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phemmyhelu:
NE Revolution vs NY City - Over 2.5 Goal

Lost

NE Revolution vs NY City - Over 2.5 Goal

phemmyhelu:
PORTUGAL -2.5 ASIAN CORNER HANDICAP V WALES

Won

Union Comercio / Sporting Cristal - Over 2.5
Vitoria DNB
TPS to win

We have already cashed in on Portugal corners in this tournament and I am looking to do it again here. Although last time out we lost on the Wales corner handicap, Belgium did get 8 on that night so I am not reading into it too much and the facts are that Wales do not usually get many and Portugal definitely do.

Wales have had an average of 3.2 corners per game so far in the tournament. They managed to get 7 against Belgium but I think Portugal are going to be a lot more defensively sound than Belgium were with the absentees in defence in the last game.

With Ronaldo and Nani attacking, Wales will not want to leave space in behind for them to get into and naturally they will sit deeper and they can most certainly rack up the shots and crosses and again this should lead to more corners for Portugal.

Portugal's average corner count this tournament so far is 7.4 so a lot higher than the 3.2 of Wales and also a fair bit higher than the -2.5 handicap!

I think the 2.5 is generous here given the wing play of the Portuguese and I also see Wales having fewer attacks with the absence of Ramsey as he has been instrumental in their success so far.

Wales have lost 4 of their 5 games in terms of most corners, by 2-3, 3-9, 0-6 and 7-8 margins. They conceded 9 to England and 8 to Belgium.

Considering Portugal have conceded 4 in a game as their highest tally, I do not envisage too many Wales corners and if they only reach the 3-4 mark I think we land this pick as Portugal rack up at least 6-7.

Portugal have conceded 2 corners per game on average with Wales conceding 6 on average so again this is well above the -2.5 line and I was expecting to see it at a 3.5 line and I dare say this will get backed in by tomorrow and may shift up to a straight -3 handicap on the asian line.

Providing Portugal get 3 or more corners we land this pick. They have won 4 of 5 games on corner counts with impressive totals of 11-2, 10-0, 9-3 and 6-1.

PORTUGAL -2.5 ASIAN CORNER HANDICAP V WALES

phemmyhelu:
Din. Minsk (Blr) vs Spartaks (Lat) Spartaks Jurmala +1.0, +1.5 Asian Handicap or +2 European Handicap

Betting on the Europa league might be dangerous. Betting on the away team in a Europa league game is probably even more dangerous. And betting on a Latvian side away in the Europa league is probably suicidal, but i see real value here for many reasons and i'm willing to put aside my heart here and go with my head.

Minsk really are in bad shape at the moment and though they sit 4th the Belarussian league, they come into this game after back-to-back losses at home to bottom side Neman Grodno (0-1) and away at 9th placed Isloch (3-1) it's a squad that is literally falling apart at the moment and for today's game against the Latvian league leaders they'll be without Begunov (DF, 4 apps, 1 goals), Bangura (DF, 13 apps, 0 goals) leaving them pretty weak at the back. but it was also announced a few days back that first choice goalkeeper Alexander Gutor has now left the club, looking likely to join Gazovik Orenburg in the near future. And as well as that, it's looking increasingly likely that midfielder Nenad Adamovic (12apps, 2 goals) is packing is bags too. There's also rumours that captain Hutar will be on his way. This could well be the case of "pulling a Nordsjaelland' for Dinamo Minsk. They are in real financial trouble at the moment and are struggling to live up to their Europa league qualification last year.

The previous Dinamo Minsk owner, Chizh was a highly influential person in Belarus and guided them to Europa League group stages last year with investment. But having in some way betrayed Belarussian president Lukashenko, Chizh is now behind bars and financial investment in this club has ceased. they really are in turmoil at the moment, losing players left right and centre and i'm hoping that Spartaks can take advantage.

The visitors are the latvian league leaders and although Latvia isn't obviously the biggest footballing country out there, they are a pretty decent side with a squad worth $3.5m. In recent years they've beaten Montenegro side Budnocost away from home and managed a very decent draw against Serbian side Vojvodina, so they have some experience at the level and though they are clearly underdogs, i think they could well take advantage of the problem in the Dinamo Minsk camp here and get something from the game.

lost Spartaks (Lat) Spartaks Jurmala +1.0, +1.5 Asian Handicap or Won +2 European Handicap

Din. Minsk (Blr) vs Spartaks (Lat) Spartaks Jurmala +1.0, +1.5 Asian Handicap or +2 European Handicap

Betting on the Europa league might be dangerous. Betting on the away team in a Europa league game is probably even more dangerous. And betting on a Latvian side away in the Europa league is probably suicidal, but i see real value here for many reasons and i'm willing to put aside my heart here and go with my head.

Minsk really are in bad shape at the moment and though they sit 4th the Belarussian league, they come into this game after back-to-back losses at home to bottom side Neman Grodno (0-1) and away at 9th placed Isloch (3-1) it's a squad that is literally falling apart at the moment and for today's game against the Latvian league leaders they'll be without Begunov (DF, 4 apps, 1 goals), Bangura (DF, 13 apps, 0 goals) leaving them pretty weak at the back. but it was also announced a few days back that first choice goalkeeper Alexander Gutor has now left the club, looking likely to join Gazovik Orenburg in the near future. And as well as that, it's looking increasingly likely that midfielder Nenad Adamovic (12apps, 2 goals) is packing is bags too. There's also rumours that captain Hutar will be on his way. This could well be the case of "pulling a Nordsjaelland' for Dinamo Minsk. They are in real financial trouble at the moment and are struggling to live up to their Europa league qualification last year.

The previous Dinamo Minsk owner, Chizh was a highly influential person in Belarus and guided them to Europa League group stages last year with investment. But having in some way betrayed Belarussian president Lukashenko, Chizh is now behind bars and financial investment in this club has ceased. they really are in turmoil at the moment, losing players left right and centre and i'm hoping that Spartaks can take advantage.

The visitors are the latvian league leaders and although Latvia isn't obviously the biggest footballing country out there, they are a pretty decent side with a squad worth $3.5m. In recent years they've beaten Montenegro side Budnocost away from home and managed a very decent draw against Serbian side Vojvodina, so they have some experience at the level and though they are clearly underdogs, i think they could well take advantage of the problem in the Dinamo Minsk camp here and get something from the game.

phemmyhelu:
SANDEFJORD TO BEAT K. OSLO

This in the second division in Norway at 6pm.

I am not going too crazy stakes wise as freaky results can happen in these low leagues but I like the look of this for sure and here is why...

2nd plays 11th here and Sandefjord look very likely to be in the top 2 come the end of the season. They have won 10 of their opening 14 games and are the leading goalscorers in the division with 27 goals for a 2.7 goals scored per game average and they have the 2nd best defence conceding just 11.

Oslo have won 2 drawn 2 and lost 3 of their 7 home games and they have won 4 out of 14 in total this season. Upon further inspection 3 of those wins have come against Ranheim, Byrne and Hodd. Ranheim is a respectable win as they are 7th but both Byrne and Hodd are in the relegation zones so no major wins in those games.

Of the 3 losses at home this season for Oslo, 2 of them were against sides who had not won away (and still haven't). Strommen and Mjondalen have played 14 games away from home combined and have only that win each to show for it, so clearly this team are not good in general or at home.

Sandefjord are top of the away league table, winning 5 and losing 2. The first loss was their first away game of the season at Levanger who now sit in 3rd place and are a good side, and the other at Kongsvinger who are a good home side, scoring 14 in 7 home games so far.

Since that away loss to Levanger in early April, Sandefjord have played 16 games in all competitions winning 13 of them drawing 2 and losing just 1. They had a 10 game winning streak before the away loss to Kongsvinger, they then drew at home to top of the league Kristiansund but since then have got back on track with 0-2 and 3-2 wins.

Oslo are 6th bottom at present and Sandefjord have played ALL 5 sides directly below them. They have won ALL 5, also all five of these games were away so clearly they have the better of these poor sides and have no problems overcoming them away from home with 3 of the victories covering a -1 handicap.

The scores were: 0-2 against bottom and 16th placed Raufoss, 0-2 against Byrne in 15th, 1-2 at Ull/Kisa in 14th, 1-3 Hodd in 13th and 1-2 tp 12th placed Fredrikstad.

Sandefjord have 3 players who have scored at least 4 goals this season already so goals are coming from various parts of the pitch so they are very much a good organised side with a lot of quality in their ranks. The top scorer for Oslo has 4 goals.

Won

SANDEFJORD TO BEAT K. OSLO

This in the second division in Norway at 6pm.

I am not going too crazy stakes wise as freaky results can happen in these low leagues but I like the look of this for sure and here is why...

2nd plays 11th here and Sandefjord look very likely to be in the top 2 come the end of the season. They have won 10 of their opening 14 games and are the leading goalscorers in the division with 27 goals for a 2.7 goals scored per game average and they have the 2nd best defence conceding just 11.

Oslo have won 2 drawn 2 and lost 3 of their 7 home games and they have won 4 out of 14 in total this season. Upon further inspection 3 of those wins have come against Ranheim, Byrne and Hodd. Ranheim is a respectable win as they are 7th but both Byrne and Hodd are in the relegation zones so no major wins in those games.

Of the 3 losses at home this season for Oslo, 2 of them were against sides who had not won away (and still haven't). Strommen and Mjondalen have played 14 games away from home combined and have only that win each to show for it, so clearly this team are not good in general or at home.

Sandefjord are top of the away league table, winning 5 and losing 2. The first loss was their first away game of the season at Levanger who now sit in 3rd place and are a good side, and the other at Kongsvinger who are a good home side, scoring 14 in 7 home games so far.

Since that away loss to Levanger in early April, Sandefjord have played 16 games in all competitions winning 13 of them drawing 2 and losing just 1. They had a 10 game winning streak before the away loss to Kongsvinger, they then drew at home to top of the league Kristiansund but since then have got back on track with 0-2 and 3-2 wins.

Oslo are 6th bottom at present and Sandefjord have played ALL 5 sides directly below them. They have won ALL 5, also all five of these games were away so clearly they have the better of these poor sides and have no problems overcoming them away from home with 3 of the victories covering a -1 handicap.

The scores were: 0-2 against bottom and 16th placed Raufoss, 0-2 against Byrne in 15th, 1-2 at Ull/Kisa in 14th, 1-3 Hodd in 13th and 1-2 tp 12th placed Fredrikstad.

Sandefjord have 3 players who have scored at least 4 goals this season already so goals are coming from various parts of the pitch so they are very much a good organised side with a lot of quality in their ranks. The top scorer for Oslo has 4 goals.

phemmyhelu:
china Cup
Tianjin Teda - Guangzhou Evergrande Guangzhou Evergrande win and over 1.5

Won

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china Cup
Tianjin Teda - Guangzhou Evergrande Guangzhou Evergrande win and over 1.5

use 9japredict

phemmyhelu:
ENGLAND -4.5 ASIAN CORNERS VERSUS ICELAND

One thing I can vouch for England for is the corner tallies they rack up.

This is set to be the biggest game in Icelandic national footballing history and they are sure to try and set up to be negative and defend against us like they have against most of the other sides, looking to hit teams on the break and grab a goal. Admittedly Iceland have done fantastic to progress but there is no way they are going to dominate this game no matter how bad I think England are. England will control the game and be in the attacking third for the majority of the game in my opinion and we should see this pick land.

In qualifying for Euro 2016 England were ranked 5th for total corners on average gained with 7.2 per game. They limited the opposition to 2.3 which ranked for the 2nd fewest corners conceded in the entire qualifying process from any side.

Iceland were dominated by Portugal and the corner count was 11-2, then they even lost to Hungary 5-3 in corners and against Austria it was 7-3 so they have lost all corner counts.

Admittedly I would feel a lot more safe on a -3.5 handicap but I still think England can get 5 more corners than Iceland in this game.

They beat Russia 6-4 in corners, Wales 9-3 and Slovakia 11-0! We tend to have plenty of shots (just not very good ones) and put plenty of balls into the box, England have Smalling and Cahill who can be good from set pieces so England do sometimes look to the set pieces for an advantage.

In a game where we should see England pushing forward regularly and limiting Icelandic attacks, I think this bet looks good. Let's be honest England have not broken down teams in this tournament so should we take a while to break the deadlock then I think this bet romps home.

Won

vipleague.se

ENGLAND -4.5 ASIAN CORNERS VERSUS ICELAND

One thing I can vouch for England for is the corner tallies they rack up.

This is set to be the biggest game in Icelandic national footballing history and they are sure to try and set up to be negative and defend against us like they have against most of the other sides, looking to hit teams on the break and grab a goal. Admittedly Iceland have done fantastic to progress but there is no way they are going to dominate this game no matter how bad I think England are. England will control the game and be in the attacking third for the majority of the game in my opinion and we should see this pick land.

In qualifying for Euro 2016 England were ranked 5th for total corners on average gained with 7.2 per game. They limited the opposition to 2.3 which ranked for the 2nd fewest corners conceded in the entire qualifying process from any side.

Iceland were dominated by Portugal and the corner count was 11-2, then they even lost to Hungary 5-3 in corners and against Austria it was 7-3 so they have lost all corner counts.

Admittedly I would feel a lot more safe on a -3.5 handicap but I still think England can get 5 more corners than Iceland in this game.

They beat Russia 6-4 in corners, Wales 9-3 and Slovakia 11-0! We tend to have plenty of shots (just not very good ones) and put plenty of balls into the box, England have Smalling and Cahill who can be good from set pieces so England do sometimes look to the set pieces for an advantage.

In a game where we should see England pushing forward regularly and limiting Icelandic attacks, I think this bet looks good. Let's be honest England have not broken down teams in this tournament so should we take a while to break the deadlock then I think this bet romps home.

phemmyhelu:
BRAZIL: Série B
Luverdense vs Londrina Luverdense -0.5,-1.0 Asian Handicap

Why i'm backing the bet. Look at the league tables and you'll find two sides separated by only 1 point and think this is a bit of a dead ringer, but there's more to this than meets the eye. i could go on about Luverdense's home record, which is just hit and miss. None of that really matters for this, because Londrina had a full side when they played those previous game but now they have a crisis.

Firstly, we have to consider the sheer distance and logistical nightmare getting from Londrina to Luverdense's home town of Luccas do Rio Verde, It's gruelling 1,647km journey which the side took yesterday, heading from Londrina to Maringa airport by bus (a 2 hour drive), then catching a flight to Cuiaba(a 5 hour flight) where they now reside before making the 359km journey north by bus before the game (4 hours).

But not only do Claudio Tencati's side faces such a gruelling journey, they must make that journey without a number of key players:

Everton Sena (DF, 0 apps,0 goals)
Marcondes (DF, 2 apps, 0 goals)
Matheus (DF, 10 apps, 0goals)
Silvio (DF, 7 apps, 0 goals)
Luizao (DF, 5 apps, 0 goals)
Germano(MF, 11 apps, 1 goals)
Itamar (ST, 6 apps, 1 goals)
Rondinelly(ST, 5 apps, 0 goals)

This makes what already a difficult journey even more difficult for Londrina, and thought they do have some depth in the squad, the serious problems in their defence means Tancati is likely to lineup with 3-5-2 as he simply does not have enough defenders left to fill the gaps. Anderson, Jumar and Diogo Roque are all not 100% and are yet to play this season but could be used to fill the gaps at the back. In his squad they have named 5 full-backs but a single centre half! i expect Luverdense to take advantage.

Won

BRAZIL: Série B
Luverdense vs Londrina Luverdense -0.5,-1.0 Asian Handicap

Why i'm backing the bet. Look at the league tables and you'll find two sides separated by only 1 point and think this is a bit of a dead ringer, but there's more to this than meets the eye. i could go on about Luverdense's home record, which is just hit and miss. None of that really matters for this, because Londrina had a full side when they played those previous game but now they have a crisis.

Firstly, we have to consider the sheer distance and logistical nightmare getting from Londrina to Luverdense's home town of Luccas do Rio Verde, It's gruelling 1,647km journey which the side took yesterday, heading from Londrina to Maringa airport by bus (a 2 hour drive), then catching a flight to Cuiaba(a 5 hour flight) where they now reside before making the 359km journey north by bus before the game (4 hours).

But not only do Claudio Tencati's side faces such a gruelling journey, they must make that journey without a number of key players:

Everton Sena (DF, 0 apps,0 goals)
Marcondes (DF, 2 apps, 0 goals)
Matheus (DF, 10 apps, 0goals)
Silvio (DF, 7 apps, 0 goals)
Luizao (DF, 5 apps, 0 goals)
Germano(MF, 11 apps, 1 goals)
Itamar (ST, 6 apps, 1 goals)
Rondinelly(ST, 5 apps, 0 goals)

This makes what already a difficult journey even more difficult for Londrina, and thought they do have some depth in the squad, the serious problems in their defence means Tancati is likely to lineup with 3-5-2 as he simply does not have enough defenders left to fill the gaps. Anderson, Jumar and Diogo Roque are all not 100% and are yet to play this season but could be used to fill the gaps at the back. In his squad they have named 5 full-backs but a single centre half! i expect Luverdense to take advantage.

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phemmyhelu:
IFK TIMRA V FRISKA VILJOR OVER 3.5 GOALS

This is in the lower leagues of "Sweden - Division 2 Norrland

Timra are averaging 4.1 goals in their 6 games so far with Friska seeing 3.5 on average so to get odds against here looks a good shout in my opinion and slight value for us.

Combined between the pair exactly 12 of their 24 games have seen over 3.5 goals land and again showing this to be a value bet at odds against.

What I like even more here is the outcomes when they are in this home and away format. Timra at home have seen an average of 4.2 goals in 6 games with Friska away seeing bang on 4 as an average. With the combined goals in each teams home and away games (50) it gives an average of 4.16 goals.

Timra have scored 12 and conceded 13 in the 6 home games so they are scoring and conceding 2+ goals, Friska have scored 6 in 6 away so could definitely score a goal or 2 against a leaky defence and also they have conceded 19 goals! A huge 3+ goals conceded on average.

Timra have seen 5 of their 6 home games go over 3.5 goals at home this season with Friska going over in 4/6 and therefore combined that gives a success rate of 9/12 games. This equates to 75% yet you are getting a 5/4 best price.

The sides have met 3 times since 2007 with each game having at least 4 goals with an average of 4.6 over the 3.

Won

phemmyhelu:
Oskarshamns vs Norrby Oskarshamns AIK Over 1.5 Team Goals

Norrby make the 257km trip from Boras this evening to face Oskarshamn at the Oskarshamn Arena in the Knowledge that the hosts seem to have some kind of curse over them in recent years. in 4 previous meetings Oskarshamn have collected 12 points from a possible 12, scoring 10goals in the process including 4 in a4-2 win over them here last season.

The two sides separated only by goal difference in the Swedish 1st division but that tells only part of the story. only 1 of the 13 points collected by Norrby IF this season has been collected on their travels and that was on the opening day of the season. Since then they've recording back-to-back-to-back losses, the latter of which was 2-1 loss to 2nd bottom side Tvaaker. They've played 2 home games since that loss, recording a narrow victory over 4th bottom side Trollhattan before then drawing 1-1 with bottom of the league Qviding. it's hardly from to shout about for Simon Eriksson's men who sit 7th in the league. And having conceded 2 or more goals in 3 of their 4 away games this year, they won't be relishing the journey to the east coast

Oskarshamn AIK sit narrowly behind today's opponents on goal difference. in their last home game here they suffered 0-3 loss to surprise package Prespa Birlik but that was the only game in their last where they failed to find the net at least twice. Henrik Larsson(not that one) has some decent goalscorers with the likes of Chrisopher and former Kalmar player Anton Abebjorn as well as Andreas Birgesson Who join from Oster IF last season

I expect Oskarshamn to stick a few in today against a side they have an incredible record against and terribly out of form at the moment

Won

Oskarshamns vs Norrby Oskarshamns AIK Over 1.5 Team Goals

Norrby make the 257km trip from Boras this evening to face Oskarshamn at the Oskarshamn Arena in the Knowledge that the hosts seem to have some kind of curse over them in recent years. in 4 previous meetings Oskarshamn have collected 12 points from a possible 12, scoring 10goals in the process including 4 in a4-2 win over them here last season.

The two sides separated only by goal difference in the Swedish 1st division but that tells only part of the story. only 1 of the 13 points collected by Norrby IF this season has been collected on their travels and that was on the opening day of the season. Since then they've recording back-to-back-to-back losses, the latter of which was 2-1 loss to 2nd bottom side Tvaaker. They've played 2 home games since that loss, recording a narrow victory over 4th bottom side Trollhattan before then drawing 1-1 with bottom of the league Qviding. it's hardly from to shout about for Simon Eriksson's men who sit 7th in the league. And having conceded 2 or more goals in 3 of their 4 away games this year, they won't be relishing the journey to the east coast

Oskarshamn AIK sit narrowly behind today's opponents on goal difference. in their last home game here they suffered 0-3 loss to surprise package Prespa Birlik but that was the only game in their last where they failed to find the net at least twice. Henrik Larsson(not that one) has some decent goalscorers with the likes of Chrisopher and former Kalmar player Anton Abebjorn as well as Andreas Birgesson Who join from Oster IF last season

I expect Oskarshamn to stick a few in today against a side they have an incredible record against and terribly out of form at the moment

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YESTERDAY TIPS

CHILE V COLOMBIA OVER 5.5 ASIAN CARDS AT 1.900

This is exactly the same as over 5.5 normal cards but at a slightly better price on the asian line so we need 6 to win.

This is a high cards line but this has the potential to end up in double figures on it's day. The game firstly is a semi final to go on and meet Argentina in the final so it is going to be a passionate and hotly contested game where tensions could rise and boil over depending on how the game goes.

The last 4 competitive meetings between Chile and Columbia have seen the following cards totals:

5, 12 (1 red), 12 (1 red) and 9 (1 red).

An average of 9.5 cards per game! Plus 3 reds in those 4. It sets it up to be a cracker cards wise potentially.

Of course it may go wrong and it ends up being an under 5.5 win but everything suggests overs.

The referee is Joel Aguilar and he has refereed one game so far in the tournament and it was in Argentina 5-0 Panama. In that game he handed out a cards total of 10 including 1 red. His last 3 internationals refereed have seen him show 10, 8 and 6 cards for an average of 8 per game and therefore again siding with the cards going over 5.5 in total.

PORTUGAL V HUNGARY OVER 4 ASIAN CARDS

This game has a lot riding on it and as most of you who have been on the emails know, we cashed in on the cards in Hungary v Iceland at the weekend when there were 6 shown and we got over 3.5!

If there is 4 shown here we get our money back, and I fully expect 4 at least. A lot is riding on this game with all kinds of swings and permutations in the balance in this group. Portugal will have the onus on them to attack and Hungary will likely defend deep and try and get a point from this game which should guarantee them top spot unbelievably.

This game could be one of those where late on depending on how it has gone one side or the other will be clinging on to the points and could do desperation and tactical fouls and cards could come late.

As discussed in the weekend's email, Hungary averaged over 3 cards per game themselves in qualifying and they got 3 against Iceland in that game. This could very much be the same or maybe more in which case we see 4 cards at least. The added bonus is that Portugal received 20 yellow cards and 1 red in just 8 qualifying games in a very poor standard group which they won 7 of. This gave them a cards average of 2.75 per game as well! Pepe etc always have a tendency to be able to lose their heads at any second.

With both sides high card receives and Portugal having Ronaldo and Nani's trickery and a lot riding on this game I definitely fancy the cards. Martin Atkinson is the referee and he is certainly someone who will hand cards out when necessary.

Hungary's two games so far have seen 4 cards including a red in the first and then 6 yellows in the second game.

Portugal have seen a 0-2 cards total against Iceland and then 6 yellows shown, 4-2 to Austria in their second game therefore 75% of the combined games have seen 4+ cards shown.

PORTUGAL -3.5 ASIAN CORNERS

This pick means we need Portugal to get 4 more corners than Hungary so a 2-6 corner count or 1-5 etc.

I am picking this as I said in the above reasoning that I think Hungary will 100% sit deep here and contain Portugal. As we saw in the first two games Portugal have had tons of possession/chances/shots but have only scored the 1 goal. They have looked threatening and dominant majorly and this should continue into this game which will see them rack up corners and Hungary barely get down the other end to get many themselves.

Ronaldo and Nani and co love a shot as well and the likes of Kiraly and co are poor quality and will be likely to concede corners to better opposition.

The first two games for Portugal saw corners counts in their favour of 11-2 and 9-0! 20 corners in 2 games. If they get to 7-8 here I think this bet should win as at most Hungary s hould get 3-4.

Hungary are odds on to get under 3.5 corners and Portugal's line is at 7.5 so the bookies certainly fancy a dominant game to Portugal here as do I.

Hungary conceded an average of 5.25 corners in qualifying in a group which I have said was weak, containing N. Ireland, Romania, Finland, Faroe Islands and Greece so now up against a team like Portugal they should concede plenty of them.

They also only averaged just over 4 against these weak opponents so it should be a struggle for them to get many here. They got 4 against Austria who were down to 10 men for over half an hour and then got 5 against Iceland when they were trailing and pressing for 48 minutes of the game.

Portugal dominate the game for me and rack up the corner count over 90 minutes.

IFK TIMRA V FRISKA VILJOR OVER 3.5 GOALS

This is in the lower leagues of "Sweden - Division 2 Norrland

Timra are averaging 4.1 goals in their 6 games so far with Friska seeing 3.5 on average so to get odds against here looks a good shout in my opinion and slight value for us.

Combined between the pair exactly 12 of their 24 games have seen over 3.5 goals land and again showing this to be a value bet at odds against.

What I like even more here is the outcomes when they are in this home and away format. Timra at home have seen an average of 4.2 goals in 6 games with Friska away seeing bang on 4 as an average. With the combined goals in each teams home and away games (50) it gives an average of 4.16 goals.

Timra have scored 12 and conceded 13 in the 6 home games so they are scoring and conceding 2+ goals, Friska have scored 6 in 6 away so could definitely score a goal or 2 against a leaky defence and also they have conceded 19 goals! A huge 3+ goals conceded on average.

Timra have seen 5 of their 6 home games go over 3.5 goals at home this season with Friska going over in 4/6 and therefore combined that gives a success rate of 9/12 games. This equates to 75% yet you are getting a 5/4 best price.

The sides have met 3 times since 2007 with each game having at least 4 goals with an average of 4.6 over the 3.

phemmyhelu:
GERMANY WIN TO NIL V NORTHERN IRELAND

Germany are priced at around 1.44 to get a clean sheet but can be got on at 1.75 to win and keep a clean sheet. I fully expect them to win the game but they are around 2/7 to do so, therefore looking for some extra value I think this is where we cash in.

Northern Ireland are going to be almost guaranteed qualification if they don't get a hammering here and will look to play tight and even if they go 1-0 down I cannot see them putting up a huge fight as their goal difference will be superior to most if they do not lose by 3 or 4 etc. I personally also do not feel they have enough quality to really trouble the Germans too much.

Germany have kept back to back clean sheets against Ukraine and Poland and now have kept 3 clean sheets in a row. Germany will easily be happy coming away with a 1 or 2-0 win from this game and I can see it finishing something like that.

Northern Ireland did upset the odds against Ukraine and get the 2-0 win but in the match against Poland they were dominated and could barely get out of their own half in the game. With Germany having even more quality than Poland I can see a repeat in tactics and a repeat outcome here.

Won

GERMANY WIN TO NIL V NORTHERN IRELAND

Germany are priced at around 1.44 to get a clean sheet but can be got on at 1.75 to win and keep a clean sheet. I fully expect them to win the game but they are around 2/7 to do so, therefore looking for some extra value I think this is where we cash in.

Northern Ireland are going to be almost guaranteed qualification if they don't get a hammering here and will look to play tight and even if they go 1-0 down I cannot see them putting up a huge fight as their goal difference will be superior to most if they do not lose by 3 or 4 etc. I personally also do not feel they have enough quality to really trouble the Germans too much.

Germany have kept back to back clean sheets against Ukraine and Poland and now have kept 3 clean sheets in a row. Germany will easily be happy coming away with a 1 or 2-0 win from this game and I can see it finishing something like that.

Northern Ireland did upset the odds against Ukraine and get the 2-0 win but in the match against Poland they were dominated and could barely get out of their own half in the game. With Germany having even more quality than Poland I can see a repeat in tactics and a repeat outcome here.

phemmyhelu:
OVER 2.5 GOALS ENGLAND V SLOVAKIA

Slovakia know that a point will be enough to see them through which is why we are getting a good price on goals here as they may look to frustrate England and sit deep. I personally do not feel they are good enough to do this though and goals will end up happening.

8 out of Slovakia's last 10 international games have seen over 2.5 goals with 6 of those 8 seeing over 3.5 goals. Both group games so far have had both to score and over 2.5 goal outcomes in Slovakia's games and could well have had more goals in either of those games. They also had both teams scoring in ALL 8 of the above 10 games mentioned so clearly they are showing a consistency for being able to score goals with the likes of Weiss and Hamsik but they just cannot keep them out.

8 of England's last 14 games have seen over 2.5 goals land but 13 of the 14 have had at least 2 goals so the ones that have lost have been games where there have been exactly 2 goals in them.

Both teams have scored in 6 of the last 7 England games, so again just like the Slovakians they seem to be showing consistency for goals at both end of the pitch. I have to admit that England defence is not filling me with confidence and again like Slovakia, both games have seen goals in the group stages for England with both sides scoring in each game.

England have scored 2+ goals in 10/14 games and Slovakia have in 7/10 so again the thinking behind the goals is backed up here.

England have won all 3 previous meetings since 2002 between the nations, all with over 2.5 goals landing.

Lost

OVER 2.5 GOALS ENGLAND V SLOVAKIA

Slovakia know that a point will be enough to see them through which is why we are getting a good price on goals here as they may look to frustrate England and sit deep. I personally do not feel they are good enough to do this though and goals will end up happening.

8 out of Slovakia's last 10 international games have seen over 2.5 goals with 6 of those 8 seeing over 3.5 goals. Both group games so far have had both to score and over 2.5 goal outcomes in Slovakia's games and could well have had more goals in either of those games. They also had both teams scoring in ALL 8 of the above 10 games mentioned so clearly they are showing a consistency for being able to score goals with the likes of Weiss and Hamsik but they just cannot keep them out.

8 of England's last 14 games have seen over 2.5 goals land but 13 of the 14 have had at least 2 goals so the ones that have lost have been games where there have been exactly 2 goals in them.

Both teams have scored in 6 of the last 7 England games, so again just like the Slovakians they seem to be showing consistency for goals at both end of the pitch. I have to admit that England defence is not filling me with confidence and again like Slovakia, both games have seen goals in the group stages for England with both sides scoring in each game.

England have scored 2+ goals in 10/14 games and Slovakia have in 7/10 so again the thinking behind the goals is backed up here.

England have won all 3 previous meetings since 2002 between the nations, all with over 2.5 goals landing.

phemmyhelu:
JJK Jyvaskyla vs KTP Both Teams to Score FINLAND: Ykkonen 11:30
i will post research later no time game starting soon

Lost