₦airaland Forum

raumdeuter:
I can understand your thought process for these projections but I will say take like 5% each away from APC percentage

I traverse around the se/ss.anyway,I can remove 5% from Enugu,abia,IMO,bayelsa,delta,aks.

AllTheWayUp:

Garfield na the most confused Tinubu supporter for Nairaland
Always coming up with flawed political analysis and permutations

How much is the theiff,drugg dealer and condemned corruptt kriminal paying you for these trashh.
If Tinubu see 5percent in any se state then he really tried.
If he gets 15percent in any ss state then he also tried.
We don't lick yanssh like afonjas in ss/se.
Here we have brave men with balls,we are not cowords, backstabbetrs and betrayalls too.

garfield1:
Obi is my second choice oh.can't wait for the election to go.I love electoral matters

but u always support bad leaders that fail the country.
Try and a good leader for once.

Salvador1:
but u always support bad leaders that fail the country.
Try and a good leader for once.

Is obi a good leader? Tinubu is not that bad

garfield1:
Is obi a good leader? Tinubu is not that bad

let us test Obi presidency at Least for one term if he fail we all will disgrace him at the next poll.
Tinubu presidency is not good for Nigeria at the moment.
That Muslim Muslim ticket is demonic.
You know that we can just overlook it cos of the love u have for APC and politics.
Think about it.
I don't need to convince u at all cos u are matured and an educated person.

garfield1:
Anambra
Obi 90% atiku 6% tinubu 4%
Enugu
Obi 50% atiku 30% tinubu 20%
IMO
Obi 50% atiku 20% tinubu 30%
Abia
Obi 50% atiku 25% tinubu 25%
Ebonyi
Obi 60% atiku 15% tinubu 25%

Delta
Obi 30% atiku 45% tinubu 25%
Edo
Obi 50% atiku 20% tinubu 30%
Rivers
Obi 50% atiku 22% tinubu 28%
Bayelsa
Obi 20% atiku 40% tinubu 40%
Akwa ibom
Obi 30% atiku 45% tinubu 25%


Cc mynd44
Fergie001
Nplfmod
Kwanza
Lalasticlala
Mukina2
Helinues
Jaxxy
Seanfer
Ogidigbodigbo
Fratermathy
Oghenaogie
Kinematics
Jrusky
Naijaroyalty
Akurakambe
Omenka
Kahal
Jennifer
Gavelslam
Parachoko
Ngeneukwenu
Passing shot
Muykem
Adiolayi

Hahahahaha
The Omo water wen u drink never settle but if it does, call me because I want tell u something

garfield1:
Anambra
Obi 90% atiku 6% tinubu 4%
Enugu
Obi 50% atiku 30% tinubu 20%
IMO
Obi 50% atiku 20% tinubu 30%
Abia
Obi 50% atiku 25% tinubu 25%
Ebonyi
Obi 60% atiku 15% tinubu 25%

Delta
Obi 30% atiku 45% tinubu 25%
Edo
Obi 50% atiku 20% tinubu 30%
Rivers
Obi 50% atiku 22% tinubu 28%
Bayelsa
Obi 20% atiku 40% tinubu 40%
Akwa ibom
Obi 30% atiku 45% tinubu 25%


Cc mynd44
Fergie001
Nplfmod
Kwanza
Lalasticlala
Mukina2
Helinues
Jaxxy
Seanfer
Ogidigbodigbo
Fratermathy
Oghenaogie
Kinematics
Jrusky
Naijaroyalty
Akurakambe
Omenka
Kahal
Jennifer
Gavelslam
Parachoko
Ngeneukwenu
Passing shot
Muykem
Adiolayi

Haha haha Obis miscreant on d loose again
The OMO water when d Op and all Obis supporter never settle but if it does old call my number
911

fergie001:
Some of these figures are strange?

......Stranger than fiction!

politicians ts not doing well till after d election dem go start d call for lefladum

garfield1:
Sen chimaroke nnamani of pdp,sen ken nnamani,Sullivan chime.when it was between atiku and buhari,buhari got 12%

Buhari got 7% not 12%,l
All those you mentioned are 'spent force'
They can't influence anything.
Tinubu will get lower than Buhari.
I have told you numerous times to stop hoping on some politicians to deliver Tinubu.
If I telll you know that Igbenedion,Alaibe,Diri, Dickson,Obaseki, Okowa, Oborevwori, Ibori, Imoke, Cobham,Bassey, Udom,Onofiok,Ekpeyong,Eno,Sekibo, Secondus and others have the wherewithal to deliver PDP, you'll be quick to giving me a thousand and one reason in counter argument.

This is pipe dream. The South South has always voted for the right choice devoid of tribalism and this time around we know who owns 85% of our votes.

PDPAPC will share 12% each and others 3%.

Mark this comment

Aiel123:
Buhari got 7% not 12%,l
All those you mentioned are 'spent force'
They can't influence anything.
Tinubu will get lower than Buhari.
I have told you numerous times to stop hoping on some politicians to deliver Tinubu.
If I telll you know that Igbenedion,Alaibe,Diri, Dickson,Obaseki, Okowa, Oborevwori, Ibori, Imoke, Cobham,Bassey, Udom,Onofiok,Ekpeyong,Eno,Sekibo, Secondus and others have the wherewithal to deliver PDP, you'll be quick to giving me a thousand and one reason in counter argument.

Sen nnamani is the incumbent senator rep Enugu east.he is very popular.Sullivan chime is well loved in Enugu,hon odoh has influence in Enugu not.on the other hand,ugwuanyi and co are with wike,you know what that means.total votes in Enugu was 400k,Buhari had 50,000 which is over 11%.no northerner has ever polled more votes down south than a southerner and no southerner has polled up north....
Politics and elections down south are influenced strongmen,these men delivered for buhari and with pdp weaker,they won't have issues replicating..Dickson controls his zone so he can influence votes.ibori can influence votes same as okowa,secondus,onofiok,I dont know the ekpenyong and bassey you mean.I hope your not talking about umo eno..
Imoke has lost power in his abi LGA.the only person with him is hon eko atu moreover the state pdp is in wike hand.efiok Cobham is an office politician,he has never been relevant electorally.I believe you saw the post about sen jarigbe yesterday....even though diri is in power,I am not convinced of his commitment to atiku.if not for the court,will he be gov? Look at how he was humiliated during the guber and I heard he has issues with Dickson.he is up against timipre,degi and Lyon who can be violent..igbinedion has never been grassrooted,you know this.what is his influence? Obaseki zone Bini south is dominated obidients.he can try in edo central.alaibe is popular but just like goodluck,is not forceful.
Apc has forceful,violent,brutal politicians who csn get votes forcefully.see omo agege,oshiomhole,abbe,amechi,sylva,degi,akpabio,ayade,egbona...wike is the best pdp has.the only person remaining is Dickson,may be okowa, maybe sheriff, not people that hardly go to their units and stay at the cities issuing press statement

Aiel123:
Chai!!
Who will give Tinubu 20% in Enugu?
Well done oo

Tinubu will not get up to 10% in any SS or SE state.

At the same time, Obi will get more than 25% in every SW state

OfoIgbo:
Tinubu will not get up to 10% in any SS or SE state.

At the same time, Obi will get more than 25% in every SW state

The few Yoruba that supported Obi initially has all left Obidients with their toxicity, the only people that would vote Obi in SW are the Igbo living there.

It is a fallacy to think Yoruba Christians will place religion above ethnicity and competency. There is no motivation for SW people to vote Obi, so forget your imaginary 25% in SW

garfield1:
Sen nnamani is the incumbent senator rep Enugu east.he is very popular.Sullivan chime is well loved in Enugu,hon odoh has influence in Enugu not.on the other hand,ugwuanyi and co are with wike,you know what that means.total votes in Enugu was 400k,Buhari had 50,000 which is over 11%.no northerner has ever polled more votes down south than a southerner and no southerner has polled up north....
Politics and elections down south are influenced strongmen,these men delivered for buhari and with pdp weaker,they won't have issues replicating..Dickson controls his zone so he can influence votes.ibori can influence votes same as okowa,secondus,onofiok,I dont know the ekpenyong and bassey you mean.I hope your not talking about umo eno..
Imoke has lost power in his abi LGA.the only person with him is hon eko atu moreover the state pdp is in wike hand.efiok Cobham is an office politician,he has never been relevant electorally.I believe you saw the post about sen jarigbe yesterday....even though diri is in power,I am not convinced of his commitment to atiku.if not for the court,will he be gov? Look at how he was humiliated during the guber and I heard he has issues with Dickson.he is up against timipre,degi and Lyon who can be violent..igbinedion has never been grassrooted,you know this.what is his influence? Obaseki zone Bini south is dominated obidients.he can try in edo central.alaibe is popular but just like goodluck,is not forceful.
Apc has forceful,violent,brutal politicians who csn get votes forcefully.see omo agege,oshiomhole,abbe,amechi,sylva,degi,akpabio,ayade,egbona...wike is the best pdp has.the only person remaining is Dickson,may be okowa, maybe sheriff, not people that hardly go to their units and stay at the cities issuing press statement

On what basis will they campaign let alone deliver for ABAT?
Buhari's gross ineptitude?
M/M ?
APC's overall failure to revamp Nigeria economy?
Ravaging killer herdsmen?
Bvas machine?(Not present in 2019)
You talk about APC politicians being forceful but what you should know is that no one has monopoly of violence.
SS has a tangible reason to support PDP.( VP slot)
Sen Jarigbe photos with Sen Shettima was taken at a public function. It's doesn't correlate with supporting APC
With the way CRS politics is playing out,The senator knows to well that any attempt to play anti party, PDP will be the biggest loser( Himself inclusive)
Besides the internet is rife with pictures of opposing politicians taking selfies together.
Enugu, Ugwuanyi is playing safe same as Ikpeazu.
You see he rallied support for Atiku at SE zonal meeting in Enugu.

Aiel123:
On what basis will they campaign let alone deliver for ABAT?
Buhari's gross ineptitude?
M/M ?
APC's overall failure to revamp Nigeria economy?
Ravaging killer herdsmen?
Bvas machine?(Not present in 2019)
You talk about APC politicians being forceful but what you should know is that no one has monopoly of violence.
SS has a tangible reason to support PDP.( VP slot)
Sen Jarigbe photos with Sen Shettima was taken at a public function. It's doesn't correlate with supporting APC
With the way CRS politics is playing out,The senator knows to well that any attempt to play anti party, PDP will be the biggest loser( Himself inclusive)
Besides the internet is rife with pictures of opposing politicians taking selfies together.
Enugu, Ugwuanyi is playing safe same as Ikpeazu.
You see he rallied support for Atiku at SE zonal meeting in Enugu.

With what basis did those ss politicians campaign for buhari in 2019? You dont seem to understand me.those ones that are popular will always attract votes for tinubu.they are jot depending on campaign but what they will do on election day,how they push and hustle for votes.no one has monopoly of violence but in order to tackle pdp,you need to push.on election day,agege and sheriff and co will push for votes for their candidates.uroboland which usually goes to pdp will be divided.same thing in order States.tinubu picks votes,pdp loses votes.
Jarigbe constituency is very dicey esp with him facing a ruthless ayade.if playing anti party can help,why not? Mbube people of ogoja have decided to vote jari for senate and Prince for gov in order to gain both sides...
Okowa doesn't wield much influence outside delta like wike.many don't know him.you know ss is very divided ethnically unlike se and sw.many people dont want a northerner to succeed buhari.everyday,a lot of people be it neutrals or pdp fans join obi...
Rallying support for atiku at a meeting means nothing.is he with him at heart?

garfield1:
With what basis did those ss politicians campaign for buhari in 2019? You dont seem to understand me.those ones that are popular will always attract votes for tinubu.they are jot depending on campaign but what they will do on election day,how they push and hustle for votes.no one has monopoly of violence but in order to tackle pdp,you need to push.on election day,agege and sheriff and co will push for votes for their candidates.uroboland which usually goes to pdp will be divided.same thing in order States.tinubu picks votes,pdp loses votes.
Jarigbe constituency is very dicey esp with him facing a ruthless ayade.if playing anti party can help,why not? Mbube people of ogoja have decided to vote jari for senate and Prince for gov in order to gain both sides...
Okowa doesn't wield much influence outside delta like wike.many don't know him.you know ss is very divided ethnically unlike se and sw.many people dont want a northerner to succeed buhari.everyday,a lot of people be it neutrals or pdp fans join obi...
Rallying support for atiku at a meeting means nothing.is he with him at heart?

Let's call it a day Garfield.
February isn't far again.
2023 will settle all our permutations.

Ttalk:
The few Yoruba that supported Obi initially has all left Obidients with their toxicity, the only people that would vote Obi in SW are the Igbo living there.

It is a fallacy to think Yoruba Christians will place religion above ethnicity and competency. There is no motivation for SW people to vote Obi, so forget your imaginary 25% in SW

Yoruba Christians will massively vote for Obi for the following reasons.
1. Obi will restructure Nigeria
2. Obi is more likely to take the herdsmen menace morre seriously, than Tinubu who will be pandering to his northern masters
3. With Obi, Yoruba christians are guaranteed of a Christian ticket holder, and are more likely to get the listening ear of a Christian president, than Tinub and his Boko-Haram vp.
4. Obi wil run the Nigerian economy better than Tinubu
5. Over the past few days, it has been revealed that Obi was a better governor than both Tinubu and Fashola, judging by globally-accepted indicators, put together by a neutral body.
6. Another related point is that there are more SS and SE people residing in the SW, than SW people residing in both the SE and SS. Their votes will favour Obi. When you combine their votes with the SW Christian votes in the SW, I expect Obi to easily scale the 25% threshold of votes share, in the SW

Aiel123:
Let's call it a day Garfield.
February isn't far again.
2023 will settle all our permutations.

Charles aniagwu is on AIT.am watching from govt house

OfoIgbo:
Yoruba Christians will massively vote for Obi for the following reasons.
1. Obi will restructure Nigeria
2. Obi is more likely to take the herdsmen menace morre seriously, than Tinubu who will be pandering to his northern masters
3. With Obi, Yoruba christians are guaranteed of a Christian ticket holder, and are more likely to get the listening ear of a Christian president, than Tinub and his Boko-Haram vp.
4. Obi wil run the Nigerian economy better than Tinubu
5. Over the past few days, it has been revealed that Obi was a better governor than both Tinubu and Fashola, judging by globally-accepted indicators, put together by a neutral body.
6. Another related point is that there are more SS and SE people residing in the SW than SW people residing in both the SE and SS. Their votes will favor Obi. When you combine their votes with the SW Christian votes in the SW, I expect Obi to easily scale the 25% threshold of votes share, in the SW

It is an insult to think Yoruba people reason childishly the way you people reason otherwise you won't even contemplate the thought of Yoruba leaving a performer for a failure like Obi.

1. Obi will restructure but he failed to demonstrate it as a governor who finds it difficult to conduct local government elections for 7years. Compared with Tinubu who demonstrated the capacity by expanding the existing local government from 20 to 57 as a governor from the opposition party.

Do you think Yoruba people are daft like the way Obidients reason?

2. Obi that could not solve common communal clashes under his nose at Nkwelke Nsunaka and the neighboring villages for 8 years of his rule is the one that would fight herdsmen issues. Abeg talk another thing

3. Yoruba don't give a Bleep about religion, Peter Obi intolerant to his neighboring Igbo Christians stated who were barred from Anambra civil service work would not do better outside the chores of Anambra

4. The economy he ran for 8 years ended with 40% of Anambrans in Lagos. Even Obi himself preferred to live in Lagos than Anambra. His recent rally in 5 different locations is an indication of who would attract investors into the country.

5. There are practicable indices that show that.

Take a look at this

Having lived in Lagos and Anambra I would tell you without mincing words that Obi's performance is below average and cannot match the performance of Akpabio of Akwa Ibom nor Amaechi of Rivers State and I will sum my point up with the recent flood that is ravaging Anambra.

Lagos State as a coastal city is vulnerable to flooding and when you factor population and topography of the two states, Lagos is expected to experience higher flooding than Anambra state but what we have on the ground shows Anambra experiencing more flooding than Lagos.

This is simply the result of leadership performance in the two states. While Lagos state took it up to construct huge drainage all through the city, town, and villages in every Local government in the state, the Anambra government could not conceive such an idea even when flooding has become a reoccurrence disaster in Anambra.

garfield1:
Charles aniagwu is on AIT.am watching from govt house

Is he still on?