₦airaland Forum

IPOB will win NC for Obi, even Obi himself will give you dirty slap for this senseless prediction

I will give it to the Yorubas that they are the region that will vote with less tribal sentiments. Problem with Igbo votes will be Catholics and Anglicans sentiments. Many Igbo Anglicans will vote Atiku because his VP Okowa is an Anglican. South South will vote their own in good numbers, their own being Okowa. Northerners will mostly vote their own. Truth is Atiku is the man to beat in this election but Peter Obi has good chance too. My vote is for Peter Obi regardless.

If you factor in the population of igbos, Edos , other Niger Delta States in the north, nysc members, students then Peter Obi will win first round ballot

garfield1:
Biased analysis made in the heat of restlessness.tinubu will get nothing less than 60% in sw,obi will fail woefully outside lagos.obi can't win ss,it will be evenly divided.
Nc is between tinubu and obi.tinubu is sure of kwara and kogi,obi has benue.where does atiku have?
Nw will be tight.atiku is sure of just sokoto.it will be divided. Same in ne..

Tinubu will get 25% in ebonyi and imo

NC is for Tinubu and Atiku, forget Obi can't win Abuja

Ttalk:
NC is for Tinubu and Atiku, forget Obi can't win Abuja

He will divide pdp votes in fct and nasarawa

kettykin:
If you factor in the population of igbos, Edos , other Niger Delta States in the north, nysc members, students then Peter Obi will win first round ballot

Not all vote in the north or will vote obi

Ipob miscreants at it again!.
If Obituary has 15 percent of the total votes then Jesus will come.
Even in SE he can't have more than 60 percent.

Eriokanmi:
You tried but Obi will win at least, one state in the S/W. I live here so I know. Tinubu isn't so popular in the SW as you think. His cousin and incumbent governor cum former manager of his company lost to the pdp in his home state despite wasting billions of lagos money on voters, hope you know.

People would rather vote personality and not party in the SW next year. The result of elections next year will be so amazing. Atiku cannot win kaduna. Datti-Baba Ahmed is a fulani man and more popular amongst the learned and youths. He's from the northern part of kaduna where he's also well accepted and popular. Southern kaduna is for obi.

pray tell me which state in South West do you think Obi will win?
Tinubu will win at worse 5 state in South west,Lagos,Ogun,Osun,Oyo and Ekiti.Atiku will win Ondo.him tu lie will struggle to have 15% vote caste in South West,waziri will win at worse 4 state in North West and 4 state in North east,4 state in North Central and 3 state in South South,3 state in South East.

beelon1020:
OP.. congratulations on your gibberish statistics, just like obi!..
let me burst your brain... if Obi win one state na rigging...
the east is not even sure of election because of the unrest in the region,.. and that’s obi strongholds... you guys are only shouting Kristen votes for obi... but have you people forgot that is not every Kristen that will vote for obi?
And you people as totally underestimated the Muslim’s,.. don’t forget, their population is far more than the christians in Nigeria,.. Muslim’s are sleeping giant in this election,..
Honestly the Muslim Muslim Tinubu ticket is not a miss...
I and my crew are voting for competent..
February is almost here,... if obi win one state,.. come here and quote me!

obi can not win any state In Nigeria, the slightest votes that will come from south east will be largely for Tinubu and Atiku, because of structure, I give it to Atiku because of PDP popularity in east

Workch:
This is how I expect the figures to pan out,
Considering ethnicity, religious sentiments and competence of candidates. This prediction is made with hope that BVAS will be used effectively to forestall overvoting.

1. Southeast: Peter obi will win here in a landslide for ethnicity, religious and competence reasons.
Peter Obi 80%
Others 20%

2. Southsouth: Peter obi will win southsouth but will not be as much as he will win in southeast for the fact that he’s the most popular candidate in the south.

Peter obi: 55%
Atiku: 25%
Others: 20%

3. Southwest: Tinubu will win southwest for ethnic reasons but his competence and antecedents may deter him from winning big . The Muslim-Muslim ticket may also affect his ability to get a big margin.

Tinubu: 45%
Peter Obi: 30%
Atiku : 15%
Others: 10%

4. Northcentral: This region is between ATiku and Peter obi. Peter obi will get plenty votes in Abuja because people here are enlightened, enlightened people almost always want Peter Obi. He will also most likely win Benue,
Plateau and get plenty votes in Nasarawa because of religion. ATiku will most likely get votes from Fulani and Hausa communities in Northcentral. Tinubu will win kwara and get plenty votes in Niger state.

Peter obi: 40%
Atiku: 30%
Tinubu: 20%
Kwankwanso: 10%

5. Northwest: This is predominantly a Fulani and Hausa speaking region and whether or not we like it, they will vote massively for their brothers. Kwankwanso will do very well in Kano and might even win there. ATiku will win this region while APC structure will help Tinubu steal some votes but it won’t be able to outweigh tribal sentiments.

Atiku: 50%
Tinubu: 25%
Kwankwanso: 20%
Others: 5%

6. Northeast: Same as northwest. Everything that happened in northwest will happen here expect from Borno state.

Atiku : 50%
Tinubu: 30%
Kwankwanso: 15%
Others: 5%


Peter Obi will have more numbers, ATiku will get more spread, albeit none will be able to get 25% in 24 states. Hence, Peter obi and Atiku wil battle in a rerun.

Multiply by number of number of likely voters assuming 60% turn out.

With Buhari determined to prevent rigging, it looks like the most likely outcome is an Atiku v Obi run off. The SW will become the king makers

garfield1:
Se; lp 65% pdp 18% apc 17%
Ss: lp 35% pdp 40% apc 25%
Sw: lp 20% pdp 20% apc 60%
Nc : lp 35% pdp 25% apc 35% others 5%
Nw: lp 5% pdp 40% apc 40% others 15%
Ne: lp 10% pdp 40% apc 40% others 10%

Noted Garfield1. We are 2 months away

Tsolutionjoseph:
obi can not win any state In Nigeria, the slightest votes that will come from south east will be largely for Tinubu and Atiku, because of structure, I give it to Atiku because of PDP popularity in east

God bless your wisdom!

Waterysperm:
Next time type without crying. Ode!!!

Mr watery sperm, have you pay your 1k annual fee?... last time I checked, you still struggle to do that too...

Workch:
This is how I expect the figures to pan out,
Considering ethnicity, religious sentiments and competence of candidates. This prediction is made with hope that BVAS will be used effectively to forestall overvoting.

1. Southeast: Peter obi will win here in a landslide for ethnicity, religious and competence reasons.
Peter Obi 80%
Others 20%

2. Southsouth: Peter obi will win southsouth but will not be as much as he will win in southeast for the fact that he’s the most popular candidate in the south.

Peter obi: 55%
Atiku: 25%
Others: 20%

3. Southwest: Tinubu will win southwest for ethnic reasons but his competence and antecedents may deter him from winning big . The Muslim-Muslim ticket may also affect his ability to get a big margin.

Tinubu: 45%
Peter Obi: 30%
Atiku : 15%
Others: 10%

4. Northcentral: This region is between ATiku and Peter obi. Peter obi will get plenty votes in Abuja because people here are enlightened, enlightened people almost always want Peter Obi. He will also most likely win Benue,
Plateau and get plenty votes in Nasarawa because of religion. ATiku will most likely get votes from Fulani and Hausa communities in Northcentral. Tinubu will win kwara and get plenty votes in Niger state.

Peter obi: 40%
Atiku: 30%
Tinubu: 20%
Kwankwanso: 10%

5. Northwest: This is predominantly a Fulani and Hausa speaking region and whether or not we like it, they will vote massively for their brothers. Kwankwanso will do very well in Kano and might even win there. ATiku will win this region while APC structure will help Tinubu steal some votes but it won’t be able to outweigh tribal sentiments.

Atiku: 50%
Tinubu: 25%
Kwankwanso: 20%
Others: 5%

6. Northeast: Same as northwest. Everything that happened in northwest will happen here expect from Borno state.

Atiku : 50%
Tinubu: 30%
Kwankwanso: 15%
Others: 5%


Peter Obi will have more numbers, ATiku will get more spread, albeit none will be able to get 25% in 24 states. Hence, Peter obi and Atiku wil battle in a rerun.

Your analysis shows that you are mumu of the century.

Nonexisting1:
I will give it to the Yorubas that they are the region that will vote with less tribal sentiments. Problem with Igbo votes will be Catholics and Anglicans sentiments. Many Igbo Anglicans will vote Atiku because his VP Okowa is an Anglican. South South will vote their own in good numbers, their own being Okowa. Northerners will mostly vote their own. Truth is Atiku is the man to beat in this election but Peter Obi has good chance too. My vote is for Peter Obi regardless.

Okowa doesn’t have the political muscle, character and might to win votes for ATiku.
ATiku will even lose Delta state

basybasy:
Your analysis shows that you are mumu of the century.

Your senior father is a Mumu .
Useless boy without home training

OBIDIENTS gathered on a thread and started making themselves happy like they did for Atiku in 2019

Workch:
This is how I expect the figures to pan out,
Considering ethnicity, religious sentiments and competence of candidates. This prediction is made with hope that BVAS will be used effectively to forestall overvoting.

1. Southeast: Peter obi will win here in a landslide for ethnicity, religious and competence reasons.
Peter Obi 80%
Others 20%

2. Southsouth: Peter obi will win southsouth but will not be as much as he will win in southeast for the fact that he’s the most popular candidate in the south.

Peter obi: 55%
Atiku: 25%
Others: 20%

3. Southwest: Tinubu will win southwest for ethnic reasons but his competence and antecedents may deter him from winning big . The Muslim-Muslim ticket may also affect his ability to get a big margin.

Tinubu: 45%
Peter Obi: 30%
Atiku : 15%
Others: 10%

4. Northcentral: This region is between ATiku and Peter obi. Peter obi will get plenty votes in Abuja because people here are enlightened, enlightened people almost always want Peter Obi. He will also most likely win Benue,
Plateau and get plenty votes in Nasarawa because of religion. ATiku will most likely get votes from Fulani and Hausa communities in Northcentral. Tinubu will win kwara and get plenty votes in Niger state.

Peter obi: 40%
Atiku: 30%
Tinubu: 20%
Kwankwanso: 10%

5. Northwest: This is predominantly a Fulani and Hausa speaking region and whether or not we like it, they will vote massively for their brothers. Kwankwanso will do very well in Kano and might even win there. ATiku will win this region while APC structure will help Tinubu steal some votes but it won’t be able to outweigh tribal sentiments.

Atiku: 50%
Tinubu: 25%
Kwankwanso: 20%
Others: 5%

6. Northeast: Same as northwest. Everything that happened in northwest will happen here expect from Borno state.

Atiku : 50%
Tinubu: 30%
Kwankwanso: 15%
Others: 5%


Peter Obi will have more numbers, ATiku will get more spread, albeit none will be able to get 25% in 24 states. Hence, Peter obi and Atiku wil battle in a rerun.

Good morning, PbuY