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Education / Re: If You Fail This Test, Then Stop Posting Here by APCLyingBastard: 10:46pm On May 23, 2020
sammy07, has it hit you hard now!

lol
Education / Re: If You Fail This Test, Then Stop Posting Here by APCLyingBastard: 10:40pm On May 23, 2020
Sammy07:


According to your pics, you marked only the second box.

Why ? grin

Why wasn't it picked in the 1st box.

Olodo.
See how I labelled it here with detailed explanations.
OLODO

As others have noted, it's a deliberately confusing question. They label the boxes. What you need to do is label the balls.

There are 6 balls; Box 1 contains balls A and B, both gold. Box 2 contains C and D; C is gold, D is silver. Box 3 contains E and F, both silver.

You picked a ball. It's gold. It could be Ball A, B, or C. You don't know which.


If it's Ball A, the other ball in the box is gold.
If it's Ball B, the other ball in the box is gold.
If it's Ball C, the other ball in the box is silver.

2 out of 3 possibilities, the other ball is gold.

When in doubt, list out all the possible outcomes and count 'em up.

Ok sammy,

Your problem is you are counting balls when you are not to.

Instead of 1 + 2+ 3= 6

See it as oranges and apples or let's say A + B.

You really need to think outside the box - literally and not concentrate on what is in the box.

You have eliminated one of 3 boxes by drawing a gold ball.

You are now left with 2 boxes.

The chance that you drew from either the box with two gold balls or the one with a silver and a gold ball is what the next probability outcome is all about!

Jeez!
Education / Re: If You Fail This Test, Then Stop Posting Here by APCLyingBastard: 10:35pm On May 23, 2020
[s]
Sammy07:



Olodo.
OLODO
Go to school you no gree

As others have noted, it's a deliberately confusing question. They label the boxes. What you need to do is label the balls.

There are 6 balls; Box 1 contains balls A and B, both gold. Box 2 contains C and D; C is gold, D is silver. Box 3 contains E and F, both silver.

You picked a ball. It's gold. It could be Ball A, B, or C. You don't know which.


If it's Ball A, the other ball in the box is gold.
If it's Ball B, the other ball in the box is gold.
If it's Ball C, the other ball in the box is silver.

2 out of 3 possibilities, the other ball is gold.

When in doubt, list out all the possible outcomes and count 'em up.
[/s]

When you see that the probability is not in the picking the ball but the box you chose, that is when the answer will hit you.

By picking the gold ball, you eliminated the box containing 2 silver balls.

You are now left with two boxes.

You either drew from the first with two gold or the one with a silver and a gold ball.

Forget about the number of balls and think about the box.

Here lies the logic.
Education / Re: If You Fail This Test, Then Stop Posting Here by APCLyingBastard: 10:29pm On May 23, 2020
[s]
Sammy07:



Olodo.
OLODO
Go to school you no gree

As others have noted, it's a deliberately confusing question. They label the boxes. What you need to do is label the balls.

There are 6 balls; Box 1 contains balls A and B, both gold. Box 2 contains C and D; C is gold, D is silver. Box 3 contains E and F, both silver.

You picked a ball. It's gold. It could be Ball A, B, or C. You don't know which.


If it's Ball A, the other ball in the box is gold.
If it's Ball B, the other ball in the box is gold.
If it's Ball C, the other ball in the box is silver.

2 out of 3 possibilities, the other ball is gold.

When in doubt, list out all the possible outcomes and count 'em up.
[/s]

I see this is how you are reasoning it from pic below.

But this is the absolute wrong answer.

Why, because you will have to pick from the same box and not another box!

Education / Re: If You Fail This Test, Then Stop Posting Here by APCLyingBastard: 10:24pm On May 23, 2020
[s]
Sammy07:


The guy nah Olodo

OLODO

As others have noted, it's a deliberately confusing question. They label the boxes. What you need to do is label the balls.

There are 6 balls; Box 1 contains balls A and B, both gold. Box 2 contains C and D; C is gold, D is silver. Box 3 contains E and F, both silver.

You picked a ball. It's gold. It could be Ball A, B, or C. You don't know which.

If it's Ball A, the other ball in the box is gold.
If it's Ball B, the other ball in the box is gold.
If it's Ball C, the other ball in the box is silver.

2 out of 3 possibilities, the other ball is gold.

When in doubt, list out all the possible outcomes and count 'em up.

falcon01:
1/1 and 1/2 = 2/3
[/s]

Let me put you out of your pathetic ignorance and misery.

let me provide the LOGIC behind the answer which is 1/2 or 50%.

You have 6 balls , 3 gold and 3 silver arranged in 3 boxes with 2 gold, 2 silver and one of either in separate boxes.

You draw a gold ball.

The question that was asked is what is the probability of you drawing a second ball from the same box?

That means you drew from either the box with 2 gold balls or the one with a single gold and silver ball.

Now you have only 3 balls left in two boxes where you had gold balls

The chances of you having drawn a gold ball from the box with either 2 gold balls or a single gold ball is inconsequential as the main question is the follow-up event of drawing a second ball.


Hence, you are left with deciding if your first draw was from either the box with 2 gold balls or the one with a single gold and a single silver ball.

The probability that you will pick a gold ball is 50% because if you drew from the first box with 2 gold balls , it would have been 100% but then again you might have drawn from the second box with a single gold ball and a silver ball.

So you are either going to pick a Gold ball (if you selected from the first box) or a silver ball (if your first draw was from the second).

6 Likes

Education / Re: If You Fail This Test, Then Stop Posting Here by APCLyingBastard: 10:17pm On May 23, 2020
[s]
Sammy07:
[s]


OLODO

As others have noted, it's a deliberately confusing question. They label the boxes. What you need to do is label the balls.

There are 6 balls; Box 1 contains balls A and B, both gold. Box 2 contains C and D; C is gold, D is silver. Box 3 contains E and F, both silver.

You picked a ball. It's gold. It could be Ball A, B, or C. You don't know which.

If it's Ball A, the other ball in the box is gold.
If it's Ball B, the other ball in the box is gold.
If it's Ball C, the other ball in the box is silver.

2 out of 3 possibilities, the other ball is gold.

When in doubt, list out all the possible outcomes and count 'em up.
[/s]

Keep it coming.

I see how you zombie brains are wired to failure.

2 Likes

Education / Re: If You Fail This Test, Then Stop Posting Here by APCLyingBastard: 10:11pm On May 23, 2020
[s]
Sammy07:


Olodo that thinks it's 1/2

Refer to this en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bertrand

Olodo
[/s]

Stop disgracing yourself further by referencing Jewpedia
Education / Re: If You Fail This Test, Then Stop Posting Here by APCLyingBastard: 10:09pm On May 23, 2020
[s]
Sammy07:


It's 2/3rds. You picked a gold ball, which is can be one of three balls with equal probability. The left gold ball in the left box, the right gold ball in the left box, or the gold ball in the middle box.

In two of those three cases the other ball in the box is also gold.

Refer to the Monty Hall problem which has a very similar premise.
[/s]

When I provide the answer and reason behind it, you will enter depression.
Education / Re: If You Fail This Test, Then Stop Posting Here by APCLyingBastard: 10:09pm On May 23, 2020
falcon01:
lols, what is it then or even better, how can I solve it? what's the logic behind it?


Hint: Read the question sentence of the problem.
Education / Re: If You Fail This Test, Then Stop Posting Here by APCLyingBastard: 10:08pm On May 23, 2020
[s]
Sammy07:




It can be easier to understand the correct answer if you consider the paradox as Bertrand originally described it. After a box has been chosen, but before a box is opened to let you observe a coin, the probability is
2
/
3
that the box has two of the same kind of coin. If the probability of "observing a gold coin" in combination with "the box has two of the same kind of coin" is
1
/
2
, then the probability of "observing a silver coin" in combination with "the box has two of the same kind of coin" must also be
1
/
2
. And if the probability that the box has two like coins changes to
1
/
2
no matter what kind of coin is shown, the probability would have to be
1
/
2
even if you hadn't observed a coin this way. Since we know his probability is
2
/
3
, not
1
/
2
, we have an apparent paradox. It can be resolved only by recognizing how the combination of "observing a gold coin" with each possible box can only affect the probability that the box was GS or SS, but not .


https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bertrand%27s_box_paradox

You're not wiser than the person who owns it. Lol
[/s]
Education / Re: If You Fail This Test, Then Stop Posting Here by APCLyingBastard: 10:03pm On May 23, 2020
Kyrx:
Total number of balls = 6
Total number of gold balls = 3

Probability of picking a gold ball at random = 3÷6
=½ or 50%

You are wrong in your reasons and as such you failed the test.

Go back and read the question well and provide the right reason for your answer.

2 Likes

Education / Re: If You Fail This Test, Then Stop Posting Here by APCLyingBastard: 10:02pm On May 23, 2020
phelonrays:
Op thanks for racking up my brain this night grin

Having evaluate the substance that lead to the appearing of the gold cum silver ball on the box, it relatively indicate and showcase the probability of picking the unseen gold ball at a proximity of 2:14 close meter range gringrin

Sicknesses is not good, shaembarassed

Education / Re: If You Fail This Test, Then Stop Posting Here by APCLyingBastard: 9:59pm On May 23, 2020

Education / Re: If You Fail This Test, Then Stop Posting Here by APCLyingBastard: 9:57pm On May 23, 2020
[s]
Sammy07:


I think the answer is 2/3, since the fact that you picked a Gold ball implies a 2x likelihood that you’re in the box than the GS box.

The other way to look at this is to realize that the first pick has 6 distinct balls that you can pick. The fact that the balls are in 3 boxes doesn’t affect the 1/6 likelihood that you will pick any one of the 6 balls. Of course, the second pick is dependent on the first pick.

Let’s say the balls are organized as such: [1, 2] [3, 4] [5, 6], or [G G] [G S] [S S]. You have picked one of balls 1, 2, 3. So, the possible second picks are 2, 1, 4 two of which are G and one is S.


Tell us the answer, but don't ever say it's 50%
[/s]

Comprehension is your problem

1 Like

Education / Re: If You Fail This Test, Then Stop Posting Here by APCLyingBastard: 9:56pm On May 23, 2020
[s]
GamalNasser:
2/3
[/s]
Education / Re: If You Fail This Test, Then Stop Posting Here by APCLyingBastard: 9:56pm On May 23, 2020
I want to thank Babaramota1980 for participating in this survey which I intend to use in my final confirmation that all Buharist and APC supporters have an IQ equivalent to a field mouse.

6 Likes

Education / Re: If You Fail This Test, Then Stop Posting Here by APCLyingBastard: 9:53pm On May 23, 2020
[s]
Sammy07:
I think the answer is 2/3, since the fact that you picked a Gold ball implies a 2x likelihood that you’re in the box than the GS box
[/s]

Education / Re: If You Fail This Test, Then Stop Posting Here by APCLyingBastard: 9:53pm On May 23, 2020
[s]
BabaRamota1980:


You are not serious. This is primary scholl stuff my 5yr old go solve.
[/s]

This is how you dey take brag that year until result come out for board.

2 Likes

Education / Re: If You Fail This Test, Then Stop Posting Here by APCLyingBastard: 9:52pm On May 23, 2020
[s]
BabaRamota1980:


There are 6 balls. You removed one gold ball, that leaves 5 balls. Out of the 5 there are 2 gold. The chance of picking a gold ball is 2/5.


Why u dey play?
[/s]

More bullshit!


Your IQ is extremely low if you can't figure this out for yourself in less than 2 minutes

2 Likes 1 Share

Education / Re: If You Fail This Test, Then Stop Posting Here by APCLyingBastard: 9:50pm On May 23, 2020
Enoch07:

between me and u talk truth, I know u have d answer because you're with the text book where u saw this question abi Albert Einstein?



You are even begging for expo
Education / Re: If You Fail This Test, Then Stop Posting Here by APCLyingBastard: 9:47pm On May 23, 2020
[s]
BabaRamota1980:


God knock you back to Mars where you came from. Yeye
[/s]

Lol.

These are the tribal he goat champions that postulate their arrant ignorance all over this section

Run far away from here

3 Likes

Education / Re: If You Fail This Test, Then Stop Posting Here by APCLyingBastard: 9:46pm On May 23, 2020
Sammy07:
With replacement or without replacement?

Lack of comprehension is no excuse.

BabaRamota1980:
Its 2/5

Now you dey play bet9ja
Education / Re: If You Fail This Test, Then Stop Posting Here by APCLyingBastard: 9:45pm On May 23, 2020
BabaRamota1980:


1/5th

Run fast back to school and collect all the school fees you paid.

4 Likes

Education / Re: If You Fail This Test, Then Stop Posting Here by APCLyingBastard: 9:42pm On May 23, 2020
Enoch07:

okay, when I post pls call sars, or efcc for me you hear

We are weeding out the olodos from this section.

Please go away.

2 Likes

Education / Re: If You Fail This Test, Then Stop Posting Here by APCLyingBastard: 9:41pm On May 23, 2020
Kyase:
grin


olodo
Politics / Re: The Problem Of Africa Is Nigeria by APCLyingBastard: 9:41pm On May 23, 2020
SouthNigerian:


Doppy write up.

But the question is, will Nigeria ever rise again?
Will the 3 Giants be willing to join forces and become Great again?

I think 2023 will determine the future of Nigeria and Africa.

Nigeria is irredeemable and she is a testament that multiculturalism does not work.
Education / Re: If You Fail This Test, Then Stop Posting Here by APCLyingBastard: 9:39pm On May 23, 2020
[s]
Chrisdre:
1/5

The "or" lwa of probability
Enoch07:
lol probability dat year!! I wrote waec twice because of maths even when i was in delsu na God help me for 100 level, but I guess it's 1. omo I'm out
[/s]

Do not post here anymore.

1 Like 1 Share

Education / If You Fail This Test, Then Stop Posting Here by APCLyingBastard: 9:28pm On May 23, 2020
IQ tests need to be mandatory to post here. So I am kicking it off with this very rudimentary test.

Provide reasons for your answer.

See pic below for test.

3 Likes

Politics / The Problem Of Africa Is Nigeria by APCLyingBastard: 9:07pm On May 23, 2020
Africa, is an incredibly rich continent, so rich, it boggles the mind why there's so much poverty there..

The mind may indeed be boggled, the soul however isn't and why?

Africa's problems, like practically all problems, are metaphysical in essence and how so?

The problem of Africa is Nigeria..

As goes the country, so too the continent. If it develops beneficially, so too the continent, and if it does not, so too the continent and why?

Nigeria is the biggest negroid country on earth, but more than that, it's tremendously blessed with natural riches and more critically, Nigerians travel a lot, you'll find them in substantial numbers in every region of earth, they're natural born travelers..

But here's the thing, charity begins at home, meaning that what you haven't learned or imbibed at home, you can't export abroad..

This isn't strictly true however, as Nigeria has "exported", usually involuntarily, the cream of its talent crop..

Involuntarily for the country, voluntarily for the "exports" who sought other climes where they may thrive existentially..

Most went to the Americas, specifically north, and to Europe, specifically west..

This, the mass emigration of neurons, has resulted in an environment teeming with physical riches, while bereft of intellectual wealth to transform riches into prosperity..

And thus is Africa hobbled by the irresponsibility of Nigeria..

But what is Nigeria's problem beyond the observation that brainwaves don't thrive there?

Ha, this is the complex conundrum..

Nigeria has never been the same after its civil war in the 60s of the last century..

Folks in the East hate those in the North reciprocally, those in the West are suspicious of the North reciprocally..

Those in the middle are caught in a vise between the hating and suspicious others and crucially, they in the middle are the breadbasket of the country..

Not that the others are not engaged in agriculture, but that the Middle has the most fertile soil..

The economic problem, is a lack of infrastructure to transform fertile soil into value added products..

The dependence on a single resource, oil, for foreign earnings, has withered the erstwhile capacities of other potential sources of earnings..

That dependence has engendered rent seeking, corruption, suppression, marginalization, domination, destabilization, and most egregiously, indolence amongst the governing elites..

The country, while claiming to be a federalized republic, is anything but..

The federating units battle the federal government for republican autonomy while resisting according the same rights to their constituent localities..

This schizophrenic rigidity has collapsed the civic ethos of the nation, as every political jobber or opportunist now clamor for the spoils of political office, either in the center where practically all the fiscal power resides, or the state capitols where residual fiscal power resides, ignoring the constituent localities that require good governance..

Concisely, the economic order of the country is top heavy, bottom deprived..

The political order is similar, with the attendant deleterious effect that governance, as in largesse distribution, is for sale..

Worse, the country is united in nothing but name and paradoxically, true unity only arises, when their national sports teams, specifically soccer teams, which ironically are generally reflective of the populace, is engaged in international competitions..

This reveals then, that the average citizens, despite their myriad differences, are capable of unity so where arises the problem then?

From the status quo of political and economic lopsidedness are who sow divisions and dussensions..

The strengths of the country are thus..

The Eastern parts are generally industrious, the Northern parts, generally entrepreneurial, the Western parts, generally contemplative and intellectual, and the Middle parts, generally adventurous..

Generally being the key word, considering that admixtures of the traits can be found in all the country's regions..

But what really hobbles the country, is in the social economy due to the fact that the country is generally divided between Muslims in the Northern parts, and Christians in the Southern parts..

The failures of the country's leadership has to do with inability or insincerity in managing the heterogeneous cultures resident in the country and there are lots of them, religion being just one component..

The most probable solution we can discern, is neither the American style Republicanism currently being claimed to be in effect, which it's not, or the erstwhile parliamentary system it practiced, which unraveled in civil war, but a hybrid system that looks inwards to its diverse cultural governing systems and outwards to efficient governing models..

In that case, a country with similar combination would be Russia, especially with its revamped constitution which distributes and balances power and responsibilities amongst all governing apparatus, at the national, regional, and local levels, with the national apparatus acting as referee, guide, and director of national momentum..

This way, performers can be cogently identified from mediocres and thus, challenges and weaknesses can be cogently revealed, and appropriate measures applied harmoniously..

Another benefit of that, is that instead of deterioration engendered by SPOF (Single Point of Failure..) governance model, is the resilience acquired through the thriving of performing parts of the country and why is this a benefit?

Because energy to fix undetperforming parts, can be sourced harmoniously from the healthy parts..

And when the governance and developmental model is demonstrated as harmoniously efficient, then when Nigerians travel abroad as is their imperative to other parts of Africa, they can export charity and with it, the cross cultural fertilization of economic and social development..

Via osmosis..

Concisely, Nigeria cannot give what she doesn't possess and neither can she obtain what she needs, without reality acknowledgement, recalibration to harmonious development and most critically, the creation of environments that instead of involuntarily exporting talents, attractively imports talent..

If they can do that, then Africa has a fighting chance but are the governing elites capable of recalibration?

That question, is left for them to answer as the paradigm transition speeds up, with consequences or rewards..

As they choose..
Politics / Re: The Next Cataclysm by APCLyingBastard: 6:37pm On May 23, 2020
Meanwhile, what a chase! And what a dramatic story of the Earth's history we uncovered: Civilizations of more than 20,000 years ago more advanced than our wildest imagination; prehistoric legends from Greece, Egypt, India, and South America which became history instead of legend; lost continents in the Atlantic and Pacific which became dated realities, with logical reasons for their sudden disappearance.

Yes, Vishnu came alive: a man who lived through a cataclysm many thousands of years ago - actually ten cataclysms ago! Now he is known as the Hindu god of ten resurrections from the waters. Osiris was rediscovered; he was the Jesus of his time - a man of Egypt, some 15,000 years ago. Noah smiled at us from the pages of The Epic of Gilgamesh; he actually was a Sumerian named Utnapishtim, who lived just around 7,000 years ago. The ark he built is more than legend.

The process of a cataclysm is known now.

Look at the cross-section of the Earth inside the front cover. You'll see two molten layers - the yellow ones. The important one is the thin molten layer starting 60 miles down, extending 60 miles deeper to 120 miles below the surface of the Earth. The thick, deep molten layer, stalling 1,800 miles down at the bottom of the mantle,
and extending 1,300 miles deeper, is the outer core. Seismology has proven these two yellow layers to be molten, and they are white-hot. Over 2500 degrees Fahrenheit.
Politics / Re: The Next Cataclysm by APCLyingBastard: 6:34pm On May 23, 2020
The first step was to gather all of the known, accepted data from as many sciences pertaining to our planet as possible: stratigraphy, archaeology, radiology, anthropology, palaeontology, and oceanography, plus cosmology and astronomy - and seismology and oceanography - and palaeo-languages such as prehistoric Mayan. Even evolution could not be ignored.

Further, cross - correlation of the data between the sciences had been honored. All of the foregoing gave the answer: although there is enough data in most sciences to indicate that these cataclysms happen, there was not enough in each science to derive the process or prove the concept; but between-science cross-correlation showed indeed that the concept was true. Not only did it verify that the events have happened, but disclosed when the last five cataclysms were, and what positions the shell of the Earth has been in for the last 35,000 years. This was a first-time effort for certain.

So, after years of research, beginning in 1949, Cuvier's challenge had an answer: Yes, indeed, cataclysms do happen; but I had not yet found the answer to his challenge, find the cause of these events. It would take me twenty more years to find the cause, the trigger of cataclysms. What makes them start? And further, exactly what is it that happens after it starts? What is the process of a cataclysm? Finally, what is the timetable of cataclysms? It was obvious already from the data that it was non-linear. Was it a mathematical function that we could derive from the data? Or is it random and frustrating in its unpredictability? The more learned,
the more to be discovered and learned.
Politics / Re: The Next Cataclysm by APCLyingBastard: 6:31pm On May 23, 2020
Among others, Velikovsky fried it through his studies of myths and legends; Hapgood tried it; Hugh Brown attempted, and in the process amassed a tremendous Library of geological data.

Every time the cataclysmic concept has risen, the "beast " has been stoned, burned at the stake, beaten to a pulp, and buried with a vengeance; but the coipse won’t stay dead. Each time, it raises the lid of its coffin and says in sepulchral tones: "You will die before I."

The latest of the challengers is Prof. Frank C. Hibben, who in his book. The Lost Americans*, said:

''This was no ordinary extinction of a vague geological period which fizzled to an uncertain end. This death was catastrophic and all inclusive....What caused the death of forty million animals.... ....The "corpus delicti" in this mystery may be found almost anywhere.

Their bones lie bleaching in the sands of Florida and in the gravels of New Jersey. They weather out of the dry terraces of Texas and protrude from the sticky ooze of the tar pits off Wilshire Boulevard in Los Angeles.... The bodies of the victims are everywhere....We find literally thousands together....young and old, foal with dam, calf with cow The muck pits of Alaska are Idled with evidence of universal death....a picture of quick extinction....Any argument to the cause....must apply to North America, Siberia, and Europe as well.


* Thomas Y. Crowell Co., New York, Apollo Edition, 1961

"....Mammoth and bison were tom and twisted as though by a cosmic hand in a godly rage.

"....In many places the Alaskan muck blanket is packed with animal bones and debris in trainload lots...mammoth, mastodon,....bison, horses, wolves, bears, and lions....A faunal population....in the middle of some cataclysmic catastrophe....was suddenly frozen....in a grim charade."

Supernatural winds; volcanic burning; inundation and burial in muck; preservation by deep-freeze of both torn-up animals and muck. "Any good solution to a consuming mystery must answer all of the facts," challenges Hibben.

The challenge wouldn’t leave me alone. Like a hunger, it gnawed at my subconscious. I could hear the deep tones of Cuvier's challenge, "find the cause of these events," still reverberating through the sacred halls of science, ghostly, unanswered. I felt Hibben's challenge, prodding: "....answer all of the facts."

I decided that this cataclysmic concept, this catastrophic end which visits our planet time after time, needed verification or refutation once and for all.

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