₦airaland Forum

A smart one. Intelligent.

Starcrest1:
I'm doing this to enlighten agbadorians because they have been wailing since yesterday albeit ignorantly.

Let's see the percentage by zone and see who wins according to the polls all things being equal.

Total registered voters by zone.
NW = 22.67 million
SW = 18.3 million
SS = 15.2 Million
NC = 14.1 Million
NE = 12.8 Million
SE = 11.49 Million

1. Peter Obi — (NC = 3,384,000) + (NE = 1,024,000) + (NW = 2,493,700) + (SE = 5,745,000) + (SS = 6,992,000) + (SW = 2,745,000) TOTAL = 22,383,700.

2. Tinubu — (NC = 1,269,000) + (NE = 1,920,000) + (NW = 3,400,500) + (SE = 114,900) + (SS = 1,368,000) + (SW = 4,026,000) TOTAL = 12,098,400

3. Atiku — (NC = 1,128,000) + (NE = 2,944,000) + (NW = 3,853,900) + (SE = 114,900) + ( SS = 456,000) + (SW = 732,000) TOTAL = 9,228,800.

You can see this is for 100% turnout but you can still work it out for lesser percentages of turnout.

Obi is leading with almost double margin of the closest rival so even if the South has a lower turnout, he will still be leading.

I don't see how Tinubu can overturn this since he runs away from the Media.

ImmaculateJOE:
Excuse me Sir, Athahiru Jega was the one in charge of 2011 elections..

Between Obi and GEJ who is more loved in SE..?
Obi will beat Okowa in his backyard. Book mark this, My only fear in SS is Bayelsa, and that's because of Ijaw's lack of love towards their cousin brother, Igbos.

We(South south,e.g Bayelsa) voting Peter Obi is not because he is Igbo, but because of his personality.

All these polls are academic to the voting proper

lhordspy:
Peter obi 2million vote Northwest?, Northcentral 3million votes, And 1million + votes in Northeast?

Obi south-south 6million votes?

I rest my case?

I cant stop laughing

Starcrest1:
At least disappoint me for once and post intelligently.
That's for 100% turnout which is impossible. 40% turnout will give him less than a million but so will other contestants have theirs reduced.

It is impossible. That humanoid is a miscreant urchin, sense cannot be a part of him.

I tell youI tell you...

garfield1:
How are igbos and ijaws cousins or brothers? It will be a big disgrace for okowa to lose delta and ijaws dominste delta south where pdp gets bloc votes.okowa will win delta at any cost.
Between Peter and ojukwu,who is more loved in se? Yet he lost se.highest obi can do is win se,other regions are not sure.ss is highly undecided and divided

I am from Okowa's zone.. The only people that will vote for Okowa and his Dubai landlord are some misguided PDP registered members that are not up to 1% of Delta population..

Even some pdp members are angry that Atiku hijacked our southern ticket despite agreement we reached in Asaba in 2021 that power is coming to south..

No sane SS will support Atiku

fuckingAyaya:
they have accurately predicted the winner from 2011 to 2019 so 2023 ain't exceptional. Obi/datti 2023-2031

wow! some of this predictions dey work sha. Just like all the site that predicted Messi to lift the world cup, just because he lost penalty against Poland claiming it have happened twice in the past

garfield1:
How are igbos and ijaws cousins or brothers? It will be a big disgrace for okowa to lose delta and ijaws dominste delta south where pdp gets bloc votes.okowa will win delta at any cost.
Between Peter and ojukwu,who is more loved in se? Yet he lost se.highest obi can do is win se,other regions are not sure.ss is highly undecided and divided

I have no iota of doubt about Peter Obi winning Delta, Delta North are Igbos, they will vote President rather than Vice President.. Warri and its environs in Delta South are Obidient, Ugheli and its environs in Delta Central will vote Obi to any other candidate.
SS people are more enthusiastic about Obi than SE..

For Rivers state, Obio/Akpor, Port Harcourt, Ikwere and Oyibo LGAs together has over 1.5million registered voters, that's 1/3 of the entire voters in the state, these people are populated by Igbos, both indigenous and non indigenous.. I'm damn sure in a 50% voters turn out, Obi will score more than 500k votes. Add it to other votes, 1million is very possible there.

jumper524:
Tinubu at poorest in North central: win kogi, Niger, kwara, might win nasarawa. Yet anap gave him 9% a four man contest where 1 man clinches 4 out of 7 states is getting 9% from anap pool.
Jokers, real jokers..

Oga you have no idea what is happening in northcentral states especially in the two state you quoted....in kogi especially APC is the most hated party...they do rather vote a Stone than vote APC....!!!

ImmaculateJOE:
Excuse me Sir, Athahiru Jega was the one in charge of 2011 elections..

Between Obi and GEJ who is more loved in SE..?
Obi will beat Okowa in his backyard. Book mark this, My only fear in SS is Bayelsa, and that's because of Ijaw's lack of love towards their cousin brother, Igbos.

Lemme laugh now and come back to laugh by February

drlateef:
You are making further attempts at telling lies and confusing people. Where are the raw figures that the researchers obtained? That’s the question. Atedo Peterside refused to release those details. This indicates that they cooked up the statistics. We are not asking for electoral figures. We are asking how did Atedo Peterside arrive at hos percentages. How many respondents did they get from each state. When we know that, we can then weight that against the INEC electoral figures.

Go to their website and get the information you need. I ain't spoon feeding no MF.....

Starcrest1:
I'm doing this to enlighten agbadorians because they have been wailing since yesterday albeit ignorantly.

Let's see the percentage by zone and see who wins according to the polls all things being equal.

Total registered voters by zone.
NW = 22.67 million
SW = 18.3 million
SS = 15.2 Million
NC = 14.1 Million
NE = 12.8 Million
SE = 11.49 Million

1. Peter Obi — (NC = 3,384,000) + (NE = 1,024,000) + (NW = 2,493,700) + (SE = 5,745,000) + (SS = 6,992,000) + (SW = 2,745,000) TOTAL = 22,383,700.

2. Tinubu — (NC = 1,269,000) + (NE = 1,920,000) + (NW = 3,400,500) + (SE = 114,900) + (SS = 1,368,000) + (SW = 4,026,000) TOTAL = 12,098,400

3. Atiku — (NC = 1,128,000) + (NE = 2,944,000) + (NW = 3,853,900) + (SE = 114,900) + ( SS = 456,000) + (SW = 732,000) TOTAL = 9,228,800.

You can see this is for 100% turnout but you can still work it out for lesser percentages of turnout.

Obi is leading with almost double margin of the closest rival so even if the South has a lower turnout, he will still be leading.

I don't see how Tinubu can overturn this since he runs away from the Media.

you are using previous elections the authenticate the ANAP polls but you are saying that BVAS will make 2023 election different from previous elections.

julaion:
you sure say urchins them go sleep this night hahahaha

No sleep (peace) for the urchin (wicked).

lhordspy:
Peter obi 2million vote Northwest?, Northcentral 3million votes, And 1million + votes in Northeast?

Obi south-south 6million votes?

I rest my case?

You can even rest yourself

ImmaculateJOE:
I have no iota of doubt about Peter Obi winning Delta, Delta North are Igbos, they will vote President rather than Vice President.. Warri and its environs in Delta South are Obidient, Ugheli and its environs in Delta Central will vote Obi to any other candidate.
SS people are more enthusiastic about Obi than SE..

For Rivers state, Obio/Akpor, Port Harcourt, Ikwere and Oyibo LGAs together has over 1.5million registered voters, that's 1/3 of the entire voters in the state, these people are populated by Igbos, both indigenous and non indigenous.. I'm damn sure in a 50% voters turn out, Obi will score more than 500k votes. Add it to other votes, 1million is very possible there.

You forget so.ething.delta alongside rivers are pdp rigging centres.some delta igbos esp ikas don't like igbos much.a lot of urhobos due to agege influence will vote tinubu.only warri south LGA can vote obi,warri north and sw are rigging centres...
People dont actually turnout in rivers.wike just inflates everything but with him being neutral,dont expect much votes in obio akpor and phalga.

Starcrest1:
I'm doing this to enlighten agbadorians because they have been wailing since yesterday albeit ignorantly.

Let's see the percentage by zone and see who wins according to the polls all things being equal.

Total registered voters by zone.
NW = 22.67 million
SW = 18.3 million
SS = 15.2 Million
NC = 14.1 Million
NE = 12.8 Million
SE = 11.49 Million

1. Peter Obi — (NC = 3,384,000) + (NE = 1,024,000) + (NW = 2,493,700) + (SE = 5,745,000) + (SS = 6,992,000) + (SW = 2,745,000) TOTAL = 22,383,700.

2. Tinubu — (NC = 1,269,000) + (NE = 1,920,000) + (NW = 3,400,500) + (SE = 114,900) + (SS = 1,368,000) + (SW = 4,026,000) TOTAL = 12,098,400

3. Atiku — (NC = 1,128,000) + (NE = 2,944,000) + (NW = 3,853,900) + (SE = 114,900) + ( SS = 456,000) + (SW = 732,000) TOTAL = 9,228,800.

You can see this is for 100% turnout but you can still work it out for lesser percentages of turnout.

Obi is leading with almost double margin of the closest rival so even if the South has a lower turnout, he will still be leading.

I don't see how Tinubu can overturn this since he runs away from the Media.

Your analysis is wrong based on the undecided and refused 51% and Xturnout will be btw (75 - 87)%

Starcrest1:
Go to their website and get the information you need. I ain't spoon feeding no MF.....

There’s nothing on their site. Their financier refused to release the documents to Channels TV. They know they have cooked up the statistics.

lhordspy:
Peter obi 2million vote Northwest?, Northcentral 3million votes, And 1million + votes in Northeast?

Obi south-south 6million votes?

I rest my case.

The igbos alone has the second largest spread any where in the country outside south east.
Igbos in the North west alone are over 8 million people.

U really need to calm down..

I

garfield1:
Rivers and delta can't give him 1 mil each.he will likely win rivers but won't get up to a million.he won't even win delta na.be realistic and objective.only anambra can give him 1 mil.IMO can't give him 1 mil.the opposition there is too much.the last time IMO produced a million was in 2011 under manual system.the highest turnout in se was 5 mil in 2011 under Maurice iwu and his wuruwuru system of manual accreditation.highest se can turnout is 4 mil.highest ss can turnout is 5 mil and it will be tight in ss.

Attahiru Jega, not Maurice Iwu, oversaw the 2011 elections.

Always try to get your facts right.

Little wonder you are always making unrealistic projections, because your facts are usually wrong most of the time.

Ezeama400:
I am from Okowa's zone.. The only people that will vote for Okowa and his Dubai landlord are some misguided PDP registered members that are not up to 1% of Delta population..

Even some pdp members are angry that Atiku hijacked our southern ticket despite agreement we reached in Asaba in 2021 that power is coming to south..

No sane SS will support Atiku

God bless you for educating him for free.

My problem with him is that he will sit in his cubicle and be making projections with 2019 figure without taking into cognizance the dynamics of the 2023 elections.

That’s how they will be arguing that Tinubu will get 25% of votes cast in Imo and Ebonyi because of Uzodimma and Umahi, and I will just be laughing at them.

Penguin2:
Attahiru Jega, not Maurice Iwu, oversaw the 2011 elections.

Always try to get your facts right.

Little wonder you are always making unrealistic projections, because your facts are usually wrong most of the time.

Oga,obi will fail woefull

garfield1:
You forget so.ething.delta alongside rivers are pdp rigging centres.some delta igbos esp ikas don't like igbos much.a lot of urhobos due to agege influence will vote tinubu.only warri south LGA can vote obi,warri north and sw are rigging centres...
People dont actually turnout in rivers.wike just inflates everything but with him being neutral,dont expect much votes in obio akpor and phalga.

Can you have a conversation like a sane human being without the rigging talks?

Penguin2:
Can you have a conversation like a sane human being without the rigging talks?

Kid,why are you cyber stalking me

garfield1:
Kid,why are you cyber stalking me

Don’t overrate yourself