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Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) - Politics (3) - Nairaland

Nairaland ForumNairaland GeneralPoliticsPrediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) (9262 Views)

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Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Osamabinladenik(op): 7:51pm On Nov 13, 2022
kcnwaigbo:
No allow him to continue shouting APC and PDP as If the average almajiri is bothered about that.Imagine him saying Atiku a Fulani man is not popular in the NW
Very Funny guy.
He knows that if Tinubu no win NW and NE laidis, it's over.
Of course, Tinubu will lose
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by 3ple9iner: 7:52pm On Nov 13, 2022
Osamabinladenik:
Nope, BVAS is different from card reader in the sense that it first reads your card then scans your finger print. If your finger print doesn't tally, you are out even if your card is read.

Hope you get it?
And results will be readmitted live from polling Units and not after collation. Stop rigging has been minimized

So give us an analysis from non-rigging perspective
You should note that after the results have been counted in a pooling unit, it is then inputed in the BVAS by a human.
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Kagd10: 7:52pm On Nov 13, 2022
garfield1:
Atiku can only win narrowly.votes will be divided.that said,pdp is nonexistent in borno and yobe.atiku won't see 25% here.apc is very strong in taraba and Adamawa and will get more than 25% there...tinubu will edge him out in gombe while atiku takes bauchi narrowly
In nw,atiku is not popular.even buhari didnt get 70% in sokoto,how will atiku get that? Atiku will win sokoto narrowly,lose massive in zamfara.
I am ok with se.ss is faulty.obi is nonexistent in bayelsa,its bw apc and pdp.apc will beat pdp in edo and rivers.obi can't win akwa ibom.if he wins cross river,it will be narrow with apc behind.apc will beat pdp in benue
Except Tinubu changes his Muslim Muslim ticket, he won't see anything in Taraba, Plateau, Fct and even Benue. And then South South.
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Osamabinladenik(op): 7:54pm On Nov 13, 2022
3ple9iner:
You should note that after the results have been counted in a pooling unit, it is then inputed in the BVAS by a human.
it's the reason why we won't leave the polling units until it has been transmitted and seen on INEC portals to be the same and party members will be there.
That's the idea Labour party will share
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by tiger28: 7:56pm On Nov 13, 2022
PDP or APC, It's going to be a WIN WIN for Northerners and Southwesterners........you know whyhuh

Because they have almost equal numbers in PDP and APC.

The Biggest losers will be those that put ALL their eggs in ONE Baskets and worse still, because they dont share ethnic or religious affinity with the North........it is tantamount to Suicide!

I am a Northerner and I know this well!
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by 3ple9iner: 7:57pm On Nov 13, 2022
Osamabinladenik:
Obi is more competent that Tinubu. You can argue that if you want.

Obi is penetrating Southwest faster than Tinubu is penetrating southeast. This is because he's more competent than Tinubu. Forgot all the packaging APC is trying to package Tinubu
I am not a Tinubu fan but I would argue it out with you that Obi isn't Competent as Tinubu.
And by the way my reply wasn't on whether Obi is competent or not but how a region is tagged Tribalist for give a candidate 60% of its vote and another region who has only voted for one party since 1999 is tagged nationalist for giving a candidate 70% of its vote for an upcoming candidate.
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Owologbo(m): 8:00pm On Nov 13, 2022
garfield1:
The way you reason is funny.who told you states will vote along party lines? If Edo and rivers are pdp,it means atiku will win na...
People dont care much about Muslim Muslim.buhari got 25% in rivers,tinubu will get more.asari dokubo will deliver kalabari while magnus Abe will deliver ogoni
lol. Is like you are taking SS as people without their own mind. Asari will do what?
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by aninibinladen: 8:00pm On Nov 13, 2022
garfield1:
Atiku can only win narrowly.votes will be divided.that said,pdp is nonexistent in borno and yobe.atiku won't see 25% here.apc is very strong in taraba and Adamawa and will get more than 25% there...tinubu will edge him out in gombe while atiku takes bauchi narrowly
In nw,atiku is not popular.even buhari didnt get 70% in sokoto,how will atiku get that? Atiku will win sokoto narrowly,lose massive in zamfara.
I am ok with se.ss is faulty.obi is nonexistent in bayelsa,its bw apc and pdp.apc will beat pdp in edo and rivers.obi can't win akwa ibom.if he wins cross river,it will be narrow with apc behind.apc will beat pdp in benue
I don't know whether to laugh at you or cry for you, have you been to those places lately or you just write on paper estimation?

PDP non existent in Borno and Yobe? While APC will win Borno by as high as 60% of votes cast, expect PDP to get atleast 28% there. For Yobe, it's a different ball game, APC will edge both PDP and NNPP with the slightest of margins.

Tinubu will edge Atiku in Gombe? Are you high? While the Governorship contest will be a close call, PDP will win Gombe by as high as 50% of votes cast in the Presidential election with NNPP giving APC a run for second place.

Atiku will win Sokoto convincingly however Zamfara will be a tight contest.

APC will win Benue? How is that magic going to happen? Have you considered the quality of candidates APC is parading for senate and reps in Benue which will hold on the same date as the Presidential? Alia's candidature has given APC a boost in Benue, unfortunately his election will hold two weeks after. Forget SM, Tinubu is not sellable in Benue not with his M/M ticket coupled with the poor senate and reps candidates on the sheet in Benue.

APC to come second in Cross Rivers (Presidential)? You really got jokes.
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Osamabinladenik(op):
3ple9iner:
I am not a Tinubu fan but I would argue it out with you that Obi isn't Competent as Tinubu.
And by the way my reply wasn't on whether Obi is competent or not but how a region is tagged Tribalist for give a candidate 60% of its vote and another region who has only voted for one party since 1999 is tagged nationalist for giving a candidate 70% of its vote for an upcoming candidate.
Obi is more competent than Tinubu in all ramifications.

I am a citizen of Lagos from Oponu, Isheri in Alimosho and I was born and bred in Lagos. I don't like sentiments.
Tinubu is a godfather and nepotist, who didn't achieve much in Lagos except creating LCDAs to install touts as chairmen that will work for him as foot soldiers. We can talk little about what Tinubu actually used Lagos revenue to do in terms of infrastructure visavis what Peter Obi did in Anambra state. I know Lagos State very well.
You cannot point to any massive project today in Lagos that Tinubu did with Lagos State money.

On that basis, many yorubas will not vote him
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Owologbo(m): 8:05pm On Nov 13, 2022
tiger28:
PDP or APC, It's going to be a WIN WIN for Northerners and Southwesterners........you know whyhuh

Because they have almost equal numbers in PDP and APC.

The Biggest losers will be those that put ALL their eggs in ONE Baskets and worse still, because they dont share ethnic or religious affinity with the North........it is tantamount to Suicide!

I am a Northerner and I know this well!
Just like buhari is favouring you now?
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by kcnwaigbo: 8:06pm On Nov 13, 2022
3ple9iner:
You should note that after the results have been counted in a pooling unit, it is then inputed in the BVAS by a human.
grin grin you are dreaming!! The BVAS automatically records all accredited voters.Nothing there is manual
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by aninibinladen: 8:09pm On Nov 13, 2022
garfield1:
Atiku can only win narrowly.votes will be divided.that said,pdp is nonexistent in borno and yobe.atiku won't see 25% here.apc is very strong in taraba and Adamawa and will get more than 25% there...tinubu will edge him out in gombe while atiku takes bauchi narrowly
In nw,atiku is not popular.even buhari didnt get 70% in sokoto,how will atiku get that? Atiku will win sokoto narrowly,lose massive in zamfara.
I am ok with se.ss is faulty.obi is nonexistent in bayelsa,its bw apc and pdp.apc will beat pdp in edo and rivers.obi can't win akwa ibom.if he wins cross river,it will be narrow with apc behind.apc will beat pdp in benue
APC is strong in Adamawa? How strong? With Binani refusing to campaign for Tinubu? Expect Adamawa to be one of the very few states to bring out a landslide margin in the 2023 election. As for Taraba, APC does not exist there.
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by obaaderemi: 8:14pm On Nov 13, 2022
Lawalatm:
realistic perspective but like you know...nigerian youths are quietly but patiently waiting for that election day...decisions have been made and nothing will make it drift because no one can compare apple with oranges grin grin grin grin grin grin
Most of those youths shouting up and down do not even know what a PVC looks like.
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by buhariguy(m): 8:14pm On Nov 13, 2022
Landowner101:
Those guys you mentioned here now are codedly working for Peter Obi, come next year Tinubu won't smell second.
none of them can work for obi

Obi is too small for ameachi and wike to work for.
Abe is a right hand man of tinubu
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Osamabinladenik(op): 8:17pm On Nov 13, 2022
buhariguy:
none of them can work for obi

Obi is too small for ameachi and wike to work for.
Abe is a right hand man of tinubu
ID APC gets 10% in Rivers, come back to this post and call me a bastard.

Tinubu is practically unsellable in the south except Southwest on tribal basis
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by buhariguy(m): 8:19pm On Nov 13, 2022
Kagd10:
Except Tinubu changes his Muslim Muslim ticket, he won't see anything in Taraba, Plateau, Fct and even Benue. And then South South.
sorry to disappoint you,
Tinubu has already won 21 state.
Nothing the devil can do about it.
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Osamabinladenik(op): 8:19pm On Nov 13, 2022
buhariguy:
sorry to disappoint you,
Tinubu has already won 21 state.
Nothing the devil can do about it.
lol grin
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Kagd10: 8:26pm On Nov 13, 2022
buhariguy:
sorry to disappoint you,
Tinubu has already won 21 state.
Nothing the devil can do about it.
Utopia. I can only dwell on reality here.

Kwankwaso said something that the North had agreed that the it should remain in the North. That's why they're saying rubbish everyday about Tinubu in their Mosques. The Hausa and Fulani will end up betraying Tinubu.

Also the double Muslim Muslim ticket will cause a big issue.
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Okoroawusa: 8:28pm On Nov 13, 2022
Sometimes I laugh at these your percentages.

80% of 300,000 in Anambra is it the same with 50% of 1.5 m in Borno?
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Osamabinladenik(op): 8:30pm On Nov 13, 2022
Okoroawusa:
Sometimes I laugh at these your percentages.

80% of 300,000 in Anambra is it the same with 50% of 1.5 m in Borno?
stat states otherwise.
And we know what will happen with this BVAS thing. If it works

Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by buhariguy(m): 8:31pm On Nov 13, 2022
Osamabinladenik:
ID APC gets 10% in Rivers, come back to this post and call me a bastard.

Tinubu is practically unsellable in the south except Southwest on tribal basis
who is more sellable BTW buhari and tinubu?
If buhari everyone hate in edo state can get 47%,
Tinubu is sure of 45% in edo.
Only wike SSA are more than 10% in river state.
Only Abe rally for tinubu is more than 10%.
You just believe so much in street noise.
With the street noise in 2015 and 2019, I never believe buhari could get 10% even as he contested against incumbent from south south.
You're talking as if I'm not from south south and as if apc don't have any member from any ward in South south.
That is how idiotic pigs always have mouth
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Osamabinladenik(op): 8:33pm On Nov 13, 2022
buhariguy:
who is more sellable BTW buhari and tinubu?
If buhari everyone hate in edo state can get 47%,
Tinubu is sure of 45% in edo.
Only wike SSA are more than 10% in river state.
Only Abe rally for tinubu is more than 10%.
You just believe so much in street noise.
With the street noise in 2015 and 2019, I never believe buhari could get 10% even as he contested against incumbent from south south.
You're talking as if I'm not from south south and as if apc don't have any member from any ward in South south.
That is how idiotic pigs always have mouth
Buhari is not Tinubu.

Buhari was more sellable in 2015 than TINUBU now. Tinubu don too brag and play tribal cards.

Nigerians don't wise and BVAS don show
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by escohido123: 8:34pm On Nov 13, 2022
Op ur prediction is watery.
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Landowner101(m): 8:36pm On Nov 13, 2022
buhariguy:
none of them can work for obi

Obi is too small for ameachi and wike to work for.
Abe is a right hand man of tinubu
Obi is so small that Obasanjo, Afenifere is endorsing him, while your incompetent tinubu with his muslim muslim ticket is the one that his so Big that wike and amaechi will work for, funny people everywhere.
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Okoroawusa: 8:37pm On Nov 13, 2022
Osamabinladenik:
stat states otherwise.
And we know what will happen with this BVAS thing. If it works
Your stat your confirmed what I said. It's all a game of NUMBERS!
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by garfield1: 8:38pm On Nov 13, 2022
aninibinladen:
APC is strong in Adamawa? How strong? With Binani refusing to campaign for Tinubu? Expect Adamawa to be one of the very few states to bring out a landslide margin in the 2023 election. As for Taraba, APC does not exist there.
How can you say binani is not campaigning for tinubu when her victory depends on tinubu winning? Apc have bigwigs like nyarkos,ribadu,ex gov bindow,boss gida,hon namdas,sen bent...the Christians of numan will divide votes.

Apc is very strong here esp with bwacha and hon shiddi joining apc and sen ikenya dumping pdp
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Osamabinladenik(op): 8:38pm On Nov 13, 2022
Okoroawusa:
Your stat your confirmed what I said. It's all a game of NUMBERS!
Nope, it refutes your Anambra and borno comparison.
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Okoroawusa: 8:40pm On Nov 13, 2022
Osamabinladenik:
Nope, it refutes your Anambra and borno comparison.
That was just an example
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by buhariguy(m): 8:41pm On Nov 13, 2022
Kagd10:
Utopia. I can only dwell on reality here.

Kwankwaso said something that the North had agreed that the it should remain in the North. That's why they're saying rubbish everyday about Tinubu in their Mosques. The Hausa and Fulani will end up betraying Tinubu.

Also the double Muslim Muslim ticket will cause a big issue.
NO
Kwakwaso is not in the race, and he can't get 2% in any state in North west except in kano.
They all know is not the turn of North West, and north west agreed to reward tinubu back.
North west and south west is already sure for tinubu.
Plus 3 state each from north East and North central. that is 19 state sure for tinubu
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Osamabinladenik(op): 8:42pm On Nov 13, 2022
Okoroawusa:
That was just an example
Thank God your borno and others will be splitter between NNPP, APC and PDP.
It's important that Obi locks southsouth and southeast
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by garfield1: 8:43pm On Nov 13, 2022
aninibinladen:
I don't know whether to laugh at you or cry for you, have you been to those places lately or you just write on paper estimation?

PDP non existent in Borno and Yobe? While APC will win Borno by as high as 60% of votes cast, expect PDP to get atleast 28% there. For Yobe, it's a different ball game, APC will edge both PDP and NNPP with the slightest of margins.

Tinubu will edge Atiku in Gombe? Are you high? While the Governorship contest will be a close call, PDP will win Gombe by as high as 50% of votes cast in the Presidential election with NNPP giving APC a run for second place.

Atiku will win Sokoto convincingly however Zamfara will be a tight contest.

APC will win Benue? How is that magic going to happen? Have you considered the quality of candidates APC is parading for senate and reps in Benue which will hold on the same date as the Presidential? Alia's candidature has given APC a boost in Benue, unfortunately his election will hold two weeks after. Forget SM, Tinubu is not sellable in Benue not with his M/M ticket coupled with the poor senate and reps candidates on the sheet in Benue.

APC to come second in Cross Rivers (Presidential)? You really got jokes.
In benue,the apc senatorial candidates udende,zam and Dan onjeh are very popular.gov ortom has abandoned atiku,no one is campaigning for atiku.david mark daughter is in apc...
As for,crs it is my state.the pdp here is in the hands of wike.atiku is on his own...
In gombe with sen goje and gov yahaya I'm apc,tinubu will edge atiku as the people of southern gombe are divided
Re: Prediction Of Election By States (if Things Don't Change) by Kagd10: 8:43pm On Nov 13, 2022
buhariguy:
NO
Kwakwaso is not in the race, and he can't get 2% in any state in North west except in kano.
They all know is not the turn of North West, and north west agreed to reward tinubu back.
North west and south west is already sure for tinubu.
Plus 3 state each from north East and North central. that is 19 state sure for tinubu
Kwankwaso will step down for Atiku. He's been praising and defending him while lambasting Tinubu. The North have asked him to step down too. Tinubu should change his Muslim Muslim ticket
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