Dansuqi:


When did lanlehin rejoin apc? His time to rule oyo is beckoning.the only obstacle is ladoja

unitysheart:


You are right. His loyalty is mainly to Buhari. He's at loggerheads with PDP mainly because of Wike.

Dansuqi:


When did lanlehin rejoin apc? His time to rule oyo is beckoning.the only obstacle is ladoja

Dansuqi:


It is like kwankwaso/shekarau fight.they can't be in the same space.if wike joins apc,amechi will rejoin pdp immediately.

Firefox01:
Exactly! You know what's going on, apart from the coalition Makinde had, Ajimobi didn't work wholeheartedly for Adelabu. Some of us are of the thought that he sabotaged Adelabu sef. Anyway, Ajimobi is dead, the coalition is dead. The coalition members have been absorbed into the APC back. Oyo is ours for the taking. We have 2 out of 3 senators and 9 out of 14 reps. We are on ground.

unitysheart:


https://www.premiumtimesng.com/regional/ssouth-west/415259-lanlehin-rejoins-apc-18-months-after-helping-makinde-into-office.html

Iamgrey5:
That he can't win any election by himself.

Dansuqi:


Remove oyo and Adamawa.Oyo people seem to like makinde no matter his performance.but if apc can present someone popular like lanlehin,fatai buhari and stop makinde from aligning with ladoja,they should win.Adamawa is unpredictable.so far,the governor is performing.apc needs to present someone like senator nyarko or that sdp guy who is a boy to boni haruna.

For bauchi,with dogara back in apc,they will surely take back bauchi but they must not present the ex governor.

Apc should also take rivers,maybe akwa ibom or abia.

Apc will lose kano or kaduna,plateau,one of ogun or kogi

vicdom:

It's always very difficult to upstage an incumbent. And mind you, most elections that happen during the general election do not usually see the influence of federal nights as such. Makinde will surely return, it can only take extraordinary efforts, coalition and alliance of supper forces to remove an incumbent.

Dansuqi:



On a normal base,pdp is very weak in oyo since the death of adedibu and the defection of ladoja so it was surprising how they won oyo.let that useless teslim folarin go back to pdp

vicdom:

It's always very difficult to upstage an incumbent. And mind you, most elections that happen during the general election do not usually see the influence of federal nights as such. Makinde will surely return, it can only take extraordinary efforts, coalition and alliance of supper forces to remove an incumbent.

Dansuqi:


If you are a seasoned analyst,you won't argue this.where is mamotalk

ArmedRobber:
the coalition that brought makinde is dead. Apc oyo have mend their fence. Makinde performance is below par.
Adamawa gov is not performing, APC sabotage APC that's how pdp won adamawa but 2023 election apc re approaching it on united front.
APC cant take rivers abia,always ibom except the second term govs wants to impose their stooge which might make a war broke out in pdp
camps.
Plateau or kogi might fell for PDP definetly not kano ogun or Kaduna

ArmedRobber:
makinde won as a punishment to ajumobi , he doesnt have any political clout apart from the. Coalition.
Ajumobi is dead and makinde performance is not meeting up to expectations.
You need to work extraordinary to win second term in oyo, ajumobi earn second term because of his performance. Makinde haven't done 1/3 of what ajumobi did in his first term.

Dansuqi:



For oyo,akala cannot be the apc leader.it has to be someone from Ibadan.
Adamawa gov is paying salary regularly and that is what is used to rate performance in Adamawa.

They can take abia if they present Alex Otti and stop pdp from rigging obingwa.I already mentioned that akwa ibom governor wants to impose someone.same thing might happen in abia...

El rufai is likely going to impose someone in kaduna which will not be good for apc.I dont see anybody in kano apc to take kwankwaso in-law

bakila:

As a seasoned analyst you should now that elections are often decided by events from six months to elections not two years. APC is set for a mini implosion in 2023, with events such as what to do with Tinubu and who becomes the party chairman.

bakila:

As a seasoned analyst you should now that elections are often decided by events from six months to elections not two years. APC is set for a mini implosion in 2023, with events such as what to do with Tinubu and who becomes the party chairman.

Dansuqi:


If pdp did not implode,why should apc implode? The way una dey reason eh.if you want to defeat apc,do so

Dansuqi:



For oyo,akala cannot be the apc leader.it has to be someone from Ibadan.
Adamawa gov is paying salary regularly and that is what is used to rate performance in Adamawa.

They can take abia if they present Alex Otti and stop pdp from rigging obingwa.I already mentioned that akwa ibom governor wants to impose someone.same thing might happen in abia...

El rufai is likely going to impose someone in kaduna which will not be good for apc.I dont see anybody in kano apc to take kwankwaso in-law

ArmedRobber:
makinde won as a punishment to ajumobi , he doesnt have any political clout apart from the. Coalition.
Ajumobi is dead and makinde performance is not meeting up to expectations.
You need to work extraordinary to win second term in oyo, ajumobi earn second term because of his performance. Makinde haven't done 1/3 of what ajumobi did in his first term.

Dansuqi:
Accredited voters for ilaje 44,324

Apc 26,657

Pdp 11,128

Zlp 4405

slivertongue:


the person and party that wins the presidency will influence the elections at the subnational units. but that the state of the economy and security will determine the fate of APC. will bandits be tamed? will Nigeria migrate out of the poverty capital of the world? will this administration adopt and apply some level structuring or reforms demanded by Nigerians? what will be the level of activities at transfer market a k a decamping? These and many more will determine 2023

chukel:
correct