are densely populated areas including Nsukka

projection still looks good

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by Nobody: 2:31pm On Feb 25, 2019

andico34:
ABUJA AA +0.1M

PLATEAU AA +0.2M

TARABA AA +0.2M

ONDO AA < +0.1M

OYO AA +0.1M

BENUE AA +0.1M

EDO AA +0.1M

DELTA AA +0.3M

RIVERS AA +0.3M

BAYELSA AA +0.3M

AKWA IBOM AA +0.2M

CROSS RIVER AA +0.4M

IMO AA +0.2M

ENUGU AA +0.5M

ANAMBRA AA +0.4M

EBONYI AA +0.4M

ABIA AA +0.1M

KOGI AA +0.1M

Oya remove Kogi and also put Nasarawa under pmb cheesy

1 Like

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by Francisayo(m): 2:33pm On Feb 25, 2019

IMO PDP 179,000
APC 95000

Reshuffle ur analysis

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by globemoney: 2:33pm On Feb 25, 2019

deji68:
Projections are rough estimates...

I think projections are confirmed results yet to be announced, what I mean by rough estimates are exit polls.. without even the results being called

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by TAxposer: 2:35pm On Feb 25, 2019

remove rivers please..d margin is far lower

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34(op): 2:36pm On Feb 25, 2019

BayportalEnt:
Oya remove Kogi and also put Nasarawa under pmb

Nassarawa cancelled out Adamawa....thats why I did not include it......The Kogi margin....I have taken into consideration bringing down tally to 250k votes for Atiku.....and also note.....the margin in Kano is reducing

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by vizboy(m): 2:37pm On Feb 25, 2019

andico34:
Nassarawa cancelled out Adamawa....thats why I did not include it......The Kogi margin....I have taken into consideration bringing down tally to 250k votes for Atiku.....and also note.....the margin in Kano is reducing

What is the margin for kano now

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by joe4christ(m): 2:37pm On Feb 25, 2019

I'm following!

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34(op): 2:38pm On Feb 25, 2019

TAxposer:
remove rivers please..d margin is far lower

I intentionally left rivers that way....remember INEC will still conduct elections there in some LGAs

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34(op): 2:40pm On Feb 25, 2019

vizboy:
What is the margin for kano now

projection for Kano is now less than 600k.......without the Kwankwaso factor....this election woulld have been called for PMB by now

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by TAxposer: 2:40pm On Feb 25, 2019

andico34:
I intentionally left rivers that way....remember INEC will still conduct elections there in some LGAs

lol...maybe you should see the current result first

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by deji68: 2:49pm On Feb 25, 2019

I have updated your projection +3,65(AA) - 3,907 (PM) = 2,6k Deficit in favour of PMB

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by Nobody: 2:54pm On Feb 25, 2019

andico34:
Nassarawa cancelled out Adamawa....thats why I did not include it......The Kogi margin....I have taken into consideration bringing down tally to 250k votes for Atiku.....and also note.....the margin in Kano is reducing

You need to wake up..

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by andico34(op): 2:55pm On Feb 25, 2019

deji68:
I have updated your projection +3,65(AA) - 3,907 (PM) = 2,6k Deficit in favour of PMB

current tabulated INEC results from Rivers gives a +0.28M for AA....

thanks for the update

Like i said earlier....either opponent the margin will be less than 300k votes

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by oseremhe: 3:00pm On Feb 25, 2019

PMB won kogi, nasarawa, kwara, and niger and you are projecting +700 for AA in the North Central.

my guy calm down AA has already lost this election.

better luck with your projections next time

2 Likes

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by dammiecool(m): 3:12pm On Feb 25, 2019

oseremhe:
PMB won kogi, nasarawa, kwara, and niger and you are projecting +700 for AA in the North Central.

my guy calm down AA has already lost this election.

better luck with your projections next time

Thank u o

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by BUGOFF(m): 3:22pm On Feb 25, 2019

andico34:
current tabulated INEC results from Rivers gives a +0.28M for AA....

thanks for the update

Like i said earlier....either opponent the margin will be less than 300k votes

If i may ask, u saying a margin of less than 300k renders the polls inconclusive?
What exactly are the parameters to decide a 2/3 majority?

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by Helgreenluv(m): 4:09pm On Feb 25, 2019

God has shamed you. Ewu gambia. Buhari has won. Go and drink sniper

1 Like

Re: Atiku Abubakar Projected To Win With Over 500,000 Votes by korm2me(m): 4:16pm On Feb 25, 2019

Op update.....
https://www.thecable.ng/breaking-buhari-defeats-atiku-with-over-130000-votes-in-lagos/amp

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