barcanista:
The odds is not favorable to Amosun. SDP is the party dictating the pace in Ogun State as at today. How can Amosun win the election? The structure that brought him to power is no longer with him. The division in PDP that catalysed his emergence is no longer there. Amosun's mistake was to think that his incumbency is enough. Even Kwakwaso that performed a lot lost to Shekarau of ANPP in Kano 2003. Why? Because the structure that brought him to power in 1999 moved to ANPP to support GMB/Shekarau. In politics, you don't just sit and lose associates just like that, not to talk of influential associates. I said it in Ekiti after analysis that Fayemi will lose. I analysed Osun and predicted victory for Aregbesola. We shall see the outcome in Ogun and Oyo States.

With this warped logic of yours that someone can't win elections because "the structure that brought him to power is no longer with him", is it then safe to say Jonathan can and will never win his re-election because the structure that brought him to power in 2011 and earlier (2007/2010) is no longer with him (Obj, Amaechi, Saraki, Tinubu, to mention but a few)?

Was Abati referring to this same Nigeria?

Thanks.

Thank you.