kcnwaigbo:

Rather he is calm because he is hoping on the NE and NW.He knows he stands no chance in the SS and SE

Atiku is desperate for NE and Nw, and he’s not sure of the NE and I don’t think he may win their, but he may probably win the NW, with so many factors working for him there

garfield1:


Datti is a nobody in Kaduna.obi won't get anything in Kaduna,do not be deceived by rallies of less than 10,000

Lol LP votes in Kaduna will not come because of Datti btw the Baba-Ahmed political dynasty are no pushovers in Northern politics let alone Kaduna state alone

Kyase:


Atiku is desperate for NE and Nw, and he’s not sure of the NE and I don’t think he may win their, but he may probably win the NW, with so many factors working for him there

Atiku will most definitely win the NE and NW,the margin of victory however will be another thing entirely but I see him winning both regions

Kyase:


I’m still not comfortable with Tinubu but the way I see it
Apc May perform better than pdp in Benue, I have my reasons for saying that

Nass, will repeat same thing that happened in 2015, I don’t know for the other states in NC but however they perform will determine who wins

APC will have a disastrous outing in Benue because of its Muslim Muslim ticket.LP is expected to win the state with the PDP as first runner up

garfield1:


Datti is a nobody in Kaduna.obi won't get anything in Kaduna,do not be deceived by rallies of less than 10,000

It is not just about Datti.

Kaduna South will vote massively for Obi. That constitute about 35% of Kaduna. Amongst other reasons, the Gov candidate of Labour is the former President of SoKAPO. They also have a strong senatorial candidate there (this is for those of you always talking about "structures"

Then Kaduna North and Central will be spilt between Tinubu, Atiku and Kwankwaso. Obi will still even get some small votes from there.

Anybody discarding Obi from Kaduna is simply Deluded. And i cannot take that person serious.

kcnwaigbo:

Lol LP votes in Kaduna will not come because of Datti btw the Baba-Ahmed political dynasty are no pushovers in Northern politics let alone Kaduna state alone

He will lose woefully in Kaduna.it is between tinubu and atiku.25% go hard

garfield1:


He will lose woefully in Kaduna.it is between tinubu and atiku.25% go hard

If there is any state in the NW LP will secure it's 25% it's Kaduna state.

Tinubu will come a distant third here

kcnwaigbo:

I laughed my head off when LP was not awarded any % of votes in Taraba which I know for sure he will definitely win.He will also not secure less than 30% in Kaduna

Leave these guys alone.

We need to deh pity them sef.

It has not been easy been PDP or APC in the last 3 months

nameo:


Leave these guys alone.

We need to deh pity them sef.

It has not been easy been PDP or APC in the last 3 months

But deceiving themselves by making puerile analysis like this will not change anything in the February elections.

There are still probably hoping in the old way of doing things.aThe new electoral law have sparked off a revolution.

It will end up been Buhari's greatest achievement

kcnwaigbo:

APC will have a disastrous outing in Benue because of its Muslim Muslim ticket.LP is expected to win the state with the PDP as first runner up

Nope
I’m from Benue and I know what I’m saying, Obi can’t win Benue in labour, do you know how strong both apc and pdp are in Benue, unless Akume did not work for Tinubu, APC is likely to win Benue with the help of labour

garfield1:


Niger and kwara will easily go apc...because of the apc nass candidates in nasarawa,a narrow win will suffice.kogi will be difficult,atiku has a good chance here.lp might take benue and fct.plateau is dicey

How would Kogi be difficult? Because of the noise Dino is making? Tinubu would clear Kogi State. He'll get 55-60% of the votes while others would share the remaining votes.

Kyase:


I’m still not comfortable with Tinubu but the way I see it
Apc May perform better than pdp in Benue, I have my reasons for saying that

Nass, will repeat same thing that happened in 2015, I don’t know for the other states in NC but however they perform will determine who wins

My brother nobody is comfortable with tinubu and shettima but as a good party man,you must rally behind them afterall I supported osibanjo originally.no Candidate is perfect.in 2019 most pdp fans wanted tambuwal and were condemning atiku.when atiku won,they rallied behind him.same thing this year,most were with wike...so that of apc can't be different...

You are never consistent in analysis in benue so I won't follow you but I believe benue belongs to obi.apc might even do better than pdp in benue. Dont forget that ortom won't work for atiku,suswan was working for udom,I don't know if he is with atiku.I don't know for Moro.while all the nass candidates are pro tinubu plus the popularity of alia.on election day,that mm ticket won't mean much

nameo:


It is not just about Datti.

Kaduna South will vote massively for Obi. That constitute about 35% of Kaduna. Amongst other reasons, the Gov candidate of Labour is the former President of SoKAPO. They also have a strong senatorial candidate there (this is for those of you always talking about "structures"

Then Kaduna North and Central will be spilt between Tinubu, Atiku and Kwankwaso. Obi will still even get some small votes from there.

Anybody discarding Obi from Kaduna is simply Deluded. And i cannot take that person serious.

Oga,Kaduna south doesnt constitute 35%.they constitute 30%.they always vote pdp so as it stands,they will divide votes.thats all

johnmartus:
I'm pretty sure that kwankwaso will never be on ballot. You can mark this word. However north central will determine who will become president of Nigeria in 2023 .And north central will vote APC because the whole of north central states is under APC control except Benue.


This ibos people that shouting peter obi I just pity them because what will hit them in 2023 will more than shocking by now they supposed to know that the same people shouting peter obi now didn't vote Buhari but Atiku in 2019 and Jonathan in 2015.

....


Ogbeni shebi bomb dey your head ni??


The prediction is between APC, PDP and NNPP

How you come manage carry obi and igbos enter the topic??

You started throwing jabs if igbos respond to you now you will start shouting hate..

This was exactly what I was saying in my other thread..

kcnwaigbo:

If there is any state in the NW LP will secure it's 25% it's Kaduna state.

Tinubu will come a distant third here

Tinubu will win Kaduna followed by atiku.obi will get votes only from Kaduna south.the pdp chieftains in Kaduna like makarfi,hunkuyi,sambo etc are irrelevant

donphilopus:


How would Kogi be difficult? Because of the noise Dino is making? Tinubu would clear Kogi State. He'll get 55-60% of the votes while others would share the remaining votes.

Igalas are tilting towards atiku.dont know for ebiras and how bello is committed.am sure of okuns

garfield1:


My brother nobody is comfortable with tinubu and shettima but as a good party man,you must rally behind them afterall I supported osibanjo originally.no Candidate is perfect.in 2019 most pdp fans wanted tambuwal and were condemning atiku.when atiku won,they rallied behind him.same thing this year,most were with wike...so that of apc can't be different...

You are never consistent in analysis in benue so I won't follow you but I believe benue belongs to obi.apc might even do better than pdp in benue. Dont forget that ortom won't work for atiku,suswan was working for udom,I don't know if he is with atiku.I don't know for Moro.while all the nass candidates are pro tinubu plus the popularity of alia.on election day,that mm ticket won't mean much

About Benue, I have always told you, that Benue is not stable to permutate and so many factors are working in Benue, and if you can remember, I told you if Fr Alia campaign for tinubu then I will say apc will do well there, as my oga will say, there will soon be betrayers and counter betrayal before February so chill


As a party man, Tinubu did not consult anybody for that in other to pacify the Christians in the party
He only worked with the Muslims in coming into that conclusion, so I don’t know what you are saying

garfield1:


Igalas are tilting towards atiku.dont know for ebiras and how bello is committed.am sure of okuns

Votes in Kogi East would be shared. The Okuns (western part of Kogi) are fully with Tinubu. If Ebiras and Okuns massively vote for Tinubu, he would only need 40% in Igala land to win Kogi State.

garfield1:


Oga,Kaduna south doesnt constitute 35%.they constitute 30%.they always vote pdp so as it stands,they will divide votes.thats all

When you chaps mindlessly say this:" they are PDP or APC voters ", it bungles the mind.

Did you guys keep any special PDP or APC voters anywhere? Ok, the SE have always voted PDP. Are you saying they will leave Obi this time around and vote Atiku cos they are "PDP voters"?

I dont get.

Even here on Nairaland, most of the persons who supported Atiku in 2019 are now supporting Obi(they only just have more people from other sides also supporting Obi). Should they also be counted as "PDP voters" too?

Plus, the turnout in 2019 was 29% of registered voters(that is a majority of voters did not bother to vote). I hope you know that the turnout in the next elections will be way more than that. Are they also PDP or APC voters??

garfield1:


He will lose woefully in Kaduna.it is between tinubu and atiku.25% go hard

I cannot tell if Obi will win kaduna but 25 percent wouldn't be hard.

Kyase:


Nope
I’m from Benue and I know what I’m saying, Obi can’t win Benue in labour, do you know how strong both apc and pdp are in Benue, unless Akume did not work for Tinubu, APC is likely to win Benue with the help of labour

You keep hoping on elite politicians to deliver the state,it is not going to be so if the people are against it.

Last presidential election Willie Obiano worked for Buhari/APC in Anambra state even went as far as releasing funds for votes buying but Buhari still had the lowest votes in Anambra state.


I am not from Benue so I cannot tell you the political Atmosphere there but hoping on politicians to deliver for their party is not a wise decision not now that there wouldn't be ballot box stealing and coalition of results in different coalition centres.

2023 election should come and go oh

Bomboiy:


I cannot tell if Obi will win kaduna but 25 percent wouldn't be hard.

It will be considering that datti is a nobody

nameo:


When you chaps mindlessly say this:" they are PDP or APC voters ", it bungles the mind.

Did you guys keep any special PDP or APC voters anywhere? Ok, the SE have always voted PDP. Are you saying they will leave Obi this time around and vote Atiku cos they are "PDP voters"?

I dont get.

Even here on Nairaland, most of the persons who supported Atiku in 2019 are now supporting Obi(they only just have more people from other sides also supporting Obi). Should they also be counted as "PDP voters" too?

Plus, the turnout in 2019 was 29% of registered voters(that is a majority of voters did not bother to vote). I hope you know that the turnout in the next elections will be way more than that. Are they also PDP or APC voters??

Oga se and ss will easily vote obi because of kinship.he is their son.it will be difficult in other regions

donphilopus:


Votes in Kogi East would be shared. The Okuns (western part of Kogi) are fully with Tinubu. If Ebiras and Okuns massively vote for Tinubu, he would only need 40% in Igala land to win Kogi State.

He only needs half of ebiras considering that a lot of igalas will vote obi

Kyase:


Nope
I’m from Benue and I know what I’m saying, Obi can’t win Benue in labour, do you know how strong both apc and pdp are in Benue, unless Akume did not work for Tinubu, APC is likely to win Benue with the help of labour

There is a mistake you are making.you depend too much on the strength of parties and politicians to decide votes but nowadays, the votes of the masses are counting.you need to consider the choice or mindset of the voters.who will the ordinary benue people vote for? Everybody is going for alia irrespective of party structure,I see a lot of them gunning for obi...
Before 2015,pdp dominated benue.benue was a one party state until apc won because a greater number of the electorates wanted buhari.when an overwhelming number wants a candidate, party strength do not matter

garfield1:


He only needs half of ebiras considering that a lot of igalas will vote obi

Why do you think half of Igalas would vote Obi? Are you on ground or just assuming?

garfield1:


There is a mistake you are making.you depend too much on the strength of parties and politicians to decide votes but nowadays, the votes of the masses are counting.you need to consider the choice or mindset of the voters.who will the ordinary benue people vote for? Everybody is going for alia irrespective of party structure,I see a lot of them gunning for obi...
Before 2015,pdp dominated benue.benue was a one party state until apc won because a greater number of the electorates wanted buhari.when an overwhelming number wants a candidate, party strength do not matter

We’ll see

The button line is, if Atiku play his cards well, he’ll be the next president

Kyase:


Atiku is desperate for NE and Nw, and he’s not sure of the NE and I don’t think he may win their, but he may probably win the NW, with so many factors working for him there

Atiku won't win the north west.bookmark this

Bomboiy:


I cannot tell if Obi will win kaduna but 25 percent wouldn't be hard.

.where obi want see 25% for kaduna. You think because there are Christian's in kaduna they will vote for obi

garfield1:


Tinubu will win Kaduna followed by atiku.obi will get votes only from Kaduna south.the pdp chieftains in Kaduna like makarfi,hunkuyi,sambo etc are irrelevant

hunkuyi is in nnpp.he is their governorship candidate

frank14011991:
Atiku won't win the north west.bookmark this

Okay
I’m bookmarking it