₦airaland Forum

Emilo:
Kindly answer this question. Based on Nigerians need for drastic change and spread of educated invidividials. Who do u think is capable of winning some good percentage in each 6 zones?

See my assumption of votes in percentage.

SW - Tinubu will win 60%, Obi 30%, Atiku 10%

SS - Tinubu 10%, Obi 80%, Atiku 10%

SE - Tinubu 5%, Obi 80%, Atiku 15%

NC - Tinubu 10%, Obi 30%, Atiku 60%

NW - Tinubu 20%, Obi 10%, Atiku 70%

NE - Tinubu 15%, Obi 20%, Atiku 65%

TOTAL = Tinubu 120%, Obi 250%, Atiku 230%

In my estimate I have considered 2 factors tribe sentiment, and level of voters education.

Remember in the last election Buhari (APC) lost Abuja and almost Lagos, mainly because of educational prowess of voters over tribe sentiments.

I don't quite agree with your percentages in the SW and SS for Obi. 80% is too much for him in both regions. Remember, these are hitherto PDP strongholds and you'll still expect a good showing from them. I think it should be Obi 40% Atiku 50% and Tinubu 10 in the SS and Obi 70, Atiku 25 and Tinubu 5 in the SE. In these, I'm still being very generous to Obi cause I can't see him outrightly winning any SS state apart from Maybe Edo and I actually expect the 3 parties to put up a good fight there. In the NC, you're aren't being fair to Tinubu. I Expect Tinubu to win Nassarawa, Kogi, Kwara and Niger states. The party is well established in the last two states, Kwara will give him votes based on tribal considerations and Kogi well, based on tribe and the strength of the party. In the NW and NE, I actually think Tinubu will perform better than the percentages you're presenting. If the APC NW governors actually stand by him and Kwankwaso also does, he'll win the NW sef. NE, with Borno and Yobe being traditionally APC states, I think 15% is too low. In all, Obi o think will come a distant 3rd. Not having candidates.... Not to talk of popular ones vying for NOA and HOA positions in most states will affect his chances

This is a very bitter truth but it has to be said. Obi cannot win the 2023 presidency. He's not even in the conversation. For an ibo man to become president, the two major parties have to micro zone the position to the south east. 2022 was a ripe time to fight for that but even south Eastern governors supported the North in zoning the office to the north in PDP.... In summary, the SE has to get their political act together. That said, I'm not a prophet nor a pessimist. An Obi presidency would have been something I'd like to see. Not because I believe he's the messiah or he has the solution to the myriad of problems bedeviling the country nor do I even believe he'll do better than his predecessors but I'd have wanted an Obi presidency in LP to break the stranglehold on our polity by APC and PDP. Unfortunately, it won't happen. One reason it won't happen is, agree or not, tribe plays a huge part in our elections. The online noise might say otherwise. We educated folks might not give much thought to the tribe of a candidate but a farmer in A village in Osun state would rather vote for a fellow Yoruba man than an ibo man. Let's not even talk of the north. Same way an ibo man will vote for his fellow ibo. Secondly, forget talk of structure doesn't matter. Structure does matter and it matters a lot. How do you intend to win a national election when your party doesn't have candidates for most elective positions apart from the presidency? Who takes your campaign alongside theirs to the real grassroot? See, an Obi presidential campaign only benefits a Bola Tinubu presidential gig and harms Atiku's presidential bid. Why u may ask? The SE and SS have traditionally been PDP's strongest bloc. It's where majority of their votes historically come from. Now, these same area is where the Obimania is strongest. This will result in divided votes from PDP strongest bloc. Advantage who? As for Kwankwaso, that one is not serious and will most likely eventually work for Tinubu in the NW. The north east has always been an are where the APC since the days of ANPP has traditionally performed well and I don't see that changing in 2023. Atiku will win Adamawa, Bauchi and Gombe... But not convincingly. Borno and Yobe will go for the APC. In the north Central, Tribe will come in play in Kwara and parts of Kogi. I expect the APC to take the two states. Because of the Muslim Muslim ticket, APC will lose both Plateau and Benue and win Niger and Nassarawa with very low margins. In all, Obi won't win more than 2 or 3 states and they'd all be in the south.
You might disagree with this analysis of mine. Before you do, please check out this auto deal I've got. Imagine a 2011 Benz C300 going for 3.9 million Naira. Sweet right? Well, I've got several more auto deals that will blow your mind. Mobile number is 08089945511. Call or send a WhatsApp message and I'm available to attend to your auto needs. Location is Lagos

No lies there. But of recent, the Nigerian curse has also started happening to the scheme. Right now, with just 70,000 Naira, you can 'run' your posting to your desired state or even your state of origin which defeats the concept of going out there, experiencing a new culture which will most definitely remove some hitherto stereotypical views an individual might have had of a tribe

Still available. Call 08089945511

Model: Mercedes Benz C300
Year: 2011
Price: 3.9 million(Slightly Negotiable)
Color: White
Interior: Leather
Location:Lagos
Features- 100% Sound Engine, First Body accident free, steering Audio and cruise control, excellent automatic transmission, Chilling A.C, Very good suspensions, genuine lagos clearance papers, absolute buy and drive.

liri:
do you have anothe camry sport...2009/2011?

Good afternoon sir. Yes I do. Send a message me a message on 08089945511 so I can send you pictures and price

Toyota Camry 2003
First body paint
Toks standard
Price: ₦1.8m
Location : Lagos State
For more information, inspection or any inquiry on any auto deal, call or whatsapp 08081242846 or 08089945511

oludollar:
Can we seal this deal for 2.4mil? And where is the location

Unfortunately, its sold. Location is Lagos.

liri:
still available?

Sorry. Its sold but I've got some other nice cars.

Alvin007:
This is an es300 not 330. Look at the fog lamps and the engine/engine cover. Cheers.

It is an e330. The 2004 300 and 330 have the same exterior. For clarification, I'll send the VIN as suggested by the last poster when I get home..... Alternatively, you can send me a reminder later on the number I posted up there later this evening. Cheers.

Why not grab this sweet deal? We're GOT motors and are available to give you mouth watering deals. We're waiting for your calls and enquiries

Very clean 2004 Lexus Es330 for sale.
Few months Used( less than 3 months) and not yet registered.
Leather interior
Chilling AC and perfect sound system. Absolutely nothing to fix. Just buy and drive.
Location-Lagos
Price-2.7m
Call or send me a WhatsApp message on 08089945511 for negotiation and inspection

Finally some good news after the gloom of yesterday

Available

Jjjjjjj

Registered Toyota Camry Sport 2011
Features:
Venza Engine
Sunroof
Fabric Seats
Chilling Air-Conditioning
Airbags
Top Graded Tires
Alloy rims
AM/FM/CD Player
Engine Clean and In Very Good Condition
Location:Lagos
Price:#2. 8m
Call or Whatsapp Thompson on:08089945511