₦airaland Forum

zenburster:
"There were 28 PDP governors when GEJ lost in 2015."

Lies, Lies, lies!!!! There were only 21 pdp governors under Gej and they gave him 70% of his total votes in 2015.

Penguin2:
Going into today’s game between Manchester United and Arsenal, Arsenal seemed unbeatable. They held 3 remarkable records.

Before today, they hadn’t conceded 3 goals in a single game since 2023.

Since this season, they hadn’t lost at the Emirates until today.

Lastly, they hadn’t lost any game in which they scored first this season until today.

What is my point?

Before today, Arsenal fans didn’t believe in the possibility that a Manchester United that has so far been riddled with crisis can beat them at home.

The above is no different from Tinubu supporters who don’t believe in the possibility that Tinubu can be defeated even as incumbent no matter how formidable he appears.

Before today, Manchester United has been in a kind of crisis just like Nigerian opposition parties and politicians have been in crisis. But just like Man United found a way to defeat Arsenal at their own turf, so also can the opposition find a way to beat Tinubu in 2027.

Will it be easy? No.

Will there be pushbacks. Yes. Like today, Arsenal doubled the scoreline at 2:2 in what looked like dying minutes of the game but United got the job done regardless.

So, like United pulled off what seemed impossible today, so also can it happen in 2027.

Thank you for your attention to this matter.

You forgot to add that Manchester had momentum and motivation going into the game cos they had defeated city, until ADC gain momentum by winning at least one state election before 2027 pls dont ever you compare my beloved man united to your dysfunctional ADC.

AMINDA:
You are simply going back and forth. I asked you a simple question, if governors is all it takes, why didn't 26 PDP governors deliver Jonathan in 2015? How can a
so-called Southern candidate be celebrating 100k votes in an APC-governed Southern state? Tells you all you need to know.

This will be my final quote to you as today is Monday and business is on ...

You have still refused to understand why structure is important ahd it's a numbers game m I have told you that even with the north not supporting Gej he still got 70% of his total votes from pdp states.

Pdp had 21 states going into the election in 2015 , 5 governors defected so there was no 26 governors as you claim.

Which still brings me back to my point, if apc have 30 governors now ahd more want to jump to apc how exactly are you expecting that apc will loose the next election with a margin ?

Learn this and know peace - politics is a game of Numbers and 1 vote for you is as important as 10 votes for another .

My problem with you guys in the opposition is you sit down without any physical experience to churn out scenarios.

In 2023 the opposition said structure is not needed , it's structure of criminality , fast forward to 2026 same guys who said structure is not needed are now looking to build structure and the structure available is no longer criminal.

Same opposition is saying governors are not important they have 1 vote , after 2027 election ,when they loose , in 2031 they will start chasing governors cos they would have learned the lesson why governors and structure is important.

AMINDA:
In all your GEJ analysis, you forgot that Jonathan was well grounded in the South and middlebelt with undoubted support from the people of the South, not just governors. Compare with Tinubu, the so-called Southern candidate who only won elections in 4 Yoruba states across the entire South and had to be carried with 5.6m Northern votes. If you believe Tinubu now enjoys overwhelming support from the South just because their governors defected to claim 250 billion naira, then I have a very potent snake oil to sell to you. Anyways, time is a gentleman.

I repeat 21 apc governors spread across Nigeria delivered a total of 6m votes out of 8m for tinubu in 2023 when he had a lot of battles to face , 90% of his total vote came from party structure, if you like when e reach your coalition turn go and play with party structure next year, you will learn a bitter lesson .

Even cross river state delivered over 100k votes in 2023 for BAt, if you think the tally will be less this time then I have nothing else to tell you, I will just leave you in your delusion.

AMINDA:
It was not because of the 21 governors. Jonathan had 26 governors and still lost. It was because Northerners gave Tinubu 5.6m out of his 8m votes to pay him back for supporting Buhari in 2015. Northerners keep their words until betrayed. Fortunately, Tinubu has betrayed most of his Northern allies that made that possible. He now feels he can win the South. Time shall tell.

Oga , Jonathan did not loose because of the north , in 2011 Jonathan won inspite of Buhari's 15m voters cos Gej had the SW , in 2015 Gej lost the major support of the SW , please note this: since 99 the regions that determine the major swing in any election are the SW and NC ,anyone who looses one or both of them with margins is a goner .

2. Let's even humor you with your surmise that it was because gej lost the north , pdp still delivered numbers for gej even with eroded support ,which brings me to my second fact: no incumbent party in nigeria have lost an election by a wide margin no ,matter how unpopular, it will not start now in 2027 .


Finaĺy I have told you it's a numbers game whatever you think tinubu will loose in the North he has tactically made up for with the Governors from the south and north Central who have joined his party.

AMINDA:
Lol. Below are the APC states that couldn't deliver Tinubu even though their governors all won the gubernatorial elections in them effortlessly.

Kaduna
Katsina
Kebbi
Yobe
Gombe
Lagos (Tinubu’s home state and political base)
Nasarawa
Plateau
Ebonyi
Imo

Also, half of the 12 states he "won" like Oyo, Rivers, Benue, etc were not APC-governed states. The influence of governors on electoral outcomes is massively overrated. The people's sentiments and economics play bigger roles, unless APC intends to spill blood.

This is the mistake you guys make , it's about getting 25% not about winning the state , it's a numbers game , the 21 governors in 2023 , win or lost gave tinubu a combined 6m votes that's 90% of his votes came from apc states.

Tinubu understood after the election that it's all about the numbers and spread so went all out to get as many governors as possible.

AMINDA:
Anytime you see Tinubu's ministers and appointees suddenly doing media rounds and turning emergency political advisers and analysts, just know there's fire on the mountain. The same happened when Obi joined the ADC. In the last 24 hours, Hanatu Musawa, Dogara, Festus Keyamo, Onanuga, etc have been running helter-skelter from one media house to the other and typing furiously on social media. The panic is palpable.

Panic ? Do you understand what panic is ? Someone with almost 30 governors is under panic ? The Apc is boldly telling you where you guys tucked up and you are calling it panic . Wait ! You think a serious politician especially from Kano will suddenly move to the opposition party in his state ( apc) from the ruling party ( nnpp) in an election cycle year for no cogent reason or seeing that his move will give him an advance?

2014 we had governors move from pdp to apc and the following year apc won , 2022 we had governors leave Pdp for a valid reason or openly defy pdp and it's Choice and support apc , we know how it turned out
It's 2026 no governor has openly defied apc or it's leaders, instead opposition governors are queuing to join apc , not one governor has identified with the coalition and you think apc is under panic .

Honestly I pray the opposition leaders are not listening to folks like you online oh, cos the defeat will be so serious , I can assure you it will leave the opposition parties completely destroyed once they loose next year .

WhizdomXX:
Even if you delete the southwest in 2023, Tinubu still won.

Leave them , atiku boys and Obidients know what they are doing , the thnk by giving alternate reality online by saying such things as tinubu will loose SW , SE cant vote him , he will get only 10k votes , they think they can now cry rigging when he eventually wins by saying ' look at trends online ,nobody voted for apc "

PHYTECH:
The supreme leader of the islamic Republic of Iran has on his social media handle posted a message, asking Americans to protest and take over American institutions. This message seems like what Trump. Posted during similar protest in Iran.

The protest in Minneapolis wad as a result of the shooting of an ICU nurse by ICE, who held a licenced gun to protect himself from masked officials.

This is what they call Aura for aura 😄😄😄😄

Hopez456:
Azikiwe Terror of the field,
Baluba is magnificent
Undisputed UI sport king,
Azikiwe never ever fails.
Greatest of the greatest Zikite!

Comrade !!!

AMINDA:
Where is Fayose who told us Makinde went to beg Tinubu in Aso Rock? It appears to be Vice versa, seeing that Tinubu also met Olubadan the next day. Makinde continues to swing at Tinubu and appears he won't be taking any prisoners. In Osun, Tinubu is withholding local government allocations to strangle Adeleke while Lagos state remains a swing state. Tinubu cannot win the Southwest in a landslide come 2027.

So who will win the south west ? SMH I seriously pity you guys online .

AMINDA:
Tinubu has no pathway to re-election.

2023 elections 21 Apc governors delivered 6m votes , you think 30 governors won't double that or add an extra 3m to the original 6m ? I have said it before you guys will learn politics next year, no next year is far ,from June this year you guys will suddenly see the light but it will be too late theh to regroup .

Basic123:
https://punchng.com/ui-emerges-best-nigerian-university-in-law-medicine/

OF THE GREATEST UITE 🙌, FOREVER A BALUBA LION .

SpaceX:
Obj crippled Nigeria no be small, he stole $16 billion meant for electricity, you can wonder how much it will be if we consider inflation. $160 trillion least if converted.

Did you read the article? SMH

AMINDA:
Congratulations, Nigeria. We are now back to the dark days of do-or-die politics, characteristic of the Obasanjo era. Very shameful comment to be coming from an Ambassador-designate. These are the people Tinubu is empowering in the Southwest while proper omoluabis are tagged as betrayers.

P:S: Those who think Seyi Makinde will cower and support Tinubu in 2027 are on a long thing.

“I personally miss you as the Vice President. Things have not really been the same in this present administration” — Governor Seyi Makinde showers heartfelt praise on Prof. Yemi Osinbajo.

Do you also miss Prof Yemi Osibanjo?🤔👀 pic.twitter.com/VKwgjOPuAB

— Oyo Affairs (@Oyoaffairs) January 24, 2026

Same Makinde that went to beg for a new transfer contract at aso rock ? Lol bro please 😆

The comments on this first page are appaling, SMH.

EponObi:
They are sad and unhappy. They deserted the thread. They are disappointed. Kek

This was not their expectation. Their expected embarrassment of the country and Tinubu turned into Nigeria gaining high level access to the table.

Owo ti jona. Their lobbying money went up in smoke. They spent their own money for Nigeria to secure a critical security partnership.

May Nigeria succeed!

The irony is they are still swearing Tulumbu is senile and dull and their fraud will defeat him in 2027

Sorry for the laughters

Racoon is currently searching the Internet feverishly looking for bad news or stats about Nigeria to create a thread on and lobby it into frontpage😁😁😁😁😁

AMINDA:
At this point, even Agbadorians can no longer deny that their tin-god is offering money to governors to decamp to their party. As well as the prospect of neutralising their opposition in the APC by becoming the automatic candidate. It may appear too good a deal to pass up on by the governors but it has its risks. There will be too many aggrieved politicians in the ruling party whose ambitions have been scuttled in favour of the president's own ambition. It may also not translate to votes for the president come 2027. Despite APC having 25 governors in 2023, Tinubu won only 12 states, and only half of those states were APC-governed states.

Every man has his price , even Satan offered jesus the whole world, even you if I reason your matter too much i will send Apc to negotiate with you an offer you can't resist my good friend 😁😁😁😁

dibunotion:
Team Politicians Vs the masses left the group.
Tinubu may be bad in governance but he understands politicking better than others.
Sometimes being good is not enough, you must be strategic

Point of correction, he is good in both governance and politicking .

Let me ask you and I want you to answer with all the honesty you possess : which of the policies and reforms tinubu starred will either atiku or obi stop if they enter office today.? Is it subsidy removal or forex deregulation or electricity tariff deregulation? Pls tell me if you are really sure they will reverse any?

Madmohamed1:
the same Atiku went with APC then he was not wanted because your with him that time

Atiku never went to the white house with apc

Flangelo12:
People dey vex say food price dey reduce again?

It's like you don't know how wicked Nigerians are.

AMINDA:
It's not a matter of if. It's just a matter of when. The implosion is inevitable.

Can you show us your own party's registration portal and how many members you have nationwide?

At least Apc is proactive and will have enough time to rectify or motivate any location and groups who feel left out , that's why they keep winning elections cos they take structure very seriously.

treesun:
The way APC wil scattered Nlfpmod!

Can you show us your own party's registration portal and how many members you have nationwide?

At least Apc is proactive and will have enough time to rectify or motivate any location and groups who feel left out , that's why they keep winning elections cos they take structure very seriously.

Kingzjayzee:
https://www.premiumtimesng.com/health/health-news/851230-us-withdrawal-from-who-takes-effect-today.html

Sadly African countries lack diplomatic smartness
Nigeria alone can donate $1b to WHO and begin to dictate to the organisation how to make africa benefit from health aids and resources .

But na only how to steal our African leaders sabi.

mrvitalis:
Even the poor, in fact mostly the poor

Poor people throw Things on the streets
Start unregistered business
Build without approval
Break traffic laws
Drop refuse anyhow

The Nigeria stats as a whole have failed in producing consequences for bad behavior and reward for good behavior that's why Nigerians are badly behaved

And the blame lies firmly with you ethnic jingoists, anytime government want to carry out or enforce rules , we will start hearing cries of victimisation , democracy is dead , marginalizing, etc , they result is what you get now with us having a lawless society.

Faber:
Senegal Lions go Morocco kidnapp AFCON trophy in front of Moroccan people run...I heard that immediately the final whistle was blown...Senegal president dispatched an aircraft to bring the guys home immediately that night...they didn't sleep in Morocco, they landed Dakar that night...they just kidnap the trophy run 😂😂

I swear down !

naptu2:
Ogun State Government - OGSG @OGSG_Official



https://x.com/i/status/2014411384935547002

Congratulations to Ogun state . Make Nigeria great agein ( MANGA)

yemmight:
Please check my correction. I only agreed with Oliseh comment on Osimeh. Osimeh messed us.

Ok confirmed.

yemmight:
I agree with Osimeh 100%. Since that fight, Lookman has refused to shoot.

And how did it turn out for Nigeria?

AMINDA:
What does it matter? This changes nothing in the grand scheme of things. Can Makinde do more than he did for Tinubu as member of G5 in 2023? Tinubu invited him to probably apologise and induce him to jettison his presidential ambition. He will keep doing that because we already told you that the only way he can return elected, is to be the only candidate on the ballot. Tinubu is afraid and it clearly shows. We know the whole drama between Wike and Makinde was scripted and was a strategy to destroy the PDP, but it has backfired because the main opposition figures have aligned. Tinubu will now sacrifice the political ambitions of Penkelemesi and Teslim in favour of Makinde's candidate. He only cares about his own ambition.

Aminda my paddy , after this election I must take you to lunch if I'm around your vicinity.

nairalandkachy1:
https://thenationonlineng.net/just-in-makinde-meets-tinubu-in-villa/

Nlfpmod Mynd44

I will wait for Aminda to react first before I drop mine 😁😁😁😁