₦airaland Forum

BRIMBRAM:
*SIT DOWN THERE DEY LOOK FOR TINUBU PRIMARY AND SECONDARY SCHOOL .THE ODDS FAVORS TINUBU TO WIN THE 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION. IT'S TOO OBVIOUS UNLESS TO THE BLIND AND DELUDED.*


For those running around focusing on Tinubu’s age, certificates, alleged ill-health, bublubla and Muslim-Muslim ticket, that is an ineffective political tactic.

Here is Atiku’s challenge. It is in the numbers!
The same applies to Peter Obi or Kwankwanso.

Below are 14 Northern states with APC governors.
Which one do you think Atiku's PDP, or Kwankwanso's NNPP or Peter Obi's Labour Party will win?

1.Borno state: Babagane Zulum
2. Gombe state: Inuwa Yahaya
3. Jigawa state: Badaru Mohammed
4. Kaduna state: Nasir El Rufai
5. Kano state: Umar Ganduje
6. Katsina state: Aminu Masari
7. Kwara state: A AbdulRasaq
8. Nasarawa state: Abdulahi Sule
9. Niger state: Abubakar Bello
10. Plateau state: Simon Lalong
11. Zamfara state: Bello Matawalle
12. Kebbi state: Atiku Bagudu
13. Yobe state: Mai Mala Buni
14. Kogi State: Yaya Bello

At the Eagle Square in Abuja, 13 of them campaigned for and got Tinubu elected as the Presidential flagbearer of the APC.
Today, all these governors, including Yaya Bello of Kogi State are supporting Tinubu and there is no crack in their ranks.

Can Atiku or Kwankwanso or Obi peel away any of these govs?

Can any of these opposition candidates win any of these states without the governor's support?

For emphasis I have also included the south-western states under APC control or in Tinubu’s electoral basket:

The South-Western APC state are:
1. Lagos: Sanwo-Olu
2. Ekiti: Abiodun Oyebanji
3. Ogun: Dapo Abiodun
4. Ondo: Rotimi Akeredolu
5. Osun
6. Oyo
Which of these states can Atiku or Kwankwanso or Obi win?

To complicate Atiku’s path to victory is the enthusiasm being generated mostly in some southern cities for Peter Obi's Candidacy. In the south, the PDP is mostly dominant in the South South and South East. Even 3 of the governors in these states are APC!

In 2015, the APC won mainly because all the opposition political parties merged and formed a formidable political platform whereas the ruling PDP was enmeshed in an intractable crisis and a political war of attrition with at least 5 sitting governors, the Senate President, Speaker of the House of Representatives, several senators and House of Representatives members including serving Ministers leaving the party. The exact reverse scenario is playing out in 2023. The APC is intact but the opposition is sinking deeper into opposition and is fragmented with Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwanso leaving the PDP. The PDP G-5 governors have crossed the rubicon and will not be supporting Atiku’s candidacy in the presidential election. They are expected to declare their support for either Tinubu or less likely Peter Obi in the coming days. This will be fatal to Atiku’s chances and unlikely to shore up Peter Obi's chances in any significant manner.

Until we see a crack in the APC governor's support, Tinubu is sitting pretty well and the odds are clearly in his favour to win.

The opponents of the APC Candidate say the Buhari administration has not done well but this is vehemently contested by APC party stalwarts who insist that Buhari is the best thing to happen to Nigeria. Will this count during the 2023 Presidential election? The answer so far is No using Ekiti gov election as a barometer, even though it is a very small sample size. Even the Osun election was won by PDP simply because Ogbeni Rauf Aregbesola and his faction of the APC are alleged to have worked against the candidate of the APC.

Those opposed to Tinubu, rather than hold him to a campaign of issues are wasting their time with his age, alleged ill-health, his Muslim choice as running mate etc. They even want the courts and INEC to disqualify Tinubu. None of these will work or even happen!
Indeed, Tinubu has so far campaigned more hungrily and more comprehensively than any of his challengers. From the UK to Saudi Arabia, then Kano and Edo states and then back to Kano...all in 4 days! On monday, 9th January, he will be in Adamawa state with President Muhammadu Buhari leading the charge for votes in the state and other core northern states in quick succession putting a lie to the claim by the PDP that Buhari has vowed not to join the Asiwaju campaign train. The supposedly fitter candidates are all lagging behind Asiwaju.

The only way to defeat Tinubu will be at the ballot by all the opposition candidates stepping down for only one of them but this will also never happen. Tinubu is still in pole position for now and coasting to victory.

Atiku lacks the bite....majority of southerners are also unlikely to stomach a potential 16 years of a northerner presidency. In a very commendable display of statesmanship, patriotism and to guarantee national cohesion stability, the political leaders of Northern Nigeria also desire to respect the North-South power rotation on which plank President Goodluck Jonathan was defeated in the North and then eventually nationally in 2015.

It is almost late in the day to upstage the entrenched political system in Nigeria and by the current political and electoral system and in a free and fair contest, Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu appears unstoppable and a Jagaban presidency looms large.

Dr. Philip Ugbodaga
Citizen of the Federal Republic of Nigeria (CFRN)

ALCOHOLKILLS:
Southerners una eye go clear after February..... I pray Atiku wins, so the real agitation will start

Oxtertee:
Well as for Ibadan, Hausa no plenty for ring rd neither akobo ojurin.

But go to place like Sabo mokola, shasha, Sabo ojoo, strabage, akinyele & ọ́jọ́ọ́ you will be marveled by the percentage of Haúsá in those places.

uba1991:
you are seriously a baby politician. Do you know how many governors PDP had before Buhari win GEJ? Do you think the north care about your fcking party?
What were you thinking when Atiku stood as a father during Buhari son's wedding?
Now let me me tell you something, I can swear to you that Atiku is winning Katsina state. Go to emir of Daura house, you will Atiku picture at the palace, the emire himself endorsed Atiku publicly.
It will take the grace of God for Tinubu to win one state in the north.
Don't forget that even me I was a die hard supporter of APC.
How many people are happy with the so called governors?
There are 3 groups of person that determine the voting pattern of the north
1) religious leaders
2) traditional leaders
3) Ex generals.
Did you forget that Osun state was APC before Adeleke of PDP won? If PDP can beat APC in Tinubu home state, what else do you think will happen to APC in far away north?
Mr man,go to the street and see how many people are happy with APC.
Do you think I will buy rice 50 thousands (#50000) and I will still vote for APC?
Do you those people that are sleeping in feeling stations just because they want to buy fuel will vote for APC?
Do you think the students that stayed for almost a year at home will still vote for APC?

Tflex01:
Lol all these "anybody but Tinubu" wannabe on first page.


I'm happy that Tinubu's winning next year will drive many haters into depression and suicide.

peepydelano:
Hehe I pity those who think northerners will vote another, e choke oooo. Binani is openly working for Atiku and she’s not hiding.

donphilopus:
Make una take this one hold body if that would make y'all sleep well at night after the heartbreak Buhari's presence caused you.

Atiku has been recruiting some few elements to APC' campaigns to croon his name. The people who shouted Sai Atiku ain't more than fifty. They strategically placed them in the same area so it'd look like they're many.

But make una dey celebrate am sha.

Enwhen:
Bro on a serious note , Nigeria has never been one ...It is very hard , mostly now with BVAS for 2 southerners to be in same race and one wins the election and defeat a northerner in same presidential election, in a person of Alhaji Atiku , ah, Not possible , I want to see the magic Baba Tinubu or Peter Obi would perform. It's no longer about Party when it comes to South and North ... Even in 2003 , Baba Tinubu and AD had to endorsed PDP OBJ in order for OBJ to defeat Baba Buhari ...in 2011, the rigging was so glaring in the north for GEJ , that we southerners had to run to the bush for safety ...and Now Atiku ...it's so unfortunate that the south is not wise ...instead of Obi to step down or maybe Baba Tinubu step down on health ground in name of South presidency , the Two wants to perfome magic in a tribalised and divided entity like Nigeria ..it's so unfortunate...the election is Atiku to lose ...it's only those that have never been to the north that would be giving Tinubu hope to win in the north ...I knw for sure that Obi is playing religious card and banking on Northern christians , no doubt they r fully behind him, and that's even a minus for Baba Tinubu becus even with the best choice of Muslim/Muslim , these pple here wouldn't see him as Muslim , mostly with the fact that Fulani is not in his ticket cos Shettima is a Kanuri ... See Bro , it's clear. Atiku has won it ...the south should learn ...Baba Buhari had to play it smart in the South East in 2019 for him to be able to defeat Atiku and even with serious manipulation here in the north for only presidential election and we all saw how the PDP daze APC at the Guber race in some states... Northerners r the real politicians ....go check what happened in Kano 2019 , check the PDP votes at the Guber and Presidential election ...Fear North.

tk4radi:
Let me make things easier for you.



All these Governor's you mentioned,, they can only turn good number of votes to any direction if they did well as Governors.

Now, be your own Judge to this thing you wrote here.

Unless the people in such states are Zombies...

Tell yourself the truth..
Did all these Governors you mention here perform very well, and have the true backing of the people of their States?

Being The Present Governor is ONE.
Being A Good Governor To The People is Another ONE Altogether

EarlierDawn:
Some Tinubu supporters were arguing when I told them. I kukuma allowed them to wallow in their ignorance. Funny beings. They're in Osogbo arguing North with us living in the North

Proudlyomonna:
Na lie people wey don dey destined for untimely death and shallow grave don already dey decided,them and their foolish bastard disObiDient family ooo Igboslayer aka Igbojew na one of them dis people just dey waka for streets them don die already,them be walking corpse

donphilopus:
Bro, you're just a political jobber deceiving yourself. The same APC you're condemning now, you claimed you would have voted for them if they had chosen a Christian. You're either a Fulani who obviously do not like the Kanuris or a Christian northerner but whichever you are, you're in the minority so no qualms.

As for the Sai Atiku, he has been hiring some miscreants to chant his name during opposition's campaigns but that doesn't matter.

donphilopus:
Bro, you're just a political jobber deceiving yourself. The same APC you're condemning now, you claimed you would have voted for them if they had chosen a Christian. You're either a Fulani who obviously do not like the Kanuris or a Christian northerner but whichever you are, you're in the minority so no qualms.

As for the Sai Atiku, he has been hiring some miscreants to chant his name during opposition's campaigns but that doesn't matter.

uba1991:
do you know Adamawa? Even Buhari has never beat Atiku in Adamawa state.
Come to the north and hear what the people are talking. Everywhere is Atiku in the north.

Espelbengz:
I don't have to know Adamawa to understand the dynamic of happenings there, people on ground will give me all I need to know. He didn't win in 2019 but he still got more than 48%, plus I worked for a certain presidential candidate from Adamawa in 2011 general elections! Adamawa is APC stronghold and I am sure of Tinubu getting over 40% votes there!

PrinceOfLagos:
When I talk, Tinubu useless and foolish urchins will attack me

Everyone knows that there is no way that the Northerners will leave there own people, Rabiu musa Kwankwaso, Atiku abubakar and vote Tinubu

Tinubu urchins can keep disgracing themselves in the north , it's good for Peter Obi because of the split votes that will be recorded in the north

Igboslayer:
Nibi ti wan ti npe ri mi nibi, Igbe ra ra, ni ara nke wole, Igbe ra ra bo se Proudlyomonna lo nperi mi sibi, Igbe ra ra ni ara nke wole, Igbe ra ra, bo se okunrin lo nperi mi sibi Igbe ra ra, ni ara nke wole, Igbe ra ra, bo se obirin lon peri mi sibi, Igbe ra ra, ni ara nke wole, Igbe ra ra, bo se omode lo nperi mi sibi, Igbe ra ra, ni ara nke wole, Igbe ra ra. Ase wa!

Eyan to fi Proudlyomonna bo ju, Igbe ra ra, ni ara nke wole, Igbe ra ra. O tun je eyan mo…ase ooo Everything dey appear to you like Joke Abi. Oti kan agbako, o ru Igi Oyin. You have brought calamity to yourself and family.

Proudlyomonna:
Hahaha guy this Yoruba too thick for me na
Translate am for English abi you dey fear
How I go take use dis kind thing wey I know understand catch cruise na
You didn't bring failure, destruction,doom,sudden and untimely death to your life and cursed senseless disObiDient family,na una destiny me and my family must die a painful and sudden death, me and my family can never escape shallow grave and mass burial .
APC MUST GO.

donphilopus:
Are you aware Kwankwaso is also a northerner and he's in the race? Bro, Atiku is going nowhere. Tinubu would clearly win this election. Most northerners know it's the turn of the south.

Igboslayer:
Oti ya werey, ofo lo mase.

Nibi ti wan ti npe ri mi nibi, Igbe ra ra, ni ara nke wole, Igbe ra ra bo se Proudlyomonna lo nperi mi sibi, Igbe ra ra ni ara nke wole, Igbe ra ra, bo se okunrin lo nperi mi sibi Igbe ra ra, ni ara nke wole, Igbe ra ra, bo se obirin lon peri mi sibi, Igbe ra ra, ni ara nke wole, Igbe ra ra, bo se omode lo nperi mi sibi, Igbe ra ra, ni ara nke wole, Igbe ra ra. Ase wa!

Eyan to fi Proudlyomonna bo ju, Igbe ra ra, ni ara nke wole, Igbe ra ra. O tun je eyan mo…ase ooo Everything dey appear to you like Joke Abi. Oti kan agbako, o ru Igi Oyin. You have brought calamity to yourself and family.

tk4radi:
Let me make things easier for you.



All these Governor's you mentioned,, they can only turn good number of votes to any direction if they did well as Governors.

Now, be your own Judge to this thing you wrote here.

Unless the people in such states are Zombies...

Tell yourself the truth..
Did all these Governors you mention here perform very well, and have the true backing of the people of their States?

Being The Present Governor is ONE.
Being A Good Governor To The People is Another ONE Altogether

Proudlyomonna:
Oboy you don loose jaree
You dey fear ordinary cruise wey I dey give you since you claim to be troll na your type wey be se ordinary small insult,small quarrel you go don throw first punch you too WEAK joor
Nothing fit save both you and your werey mama plus all your family from uns fate to die a sudden untimely death shallow grave and mass burial don already be una portion
See that your mama wey dey craze dey waka naked for street ehnn she don die already,na walking corpse she be,ozu nwuru anwu na gha-ije

uba1991:
hahahaaaa �. Even the APC governorship candidate in Adamawa is a strong loyal daughter of Atiku. Tinubu don't have even one pure water shop in the entire north, tell me one reason why the northerners will vote for Tinubu?

Espelbengz:
Oga you can throw all the conspiracy theories, it's just what you wish happens in Febuhari, I don't engage in beer parlour politics! I am a northerner and we will vote massively for Tinubu, you can go ahead and vote for waziri or obi your preferred candidate and stop hiding under the shadows of Atiku! Bye bye

Slynation:
Be there forwarding rubbish, those 14 governors only has 14 votes, foolishness is when Tinubu lost in his hometown to PDP and expecting to win in far North...!!

Stupidity is when Tinubu and his urchins thinks the North will vote for them when the North has this belief and slogan that power must stay in the North...

Nzuzu is when the Iragbiji BATman and his useless urchins thinks the North will vote one certain Tinubu over there son Atiku...

And finally Iberiberism is when APC thinks after a disastrous regime they are still expecting Nigerians to vote for them...!!

MadeInTokyo:

Tinubu will be disgraced and naked here in the North on election day...any Tinubu Zombies can quote me anyday, anywhere and anytime.
Unpleasant Surprises await Tinubu on election day in here in the North
The most popular politician in the North after Buhari is Atiku...hate it or love it...that is the reality on ground here in the North