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2023: Seun Osewa Forecasts Tinubu To Win; Says Atiku Not Popular In The North - Politics (3) - Nairaland

Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / 2023: Seun Osewa Forecasts Tinubu To Win; Says Atiku Not Popular In The North (4497 Views)

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Re: 2023: Seun Osewa Forecasts Tinubu To Win; Says Atiku Not Popular In The North by BigSarah(f): 3:45pm On Sep 11, 2022
Thinkam:


Seems you don't have a preference again, I thought you were all out for PO?

PO is more preferably, but reality only atiku and Tinubu are the options..

I will vote PO, only if his campaign shows some promise like Gej 2015, not the current amateur fanfare,...

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Re: 2023: Seun Osewa Forecasts Tinubu To Win; Says Atiku Not Popular In The North by Nobody: 3:49pm On Sep 11, 2022
BigSarah:


PO is more preferably, but reality only atiku and Tinubu are the options..

I will vote PO, only if his campaign shows some promise like Gej 2015, not the current amateur fanfare,...

Exactly, be atikulated.

Atiku is coming.

3 Likes

Re: 2023: Seun Osewa Forecasts Tinubu To Win; Says Atiku Not Popular In The North by Nyamuri: 3:51pm On Sep 11, 2022
Lol! Atiku barely won PDP primaries, if it wasn't for Tambuwal stepping down Wike would have won.. it had nothing to do with north but alignment of two ppl who outsmarted the other one.. Atiku is not a northern project, sentiment is rift presidency should return to south

Wike made enemies for himself in the north, from demolition of mosques, saying river is a Christian state to VAT issues and hot temper etc even some of his southern colleagues didn't support, that's why he lost.. it had nothing to do with north conspiracy

Tinubu's staunch supporters and strongest structures are in the north, believe it or not

The best margin Atiku can pull in the north against Tinubu is 50-55%
BigSarah:


I don't believe that if the north won't support atiku, they'd have allowed him clinch PDP ticket, when there are other popular Northerners vying.

The northern PDP caucus rooted for Atiku, and made a tambuwal step down..

I'm not a Northerner, but I reside in the North..
So my statement is based on political analysis and real-time feelers.

All the people you quoted all worked with atiku in 2015, "currently " saying Tinubu will get more northern votes than atiku, that's sometime I don't see, but there is still time for Tinubu to improve his chances...

2 Likes

Re: 2023: Seun Osewa Forecasts Tinubu To Win; Says Atiku Not Popular In The North by HIGHESTPOPORI(m): 3:52pm On Sep 11, 2022
LegendHero:


Atiku is overrated.

People are just being deluded because most of Atiku votes in 2019 come from SW + SS because the PDP got more votes in the SW than they got even in the SE. Those votes are non-existent now as PDP is now more weaker in the South than they were in 2019.

In the North Central, no candidate APC/PDP can lay claim to the majority votes, the votes will cancel each other. So the effect will be negligible.

Even in the North, Atiku cannot boast currently that he will win any region with overwhelming votes judging at APC structures and the fact that Atiku is not as popular as Buhari.

If Peter Obi and Atiku continue to contest on separate tickets, Asiwaju will win that election in 2023. Sensible people will know this.
Which region will asiwaju win? Apart from sw narrowly?

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Re: 2023: Seun Osewa Forecasts Tinubu To Win; Says Atiku Not Popular In The North by BigSarah(f): 3:55pm On Sep 11, 2022
Nyamuri:
Lol! Atiku barely won PDP primaries, if it wasn't for Tambuwal stepping down Wike would have won.. it had nothing to do with north but alignment of two ppl who outsmarted the other one.. Atiku is not a northern project, sentiment is rift presidency should return to south

Wike made enemies for himself in the north, from demolition of mosques, saying river is a Christian state to VAT issues and hot temper etc even some of his southern colleagues didn't support, that's why he lost.. it had nothing to do with north conspiracy

Tinubu's staunch supporters and strongest structures are in the north, believe it or not

The best margin Atiku can pull in the north against Tinubu is 50-55%

Alright
Re: 2023: Seun Osewa Forecasts Tinubu To Win; Says Atiku Not Popular In The North by HIGHESTPOPORI(m): 3:57pm On Sep 11, 2022
seunmsg:
Tinubu is the next president of Nigeria whether they like it or not. All his haters will be forcibly fed with agbado and cassava. It is what it is.
Next President of iragbiji town union with yoruba Muslim votes

2 Likes 1 Share

Re: 2023: Seun Osewa Forecasts Tinubu To Win; Says Atiku Not Popular In The North by Nyamuri: 3:57pm On Sep 11, 2022
So u mean to say SE/SS won't vote PO! undecided Or what do u mean?

As long as PO gets 50% of SE/SS votes, then it's game over for Atiku
BigSarah:


SS and SE Will definitely vote Atiku, once campaign starts and Peter Obi can't find his footing, things will unravel...
I want to believe 50% of the votes gotten in the south in 2019 is currently on ground for atiku, he just needs to reclaim the lost 50%.

It's easier for atiku to get his southern votes back, than Tinubu to get buhari's northern votes...


I might be wrong tho

3 Likes

Re: 2023: Seun Osewa Forecasts Tinubu To Win; Says Atiku Not Popular In The North by HIGHESTPOPORI(m): 4:01pm On Sep 11, 2022
Nyamuri:
So u mean to say SE/SS won't vote PO! undecided Or what do u mean?

As long as PO gets 50% of SE/SS votes, then it's game over for Atiku
Kwankwanso is on the ballot is game over for apc and tinubu because he would split Kano and Northwest Buhari votes.Apart from Sw, tinubi won't win any other region.Even the Sw, he would win narrowly.Or tell us the region tinubu would win apart from sw

1 Like

Re: 2023: Seun Osewa Forecasts Tinubu To Win; Says Atiku Not Popular In The North by omenka(m): 4:01pm On Sep 11, 2022
LegendHero:


Atiku is overrated.

People are just being deluded because most of Atiku votes in 2019 come from SW + SS because the PDP got more votes in the SW than they got even in the SE. Those votes are non-existent now as PDP is now more weaker in the South than they were in 2019.

In the North Central, no candidate APC/PDP can lay claim to the majority votes, the votes will cancel each other. So the effect will be negligible.

Even in the North, Atiku cannot boast currently that he will win any region with overwhelming votes judging at APC structures and the fact that Atiku is not as popular as Buhari.

If Peter Obi and Atiku continue to contest on separate tickets, Asiwaju will win that election in 2023. Sensible people will know this.
Nothing but the truth. The only chance Atiku has got to pose a significant threat to Tinubu's victory is having Obi throw in the towel in support of him. Even at that, there's a snag: how would the same people who claim to want a shift from the old guards make a sudden about-face to support Atiku?

Also, with the insecurity currently ravaging the East, what hope is there any significant votes would be coming therefrom?

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Re: 2023: Seun Osewa Forecasts Tinubu To Win; Says Atiku Not Popular In The North by HIGHESTPOPORI(m): 4:03pm On Sep 11, 2022
omenka:
Nothing but the truth. The only chance Atiku has got to pose a significant threat to Tinubu's victory is having Obi throw in the towel in support of him. Even at that, there's a snag: how would the same people who claim to want a shift from the old guards make a sudden about-face to support Atiku?

Also, with the insecurity currently ravaging the East, what hope is there any significant votes would be coming therefrom?
The only people supporting tinubu are yoruba Muslims and Borno and Yobe, The election is between Obi and Atiku.As for SE, when election reach, ipob would fall in line.They did worse during the Anambra election and it still held.

2 Likes

Re: 2023: Seun Osewa Forecasts Tinubu To Win; Says Atiku Not Popular In The North by Nyamuri: 4:04pm On Sep 11, 2022
Lol! You know nothing about elections in the north, ur not a northerner and don't know how things are done!!

With shettima, Tinubu is already guaranteed 80% in borno, 70% in yobe and 60% in gombe.. that's at least 40% in NE

It's like you don't know the love Kanuri ppl have for shettima and zulum no! undecided shocked shocked

In NC.. Kogi, kwarra and niger are certainly for Tinubu, that's at least 40%!
naijapips04:


Tinubu 60% SW, 30% NE, 20%NC. Atiku 70% NW 40%NC, 60%SS This is their path to victory. Just ignore SE.
Re: 2023: Seun Osewa Forecasts Tinubu To Win; Says Atiku Not Popular In The North by IamAtikulate: 4:08pm On Sep 11, 2022
Yorubas that have never travelled outside their region said Atiku is not popular in the North.

Tinubu that was grappling with AD until Atiku merged his movement into the dying party to form AC.

Atiku is not popular in the North but Tinubu, a Yoruba Tijanniyya Moslem is?

cheesy

I wish all these urchins will travel to the North and see what is happening.

Peter Obi has respected himself and focused on the North Central, Southern Kaduna, Northern Christian and Taraba in the NE, while shoring up his Southern base.

Make February come quick quick

6 Likes 2 Shares

Re: 2023: Seun Osewa Forecasts Tinubu To Win; Says Atiku Not Popular In The North by Nyamuri: 4:09pm On Sep 11, 2022
It's very unfortunate bro, I actually feel for you! You have let religion divid u.. I hope this won't be the beginning for Yoruba race
Obagreatdatoye:

When you are giving analysis....you should always do that with sense. Yoruba Christians which I'm part of will not vote Tinubu....stop deceiving yourself... We are going to vote base on religion and competency....
Re: 2023: Seun Osewa Forecasts Tinubu To Win; Says Atiku Not Popular In The North by Nyamuri: 4:12pm On Sep 11, 2022
Lol! Northern politics is not for u bro
HIGHESTPOPORI:
Kwankwanso is on the ballot is game over for apc and tinubu because he would split Kano and Northwest Buhari votes.Apart from Sw, tinubi won't win any other region.Even the Sw, he would win narrowly.Or tell us the region tinubu would win apart from sw
Re: 2023: Seun Osewa Forecasts Tinubu To Win; Says Atiku Not Popular In The North by naijapips04: 4:12pm On Sep 11, 2022
Nyamuri:
Lol! You know nothing about elections in the north, ur not a northerner and don't know how things are done!!

With shettima, Tinubu is already guaranteed 80% in borno, 70% in yobe and 60% in gombe.. that's at least 40% in NE

It's like you don't know the love Kanuri ppl have for shettima and zulum no! undecided shocked shocked

In NC.. Kogi, kwarra and niger are certainly for Tinubu, that's at least 40%!

Make we see who go vote Tinubu in Bornu.
Re: 2023: Seun Osewa Forecasts Tinubu To Win; Says Atiku Not Popular In The North by HIGHESTPOPORI(m): 4:13pm On Sep 11, 2022
Nyamuri:
Lol! Northern politics is not for u bro
Lol, you are only speaking for yourself and not Northerners

3 Likes

Re: 2023: Seun Osewa Forecasts Tinubu To Win; Says Atiku Not Popular In The North by Nyamuri: 4:17pm On Sep 11, 2022
Lol! I'm a northerner, and yes Atiku is overrated in the north! Tinubu will give him a run for his money

At best, Atiku can win the north against Tinubu with 50-55% margin
IamAtikulate:
Yorubas that have never travelled outside their region said Atiku is not popular in the North.

Tinubu that was grappling with AD until Atiku merged his movement into the dying party to form AC.

Atiku is not popular in the North but Tinubu, a Yoruba Tijanniyya Moslem is?

cheesy

I wish all these urchins will travel to the North and see what is happening.

Peter Obi has respected himself and focused on the North Central, Southern Kaduna, Northern Christian and Taraba in the NE, while shoring up his Southern base.

Make February come quick quick

2 Likes

Re: 2023: Seun Osewa Forecasts Tinubu To Win; Says Atiku Not Popular In The North by NwaMamaIwota(f): 4:18pm On Sep 11, 2022
OnionBandit:
You are one of the few reasonable Igbos I know, swears. I go like meet you one day. You and adadike angry angry
keep deceiving the gullible mind.

1 Like

Re: 2023: Seun Osewa Forecasts Tinubu To Win; Says Atiku Not Popular In The North by Nyamuri: 4:18pm On Sep 11, 2022
Bro, in the north.. when discussing politics, we don't include or talk about PO, because his inconsequential and insignificant
HIGHESTPOPORI:
The only people supporting tinubu are yoruba Muslims and Borno and Yobe, The election is between Obi and Atiku.As for SE, when election reach, ipob would fall in line.They did worse during the Anambra election and it still held.
Re: 2023: Seun Osewa Forecasts Tinubu To Win; Says Atiku Not Popular In The North by Indispensable85(m): 4:19pm On Sep 11, 2022
The political equillibrant in this election is Peter Obi. He has technically helped Tinubu to become president. Atiku can't get bloc votes from the north obviously. As long as he can't and Peter Obi continues to be the darling of majority of people in the south east and parts of south south, Atiku is toast. Majority of the votes that kwankwaso and Obi will get in the election are votes that ordinarily would've been that of Atiku/PDP.

2 Likes

Re: 2023: Seun Osewa Forecasts Tinubu To Win; Says Atiku Not Popular In The North by HIGHESTPOPORI(m): 4:20pm On Sep 11, 2022
Nyamuri:
Bro, in the north.. when discussing politics, we don't include or talk about PO, because his inconsequential and insignificant
Lol, Your Opinion.Peter Obi already have SE, SS, NC , youths and Christains to win.He doesn't need your opinion and almajiris

1 Like

Re: 2023: Seun Osewa Forecasts Tinubu To Win; Says Atiku Not Popular In The North by Nyamuri: 4:21pm On Sep 11, 2022
Not just me, but for over 16 APC, senators, HOA, Chairmen LG etc who all have millions of
Voters under them
HIGHESTPOPORI:
Lol, you are only speaking for yourself and not Northerners
Re: 2023: Seun Osewa Forecasts Tinubu To Win; Says Atiku Not Popular In The North by BigSarah(f): 4:22pm On Sep 11, 2022
Nyamuri:
So u mean to say SE/SS won't vote PO! undecided Or what do u mean?

As long as PO gets 50% of SE/SS votes, then it's game over for Atiku

SS/SE always give single pattern block votes, It's either 85% or 15%.

If it's Obi he won't get less than 85%, if it's atiku 85%

If Obi doesn't garner more support from outsiders like Gej did in 2011, SESS won't vote him, that's a fact...
Re: 2023: Seun Osewa Forecasts Tinubu To Win; Says Atiku Not Popular In The North by HIGHESTPOPORI(m): 4:23pm On Sep 11, 2022
Nyamuri:
Not just me, but for over 16 APC, senators, HOA, Chairmen LG etc who all have millions of
Voters under them
Lol, other Parties are reaching out to the people, apc is relying on politicians like they did in Osun.The people are ready to take back their country in 2023

2 Likes

Re: 2023: Seun Osewa Forecasts Tinubu To Win; Says Atiku Not Popular In The North by Ruggedniggaone: 4:29pm On Sep 11, 2022
LegendHero:


I used overrated for Atiku because of the Southern votes.

No region in Nigeria alone can produce the president. Not North, Not South.

Why I said Atiku is overrated is because in 2019, nearly half of his votes come from the South.

Within those half, most of his votes come from the SW + SS.

Now he is not sure of any region bloc in the South, not SE, not SS, and not SW.

What is his winning formulae?
and you didn't think that kwankwazo will destroy tinubu votes in kano and katsina where apc used to get millions votes
Re: 2023: Seun Osewa Forecasts Tinubu To Win; Says Atiku Not Popular In The North by IamAtikulate: 4:36pm On Sep 11, 2022
Nyamuri:
Lol! I'm a northerner, and yes Atiku is overrated in the north! Tinubu will give him a run for his money

At best, Atiku can win the north against Tinubu with 50-55% margin
You are not a Northern.

I can bet that. Where in the North are you, let's start from there.

2 Likes

Re: 2023: Seun Osewa Forecasts Tinubu To Win; Says Atiku Not Popular In The North by IamAtikulate: 4:40pm On Sep 11, 2022
Ruggedniggaone:
and you didn't think that kwankwazo will destroy tinubu votes in kano and katsina where apc used to get millions votes
Which APC?

Say Buhari please. Only Tinubu urchins believe their thief stands a chance in the North. The funniest thing is these guys have never left their region since their mama born them.

Most of them are in Ogbomosho claiming Tinubu will defeat Atiku in the North. Tinubu that couldn't lure Shekarau to APC will defeat Atiku in the North?

[center][/center]

3 Likes

Re: 2023: Seun Osewa Forecasts Tinubu To Win; Says Atiku Not Popular In The North by Nyamuri: 4:47pm On Sep 11, 2022
I'm from sokoto state, currently working in keffi, nasarawa
IamAtikulate:

You are not a Northern.

I can bet that. Where in the North are you, let's start from there.

1 Like

Re: 2023: Seun Osewa Forecasts Tinubu To Win; Says Atiku Not Popular In The North by Obagreatdatoye(m): 4:51pm On Sep 11, 2022
Nyamuri:
It's very unfortunate bro, I actually feel for you! You have let religion divid u.. I hope this won't be the beginning for Yoruba race
That's how it should be....u don't vote mediocrity and terrorism because of tribe. Tribe could not save the hundreds killed in ondo Catholic church....our survival as a Christian comes first before tribe..thanks

2 Likes 1 Share

Re: 2023: Seun Osewa Forecasts Tinubu To Win; Says Atiku Not Popular In The North by IamAtikulate: 4:56pm On Sep 11, 2022
Nyamuri:
I'm from sokoto state, currently working in keffi, nasarawa
You are not from Sokoto and I'll prove it here.

Where in Sokoto do you have your family house and the local government. If you like Google am, I go still know

1 Like

Re: 2023: Seun Osewa Forecasts Tinubu To Win; Says Atiku Not Popular In The North by IamAtikulate: 4:59pm On Sep 11, 2022
Indispensable85:
The political equillibrant in this election is Peter Obi. He has technically helped Tinubu to become president. Atiku can't get bloc votes from the north obviously. As long as he can't and Peter Obi continues to be the darling of majority of people in the south east and parts of south south, Atiku is toast. Majority of the votes that kwankwaso and Obi will get in the election are votes that ordinarily would've been that of Atiku/PDP.
As long as Obi is on the ballot, Tinubu can never win the South. Are you saying Tinubu will win the election without the South?

grin

1 Like

Re: 2023: Seun Osewa Forecasts Tinubu To Win; Says Atiku Not Popular In The North by Nyamuri: 5:36pm On Sep 11, 2022
Sabon birni
IamAtikulate:

You are not from Sokoto and I'll prove it here.

Where in Sokoto do you have your family house and the local government. If you like Google am, I go still know

1 Like

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