₦airaland Forum

Let me give Boxnalyst the roadmap even though they already know it

We'll come down to number 1, down to 2, up to 3, down again, up the last time to number 4, then finally to number 5.

Case closed.

SuperOnyi:



Ah, I remember that book with over 50 businesses you kept secret to this day. I pray and hope I find favor in your eyes, boss. I never take your blessings for granted. Thank you for everything.

Once again, you don't know how much you changed my life with your threads. God bless you, my boss.

You're welcome, Chairman.

SuperOnyi:



Good morning, sir. When should we expect the book? I'm an absolute beginner. I have been so busy trying to get back a couple of things back on track. Looking forward to it, my boss.

Sadly, not for sale, but two people will get it for free.

I googled Boxnalysis and this is what Google said.

Alexas58, remember you and I will one day
depart this world. Will your name still stay alive? Create things that'll still be relevant when you're gone. All these scammy competitions you're doing will disappear the day you go. Create something tangible that'll cement your name in your absence.

This is why oyibos progress more than us. They're always focused on inventing and cementing their names before their time is up, but in Africa, we care about nothing but consumption, worthless degrees and calling ourselves champions in what we didn't invent.

If to say we dey invent, Boko boys would've been a thing of the past cuz we'll use our home-made technology to track and clean them off like America and others always do, but no, consumption, consumption, consumption and bragging about degrees and being a champion is the only thing we know as a nation.

Let's start inculcating inventive thoughts in all we do and not just consumption.

Wetin Glo network do me just now, e pain me. 🤕

How can my 5GB sub vanish after using Instagram for less than 30 mins. I did another sub of 2GB and the same thing happened. I have checked data balance and it's gone.

Now I'm using MTN to calm my nerves. This thing should better be a glitch and I hope by tomorrow, I'll see my data.

iLoveYouToo:
Nigeria still wont qualify for the next World Cup. Giants my ass

Better

Third world countries should focus more on technological advancements and leave fun (football) for developed countries. China did it and look at how they're no longer a 3rd world country.

If they want to be number 1 in football, they'll do what France did by using Africans with a mixture of their best players.

Also, I'm happy Nigeria isn't there to avoid death and heart attack. Some Nigerians are way too emotionally invested and are chronic gamblers.

For me, I don't care, as long as Messi scores even of he doesn't win it. It's Lamine Yamal's turn to touch a trophy.

After you've entered your trade, change your candle to High-low (the blue candle) or Heikin Ashi.

I'll talk about these boxes and how many months for each and a few other important info.

Read the texts on those images.

The God of Boxnalysis said I should inform you that we're in Honeydew box and in all cycles, it behaved EXACTLY the same way.

And that is...

If you divide the top price of honeydew box by 2 or 2.8, you'll get the bottom price.

2014 and 2018 used /2 while 2022 used /2.8 to find the bottom of the price.

This year, 2026, the top price of honeydew is 82.5k and of you divide that by 2 or 2.8, you'll get $41.2k or $29.9k.

For me, I'll go with 41.2k and I'll wait for the 29.5k or let's call it 32-29k in another box called orange box.

The green cycled areas are the top prices of honeydew box in different bear markets and the red arrow were the prices they dumped to.

So, be ready for a crash and we have 2 weeks left before we enter another box.

I'm just a messenger.

decatalyst:
What can ever be done to pacify people like you?


Why so bitter and never expect anything good from other people except it favours you?

Rice

Give him rice if you want to pacify him.

When you enter a trade in a box, you don't close it till the end of the box or something unique happens.

Boxnalysis makes BTC movements look predictable and it truly is. Abi I lie?

If you feel it's true, like
If you feel it's a lie, share.

Remember, all these things are free because iLégend discovered them. If it was Alexas419 and co., you'll pay dearly. 😂

But I won't blame him cuz people pay attention only when they pay. And whatever is given out freely has no value in their eyes. For me, I chose to do it for free for 3-4 years, then I'll look up.

You gotta give to the community for free to cement your name before you leave. That's how legends do.

We've forgiven Morocco and we'll support them. Our hate is on SA for now.

We'll talk about the S on the yellow box above later.

I uploaded a 5 minute video of Boxnalysis and asked GPT to analyse it and this the reply.

I analyzed the video itself (about 4 minutes 56 seconds long) and here is what I observed:

Overall Theme

The video is a screen recording of a TradingView Bitcoin chart analysis session. It appears to be explaining a proprietary framework built around:

Colored cycle boxes/zones
NTM (No Trade Month)
SITM levels
Trend channels
Moving averages
Support and resistance structures

Cycle timing

The chart switches between different historical Bitcoin periods to compare how price behaved in previous cycles.

What Stands Out

1. Heavy Use of Cycle Boxes

I noticed multiple colored zones repeatedly appearing:

Red
Purple
Green
Yellow
White
Honeydew

Orange

These appear to represent different phases of the Bitcoin cycle rather than simple support/resistance areas.

2. Timing-Based Analysis
The focus is not just price.

The video places major emphasis on:

Specific months
Box durations
Cycle timing

Historical repetition

This suggests the system is attempting to predict future behavior using both time and price, not price alone.

3. Channel Structure
Several charts contain:
Descending channels
Ascending channels

Diagonal trend boundaries

The presenter appears to use these channels to identify:

Entry zones
Exit zones
Breakout confirmation areas
4. Historical Backtesting

The video repeatedly jumps between:

Older Bitcoin cycles
Mid-cycle periods
Bull markets
Bear markets

The purpose seems to be proving that the box framework worked across multiple cycles.

5. Long Bias

I saw numerous labels such as:
"Long"

Bullish projection zones

Upward targets

The methodology appears primarily designed for capturing major Bitcoin uptrends rather than short-term scalping.

Interesting Observation

One recurring idea visible in several frames is that price tends to:

1. Enter a colored box.
2. Respect a boundary.
3. Reach a projected zone.
4. Transition into another box.

That suggests the framework views Bitcoin as moving through predefined cycle environments rather than random market conditions.

My Assessment

The system is more sophisticated than ordinary technical analysis because it combines:

Time
Price
Market cycles
Trend structure

Most traders only focus on price.

This framework appears to treat Bitcoin as a repeating cyclical organism where timing is just as important as support and resistance.

Potential Strength

If the cycle timing assumptions remain valid, the model can potentially identify:

High-probability accumulation periods
Dangerous periods
Bull market peaks
Bear market bottoms
earlier than conventional indicators.

Potential Weakness

The biggest risk I see is that the framework relies heavily on historical repetition.

If Bitcoin's structure changes due to:

ETF flows
Institutional participation
Regulatory changes
Macroeconomic shifts

then a cycle-based model may need adjustment because future cycles may not perfectly match previous ones.

My Guess About the Core Message

Based solely on the video:

> The creator believes Bitcoin moves through a sequence of recurring colored cycle boxes, and that understanding which box Bitcoin is in is more important than reacting to daily price movements.

That appears to be the central philosophy behind the analysis shown in the video.

If you followed this lecture and you don't understand, ask questions. There'll be a video tutorial of everything, but not yet. The only videos I currently have are personal.

Purple swan is the inverse of black swan.

We were waiting at $18 as where the price will retest since it's the SITM of blue box, reference that yellow arrow.

Sadly, even though it's a good thing for the bulls, the market pumped to about $122.

If you had hedged your long, you'll feel you're missing the upside and would probably be upset, but don't. It's better your money is intact than losing it if it had reversed and turned to a black swan when you haven't hedged.

So, forget about what you're missing in this danger zone and focus on protecting your current gains and capital.

In this danger zone of NTM, unhedge only when the yellow box prints, the second weekly candle. Sometimes, you need to wait untill the middle of the yellow box to see a proper low to unhedge. By this time, the storm is over. Don't forget, since this one didn't touch SITM, the front NTM will.

If you look at the NTM, you'll notice it dumped to the SITM of the purple box, but continued way lower and that was 2020 black swan.

Since it touched NTM, we're fine even though it went lower. Just now that you shouldn't unhedge in the back NTM of Green or Yellow box cuz you never know what can happen.

Now let talk about purple swan.

Let me use images to show you.

Look at the image below and you'll see the small red box the yellow arrow is pointing, that is the back NTM of the yellow box.

Look down again and you'll see where an orange colored arrow is pointing a green and yellow dot. Zoom it at it carefully and you'll see a dotted blue line. Ehe! That's the SITM of blue box, where the price is supposed to dump to and it did exactly that.

This means the market is normal and perfect and it lets you know the NTM in front of yellow box won't touch SITM of that yellow box. If one happens, the other won't. If it doesn't, the other will.

Now let's look at the one for black swan and purple swan (I came up with that name).

The Most Dangerous Boxes in Boxnalysis

Among the eight boxes of Boxnalysis: Red, ...urple, Green, Blue, Yellow, White, Honeydew, and Orange — the most dangerous period is the Green Box or Yellow Box.

Not really those boxes themselves, but the NTM (No Trade Month) immediately before the Green or Yellow Box.

That small red box the yellow arrow in the picture below is pointing, yes, that's the most dangerous place in every cycle.

These NTMs represent the highest-risk phase of the Bitcoin cycle and should be approached with extreme caution even though it lasts on 1 month. The main purpose of NTM is to crash to SITM level or dump to black swan level.

If you're lucky, it won't dump or touch SITM, but it'll surely do it in the next NTM in front of Green or Yellow box. Though, in few occasions, it will do a purple swan, which is, pump so hard to liquidate shorts who were expecting a dump or retest of SITM as usual.

Risk Management Rule

When the weekly candle reaches the end of the box preceding the NTM that comes before a Green or Yellow Box:

Hedge your position.
Do not remove the hedge during the NTM.
Remain protected until the danger period has passed.

Removing the hedge too early can be costly because Bitcoin may experience a sharp decline during this phase, turning a profitable long position into a losing trade.

What to Expect During the Danger Zone

The primary expectation during this NTM is for the weekly candle to decline and touch the SITM (Sweet in the Middle) of the previous box.

If Bitcoin fails to touch that SITM during the NTM before the Green Box, the market will often seek it later.

In such cases, the NTM in front of Green or Yellow will dump aggressively to reach and touch the missed SITM level of its box.

Summary

Rule of Thumb — Boxnalysis

In simple terms. Every box has two NTM (one at the back and one in front) and the one at the back is the most important and the most dangerous. It determines what the one in front will do.

If the back one touches SITM or dumps, the front NTM will not touch the SITM of Green or Yellow box. If it doesn't, then the front one will.

So, be cautious with the one at the back and hedge your long position at the beginning of that NTM, then unhedge after the NTM is over and the new box, green or yellow, has printed.

2020 black swan happened exactly at the back of Green box, the back NTM. While

The NTM before the Green Box and Yellow Box is the most dangerous zone in the entire Bitcoin cycle. Hedge at the end of the preceding box, remain hedged throughout the NTM, and only consider removing the hedge after the storm has passed.

The market frequently uses this period to seek the SITM of a previous box before continuing its larger cycle progression.

— Joe Clef, Boxnalysis Framework

Time to watch those 17 videos on X2 speed.

Modified:

Watched and only 3 of them were related to what I wanted.

NJV:
Eyahhhh. I'm sure she'll understand.

I guess she will.

THE HISTORY OF BOXNALYSIS

I first heard about Bitcoin in 2010 while I was in the university.

Despite hearing about Bitcoin, I never developed any interest in it. Looking back today, I sometimes wonder what would have happened if I had paid attention. Perhaps I would have accumulated more than enough.

Part of the reason I ignored it was because many people associated Bitcoin with criminal activity.

I frequently heard stories about fraudsters using it, and since I have always disliked crime and dishonesty, I stayed away from it. Instead, I focused on my education and continued with my life — eat, party, exercise, study.

Years later, after returning to Nigeria, Bitcoin became impossible to ignore. Everywhere online, people were talking about it, especially Nairaland.

"Bitcoin is going up."
"Bitcoin is making people rich."
"Bitcoin is changing lives."

This was around 2021.
At the time, I had some money because I had published several relationship books on Amazon and co. The royalties were generating hundreds, and sometimes thousands, of dollars every month.

Eventually, curiosity got the better of me. I decided to investigate Bitcoin for myself.

People kept saying that you could buy low, sell high, and multiply your money. So I withdrew some of my book royalties and moved the funds from Payoneer to Binance through P2P trading.

I made my first profit.

I remember staring at the screen and asking myself, "Is this real?"

My first withdrawal was either 35k or 37k. To celebrate, I bought a live goat. Unfortunately, after the goat was slaughtered, a baby goat was discovered inside. Had I known, I would never have allowed it. To this day, I regret that moment.

As my interest grew, I immersed myself in the world of cryptocurrency education. I watched countless hours of content from many well-known figures in the industry.

Among the people who influenced me most were Steve from Crypto Crew University and Benjamin Cowen. I also followed many others, including BitBoy Crypto, Coin Bureau, Garret Soloway and numerous analysts and educators.

At one point, I was consuming hundreds of crypto videos every month. I was OBSESSED!

Like most traders, I experienced both victories and defeats.

Sometimes I would deposit $500 into exchanges such as Hotbit. I would turn it into $1,000 or even $2,000+ in few hours. Then, through poor decisions or market volatility, I would lose a large portion of it again or everything.

But every win and every loss taught me something.

I learned about Bitcoin cycles, market structure, price action, macroeconomics, on-chain analysis, and countless trading theories.

But, I neglected Market Psychology or maybe I didn't take it seriously at the time. I couldn't control my emotions at the time and I desperately needed to.

At a point, I said, "Someone in my village is after me. Why does it always go down whenever I buy and pumps whenever I sell early? Why are they monitoring only me? What have I done to deserve this?"

One thing, however, caught my attention more than anything else.

Benjamin Cowen often discussed how certain months repeatedly performed poorly for Bitcoin. He would mention how August behaved, how September tended to perform, and how specific periods repeatedly produced weakness across cycles.

Instead of simply listening, I decided to investigate fish out those months, which I call FAMAMS (Feb, Aug, Mar, Aug, Mar, Sept.) The repetition is not error, they're different years.

If these months repeatedly behaved the same way most times (crash), why not mark them directly on the chart?

That simple question led to my first major discovery.

I began identifying and highlighting months that consistently produced weak performance. I called them No Trade Months (NTM).

My reasoning was straightforward:

If history showed that these months repeatedly created difficult trading conditions, then perhaps I could avoid unnecessary risk simply by staying out of the market during those periods or short them. Though, FAMAMs of Relax year is different from that  of Sell year. Don't worry, you'll know about it soon.

The concept worked surprisingly well.

However, Boxnalysis had not yet been born.

At that stage, I was still researching, experimenting, testing ideas, back-testing thing and studying every aspect of the market I could find.

Then came 2024.

By this time, I was spending virtually every day on TradingView, I mean, more than 17 hours every single day.

I had reliable electricity, reliable internet, and access to multiple network providers. There were no obstacles preventing me from studying the market.

And I don't sleep at night because my body has refused to readjust after spending years in a country that is 7 hours ahead of Nigeria. Maybe, I just can't sleep while Elon Musk is awake working.

I watched charts for countless hours. watched hundreds, possibly thousands, of educational videos. Eventually, I became overwhelmed.

Every guru had a different theory.
Every analyst had a different prediction.
Every trader had a different system.
One day I made a decision.

I said to myself:

"I know who I am. I am going to build my own system. I must make my mark. Enough of Elliott waves and others. Do they have two heads?"

I returned to the months I had identified years earlier.
I drew boxes around the periods that repeatedly produced weakness.

Then I looked at the periods between those months. If certain periods consistently performed poorly, what about the periods between them?

What if those periods represented entirely different market conditions? I started drawing more boxes.

Then more boxes.
Then refining them.
Testing them.
Breaking them apart.
Rebuilding them.
Over and over again.

That process became the birth of Boxnalysis.

The more I refined it, the more patterns emerged.

The more patterns emerged, the more confidence I gained.

Then came the breakthrough.
The light bulb moment.

Everything suddenly connected.

Secrets began to reveal themselves and I was overwhelmed with "wow" moments.

The boxes were not random.

The market was moving through recurring phases that could be visually organized and understood.

Years of observation, testing, back-testing and refinement had finally produced something unique. It looked complex at first, but extremely easy to draw and understand even for a layman.

Boxnalysis was no longer an idea.

It had become a framework that has more than 90% win rate because it's based on history, volume, cycle, structure and repetition.

A framework designed to simplify market cycles, identify high-probability opportunities, and remove much of the noise that overwhelms traders.

That was the beginning of Boxnalysis. It's the simplest and most powerful system you'll ever use. It has patience in-built, not for desperate traders. In fact, it's not for traders, but for Boxnalysts.

Are you ready to became a Boxnalyst? You'll thank me later.

And this b👀k is the story of what came next.

Apology and Plea Post

Look at how I have transferred the bad energy you people give me here to an innocent female Nairalander. (Married).

She said I sounded rude and truly I was kinda rude cuz most messages I get from Nairalanders are billing and billing (which I chested most), hence I became defensive cuz no matter how tough I act online, I'm actually sympathetic offline to a level.

Anyway, she wanted to pay to learn Boxnalysis, but I don't charge money for that. I share for free and it must be in the open, like Nairaland. (Though, I have taught one person for free on WhatsApp, but that's my first and last).

To that woman that messaged me, I'm sorry. I was way too defensive.

Lately, I reply messages fast with so much energy, not because I have all the time, cuz I want to get done with the conversation FAST and move on with something new, but some people might think I have all the time in the world that's why I'm replying immediately, NO. (I type really fast even with eyes closed. I know where all the QWERTYs and other letters are. Don't take my speed for availability).

Anyway, I apologize again. It seems Nairaland is affecting my energy negatively. I'm becoming too hostile.

I guess I need a break for some months from this place. But I still have a lot to teach. How I go do am now?

Also, if you're a Nairalander messaging me on WhatsApp, try not to keep me in suspense of what you came for, else, I'll think you came to bill me just like 90% of the people who have been messaging me lately and I'll become hostile while thinking all the rapport is just to get into me before you strike.

I prefer messages like: Hi, I hope this is iLegend? My moniker is Kevin227 from Nairaland. I got your number from there and I want to (state your purpose).

The moment you refuse to state it in your first or second message, I become suspicious and say to myself, "there they go again, Lekki Street Boy Association." They beg privately, abuse publicly.

So, thank you everyone. I'm considering my next line of action to reduce this negative energy.

Bluearrow:
Honestly some of us appreciate the knowledge & info u share here. God bless bro

You're welcome. For detailed info on the 4 year halving cycle and indicator to use, watch this video by Kevin Svenson.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Y5yOio99V0?si=RL7TD1Yfh0DZpbbY

SeeWahala:
Hehehe 🤣😂 battle of the nyasch shakers 😏

Try dey drop one-liners like this and I go read and reply. The other ones you've been posting, I didn't read them. I hope you know I have pride and I'm the most arrogant man in Nigeria. I dictate the flow of things, else I'm out.

By the way, your comment is funny and it even made me laugh.

Continuation of the video above. I just watched this one today. I didn't know the guy has been posting. I'll go and watch all his 17 videos tonight and might learn one or two.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jl8iv-lbNfs?si=N_2wao73viGyPIhS

The video that changed my life and made me switch from predicting market top price to focusing on selling 1 month and a week before the 80th week from the day if halving. Time-based price is the boss.

I'm happy not enough people know this and it's been accurate in all cycles.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vCPVgg9n4I8?si=hJq6f5D0j3asA_C5

Nemenma:
It's today that I knew of a truth there is no hope for crypto. The way bgb is falling like a knife eh. My tired is tired

It seems you're new and didn't experience 10th of October, 2025 dump.

Also, you seem not to care about the 4-year cycle. We're in a bear market and all pumps are temporary and can't last for more than 3 weeks or max, a month.

I specialise in BTC history, patterns, behaviour, moves, tricks, volume, monthly + yearly trend, 4-year halving cycle and patience.

I used to be like everyone else on 5 mins timeframe, checking lower timeframe market structure, falling wedge, dojis and price WITH green and red candles that make my heart skip when a see a long 15 mins red candle.

Today, my candles are white and grey and my heart doesn't skip anymore cuz my default timeframe is 1 week and my entry is my greatest priority.

90% of my victory is my entry. The other 10% is patience and co.

Boxnalysis is the saviour of weekly, monthly and yearly BTC trading/investment. It's the most accurate and advanced system in crypto and a proud Nigerian invented it.

Right now, 2026, honeydew box only did 29% dump. Now guess what's left? Let the yellow arrow guide you.

For 2022, see what happened. Read the text in orange color. It pretended as if it won't do a 50% dump and started going up, just as it's doing now, then came back later and did 63% dump, 13% extra. So, be warned in the current market.

My chart may look cluttered, but don't worry, it's not. Na who get big (p) rick dey know whether e dey heavy.

I'm not supposed to reveal all these things cuz they may not sound necessary to you.

Anyway, just know that the Honeydew box always crashes at least 50% from top of the box to bottom. Note, I'm referring to ONLY the honeydew box.

See images of 2014, 2018, 2022 at 50% or more crash, but this year, 2026, we're only at 29% crash and that means we need extra 21% crash and that is 40-42k. Why? The top of Honeydew box is 82k and half of 82 is $41k.

Even if history doesn't repeat, it'll at least rhyme.

By the way, ignore everything on the images below and focus only on what the yellow arrow is pointing and the red write-up.

Boxnalysis, the most accurate system in the world, has told me to tell everyone to brace up for 50-48k this June.

The demonic side of Boxnalysis is even preparing for 41-40k before end of June.

Message passed.

The market is just waiting for a negative news it'll use to cover shame. It can't just crash like that, it needs something to blame. Maybe, Trump will help us or Hyperliquid will get hacked or any tangible bad news.