₦airaland Forum

Lizzysamuel:
Garfield1 rest.

Obi will sweep SS

garfield1:
Impossicant

Jones4190:
is not possible for obi to get block vote in any of the south south state, Bayelsa will vote pdp, APC will come second,


River is a battle ground between PDP and APC. pdp loyalist are confuse on who to follow between Atilu and wike.

Delta will be a Battle ground for APC and pdp,Omo Age present is making progress in Delta state, tinubu will get more vote than buhari.
Edo is for PDP and APC, thank God for Adams oshomole.
cross river is for apc

garfield1:
In my own estimation,no.ss will be a battleground like the nc.each candidate except kwankwaso will get 25%.obi and lp are mostly strong in the urban centres but weak at the rural areas.apc and pdp are well grounded in every village in ss.let me use my state crs as an example.in 2015,labour party fielded strong and popular candidates like prince otu,Alex egbona who is now in the house of reps and sen sandy onor current senator.they failed woefully.their total votes did not reach 100k.sandy won senate when he decamped to pdp and hon egbona won in apc.an outsider like obi.has no chance.
Again,labour did not field candidates in many sears.the only formidable candidate they field was hon Daniel asuquo house of reps member going for senate and he is currently aligning with apc.labour did not field many candidates for house of assembly seats like apc and pdp.house of assembly candidates are the only ones that can do village by village campaign and mobilization.the one lp fielded are cash strapped as most parts of ss are still undeveloped and difficult to access.in my lga,the pdp candidate was in my village yesterday,next week will be the turn of the qpc candidate and the lp candidate is no where.most of these villages do communal voting.they dont vote independently like urnam voters.they usually meet,brainstorm and decide to vote en bloc for a party or candidate that has been protecting their interests or where their popular elites are.no matter how they like you,if you dont visit and consult them,they won't vote you.they are easily swayed and moved by razzmatazz.a lot may want to vote obi but since lp hasn't campaigned in their areas,only few votes will go their way.on the eve of the election,they will adopt one party and hardly will it be lp...
Tinubu was not foolish tp visit tompolo and gbaramatu kingdom.he knows 40% of Delta votes emanate from there and with obi and atiku not visiting,dont be surprised at a tinubu win...
In rivers,the ogonis will listen to magnus Abe.in Edo north,oshiomhole dominates.in bayelsa,it is worse as lp has no presence there.it is heavily rural and surrounded by waters,lp has no funds to navigate there.
It seems lp is strong in ss states that are heavily urbanised and enlightened like Edo and rivers and delta north and central but weak at the rural areas.in all,I see atiku winning aks and delta,obi edging Edo and rivers and crs being fought by all while bayelsa is just apc and pdp.
Ss should be atiku 38% obi 34% tinubu 26% kwankwaso 2%..

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Svoboda
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Svoboda:
Thats my problem with the lp and the obidients. Nigerias political landscape is too rough to win a general election in 7 months without a grassroots frenzy. The lp nuisance starts and ends in the urban streets. Rural areas hold the keys to electoral successes. Theyre certain parts of nigeria inec cannot enter without community leaders. Those community leaders are at the beck and call of the political lords.

I have a brother in law contesting under lp. I called him and told him that they are supposed to be peter obis footsoldiers in the grassroots considering the apparent disconnect between obi and the grassroots.

I think obi lacks tinubus charm and generosity, which is beside his pop star fame, which unfortunately cannot guarrantee electoral success.

garfield1:
Impossicant

tctrills:
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Says someone that has never crossed Ore. You guys just sit in front of your phones and type anything. Go to the SS and learn. The worse part is that you even argue with people on the Ground.
Tinubu can't see 15% in most SS states.

garfield1:
Tinubu had 40% in bayelsa,Edo,crs already son

tctrills:
Lol. Comedian. The way you untraveled boys reason just dey weak me. Do you even know the way to Bayelsa?

Svoboda:
Thats my problem with the lp and the obidients. Nigerias political landscape is too rough to win a general election in 7 months without a grassroots frenzy. The lp nuisance starts and ends in the urban streets. Rural areas hold the keys to electoral successes. Theyre certain parts of nigeria inec cannot enter without community leaders. Those community leaders are at the beck and call of the political lords.

I have a brother in law contesting under lp. I called him and told him that they are supposed to be peter obis footsoldiers in the grassroots considering the apparent disconnect between obi and the grassroots.

I think obi lacks tinubus charm and generosity, which is beside his pop star fame, which unfortunately cannot guarrantee electoral success.

Obalacam:
This man again with your unrealistic statistics
You want to tell me that Atiku will defeat Obi in SS, you must really be high this morning on bat's urine

garfield1:
Obi has no presence in bayelsa

NothingDoMe:
Rubbish. Most Ijaws even from Bayelsa are routing for him. Keep expecting magic after Tinubu betrayed Jonathan

Lizzysamuel:
Then start celebrating and take Peter Obi's name off your mouth

garfield1:
Obi has no presence in bayelsa

Svoboda:
Thats my problem with the lp and the obidients. Nigerias political landscape is too rough to win a general election in 7 months without a grassroots frenzy. The lp nuisance starts and ends in the urban streets. Rural areas hold the keys to electoral successes. Theyre certain parts of nigeria inec cannot enter without community leaders. Those community leaders are at the beck and call of the political lords.

I have a brother in law contesting under lp. I called him and told him that they are supposed to be peter obis footsoldiers in the grassroots considering the apparent disconnect between obi and the grassroots.

I think obi lacks tinubus charm and generosity, which is beside his pop star fame, which unfortunately cannot guarrantee electoral success.

tctrills:
The only person here without present in Bayelsa is you. You know nothing about the state.

garfield1:
Buhari betrayed him and got 40%,atiku betrayed him and won bayelsa.you have nothing to say boy

garfield1:
You are the one that knows nothing about bayelsa.obi is very strong in rivers and Edo,he will ein there.he is strong in delta.but in bayelsa,he will fail

NothingDoMe:
How did Buhari and Atiku betray Jonathan? They played their normal northern politics.

But it was Tiffnubu the southerner that sold all sort of lies about Jonathan. Tinubu will be lucky to get 10% in Bayelsa.

garfield1:
Buhari betrayed him and got 40%,atiku betrayed him and won bayelsa.you have nothing to say boy

tctrills:
Lol. After you go to Bayelsa, we can have this discussion. I understand you have to read from the APC narrative but it's ok to take a trip to the SS and learn for yourself.

NothingDoMe:
Tinubu should be ashamed of himself for consulting Jonathan over his presidential race a few years after heaping verbal attacks and insults on the former President and his wife, Patience, because he was a minority President from Ijaw in the Niger Delta.

Briggs noted that that Tinubu was one of the opponents of the Jonathan administration, who mobilised the opposition against him and called him all sorts of derogatory names.

She said, “Politics in Nigeria is a filthy game about personalities, not about the people. If not, Tinubu should be too ashamed to visit Jonathan and sit down on a chair in his house.

“This is a man (Tinubu) that cannot differentiate between politics of ideology and shameful politics. They hauled insults at him (Jonathan), they hauled insults at his wife.

“They constructed effigies to mock Jonathan; they organised ‘Occupy Nigeria’ and paraded with coffins and did all kinds things against Jonathan. Today, they are shamelessly visiting Jonathan, sitting on his chair in his house.” Ann-Kio Briggs

https://www.nairaland.com/7309929/jonathan-no-vote-tinubu-ann-kio

garfield1:
How did tinubu betray him? Where they in the same party? Are they from the same party? Should tinubu betray his party? Guy,politics us interest not emotions.apc is dominant in bayelsa,very entrenched.even gej is pro apc.
In 2011,gej aligned with same gej.
Atiku is the one that betrayed gej,he was with him in pdp.gej even begged him not to decamp