₦airaland Forum

I congratulate the Presidential Elect Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Akanbi Tinubu - Omo olodo ide, Oko Oluremi, Baba Oluwaseyi, Jagaban of Africa- on your well deserved victory.
I am so proud of you because I'm one of your biggest fan. I've learned so much from you, some of which are:
1. To be objective - game started in 1993
2. Know when to walk away - exiled in 1996
3. Serve people at the lowest level - as a Governor
4. Surround yourself with good friends - don't be greedy to them and lift them up (some will return it with kind and some will be ungrateful)
5. To be patient and wait for your time - not rush to contest for presidency (2007, 2011,2015, 2019 - he never contest for any election)
6. Never be distracted of your dreams - be focused!
7.Pursue your dreams (Emi lo kan) - winning >25% in 30 out of 37 states and majority vote is not a child's play ( ask Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump in America lol)
Too numerous to mention....

Kudos to all other contestants.....eh, you win some, you lose some!

God bless Federal Republic of Nigeria.

amuwo1980:
Is it ewa u are sharing , look at the very very daft analysis

amuwo1980 it's not ewa and I love criticism but it must be factual.
Please, tell me exactly what you think is wrong with the analysis!

Aurelius1:
You gave my state, Delta to Atiku. You must be high on some cheap stuff. Delta is fully Obidient. Obi is winning Delta with over 65% of the votes. You gave Anambra to APGA. This projection is highly flawed. This "buga" projection was drawn to favour the senile,druglord.

Mr Aurelius1, let's be realistic about the analysis:
1. Governor is PDP and running mate to presidential candidate
2. Delta has 25 local govts chairmen all PDP
3. Delta has 5863 polling units controlled by PDP (PDP has 5864 PU agents in Delta and LP has 4888, meaning LP will not be represented in almost 1000PU)
I'm guessing you live in Warri, but election results are not only from big cities.
LP can't win Delta, politically impossible!

The following factors shaped the outcome of this projection:
1. Past election results (2011, 2015 and 2019)
2. Ethnicity, Regionalism and Religion
3. Party structure and PU agents distributions
4. APC government performance and criticism
5. Emergence of third force: Obi and Kwankwaso
6. G5 governors
7. Insecurity in some states

What do you think?

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