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War Could Drive Car Prices Even Higher Well Into Next Year - Foreign Affairs - Nairaland

Nairaland ForumNairaland GeneralPoliticsForeign AffairsWar Could Drive Car Prices Even Higher Well Into Next Year (177 Views)

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War Could Drive Car Prices Even Higher Well Into Next Year by Teaser4(op): 1:45pm On Apr 06, 2022
BMW has halted production at two German factories. Mercedes is slowing work at its assembly plants. Volkswagen, warning of production stoppages, is looking for alternative sources for parts.

For more than a year, the global auto industry has struggled with a disastrous shortage of computer chips and other vital parts that has shrunk production, slowed deliveries and sent prices for new and used cars soaring beyond reach for millions of consumers.

Now, a new factor — Russia’s war against Ukraine — has thrown up yet another obstacle. Critically important electrical wiring, made in Ukraine, is suddenly out of reach. With buyer demand high, materials scarce and the war causing new disruptions, vehicle prices are expected to head even higher well into next year.

The war’s damage to the auto industry has emerged first in Europe. But U.S. production will likely suffer eventually, too, if Russian exports of metals — from palladium for catalytic converters to nickel for electric vehicle batteries — are cut off.

“You only need to miss one part not to be able to make a car,” said Mark Wakefield, co-leader of consulting firm Alix Partners’ global automotive unit. “Any bump in the road becomes either a disruption of production or a vastly unplanned-for cost increase.”

Supply problems have bedeviled automakers since the pandemic erupted two years ago, at times shuttering factories and causing vehicle shortages. The robust recovery that followed the recession caused demand for autos to vastly outstrip supply — a mismatch that sent prices for new and used vehicles skyrocketing well beyond overall high inflation.

In the United States, the average price of a new vehicle is up 13% in the past year, to $45,596, according to Edmunds.com. Average used prices have surged far more: They’re up 29% to $29,646 as of February.

Before the war, S&P Global Mobility had predicted that global automakers would build 84 million vehicles this year and 91 million next year. (By comparison, they built 94 million in 2018.) Now it’s forecasting fewer than 82 million in 2022 and 88 million next year.

Mark Fulthorpe, an executive director for S&P, is among analysts who think the availability of new vehicles in North America and Europe will remain severely tight — and prices high — well into 2023. Compounding the problem, buyers who are priced out of the new-vehicle market will intensify demand for used autos and keep those prices elevated, too — prohibitively so for many households.


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Re: War Could Drive Car Prices Even Higher Well Into Next Year by Elvictor: 3:49pm On Apr 06, 2022
grin grin grin

So, no electric cars without Russia sef, hahaha!
Re: War Could Drive Car Prices Even Higher Well Into Next Year by Teaser4(op): 4:23pm On Apr 06, 2022
Elvictor:
grin grin grin

So, no electric cars without Russia sef, hahaha!
nah so my brother
Re: War Could Drive Car Prices Even Higher Well Into Next Year by seunny4lif(m): 8:00pm On Apr 06, 2022
Elvictor:
grin grin grin

So, no electric cars without Russia sef, hahaha!
The charger is using Gas cheesy cheesy cheesy
Na waka sure pass
Re: War Could Drive Car Prices Even Higher Well Into Next Year by chronique(m): 8:24pm On Apr 06, 2022
Russia again? Na only them waka come? Just one country shaking the whole world.
1 Reply

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