₦airaland Forum

Our Polls conducted between the 27th November – 9th December 2022 across the country puts Peter Obi, the Labour Party presidential candidate ahead. Our team were despatched to all 6 geopolitical zones including Abuja (FCT), the numbers we have are telling after the arduous journey riddled with risks of kidnapping, banditry, and the lack of decent infrastructural connectivity in most rural areas, sometimes, even in urban areas.

Our team went to 3 states in the North-East (Gombe, Adamawa and Taraba), 3 in the North-West (Kaduna, Kano and Katsina), 3 states in the North-Central (Plateau, Niger and Nasarawa), 3 states in the South-East (Oyo, Ondo and Lagos), 5 states in the South-South (Delta, Edo, Cross River, Rivers and Akwa Ibom), 3 states in the South-East (Anambra, Imo and Enugu) and Abuja (FCT).

We selected 3 states from each geopolitical zone for our polls, normally, not more than 10 respondents in each community or local government with the exemption of Lagos and Kano where the population numbers are quite high. Unlike other polls conducted, 95% of our respondents were recorded (all recordings are available), whilst 5% were voice recordings of polled individuals who didn’t wish to be captured on video recording. In our January polls, we will cover the remaining 3 states in each geopolitical zone that we did not poll during our December polls, whilst we intend to capture the entire country in one fell swoop in our penultimate polling in February.

Our polls are the most comprehensive and detailed ever carried out in Nigeria. Our results are peer reviewed for rigour and robustness, and our sampling ensured that any chance of inadvertent bias was eliminated. It is important to mention that none of our pollster is of the South-eastern extraction.

Our polls are broken into different layers, to give us deeper insight into the Nigerian demography. We use these layers to distinguish other variables in respondent’s inclination, thus gaining further insights into other narratives which we will be sharing on our website and social media handles including YouTube. Some of the categories we used were:

Religion
Gender
Age (Gen Z, Millennial, Gen X and Baby Boomer)
Ethnicity
Marital Status
Employment Status
Educational Background
Reason for voting
And finally, is there anything the other candidates can do to change your mind.
Using this format, we extrapolated great insight into the respondent’s inclination, root out certain biases and strengthened our conclusion when the data were interrogated. As they say, “data don’t lie, and unbiased data is the closest thing to the truth” what we have here is the latter.

We believe our polls and data we have on file are the best anyone has ever come close to; we can share these upon request to reputable organisations should further peer reviewing be required. There is no better way to understand what Nigerian think than approaching them physically at their homes, workplaces, social public gatherings and whilst going by their everyday lives, that’s exactly what we did. We have a policy of no persuasions, no interrogation, no bias but just a simplified conversation in a dialogue format, i.e., the respondents feed us their position, we simply take them in.

Our carefully selected categories will reveal if the respondents have inconsistencies, these we will share on our social media accounts, follow us for everything #2023Election. Our numbers across the country showed higher level of undecided, undisclosed and not voting voters respectively. It can be argued that for fear of some sort, many chose not to reveal who they intend to vote on camera given the fragility of our democracy, but the reality stays unchanged, there are still many minds to sway either way, the candidates should take this into account.

https://bantupage.com/peter-obi-dominates-in-face-to-face-poll/

Another one

This is a wonderful effort man. I hope the mods will take it home, let me see what people think.

Insecurity is one of the things that can make the actual elections to give the victory to the wrong people, so...

How can we ENSURE that INSECURITY won't turn 2023 into another failed electoral project To see how YOU can help to achieve this and also contribute your idea to the question, check this thread... https://www.nairaland.com/7492578/how-ensure-insecurity-wont-turn#119355393



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