₦airaland Forum

kcnwaigbo:
Atiku expected to win the NE/NW but margins will not be so much as votes will be shared with APC,NNNP and LP

APC expected to win the SW

LP expected to win SS/SE/NC

Dont be too confident LP will win southeast and southsouth including Northcentral. PDP will spoil votes for LP in those regions. Infact, dont be surprised if PDP get more votes than LP in those regions cos the southeasterners are not united. Ordinary presidential primaries in APC, the aspirants from the southeast and south-south regions could not step down for themselves to form a united front, even in PDP, the likes of UDOM and co find it difficult to step down for Wike just like Tambuwal stepped down for Atiku. You people think you are united, meanwhile you're not. Infact, LP may not win a single state in the whole federation.

BurialGround:
In 1999 Igbos aligned with SW and OBJ won, in 2010 Igbos aligned with the North and Yar'adua won. Igbos aligned with SS and GEJ won.
Why has other ethnic groups refused to align with the Igbos?

I don't always reply mentions but let me make an exception with you.

See, the igbos didn't align with SW in 1999 for the emergence of OBJ. The Igbos aligned with the North. The candidate of the SW was Olu Falae under AD/APP ( I don't know how old you were during that election). So let correct you on that. That's why after the election SE produced the Senate President.
But as time went on the powers of the Igbos in PDP was whittled down to Deputy Senate President and heavy presence of Igbo political appointees especially during the time of Jonathan.
Then after 2011, a group of unhappy PDP members especially those from the North aligned with SW. But instead of my people to at least spread their tentacles into this new party and have a say if the new party wins. We could maintain presence in both parties but we refused and called the party an Anathema. PDP lost the 2015 election.
Then some people from SS started retreating into APC and were able to have a stake after 2019 election and it's looking like they will play an even bigger role in 2023. That doesn't stop them from also maintaining a presence in PDP. Our political aloofness and disunity is the reason PDP had the audacity to push us aside and give its presidential ticket to a Northern and we couldn't call them out after over 20 years of political servitude to PDP.
Now to kill ourselves finally as far as the political equation in Nigeria is concerned we have now ported to LP. Ask yourself why 5 months to the election no political heavyweight is decamping to LP even in the South East? Even in Peter Obi's Anambra State? So you think that politicians are fools? You can read politics more than them?

Ndi Igbo, 2023 will send us further into the political wilderness if we continue like this. Other people are joining us in this Peter Obi macabre dance touting New Nigeria. Na only us want achieve the New Nigeria? Where are the politicians from their regions and states? Why are they not joining LP/Peter Obi to achieve this New Nigeria?

Onye amaghi ka ora ebulu ya gbafelu be nna ya.

Ogwugo ka oram n'onu. Ndewonu.

Lol! I see the pain and anguish in ur tune! This propaganda is childish and stale.. we all know how developed Lagos is compared to other states

We all know who are the overnight 2m bus imports sleeping under bridges and hawking gala

Belluski:
Tinubu will gather alot of votes from the north ... they will sell how tinubu turn lagos into america .... funny enough over there they hear and believe lagos,abuja, ph... is like america, especially lagos and that gives him the edge to gain it

beyondPen:
Golden comment that does not need snubbing.

It high time the Igbos make Peace and stretch hands of unity with other regions especially the South West region for political power.

But they will still continue to play the blame game and victims mentality.
If they continue with these, how will they win the presidency?

I often hear this line together with another that has been recently addressed in full which says 'power is not given, but is taken', to which a south-easterner has stepped up in the form of Peter Obi, yet it is still a problem to most.

So I will ask you in clear terms. What do you mean by 'making peace and stretching hands', because I cannot recount an Easterner elected into office since 1999. And if not, it means they have been voting for candidates from regions other than their own all the while. So what is the peace and the hands about?

Now, I am not from the East, but if you are from the West, I think the moral burden is rather on folks from that clime who feel they deserve another shot at the office having enjoyed it for 8 years under OBJ, so your moral compass should at least be spinning completely around and pointing you in the direction of supportung a south-easterner this time around instead of fueling this guilt escortion.

But like most posts from you folks I sense an inkling of superiorism, an ownership of the polity, that arrogates you the power to decide where the leadership of this country goes. You can taste it in the condescending tone of the 'plea'.

That my friend is not a moral contest at all. Sorry, but you are deeply embedded in sectionalism and are a flag for all that is base about Nigeria. So look intently into a mirror and know this. You may have all the cake, but,

This country WILL NEVER MOVE FORWARD WITH INJUSTICE. Take that to the bank.

We are patiently waiting

sammhi:
How does a Gov wins state for a presidential candidate
The days of fake figures are gone . U guys are in for a rude shock . Why do they resort to vote buying in Osun and Ekiti in Gov elections when they have a sitting Gov of APC .? Despite massive vote buying they still lost Osun .wake up wake up , Govs won't win elections for anyone this time around .He may help BAT get 25% or 30% through mobilization but nothing significant. PDP is very strong in Gombe , same for Nnpp.

Oga, election in Nigeria is still far from being decided by logic or masses choice. Both PDP and APC bought votes during Osun election, one of the reason PDP won was because they pay more than APC per vote #10k while APC pays 7k.

Poverty is main cause of chosen the bad leaders in this country, I am very sure that 95% of those shouting take your country back will collect 10k and vote for a particular candidate. Apart from the fact that Nigerians lack foresight, no poverty striken electorates will reject 10k in the name of " I want this particular candidate".

Whoever says or think they will collect their money and vote their choice has never been to pooling booth before. There is a way electorates stylishly show their tumb print to a coded party agent hiding at strategy conner before they give you money. They are not that silly to dash people money without ensuring they vote for them(except party agents did not spend as expected).

For us to chose the best leaders, the poverty rate must be reduce to barest minimum.

Okay who's care

asanausana91:
Wike will tell you about his relationship with Tambuwal.

Wike over-estimated is Relationship with Tambuwal....it wasn't that deep and it was recent.

Do I need to remind you those that ended up championing and ensuring Tinubu emerged has the flag bearer?

El-rufai and co that were considered anti-Tinubu and believed to be pro-Amaechi/Osibanjo

You see when jungle mature men go show up

kcnwaigbo:
Atiku expected to win the NE/NW but margins will not be so much as votes will be shared with APC,NNNP and LP

APC expected to win the SW

LP expected to win SS/SE/NC

Peter obi cannot win north central my brother u men peter obi will win in kwara, kogi,Niger state and nassarawa? aba it is not possible the only state in north he will ave more votes is Jo's and Benue and I can bet he cannot win the state he will only have 25 percent of the total votes..

alimiadedayo1:
Peter obi cannot win north central my brother u men peter obi will win in kwara, kogi,Niger state and nassarawa? aba it is not possible the only state in north he will ave more votes is Jo's and Benue and I can bet he cannot win the state he will only have 25 percent of the total votes..

Why sir

blamingthedevil:
Incoming President Bola Tinubu will surely win the following States in the North East
Bormo-90%
Yobe- 90%
Bauchi-60%
Gombe-55%

that's will be great √

oyichi:
They are not considering northern christians at all, obi will shock you people, do you people know the population of Catholics alone, not to talk of other denominations, continue hiding from the truth

you just said gibberish it does not make any meaning.. so all catholic will vote for obi and he will win the election? this thing of obi has made many youth that is sound in education to behave and talk like a fool like someone who doesn't pass through education at all

Realist12:
I see Obi's candidacy as one that will carve out the south east from the 2 major political party. even the south south will back out of their support for Obi and choose the 2 major party coz they won't like to commit political suicide. Obi's candidacy will do more harm for the Ibos, first it's obvious he's a political prostitute and couldn't do his homework and attain power properly. The only way the effects won't be felt is if labour party wins governorship elections in the east. But it's certain not everyone will buy Obi's presidency .

who is this guy I love your analysis you are very intelligent this is the kinda of people I would love to reason with pls can I ave your number

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yemmit90:
Oga, election in Nigeria is still far from being decided by logic or masses choice. Both PDP and APC bought votes during Osun election, one of the reason PDP won was because they pay more than APC per vote #10k while APC pays 7k.

Poverty is main cause of chosen the bad leaders in this country, I am very sure that 95% of those shouting take your country back will collect 10k and vote for a particular candidate. Apart from the fact that Nigerians lack foresight, no poverty striken electorates will reject 10k in the name of " I want this particular candidate".

Whoever says or think they will collect their money and vote their choice has never been to pooling booth before. There is a way electorates stylishly show their tumb print to a coded party agent hiding at strategy conner before they give you money. They are not that silly to dash people money without ensuring they vote for them(except party agents did not spend as expected).

For us to chose the best leaders, the poverty rate must be reduce to barest minimum.

Vote buying enough to win strongholds of opposition in a presidential election not sustainable. It will cost trillions. They can't afford it.
Some vote buying will happen but not at the scale U think
Moreso, people will resist it this time ....

Kilometres:
Wike over-estimated is Relationship with Tambuwal....it wasn't that deep and it was recent.

Do I need to remind you those that ended up championing and ensuring Tinubu emerged has the flag bearer?

El-rufai and co that were considered anti-Tinubu and believed to be pro-Amaechi/Osibanjo

You see when jungle mature men go show up

how old are you? Do you think the outburst of Tinubu against buhari in ogun state will be forgiven? I will remind you after the election.

BurialGround:
In 1999 Igbos aligned with SW and OBJ won, in 2010 Igbos aligned with the North and Yar'adua won. Igbos aligned with SS and GEJ won.
Why has other ethnic groups refused to align with the Igbos?

Did you just insinuated Igbos alligned with PDP, very funny
Now listen kiddo, there was no time igbos were outside PDP, infact PDP remains the most indigeneous party in AfghanEastern since it was formed in 1999 and there was no time igbos voted outside PDP pattern which means OBJ and GEJ got East vote simply becos they were PDP's choice, nothing more.

2015 was the year Nigeria moved from one party system to a two party system @least, and since 2015 till 2019 no candidate that igbos supported had succeeded or won the presidential sit, which is why these time Atiku slidelined Peter Obi and seems not to be given the igbos much credence unlike before the reality as dawn on Atiku.

Ignorance is not an excuse, Igbos are expendable in Nigeria politics, know these and know peace

Gombe is a traditional pdp state . The present Governor there is next to failure. Yobe state might follow ne agenda . Tinubu and Obituary have finally turn this coming election to tribe .... Many states will align with pdp in the north

seunmsg:
APC will win Gombe and Yobe easily.

Troublemaker111:
Gombe is a traditional pdp state . The present Governor there is next to failure. Yobe state might follow ne agenda . Tinubu and Obituary have finally turn this coming election to tribe .... Many states will align with pdp in the north

Gombe is an APC state. All the political bigwigs in the state are in APC and fully supporting Tinubu. Yobe is fully APC. PDP has never won the state since 1999 so there is nothing to fear. Bornu and Yobe are as sure as any other south west states for Tinubu.

Talking about a performance, apart from Zulum, is there any NE governor that has performed very well? The one in Bauchi is the worse, yet, we’re still projecting the state for PDP despite being a traditional APC state.

Okoroawusa:
Can any state governor comfortably beat their chest for Peter Obi? Election has gone beyond emotions. It hurts me that my kinsmen keep making the same mistakes since 2015. Let's allign with others and get this political power, my people say never. Ngwanu let's continue beating around the bush.

Only votes from Borno will cancel out votes from the 5 South East states. Bookmark this comment and come back to it when results are announced.

With bvas. Just watch and see

Yeahmehn:
NE will definitely be a battle between PDP and APC. The only state LP may have good impact is taraba. Just my opinion. We can only wait to see what happens

Christian votes in gombe borno bauchi adamawa and yobe to cross 25% then a strong showing in NC and block votes in SS/SE with 40%in SW. Lp is the game

Chrismania100:
Stop giving.yourself a hopeless hope just because of this fake headline.It will shock you to know that large population of igbos also reside in every state in the North.Both APC &PDP are not even too sure if they will win or not.That you are APC or PDP has nothing to do with them winning the vote for the state.This election is purely between the Youth and the old slave masters. It has nothing to do with tribes.I can bet with kalusha testicle that Atiku has atleast 70% chances of winning far more than Tinubu 10% chance.To me,Obi by far has more chances to clinch this ticket than all these aspirants. The only way they can thumb Obi is through rigging.Forget this useless analysis.
The early you realise that the better for you

Lol I thought you guys claimed rigging has gone with the advent of electoral law ? Why then are you still considering rigging as an excuse for your Obi victory bikonu?

Lol

blamingthedevil:
https://punchng.com/atiku-will-be-defeated-in-north-east-gombe-gov/

One thing the south should learn from the north pattern of politics,is how they show support for you in public and then work against you in private

What they do in private is even more effective than the support they show you in public

So that when you lose,you cannot accuse them of not supporting you

Whether you win or losee,it will benefit them in a way

asanausana91:
how old are you? Do you think the outburst of Tinubu against buhari in ogun state will be forgiven? I will remind you after the election.

I know this cliche

That was all you people were singing...that Buhari will punish the outburst at the primaries.

In fact, many of you were jumping with excitement when two days to the primaries, Abdullah Adamu claimed that he met Buhari and Ahmed Lawan is the adopted/consesus candidate.

Continue to deceive Mr agbodo that he will get more from north east time will tell

Any candidate that want to win should win 25 state minimum

OYA, LET'S ASSUME....
Let us assume that Fashola and Ambode did nothing in Lagos and all the glory went to Tinubu.
Let's still assume that Lagos was never the Federal Capital of Nigeria and Tinubu single handedly built the city from scratch.
We will all say "Thank you and God bless you for all you did 22 years ago in your youthful and vibrant days" .
But those days are gone.....
Can Nigeria invite Jay Jay okocha to another World Cup because he was our best midfielder?
Can Nigeria even invite Kanu Nwankwo or Taribo West to another World Cup because they made us proud in their days?
Can Nigeria invite Chioma Ajunwa to another Olympics just because she won a gold medal in Atlanta 1996 Olympics ?
Asiwaju is 86 years and his days are gone.
Wisdom is knowing how to leave when ovation is still loud...
Let's focus on saving the economy of Nigeria
#copied

Nonsense comment. Can any governor win an election without his people's support or can a single vote win an election?

Well, keep dreaming. One thing you should know is that the 2023 election will be different from every election we've had in the past.

Okoroawusa:
Can any state governor comfortably beat their chest for Peter Obi? Election has gone beyond emotions. It hurts me that my kinsmen keep making the same mistakes since 2015. Let's allign with others and get this political power, my people say never. Ngwanu let's continue beating around the bush.

Only votes from Borno will cancel out votes from the 5 South East states. Bookmark this comment and come back to it whethe n results are announced.

deukpai:
Nonsense comment. Can any governor win an election without his people's support or can a single vote win an election?

Well, keep dreaming. One thing you should know is that the 2023 election will be different from every election we've had in the past.

How will it be different? Don't just give us blanket statements that looks like you are reassuring yourself of what you want to happen. Show us how 2023 election being different will mean that Peter Obi will win it. We would all love to know.

pseudaria:
With bvas. Just watch and see

Don't just tell me with BVAS. How? Show us how BVAS will make Obi win and others lose.

Too many analysis in this election

Let February do fast and come