₦airaland Forum

Obi highest votes will come from kaduna,southern kaduna senatorial zone.he will get 200k here.he will also get from christian part of lere(saminaka),chikun,kajuru and parts of kad south LGA..
He can get 50k from zuru emirate dominated by Christians in kebbi.he won't see up to 5000 in sokoto,katsina,kebbi,jigawa.he can get up to 50000 from igbos in kano and from sabon gari.

In ne,he won't get up to 1000 in yobe but will get few votes in Christian parts of southern borno like chibok,kwaya kusar.he won't get anything from christian area of bauchi since dogara is stimulated.he can get up to 50,000 in Christian areas of gombe like billiri,balanga,kaltungo,shongom.he will get up to 100,099 from taraba and Adamawa Christians...


Cc mynd44
Lalasticlala
Fergie001
Penguin2
Vicdom
Kyase
Aiel
Majole
Noethnicity
Nadheer
Legendhero

Obi won't get 10000 votes even in South east

I don't see him getting a total of 100k votes

For where? We shall not labour in vain

BigSarah:
Obi won't get 10000 votes even in South east

I don't see him getting a total of 100k votes

Why

I was explaining to one of my friends who is obidient that most people don't really understand the enormity of securing the 25%.

25% means quarter of the vote cast which implies that out of 1m votes you're expected to secure 250,000 votes. This will be a difficult mountain to climb for Obi.

The friend later saw the mountain and told me that it'll be practically impossible for Obi to pull through in any of the NW and NE states.

Tinubu had lost the election and these idiots above are still talking.

Some of you demented Yoruba Muslims are fantastically stupid that you lack ordinary sense.

Tinubu the drug addict will never be President if Nigeria.

Tinubu who is the sponsor of a secessionist movement Yoruba nation will not be President of Nigeria.

Tinubu is a Yoruba candidate and Afenifere has rejected him

Tinubu will not get up to 1m votes in Lagos forgot all these urchins above talking out of hunger.



Peter Obi is the next President of Nigeria by the grace of God.

We trust Peter Obi.

You quoting mods to take this your ogogoro analysis to FP?

Go back to your ward at neuro-phsyciatric hospital yaba immediately.

garfield1:
Obi highest votes will come from kaduna,southern kaduna senatorial zone.he will get 200k here.he will also get from christian part of lere(saminaka),chikun,kajuru and parts of kad south LGA..
He can get 50k from zuru emirate dominated by Christians in kebbi.he won't see up to 5000 in sokoto,katsina,kebbi,jigawa.he can get up to 50000 from igbos in kano and from sabon gari.

In ne,he won't get up to 1000 in yobe but will get few votes in Christian parts of southern borno like chibok,kwaya kusar.he won't get anything from christian area of bauchi since dogara is stimulated.he can get up to 50,000 in Christian areas of gombe like billiri,balanga,kaltungo,shongom.he will get up to 100,099 from taraba and Adamawa Christians...


Cc mynd44
Lalasticlala
Fergie001
Penguin2
Vicdom
Kyase
Aiel
Majole
Noethnicity
Nadheer
Legendhero

Ahmed Datti from Kaduna that couldn't get to win a Federal house Rep ticket in same Kaduna

Funny enough all the votes he got before now came from ANPP and CPC under Buhari 2003-2007,

Kaduna South currently has a PDP Senator that won with 268,923 votes, APC came second with 181955 votes

He is contesting same day under LP against APC and PDP that both have a serving Senator , House of Rep Members who would all deliver their Zone

He can't get more than 50,000 votes in Kaduna, that's if ElRufai doesn't pay Obi back for what happened in Anambra

Kano, Zamfara, Jigawa, Katsina, Sokoto and all Core Muslims states are completely no go area for LP..

In Gombe he might get 10,000 , Yobe 5000, Bauchi 5000, Borno 5000, Taraba 10,000, Kogi 5000..

Total Votes for LP 100,000 in the North




.

BigSarah:
Obi won't get 10000 votes even in South east

I don't see him getting a total of 100k votes

Lols even yourself don't believe that. That's the reason you have been crying all around Nairaland......

BREAKING NEWS: Agitator Of Yoruba Nation Declare No Election In Southwest(video)

The oduduwa Congress has taken to the street of Nigeria to protest against the upcoming presidential election in 2023.
They stated clearly that no election will be held in Southwest region of the country.




https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=myOMGzwxNKM

This joker again...
Obi is ahead of Tinibu in the NE. Taraba is a stronghold for Obi, just like southern Bauchi.

Obi will be elected president next February. Tinubu should hope that Kwakwanso doesn't grab his 3rd position pushing him to a disgraced 4th.

The next election will be the most shocking in the history of Nigeria most people think most Northerners are not enlightened and don't think out of the box

Use percentage. You got no idea how turnout would look like

50,000 in southern Gombe? May get afew stray votes but 50,000 wetin Atiku wan take be that? 500,000?

Tinubu will win this election if be perform exceptionally well in his region, SW
Tinubu will have at least 48% of the total northern votes(19 states)
He will need 70% of SW votes to win the election

majole:
Use percentage. You got no idea how turnout would look like

In kad,obi will get 20%
Kano 10%
Katsina 2%
Kebbi 6%
Sokoto 3%
Jigawa 4%
Zamfara 1%

Borno/yobe 2%
Bauchi 3%
Gombe 6%
Taraba 25%
Adamawa 20%

Kyase:
Tinubu will win this election if be perform exceptionally well in his region, SW
Tinubu will have at least 48% of the total northern votes(19 states)
He will need 70% of SW votes to win the election

No,he doesnt need 70% in sw if he gets 48% in north.all he needs is 55%-60% in sw and 35% in north as far as atiku doesnt get more than 40%.

garfield1:
In kad,obi will get 20%
Kano 10%
Katsina 2%
Kebbi 6%
Sokoto 3%
Jigawa 4%
Zamfara 1%

Borno/yobe 2%
Bauchi 3%
Gombe 6%
Taraba 25%
Adamawa 20%

Prof Mahmud

You know all these and you still created this uselèss thread?

Are you okay at all?

garfield1:
No,he doesnt need 70% in sw if he gets 48% in north.all he needs is 55%-60% in sw and 35% in north as far as atiku doesnt get more than 40%.

We'll see

Kyase:
We'll see

Plus I see tinubu winning nc.it seems he will clear Niger state..
Suswan is now with atiku

garfield1:
Plus I see tinubu winning nc.it seems he will clear Niger state..
Suswan is now with atiku

Suswam has been with him since
Check my post
I projected Tinubu to win NC

Kyase:
Suswam has been with him since
Check my post
I projected Tinubu to win NC

Suswan was originally with udom.atiku will win zone A

garfield1:
Suswan was originally with udom.atiku will win zone A

before the primaries
Naaah
Atiku can only win kastina ala and logo

Kyase:
before the primaries
Naaah
Atiku can only win kastina ala and logo

Valndeikya,ukum and ushongo are difficult areas

Aufbauh:
I was explaining to one of my friends who is obidient that most people don't really understand the enormity of securing the 25%.

25% means quarter of the vote cast which implies that out of 1m votes you're expected to secure 250,000 votes. This will be a difficult mountain to climb for Obi.

The friend later saw the mountain and told me that it'll be practically impossible for Obi to pull through in any of the NW and NE states.

You and your friend have not been to the North.
Obi will easily get 25% or even win in Taraba, Kaduna and Adamawa.
Atiku could not win his Polling unit in Adamawa.
Additionally, he doesn't need to get 25% in all the states. He only needs 24 states.
SS/SE/SW = 17 states.
Nasarawa, Plateau, Taraba, Adamawa, Kaduna, Benue, FCT, and Kogi = 8 states.
There is also a possibility in Gombe and Kwara.

garfield1:
In kad,obi will get 20%
Kano 10%
Katsina 2%
Kebbi 6%
Sokoto 3%
Jigawa 4%
Zamfara 1%

Borno/yobe 2%
Bauchi 3%
Gombe 6%
Taraba 25%
Adamawa 20%

I laugh, Obi will get more than 25% in Kaduna. This election is not a two horse race.
Kwankwaso, Atiku and Tinubu will share Muslim votes while Obi will take the lion share of Christian votes. Obi might even win Kaduna.

He is also sure of 25% in Adamawa.

Polchiz:
You and your friend have not been to the North.
Obi will easily get 25% or even win in Taraba, Kaduna and Adamawa.
Atiku could not win his Polling unit in Adamawa.
Additionally, he doesn't need to get 25% in all the states. He only needs 24 states.
SS/SE/SW = 17 states.
Nasarawa, Plateau, Taraba, Adamawa, Kaduna, Benue, FCT, and Kogi = 8 states.
There is also a possibility in Gombe and Kwara.

Obi cannot get 25% in all sw states.he is only sure of lagos.
He won't get it in kogi.those Christians in adamawa and kaduna are unreliable.they may disappoint.he will get nothing in gombe and kwara

Polchiz:
You and your friend have not been to the North.
Obi will easily get 25% or even win in Taraba, Kaduna and Adamawa.
Atiku could not win his Polling unit in Adamawa.
Additionally, he doesn't need to get 25% in all the states. He only needs 24 states.
SS/SE/SW = 17 states.
Nasarawa, Plateau, Taraba, Adamawa, Kaduna, Benue, FCT, and Kogi = 8 states.
There is also a possibility in Gombe and Kwara.

We are actually Northerners ourselves so save your wrong perception and poor sense of judgment.

There's even possibility for Obi to get 25% in Kano, Zamfara, Niger and Borno.

Aufbauh:
We are actually Northerners ourselves so save your wrong perception and poor sense of judgment.

There's even possibility for Obi to get 25% in Kano, Zamfara, Niger and Borno.

Obviously, sentiment has beclouded your sense of judgement.

garfield1:
Obi cannot get 25% in all sw states.he is only sure of lagos.
He won't get it in kogi.those Christians in adamawa and kaduna are unreliable.they may disappoint.he will get nothing in gombe and kwara

Okay �

Polchiz:
Obviously, sentiment has beclouded your sense of judgement.

Says a political neophyte!
When is the last time you predicted any presidential candidate and he won? You guys are learners.