₦airaland Forum

Aiel123:
Orlu &Okigwe?
And Frank ibezim could only win Okigwe senatorial district bye election with just 3k votes.
Beside, Hope won't be on the ballot in 2023
Rigging tactics or malpractice of any kind will be met with swift resistance
Two can play the game
Why was Onyeagucha campaign secretariat sealed?

I am talking of 2024 guber in IMO.frank is no more the candidate,winning is winning.hope closing his office shows how ruthless he will be

garfield1:
Someone that thrashed ex governor bindowo and ribadu is a big threat.she comes from Adamawa central notable for bloc votes and a pure fulani.see how fintiri panicked by dropping his deputy

Forget Apc in adamawa
Obi Will even come second after Atiku there(source)
Apc is dead in Adamawa

garfield1:
If peter wins,most states in ss/se,nc will vote labour based on bandwagon things

Not exactly…

Nigerian electorates are becoming wiser.

They now scrutinize candidates and no longer by bandwagon.

States in the region you mentioned that doesn’t have an inspiring Labour Party candidate will not go to Labour.

But you see Enugu, people like Frank Edeoga, the Labour Party candidate. Peter Obi victory will increase his chances.

People like the Labour Party candidate in Benue though I think they prefer Fr Alia. But Obi’s victory might tilt things towards him.

Then in Kaduna, Jonathan Asake has been SOKAPU leader and very popular in Southern Kaduna. If Obi wins and Datti campaigns for Jonathan in Northern and Central Kaduna, he might win. Especially when you factor in the fact that APC and PDP candidates will cancel themselves out in Northern and Central Kaduna.

Then Lagos is a special case. Because if Obi wins the presidency, Obidients might make it a case to further embarrass and dislodge Tinubu by delivering GRV. People like Sanwolu but he might end up being a victim of dislike for Tinubu.

All these states I’ve told you are very practical.

Another state Labour Party would have won is Abia with Alex Otti but Abia people have brought some tribal thing to his candidacy which might scuttle his chances. Fergie001 knows the grouse they have for him better.

garfield1:
Someone that thrashed ex governor bindowo and ribadu is a big threat.she comes from Adamawa central notable for bloc votes and a pure fulani.see how fintiri panicked by dropping his deputy

And you never considered that the coalition of bindow and Fintiri will deplete APC chances
Moreover AA can't lose his state to opposition
Fintiri dropping his deputy was political strategy

garfield1:
Labour is gradually getting structures.it is the third biggest party.all they need is a senator

You don’t built structure in one year or even two years
What helped pdp from total collapse after the 2015 elections was structure

Kyase:
Apc is winning Plateau
Pdp will win adamawa


Labour will win Kano?

Menh this guy Dey mad

What rubbish
Labour won’t win a single state

PDP ll win plateau benue Abuja taraba adamawa Oyo ondo cross River bayelsa Rivers Delta Edo Akwa ibom Abia imo Enugu ebonyi... APC ll win lagos osun Ekiti ogun Kano katsina kaduna zamfara borno yobe kebbi sokoto infact all nw ne except taraba adamawa.... Na only anambra labour fit win that's assuming they come out for labour... It's an election between PDP APC... Labour party will win on social media only

Kyase:
You don’t built structure in one year or even two years
What helped pdp from total collapse after the 2015 elections was structure

What helped pdp was wike.if obi doesnt winin2023,he can before 2031.how long did it take tinubu to form acn and buhari to form CPC? Was it not this year that nnpp was formed

hedonido:
Largely. Because regardless of how the presidential election turns out, whether Peter Obi wins or loses, the Obidients wouldn't turn out for the gubernatorial elections which comes after the presidential elections.

The people who would largely benefit from Peter Obi's momentum are the LP National Assembly candidates in Peter Obi/LP strongholds.

You understand the dynamics

If Peter Obi it will to some extent rub off on the gubernatorial election two weeks later especially states that LP have formidable candidate like Abia State. Alex Oti is the gubernatorial candidate for labour party in Abia State

knacker:
This op go always dey his bed dey type rubbish..
Are u in Abia State?

Lol

But who do you think will win in Abia?

Aiel123:
And you never considered that the coalition of bindow and Fintiri will deplete APC chances
Moreover AA can't lose his state to opposition
Fintiri dropping his deputy was political strategy

AA has never had a grasp of Adamawa politics since 2003.that state is very unpredictable like ondo,osun etc..bindow is from mubi which is fulani dominated.he struggled to win there plus sen abbo is there to counter him.bindow hasn't defected to pdp yet plus fintiri is depending on Adamawa south.what if they disappoint him? Dont forget that nyarko is back to apc

Kyase:
Apc is winning Plateau
Pdp will win adamawa


Labour will win Kano?

Menh this guy Dey mad

What rubbish
Labour won’t win a single state

PDP ll win plateau benue Abuja taraba adamawa Oyo ondo cross River bayelsa Rivers Delta Edo Akwa ibom Abia imo Enugu ebonyi... APC ll win lagos osun Ekiti ogun Kano katsina kaduna zamfara borno yobe kebbi sokoto infact all nw ne except taraba adamawa.... Na only anambra labour fit win that's assuming they come out for labour... It's an election between PDP APC... Labour party will win on social media only... This my analysis is for presidential elections...

As for guber PDP ll win cross River, Delta Akwa ibom Rivers... Taraba adamawa benue Enugu Abia ebonyi Oyo... APC ll win kaduna katsina borno zamfara yobe katsina kebbi lagos ogun that's much I can say cos guber elections different from president own... One need to know the situation of d Loca politics... Like plateau PDP APC can win it...

garfield1:
What helped pdp was wike.if obi doesnt winin2023,he can before 2031.how long did it take tinubu to form acn and buhari to form CPC? Was it not this year that nnpp was formed

Reason well na
All these people you mentioned had an existing structures before forming new parties
All they did was to collapse it to the new party

Penguin2:
Not exactly…

Nigerian electorates are becoming wiser.

They now scrutinize candidates and no longer by bandwagon.

States in the region you mentioned that doesn’t have an inspiring Labour Party candidate will not go to Labour.

But you see Enugu, people like Frank Edeoga, the Labour Party candidate. Peter Obi victory will increase his chances.

People like the Labour Party candidate in Benue though I think they prefer Fr Alia. But Obi’s victory might tilt things towards him.

Then in Kaduna, Jonathan Asake has been SOKAPU leader and very popular in Southern Kaduna. If Obi wins and Datti campaigns for Jonathan in Northern and Central Kaduna, he might win. Especially when you factor in the fact that APC and PDP candidates will cancel themselves out in Northern and Central Kaduna.

Then Lagos is a special case. Because if Obi wins the presidency, Obidients might make it a case to further embarrass and dislodge Tinubu by delivering GRV. People like Sanwolu but he might end up being a victim of dislike for Tinubu.

All these states I’ve told you are very practical.

Another state Labour Party would have won is Abia with Alex Otti but Abia people have brought some tribal thing to his candidacy which might scuttle his chances. Fergie001 knows the grouse they have for him better.

Yes,that Jonathan asake would get bloc votes in Kaduna south.Otti might take abia

OGHENAOGIE:
PDP ll win plateau benue Abuja taraba adamawa Oyo ondo cross River bayelsa Rivers Delta Edo Akwa ibom Abia imo Enugu ebonyi... APC ll win lagos osun Ekiti ogun Kano katsina kaduna zamfara borno yobe kebbi sokoto infact all nw ne except taraba adamawa.... Na only anambra labour fit win that's assuming they come out for labour... It's an election between PDP APC... Labour party will win on social media only

Are you sure you know what we are talking about here?

OGHENAOGIE:
PDP ll win plateau benue Abuja taraba adamawa Oyo ondo cross River bayelsa Rivers Delta Edo Akwa ibom Abia imo Enugu ebonyi... APC ll win lagos osun Ekiti ogun Kano katsina kaduna zamfara borno yobe kebbi sokoto infact all nw ne except taraba adamawa.... Na only anambra labour fit win that's assuming they come out for labour... It's an election between PDP APC... Labour party will win on social media only

Another angle
The election is between pdp and Apc yes
Labour is there for the spoiler

Kyase:
Forget Apc in adamawa
Obi Will even come second after Atiku there(source)
Apc is dead in Adamawa

Aisha wants to win her state.plus the sgf is from there.binani won senate with more margin than atiku

garfield1:
Aisha wants to win her state.plus the sgf is from there.binani won senate with more margin than atiku

Fintri is her brother
She will rather support her brother

garfield1:
Those votes were legal.if you can just remove bias and look at the case again,you will see that the ruling was in order...

He is not banking on another court ruling.the truth is that ihedioha can only win in mbaise.hope is in charge in orlu and okigwe

They were legal from legal perspective, but you and I know they were written results.

Don’t argue it.

@OP.

I doubt LP and NNPP can win the gubernatorial election in Any Nigerian State.

Kyase:
Another angle
The election is between pdp and Apc yes
Labour is there for the spoiler

labour will only spoil for PDP making it easier for APC to win... But in reality labour isn't a contender forget the useless noise online... Next year elections results go show some Southerners that u don't wake up to win presidential elections... PDP APC are very formidable nobi to de do fake million matches across Nigeria

Penguin2:
Are you sure you know what we are talking about here?

for president elections that's my analysis... Do your own elections results next year go prove all of us

OGHENAOGIE:
labour will only spoil for PDP making it easier for APC to win... But in reality labour isn't a contender forget the useless noise online... Next year elections results go show some Southerners that u don't wake up to win presidential elections... PDP APC are very formidable nobi to de do fake million matches across Nigeria

Sure thing
Presidential election is a marathon

Kyase:
Sure thing
Presidential election is a marathon

but Obedients Dem no Sabi... Their body go cool when results show... Even in 2027 labour can't win

garfield1:
Apc
Zamfara,kebbi,sokoto,katsina,Kaduna,jigawa,borno,yobe,gombe,Niger,nasarawa,kwara,Benue, Ogun,lagos,cross river,IMO,ebonyi

Pdp
Taraba,kogi,Oyo,rivers,akwa ibom,Enugu,abia

Lp
Maybe plateau or Enugu
Nnpp
Kano,maybe bauchi,

Battlegrounds
Adamawa,bauchi,plateau,delta,cross river partially, Bayelsa

The Presidential is very different from Guber politics.... Dynamics are different as well.

LP wins NO State, but they will get Assembly members, both @ State & Federal levels.

Tbh, I don't think much will change at Guber levels.
Delta is a PDP State.
Bayelsa/Imo/Kogi is a bit different election cycle, many things could change.

Bauchi is a battleground...... It will go to the last ballot between PDP & APC.

If NNPP will win any State, it is Kano.... CRS will go to the wire. The Zonal presence might just come to play.

In all of this, who wins in February will have a big role to play in March.

Dsalvo:
@OP.

I doubt LP and NNPP can win the gubernatorial election in Any Nigerian State.

That is not your concern .

Na obi we know simple

OGHENAOGIE:
but Obedients Dem no Sabi... Their body go cool when results show... Even in 2027 labour can't win

After 2023 elections labour Dey go back default settings

OGHENAOGIE:
labour will only spoil for PDP making it easier for APC to win... But in reality labour isn't a contender forget the useless noise online... Next year elections results go show some Southerners that u don't wake up to win presidential elections... PDP APC are very formidable nobi to de do fake million matches across Nigeria

Indeed. We can all have our fantasies and dreams in life but commonsense and reality must never depart us unless we are planning to fail and lose.

garfield1:
Uzodinma is good in winning elections. Since he came,apc has not lost any election even in the dreaded owerri zone.he is even better than yahaya.as rochas got bloc votes from ideato,hope will get from oru.he has orlu and okigwe under wraps

That was before the advent of the BVAS machine and the new electoral law.Quit dreaming.

Dsalvo:
Indeed. We can all have our fantasies and dreams in life but commonsense and reality must never depart us unless we are planning to fail and lose.

Asiwaju pampers dealer desperatly looking for money

OGHENAOGIE:
but Obedients Dem no Sabi... Their body go cool when results show... Even in 2027 labour can't win

Oga finish 2023 first before you start boasting of 2027

OGHENAOGIE:
labour will only spoil for PDP making it easier for APC to win... But in reality labour isn't a contender forget the useless noise online... Next year elections results go show some Southerners that u don't wake up to win presidential elections... PDP APC are very formidable nobi to de do fake million matches across Nigeria

Tinubu will not even make second runner up.With only one region on lockdown he has the least chance of winning amongst the top 3 candidates

Opintiwa:
That is not your concern .

Na obi we know simple

Am I stopping you from even being Obi's shoe shiner? Support your Obi but don't come here if you're too childish to deal with the opinion of others.