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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / Who Will Win In A Runoff Between Two Of Obi,tinubu And Atiku? (1264 Views)
2023: Latest SBM Poll Forecasts Runoff Between Peter Obi And Atiku / If This Election Goes To Runoff Between Atiku And Tinubu / Anambra: Obi, Tinubu, Atiku, Others To Pay ₦10M Each For Campaign Posters (2) (3) (4)
Re: Who Will Win In A Runoff Between Two Of Obi,tinubu And Atiku? by garfield1: 5:49pm On Feb 07, 2023 |
ybn1306: Yes and no |
Re: Who Will Win In A Runoff Between Two Of Obi,tinubu And Atiku? by Svoboda(m): 5:50pm On Feb 07, 2023 |
garfield1: Very true. |
Re: Who Will Win In A Runoff Between Two Of Obi,tinubu And Atiku? by garfield1: 5:53pm On Feb 07, 2023 |
Svoboda: I dont know why all the polls give ss to obi massively.my own physical observation shows that ss is a battleground.every weekend I go to the rural areas and obi has a lot of work to do 1 Like |
Re: Who Will Win In A Runoff Between Two Of Obi,tinubu And Atiku? by famouscargo4u: 5:54pm On Feb 07, 2023 |
There will only be a re-run between top two leading parties which would be Atiku and Tinubu. Who wins when this happens? |
Re: Who Will Win In A Runoff Between Two Of Obi,tinubu And Atiku? by Svoboda(m): 6:13pm On Feb 07, 2023 |
garfield1: Simply because the respondents are urban dwellers. A lot of the rural areas are impregnable fortresses of the traditional duo of the apc and pdp. I heard some northern elders are pressing it on buhari to allow for power rotation to the south to maintain nigerias political balance and stability. |
Re: Who Will Win In A Runoff Between Two Of Obi,tinubu And Atiku? by garfield1: 6:25pm On Feb 07, 2023 |
Svoboda: Wait,are you saying indirectly that buhari doesnt support tinubu and wants the north to remain in power! Is buhari this ethnocentric? I feel just like in 1999-2011,the north will decide to allow power to the south |
Re: Who Will Win In A Runoff Between Two Of Obi,tinubu And Atiku? by Svoboda(m): 7:01pm On Feb 07, 2023 |
garfield1: Those were my exact thoughts until atiku began playing the ethnic and religious card. Even at that, the buhari fever of 2015 and 2019 is absent among northern youths which lends credence to a likelihood of voter apathy in the north. Buhari should have killed pdp right after he assumed in 2015, now his assumed aloofness has given them some traction. They were the same elements that blackmailed him into signing the electoral act. If apc should lose this election, pdp will kill every fragment of opposition. But they wont win. 1 Like |
Re: Who Will Win In A Runoff Between Two Of Obi,tinubu And Atiku? by garfield1: 7:02pm On Feb 07, 2023 |
Svoboda: True.this new electoral act esp bvas is what is giving pdp power.I fear they may hack inec and input results.I fear atiku 1 Like |
Re: Who Will Win In A Runoff Between Two Of Obi,tinubu And Atiku? by Svoboda(m): 7:08pm On Feb 07, 2023 |
garfield1: Atiku is a notorious and desperate crook. Asiwaju shouldnt be caught napping. 1 Like |
Re: Who Will Win In A Runoff Between Two Of Obi,tinubu And Atiku? by chinchum(m): 7:12pm On Feb 07, 2023 |
raumdeuter:he may win highest number of states won in the top 2 losers. The constitution recognises who has the highest number of states won in the runner up and second runner up not the second highest votes. 1 Like |
Re: Who Will Win In A Runoff Between Two Of Obi,tinubu And Atiku? by raumdeuter: 7:34pm On Feb 07, 2023 |
chinchum: Run off is between the top 2 candidate while anyone below 2nd drops off 1st and 2nd will be Tinubu and Atiku |
Re: Who Will Win In A Runoff Between Two Of Obi,tinubu And Atiku? by chidexleo: 7:40pm On Feb 07, 2023 |
OBIDATTI |
Re: Who Will Win In A Runoff Between Two Of Obi,tinubu And Atiku? by chinchum(m): 7:57pm On Feb 07, 2023 |
raumdeuter: Not correct. I also felt that was the case until i checked the consitution. So if Tinubu wins 15 states and 12.5 million votes but did not neet 25% of votes in 24 states and fct. And Atiku has 11million with 10 states won. And obi has 6.5 million votes with 11 states won. The run off will be between Tinubu and Obi |
Re: Who Will Win In A Runoff Between Two Of Obi,tinubu And Atiku? by nameo: 8:04pm On Feb 07, 2023 |
chinchum: No way, Obi is not winning the popular votes in the coming Presidentials. No way. What is not known now is if he can get 25% im 24 states and/or FCT. 1 Like |
Re: Who Will Win In A Runoff Between Two Of Obi,tinubu And Atiku? by chinchum(m): 8:09pm On Feb 07, 2023 |
nameo:https://www.nairaland.com/7556641/2023-presidential-election-states-states#120674988 Show me the path to Obi s popular vote in the thread i created. I expect a reasonable critique not emotional tirade. |
Re: Who Will Win In A Runoff Between Two Of Obi,tinubu And Atiku? by raumdeuter: 8:16pm On Feb 07, 2023 |
chinchum: I think both APC and PDP will meet 25% in 24 states |
Re: Who Will Win In A Runoff Between Two Of Obi,tinubu And Atiku? by chinchum(m): 8:18pm On Feb 07, 2023 |
raumdeuter:i agree, although there is about 20% chance of APC and PDP not meeting the requirement. |
Re: Who Will Win In A Runoff Between Two Of Obi,tinubu And Atiku? by nameo: 8:27pm On Feb 07, 2023 |
chinchum: It is that analysis that is completely Emotional. In fact, you literally put those figures off your azz. Obi will win the SE, SS, NC and will be 2nd in the SW. He will get as much votes as he can in parts of NW(e.g Kaduna and Kano) and NE( Christain and minority parts of Taraba, Gombe, Bauchi, Adamawa, Borno). By tne way, this above also aligns with the data from ALL scientific poll done so far on this elections. Cheers |
Re: Who Will Win In A Runoff Between Two Of Obi,tinubu And Atiku? by chinchum(m): 8:30pm On Feb 07, 2023 |
nameo:Dont hide under region win. Provide your states and the expected votes. If you want to hide your head like an Ostrich in sand you may believe a "Nextier poll" that project Obi will win Atiku in NW. |
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