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Sports / Football Pools Systems by marsbot: 1:14pm On Jul 26, 2013
Australian football is not at all like soccer, either in the purely physical sense, or in its organization. It is generally accepted (and supported by statistics) that Australian football teams play closer to form than do teams in British soccer. For example, the range of playing standard between top and bottom teams in a league is quite wide leading to greater predictability. Player injuries and transfers, and forfeit games (due to no-shows) are other factors which can have a heavy influence on a team's performance profile. These and other statistical quirks have a direct effect on the strategies to be adopted for football pools betting.
Firstly, a basic fact about the statistics: Teams come and go (and change their names) very often in Australian football. A team may disappear for a season or two and then re-form. So, tracking teams in a statistics database can be quite a challenge.
Leagues
Digging at the statistics shows that some leagues have much higher standards than others, and in particular some leagues have much higher draw percentages than others (for example South Australia), whereas other leagues have a much lower percentage of draws. So, if you are playing the treble chance (draw games) then you bias your selections towards the leagues with higher draw rates - that is forecasting more draws in the upper half of the coupon. Obviously, this depends on using a suitable performance rating system to assess likely match outcomes, before introducing bias.
Home/Away/Draw Runs
A peculiar aspect of Australian football is that sequences can appear to be very strange. It is not at all unusual for a team losing at home to go win their next match (if it is an away). The numbers bear this out, but the explanations can be a bit difficult to fathom. One view which I favor is that this is related to the range of playing standards within given leagues.
The reverse also carries weight too, with a good away win often being followed by a home defeat. For a pools staking strategy, this means that sequences are important, much more so than in the British pools.
Plans and Perms
Typically, a staking strategy needs to be using higher coverage levels than would be the norm for the British pools, on a pound for pound basis. Because some of the value coupons (1/10 p/line) do not publish during the Australian season, then staking plans come into their own, balancing a lower guarantee level against higher coverage on the higher cost coupons (1p/line). Full perms, even at the high cost of any 8 from 18, are not really the way to go.
Draw Probabilities
When narrowing down your selections - say you have 30 candidate draw forecasts which you want to reduce to 20, and then you can start by eliminating those with the lower percentage probabilities of a draw.
Finally
With over 130 teams to monitor, the Australian pools can require more work than the British pools. Dividends are smaller, but given that teams play closer to form and there are other tweaks which can help home in on draws (by eliminating home or away bankers), then it can be a more rewarding part of the pools calendar. After all, the serious football pools fan is down to earth and doesn't seek the glory of the 1m pounds dividend, just steady profit from season to season.
For all weekly pools fixtures and results visit www,poolsagents.com
Sports / Australian Football Pools Strategies by marsbot: 5:43pm On Jul 17, 2013
Football pools systems really do work if they are based on sound statistical analysis. Why do systems work? Simply, because the performance of football teams is not in the long run random - teams do in fact play broadly to form.
There are two parts to solving the problem of how to win the football pools. The first is the statistical analysis - the designer of the system will have looked at past results of teams and matches, and then produced a mathematical model which explains the results with a reasonable degree of accuracy, and enables predictions to be made on that basis.
Actually accuracy only needs to be slightly better than random. In roulette, the casino makes its money on a 2-3% edge, in the long run. In the football pools, that margin is adequate in the long run, but we would expect to do much better occasionally, and win. Of course, we want to win enough to cover the stakes on those weeks we did not win, so that it becomes a profitable exercise.
The second part in the football pools problem is the coverage. It is not economic to cover every possible combination on a coupon of 49 matches - there are 450 million ways of lining up any eight score draw matches. Of course, they may not even be eight score draw results in a given coupon. That is where 'plans' and 'perms' come in. These are ways of covering say 20 selections on a coupon in such a way that when there are maybe 12-15 score draw results on a given coupon, then we can have a reasonable expectation of winnings if we have picked say six or eight of those draws. Put simply, the plan may cover the 20 selections in such a way that 25,000 possible 8 match combinations are staked. This reduces the odds significantly.
There are a number of systems available. Some are described in books available, for example, from Amazon; others are downloadable online; there are spreadsheets available; there is software. There are books which specialize in 'perms' and software which also does so. So, quite a choice for those who are prepared to dig around.
However, the whole process is based on sound prediction of match results. To do that (assuming that you cannot afford to regularly stake thousands of pounds or dollars), then, having bought a system, the user has to put in work to maintain the basic data on which the analysis is based. There are organizations which offer tips and there are comprehensive sets of match data and predictions available online (these are usually subscription only). If the pools punter does not want to subscribe, then several hours work will be required to prepare each entry.
For all weekly pools fixtures and results visit www,poolsagents.com
Sports / Australian Football Pool Result by marsbot: 11:58am On Jul 11, 2013
The Australian football pools season gets underway in April, and Australian-based pools coupons are published in Britain from mid-late May onward. Australian pools are a very different proposition to British pools. Team-form based systems still work, but with a few tweaks. Analysis of the historical data uncovers some interesting patterns which can be useful in optimizing the odds for football pools players.

So What's Different?
The game Aussie football is not soccer as we know it. It is much more physical and injury rates are much higher than in soccer. Playing standards. The best teams play well below the standard of even an English third division team. Teams die and are re-born regularly and change their names regularly. There are usually several instances of point’s deductions for breaking of rules each season.

The difference in performance between top and bottom sides in a division can be massive, and when this is the case then a lower performing team might not even show for a match, resulting in a forfeit. With a forfeited match, a score of even 10-0 can be awarded against the loser, which has a big impact on goal difference. Players change teams with great regularity, and the move of just one good player can make a massive difference to team's performance.

It really is a frontiersman's game!
Whilst most serious punters accept that 'playing to form' is much more apparent in Australian football because of the much wider range of standards within a given league, there are other interesting aspects too. For example, the statistics show that when a team loses at home, then the probability of winning its next match, if it is an 'Away', is relatively high.
Typically, almost half of teams avoid losing in away games following a home defeat. This means that when completing an Aussie pools coupon, the punter needs a much stronger bias towards Away wins than would be the case in the English football pools.

Home-Away-Draw Sequences
More detailed analysis of the home-lose-win sequences can be rewarding, and uncovering 'Away' bankers for a coupon is possible - something which is unthinkable on the English coupon (think about some of the 'certain away wins' in the English Premiership in the most recent season, which just didn't turn out to be as expected). Again, this is down to the performance range within a given league - very wide in Australian football and relatively much narrower in British soccer. Indeed, predicting Away wins is much more lucrative for Aussie pools.

League Differences
Now in the UK football pools, some people may have a view about biasing draw selections towards (or away from) Scottish leagues, for example. In Australian pools, there are clear differences in performance statistics across the various leagues (there may be up to twelve or thirteen leagues appearing on an Australian football pools coupon); this affects the strategy for draw selection on the Treble Chance football pools.
For all weekly pools fixtures and results visit www,poolsagents.com
Webmasters / How To Choose A Web Design Company In Nigeria by marsbot: 11:32am On Jul 09, 2013
With a multitude of web designers and developers out there, from freelancers, to agencies, to online templates, how do you know what the right fit is for your company, and more importantly, for your goals and objectives? Choosing a web design company is not that a serious job. But choosing a good web design company is a real serious challenge. People say that Internet has made business processes simple and global, but how about the complexities that Internet offers which are unique. Just Search for the term "Good Web Design Firm” on Google, and it comes up with millions of results. For normal human being it's impossible to search through every result. We will go through the entire process of selecting a Web Design and Development company in a structured way.
Portalys.net is providing the best web design, Web development, Mobile applications development etc. services in Nigeria, Lebanon and all around the world. Some of the most hotly debated topics with any professional web design company are the format of your website, the platform for content management, the actual layout and presentation and internet marketing techniques, primarily search engine optimization. Again as tempting as it is to declare a correct solution for any of these, it usually boils down to preference unless your web design company has substantial statistics to support their case. Regardless, there are important things to consider when paying for any website design service or working with any web design firms.
Analyze your Needs

Before you start searching for the perfect web designing company, you must first analyze your needs and requirements. You must make a list of primary needs that you want your website to satisfy. Also, list down the secondary needs! You must also have a fair idea of your target audience and should be able to convey everything to your web designing company.

Making a List

Make a list of the designers and companies that are into this business. This will give you a fair idea of whom to approach. After making an initial list, short-list a few companies, which you think will be good for you. Ask around. Ask your friends, or other business colleagues. Get a fair idea of the market and only then approach them and think about hiring specific web designing services.

The Portfolio

Every company has a portfolio of work that it has done in the past. You must ask to be shown the company's earlier work. Website designing is more of an art, then a science. Hence, put value on experience and previous work. Once going through the portfolio, you will have a clear idea about the number of projects undertaken by the company, the kind of clients, and types of projects.

The Process of Web Development

The company that you finally choose must have a clearly defined process of web development. There are a whole lot of aspects that go into the process of web development and they must be undertaken in a specific format. The company must have an expertise in doing so. A haphazard process of web development won't create a successful website.

Security

You will provide the web design company with your confidential information. This means that they must have security polices and measures in place that would protect your data at all times. Before you choose a company to do business with, you should check whether they have a stringent data security procedure in place. Moreover, they must be willing to sign a Non- Disclosure Agreement with you.

At the end of the day you must choose a company that you will be comfortable working with. There is no dearth of web designers in Nigeria and Lebanon who are the best at their business. So take your time and choose with care.
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