₦airaland Forum

Saladdin:
They can't stay fully united if each of them wants to be president or nothing else. At some point they all have to compromise if truly their goal is to beat the current government. I'm not saying Obi is a saint, but he'll be a good administrator, and if he's to make headway he has to learn to compromise. Else, he better forget politics.

On the issue of Kwankwaso, we are both saying the same thing. Heads or Tail, Kwankwaso is the biggest winner in all of these.

If some kind of miracle happens and they win, he'll be the vice president to take over from Obi.

Then also, if Tinubu wins, he'll have gained southern acceptance through Obi, and no Northern politician bar Atiku will be as formidable as him. Since Atiku is no longer contesting post-2027 the cake is Kwankwaso's to take.

of course, obi is the political novice that thinks everything must fall in at a go, perhaps he is a prisoner of the same support base that says president or nothing

It is a quicker root for kwankwaso to finish the job and split the last batch, that's like four year away from presidency than 8 years an obi route will take at best (a highly uncertain path taking power from a tinubu still without a united north)

Let's not forget he doesn't want to appear weak before his own people (this guy went toe to toe with buhari atiku)

Again it will appear he betrayed northern interest or atiku for peanut, either way obi should stop this naive strategy of believing what his people say online can box politicians to his side, kwankwaso has a plan

Heffalump:
Atiku is a big problem. He can never step down for anybody even when it's obvious he can't win. If he is clever by half, he ought to have run some permutations and judging from the political dynamics in the country, times are not in his favour. Being a vice to Obasanjo in 1999 to 2007 is more than enough, something he never dreamed of ab initio. Instead he's hell bent to become the president at all cost. He's just a stubborn politician.

Now, all the people He's banking on in ADC are fleeing from the boat carrying them. Let him be the lone man standing and see if he can unseat Tinubu.

oga everyone must not submit to your blackmail

Now make una leave atiku, and focus on kwankwaso that's wants primary too as he has always done.

If everyone is evil perhaps na you be the winch that dwells in evil

Empresa:
Voting for Obi is a waste of votes.

If he was at ADC, yes I won't be saying this but for him to run solo again without structures, it's a NO.

Since Obi is not desperate to be Presiy, VP or senate President, and more interestingly he can't play dirty, he should allow those with structures and dirty hands to save the country.

Obi cannot save a system that is so dirty and corrupt without him been dirty. Nigeria is messed up, they don't like good people and that's why every good leader Nigeria had, has died prematurely.

Obi is a good man and can't fight dirty. People. Nigerian politics don't need good men

this is what we keep saying, he is the spoiler but his people will turn around and claim atiku is spoiler

How far have the non criminal structure helped him with presidency, he is not going anywhere but won't allow those who will to go

How will he possibly negotiate positions and concession when he would need to insert these same coalition into his govt.

Politics is a dirty game, but men like Dem yaradua and gej placed this politics and the people still enjoyed

We just need a liberal person that can have chop and let masses also chop, this whole messiah thing of holy pass only places the worst in power

Saladdin:
I second this too. It seems these people do not know simple BODMAS at all. Stay united and defeat the president or stay scattered and he wins again. They seem to underestimate how dangerously cunning Tinubu is.

I mean 2023 was an eye-opener, Ah! Everybody cannot be president at once. Come to a gentleman agreement: this one president, you vice, this one Senate President, you go back to the House, you choose any Ministerial slot that you want etc.
This is how Wike retained his power and milked it to the fullest.

I don't know what they're trying to prove that has not been proven in 2023. In all of these though, Kwankwaso will be the biggest winner of the plays his cards right by deputizes Obi. His eyes should be on 2031 and he is primed to be the most formidable Northern candidate.

how do they stay united when you have said now it's about sharing formula

Obi that is deceiving himself as coming to sanitize system will he now open positions for sharing in his govt when supposedly these are criminal structure people.

He claims not to be desperate but he is the one that doesn't work on a party but wants everyone to fall on his lap.

Kwankwaso has said he always contested primaries, even against the giants of buhari and atiku his senior brothers up north

Is there a way he would not be doing that at the least, if he does he wins obi hands down just by sheer northern delegates numbers

He actually benefits by allowing tinubu wind down his 8 years then it eliminates both atiku by age and obi by zone in 2031.

Until obi realizes kwankwaso has more to gain by not working with him the better

Lordhanzo:
It was atiku hope to trap obi inside adc. Just like he trapped Wike and rendered him mad 😂

Obi repeatedly said there should be direct primary. Atiku did not have the numbers for that. He ran to Ibadan to recruit makinde, insisting on selection.

Why is atiku running away from direct primaries ? He owns adc ? Did Buhari build apc ? Did obj build pdp ? Atiku is not statesman. His last outing will end in disgrace

For all the Apc sycophants talking about obi. You do this out of frustration. Obi will run. !!!!!

atiku has been clamouring for primary whether direct or indirect he had it covered

The leadership was all his people, obi was too naive to not see it from the start, he was expecting a pity coalition that can make atiku give him concesus.

Ibadan summit was the last straw for obi, atiku actually rallied all opposition under the summit to support whoever emerged as flagbearer, the issue of zoning or open contest further showed obi that atiku had no just boxed them in ADC but was boxing the larger coalition in the game of no zoning which always puts him in picture.

Right now obidients can now allow atiku rest and go put their new blames on kwankwaso because guyman is going to ndc because ndc has refused to do zoning stance

He just clarified today that he has always contested primary even when buhari and atiku dey his party.

So obi is an even small fish to fry with his pedigree in primary, obi is making another mistake of hoping on pity and propaganda blackmail to go meet kwankwaso in ndc

Kwankwaso has not affirmed anything to do with vp ticket but naive obi wants to go box himself in ndc thinking blackmail will force kwankwaso hand

As it is now the opposition is already 50% done for against tinubu.

Assuredly tinubu will now remove his moles in adc and allow atiku snatch some millions up north.

Kwankwaso vs obi fight na him we dey now cos guyman has said their is no where he hasn't gone for the presidency no matter when it was buhari and atiku

Leaving is not the problem, not planning like you did before entering ADC is

Kwankwaso is still tagging you along to go box you in NDC, there will be a primary which you dread so much

That places kwankwaso as another atiku in ndc cos he has northern delegates and a good unifier in southern politics

KingOfAmebo:
You clearly lack comprehension and worse still you boldly admit it without realizing...

Read what he said again but this time slowly and without hate...

He already gave you a clue that he once contested with Buhari in 2014 presidential primary and came second but eventually supported the winner, he also said he puts national interest first before personal ambition, now you can see that education is not scam, get some more education...

thank God you see he is talking about always going for primary first even with the big men above him

The question is if primary is conducted today does obi stand a chance against him?

If he can come second against buhari and atiku, it's back to the atiku ADC trap of saying support will come if I fail primary

Kdon2:
He is indirectly taking the VP slot. That's the summary.

yes it's always the fantasy world of obidients which they have forced themselves to believe in

Unfortunately that's why the clarification is coming out cos soon una go blame kwankwaso for the failure of obi pipedream after blaming atiku

KingOfAmebo:
You clearly lack comprehension and even worse bolden admitting it without realizing...

oga you are the one lacking simply comprehension

(1). He is vocing out to clarify that all obidients have been saying is not his official position

(2). He lays out his history as a prelude to his future path which is he has always fought for presidency with even the biggest players in the north and didn't chicken out let alone to an obi

Kwankwaso is going for primary whether una like it or not

That's the summary of what he says there, his goal is for president

Obi better takes another party now if not kwankwaso is hoping to box him in when he can no longer decamp

Kwankwaso is very strong in party primaries and obi will never be his match if it's not free concesus

Lol, this is a rebuke to the obidients who are forcing a mob position on him

He insists he is only looking at ndc because ADC is cornered by apc judiciary, he gives his history as someone who fought for president with both buhari and atiku

Yet pitobi supporters say he would not go for the big price again but succumb to obi when no fit match buhari or atiku

Obi better move to prp and not follow him cos he would still be another atiku situation where ever kwankwaso goes in a primary

All fun and games till pitobi or atiku want to join

Then Dickson would finally cash out to tinubu and become the bull in the china shop

tonesky:
Amaechi is not a force in Nigerian politics. We all know the Agbero pattern of Rivers politicians and Never Again.

but obi went to beg him and was disappointed he wasn't buying one southern candidate scam

givedemwotowoto:
You're probably referring to Mohammed El-Rufai

they are all El rufai, mid crisis family

Wey that their mama sef

The same guy supporting tinubu while his father is in adc is fanning obi

Talk about mid age crisis

Obi would always be bonding as fantasy president and media influencer till he start using walking stick

No one will sha rig that from him

One thing atiku and obi supporters both agree on is that tinubu can finish his 8 years and complete south turn

After which it squarely goes. To north

Adaobi 12 years of limbo or auto retirement

Does anyone still need evidence that the judiciary is now active as a chess pawn in apc game

They are waiting for their partner inec deadline to expire so the ADC can be caved in

I do know tinubu is involved in these discord of opposition but I expected better A game from Dem atiku

I just hope the parallel ADC fight is not their only option

ufotunang:
..the same Atiku that could not defeat Tinubu in 2023...if ADC gives Atiku the presidential ticket the ADC will lose the election because southerns will not vote for Atiku because it's the turn of the south.. majority of southerns are saying it's still the turn of the south..so southerns will not vote for any northerner and Atiku..so obi/ kwankwaso is the best combination to defeat Tinubu .
Even majority of northerners will not vote for Atiku because there do not want the zoning to be interrupted that 2031 is the turn of the north..they know that it's still the turn of the south for now

make una rest, both sides have agreed that tinubu should continue if none can't agree

Remove kwankwaso from una by force merger, he would rather watch tinubu finish 2027 and go unchallenged in 2031

The so called southern turn obi is banking on na tinubu go use am why igbo wait for externity

NOETHNICITY:
Rather than reacting emotionally, it’s better to approach this with clear thinking. In my view, Obi’s current situation is largely a result of his own political choices. For years, some critics have argued that he lacks certain leadership qualities, but that perspective is often overlooked.

For instance, had he attended that conference with the full backing of parties he has been associated with—such as All Progressives Grand Alliance, Peoples Democratic Party, and Labour Party—his influence might have carried more weight. Instead, his pattern has been to move on completely from previous platforms, with little effort to maintain relationships or build on past alliances.

This approach can make it difficult to sustain loyalty among party members. When leaders appear disconnected from their political base, it becomes less likely that key figures will follow them into new movements. Over time, this can weaken their ability to consolidate support.

Ultimately, leadership is not just about personal conviction; it also involves building lasting relationships and trust. Without that continuity, it is impossible to inspire long-term loyalty.

obi banks on pity as politics he really has no political bone

He relies on his mob who support him for pity sake

When its time to convince politicians who have interests and dependants he has no clue on that

You just can't eat your cake and have it, it's either you are lying to your mob on transparency or you serve the structure of criminality you are begging for

He is neither here nor there that's why he keeps becoming a joke in their midst

Dem umeh and abaribe following him are only doing so to fend on what he has become as a south east project after ipo.ob failure

Bendeco02:
Stop yarning without thinking.

How can Atiku defeat tinubu without teaming up with Obi?

Can North West and North East votes make him the president?

Buhari won core North for like two or three consecutive times but was unable to win the president.

Most North Central people prefer Obi over Atiku talk more of winning South.

So for your mind, If Obi contest seperately, South East and South South will leave him and vote for Atiku?

Which political value can Makinde add to Atiku on 2027 when Tinubu from South West is also on the race. How many people from SE & SS knows who is Makinde?

If at all any of them should step down for another, then Atiku should step down because Kwakwanso and Obi has agreed to merge. Obi as the Present while Kwakwanso will be VP. That combination have better chance than Atiku/Makinde.

kwankwaso agreeing to obi is only in your dream and fellow obident dream who feel they can pressure that into reality

There is no where kwankwaso has accepted such when he can simply allow tinubu 8 years and get a fresh start when it goes north and obi atiku are out

Hussein035:
Don't mind him. All we know is that As long as Obi and Atiku contest differently PBAT will definitely win

The best they can combine is Atiku president, Obi vice president in a different party not ADC else PBAT has won

let the tinubu continue since pitobi no wan realize his second fiddle position

At the end it's the same north that wins, kwankwaso they are forcing themselves on would rather wait out tinubu for four years and have the undiluted access as main northern candidate since atiku won't be running then

All kwankwaso needs is to stay on northern unity and not betray atiku for some crumbs from the woman called obi

I wonder why pitobi people can't see this

Obi is a clown,

They also salivating he had closed door meeting with makinde

How far the ones he had with wike, ameachi, is there any politician of standard that he has ever had the charisma to pull over in deal

Obj adopted him for free, na wetin he dey like be that, Mr support the vulnerable in politics

I support opposition but there is no way this ADC won't be toast before election cos they played themselves into Apc hands

Just like the "all eyes on judiary failed" nzogbu emotions won't stop the court from going a certain scripted direction which they have stated now

The organizers should have envisaged and cover these cracks rather, patching it can't work cos apc just needs a crack to run their compromised army of judiciary, inec

givedemwotowoto:
Tinubu is playing a dangerous game.
He and his followers pushing him must understand that people especially in the North will die for what they believe in.
Don't play with democracy, some people will die to protect it. They die for less important causes.

You can't win this fight, you're not fighting a just cause. You're fighting with your money while people are fighting with their hearts and souls for what they believe in and think is right.

If the people don't want you, leave power and give it a rest.

The South doesn't support you, and you have lost the partnership you had with the North.

Let it rest. Think about the ones coming after you that will be victims of your reckless selfish decisions.

If trouble starts you can't just say "ok let's go back to where things were", you don't get to decide when it ends.

Think about foreign countries and actors who take advantage of conflicts as contractors and mercenaries.

A word is enough for the wise.

you spoiled it with the last line

Don't tell me it's pitobi you are routing all this to

The haters of country who would love enemies to burn it down for their tribes man to rule then they show how they love the country

I have come to understand that Nigeria politics is all about my tribe man is better

Buhari govt dried the country to the bone but no noise from south west

Tinubu a multiple failure is championed by his people for relection

Gej was just a minority that was ganged against he actually had no crime compared to the failure and corruption we have been seeing for 10+ years

East side is still championing another failure as messiah like south west deceived the nation to buy a 2015 messiah

At the end it's all tribal

If usa lift that blockade they have no other leverage since they are already tired of bombing

And Iran would not be discussing nuclear in any deal by the way

So trump fought a war and didn't get oil, nuclear renouncement, proxies renouncement

Sunnyshinylight:
This take is emotionally satisfying, but it is strategically shallow.

Calling the US “humiliated” because talks are stalling ignores how high-level geopolitics actually works. Stalemates are not signs of weakness by default, they are often deliberate pressure points. The US is not negotiating from desperation, it is negotiating from layered leverage, military, economic, and diplomatic.

Let’s break the reality:

- Iran is under sustained economic pressure, sanctions are still biting hard.
- Its currency instability and internal strain are not signs of a country “winning.”
- Engaging Russia is not strength, it is dependency shifting.

Now contrast that with the US:

- It controls the global financial system backbone.
- It has unmatched naval dominance, especially around critical routes like the Strait of Hormuz.
- Its alliances, even when noisy, still outweigh Iran’s network.

Germany complaining is not a fracture, it is normal alliance friction. Western partners disagree publicly all the time, but when it matters, they align structurally. That has been proven repeatedly.

Also, “talks stalling” does not mean the US is losing control. In many cases, it means the US is tightening conditions and refusing to concede. Diplomacy is not about speed, it is about outcome.

People keep making the same analytical mistake:
They confuse resistance with strength, and noise with power.

Iran resisting does not automatically mean it is dictating terms. It simply means it has fewer options and is stretching its position as far as possible.

If anything, prolonged negotiations favor the US more, because time amplifies economic pressure, not military theatrics.

So no, this is not humiliation.
This is strategic patience playing out in real time.

the usa moto of the bird says peace through strength

That is they were a world power that rules based on beating you to surrender or at worst beating you till you beg for peace

Apparently Iran is in no haste to beg for peace, America is the one tacoing, surrending via extending more deadline, and crying for meeting with Iran's that Iran is not desperate for

A nation that is begging for a deal as trophy to run out of the red sea which it's stuck in

Authority1o1:
I'll vote Obi no matter which party he goes.

that's the thing, he is running out of options to even be on ballot

He has met his Waterloo

Deadline to change party would meet him in adc

That's why he has shifted to begging kwankwaso to help him with the pedigree he lacks in primary

Yet atiku don first beat kwankwaso for 2018 pdp primary