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A Divided Opposition Can't Defeat A Ruling Party. - Politics - Nairaland

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PDP At 25: Once Upon A Ruling Party / Can A Divided North Win Election 2023 / 2023: PDP Can't Defeat APC - Jaafar Jaafar (2) (3) (4)

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A Divided Opposition Can't Defeat A Ruling Party. by Indispensable85(m): 7:58pm On Feb 11, 2023
They were together in 2019 now they're split. How una wan take get d numbers to unseat the ruling party?

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Re: A Divided Opposition Can't Defeat A Ruling Party. by Indispensable85(m): 8:00pm On Feb 11, 2023
Obi..... labour party
Atiku.... PDP
Kwankwanso....nnpp
G5..........splinter


All above were one in 2019.

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Re: A Divided Opposition Can't Defeat A Ruling Party. by SadiqBabaSani: 8:04pm On Feb 11, 2023
A divided ruling party

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Re: A Divided Opposition Can't Defeat A Ruling Party. by Blue3k(m): 8:17pm On Feb 11, 2023
This line of reasoning only works if we accept your flawed premise. We have to assume the electorate's opinions haven't shifted against the ruling party at all in favor of any other party. We can also factor in the fact that run-off elections are possible in this country. All they have to do in that scenario is when 13 states to force a run off between the 1st abd 2nd place party.

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Re: A Divided Opposition Can't Defeat A Ruling Party. by Apophenia24k: 8:25pm On Feb 11, 2023
Jokers

By the time you realize the level of power that unseat GEJ you'll know what's staring at you.

This election is between Obi and Atiku.
The northerners that always give bloc votes have two major candidates running and none of these candidates are in APC.

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Re: A Divided Opposition Can't Defeat A Ruling Party. by HIGHESTPOPORI(m): 8:34pm On Feb 11, 2023
Indispensable85:
Obi..... labour party
Atiku.... PDP
Kwankwanso....nnpp
G5..........splinter


All above were one in 2019.
Did Tinubu contest in 2019?

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Re: A Divided Opposition Can't Defeat A Ruling Party. by Ezeama400: 8:42pm On Feb 11, 2023
Indispensable85:
They were together in 2019 now they're split. How una wan take get d numbers to unseat the ruling party?


After 25th you will understand that Jonathan's votes are still intact.. Don't use 2019 as a yardstick because people were only interested in pushing Buhari out...

It's ur camp that's divided today between KWANKWASO, Atiku and Tinubu

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Re: A Divided Opposition Can't Defeat A Ruling Party. by Indispensable85(m): 8:42pm On Feb 11, 2023
HIGHESTPOPORI:
Did Tinubu contest in 2019?

Was PDP this scattered in 2019?
Re: A Divided Opposition Can't Defeat A Ruling Party. by Kingsmeal: 8:44pm On Feb 11, 2023
Indispensable85:


Was PDP this scattered in 2019?

So in your mind, Northerners will leave their brothers and vote for Tinubu, but Yorubas can't leave Tinubu to vote for Atiku?

Kai. Who do una this thing 😝😝

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Re: A Divided Opposition Can't Defeat A Ruling Party. by Creamypie(m): 8:46pm On Feb 11, 2023
Kingsmeal:


So in your mind, Northerners will leave their brothers and vote for Tinubu, but Yorubas can't leave Tinubu to vote for Atiku?

Kai. Who do una this thing 😝😝
na very selfish assumption these folks get

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Re: A Divided Opposition Can't Defeat A Ruling Party. by Indispensable85(m): 8:47pm On Feb 11, 2023
All those ignorant teenagers arguing nonsense, your eyes will be clear in few weeks time.
Re: A Divided Opposition Can't Defeat A Ruling Party. by Hopium: 8:50pm On Feb 11, 2023
Blue3k:
This line of reasoning only works if we accept your flawed premise. We have to assume the electorate's opinions haven't shifted against the ruling party at all in favor of any other party. We can also factor in the fact that run-off elections are possible in this country. All they have to do in that scenario is when 13 states to force a run off between the 1st abd 2nd place party.

Forget story.

Everyone knows Tinubu will be better than Buhari times 10, that aside.

Someone like Wamakko is locking down a whole geopolitical region for a candidate and you're here talking of electorate's opinion. The problem with educated folks like you is that you fail to understand how politics in Nigeria works. I have seen so many people who think they're smart analyze like Nigeria is practicing modern day politics. Educated and smart politicians like Asiwaju, Atiku, Kwankwaso understand the game. You guys should study Asiwaju for Christ sake. You've seen him campaign to captain of industries, professional bodies, international bodies, leagues of bankers, different trade associations, etc; his messages are always different; tailored for different audiences.

I've listened to him campaign to leaders of the gas and industry; he was at his best intelligence wise; he shared innovative ideas and plans he will implement if elected.

At campaign ground, that's where he slacks and do those bla blu shit. He understand whatever he says there is of little value because the masses in attendance will vote in line with their local structure.

Electorates' opinion in Nigeria is influenced by state structures even in sophisticated states like Lagos.

The candidate who disagreed and thought Nigeria is Canada got his feedback today.

A large bloc of APC votes in 2015, 2019 still exists, and the party is still working successfully to acquire more, despite Buhari's terrible performance. PDP votes still exist and are losing some of them to APC in the NW. PDP votes in 2015, 2019 has been shared by NNPP, PDP, and LP.

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Re: A Divided Opposition Can't Defeat A Ruling Party. by Hopium: 8:54pm On Feb 11, 2023
Kingsmeal:


So in your mind, Northerners will leave their brothers and vote for Tinubu, but Yorubas can't leave Tinubu to vote for Atiku?

Kai. Who do una this thing 😝😝

At this stage of campaigns, una still dey talk this kind talk. Na wa ooo

Hopium:


You guys keep spewing this nonsense "northerners will vote their own" narrative.

Politics is about interest. Those NW states are controlled by APC, mostly. Buhari votes still exist in the states, if you agree or not.

The northern bigwigs who laboured to build APC won't just abandon it because Atiku is contesting. They also have what they want to gain. The structures (like it or not, it will forever be relevant in Nigeria politics) they've built for how long are there to serve them attain power too. It's why we see someone like El-Rufai playing the No. 10 role to support the presidency of Asiwaju. He was literally going head-to-head with Buhari and the alleged northern cabals.

APC controls most of the northern states. The big guys, governors, elder statemen, kingmakers, etc will do all they can to recapture the states for the party. It's these structures the next northern candidate will use to contest for next election when APC rotates power back to the north. Atiku's victory in these state doesn't pay them. At most they will deflect to PDP and become 2nd citizens. Many of these APC politicians see the party as their right; they will do all they can to preserve it.

Politics is not child's play. With all that's happening in Sokoto, ask yourself why their top guns in the state are deflecting to APC? If north will vote their own, why are they deflecting in sokoto, a pdp state ooo? Why did people like Wamako and Umarun Kwabo aligned with Asiwaju in sokoto if the north will vote their own?

A lot of you will learn your political lesson after this election.

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Re: A Divided Opposition Can't Defeat A Ruling Party. by HIGHESTPOPORI(m): 9:10pm On Feb 11, 2023
Indispensable85:


Was PDP this scattered in 2019?
What do you mean scattered when Buhari is no longer on the ballot.All you don't know Apc has lost Buhari 12m votes to Atiku and Kwankwanso
Re: A Divided Opposition Can't Defeat A Ruling Party. by OfficialAPCNig: 9:47pm On Feb 11, 2023
Hopium:


Forget story.

Everyone knows Tinubu will be better than Buhari times 10, that aside.

Someone like Wamakko is locking down a whole geopolitical region for a candidate and you're here talking of electorate's opinion. The problem with educated folks like you is that you fail to understand how politics in Nigeria works. I have seen so many people who think they're smart analyze like Nigeria is practicing modern day politics. Educated and smart politicians like Asiwaju, Atiku, Kwankwaso understand the game. You guys should study Asiwaju for Christ sake. You've seen him campaign to captain of industries, professional bodies, international bodies, leagues of bankers, different trade associations, etc; his messages are always different; tailored for different audiences.

I've listened to him campaign to leaders of the gas and industry; he was at his best intelligence wise; he shared innovative ideas and plans he will implement if elected.

At campaign ground, that's where he slacks and do those bla blu shit. He understand whatever he says there is of little value because the masses in attendance will vote in line with their local structure.

Electorates' opinion in Nigeria is influenced by state structures even in sophisticated states like Lagos.

The candidate who disagreed and thought Nigeria is Canada got his feedback today.

A large bloc of APC votes in 2015, 2019 still exists, and the party is still working successfully to acquire more, despite Buhari's terrible performance. PDP votes still exist and are losing some of them to APC in the NW. PDP votes in 2015, 2019 has been shared by NNPP, PDP, and LP.
APC votes are still intact but PDP votes have been shared. You urchins are really f00lish.

Wammako locking down NW for Tinubu.

You must be insane.

The same Wamakko, Tinubu, Abba Kyari and Buhari couldn't win Sokoto from Tambuwal, na expired politician will defeat Atiku in Sokoto and NW?

Weed.

Travel , una say no.

1 Like

Re: A Divided Opposition Can't Defeat A Ruling Party. by Blue3k(m): 11:35pm On Feb 11, 2023
The argument isn't about who is better or who will win. It's about can a divided opposition party win theoretically. Please address my argument and the topic at hand instead of campaigning. If you believe he can't lose an election because the opposition is divided tell me why. I don't think its a foregone conclusion because the economy is terrible and crime is rampant.

Hopium:


Forget story.

Everyone knows Tinubu will be better than Buhari times 10, that aside.

Someone like Wamakko is locking down a whole geopolitical region for a candidate and you're here talking of electorate's opinion. The problem with educated folks like you is that you fail to understand how politics in Nigeria works. I have seen so many people who think they're smart analyze like Nigeria is practicing modern day politics. Educated and smart politicians like Asiwaju, Atiku, Kwankwaso understand the game. You guys should study Asiwaju for Christ sake. You've seen him campaign to captain of industries, professional bodies, international bodies, leagues of bankers, different trade associations, etc; his messages are always different; tailored for different audiences.

I've listened to him campaign to leaders of the gas and industry; he was at his best intelligence wise; he shared innovative ideas and plans he will implement if elected.

At campaign ground, that's where he slacks and do those bla blu shit. He understand whatever he says there is of little value because the masses in attendance will vote in line with their local structure.

Electorates' opinion in Nigeria is influenced by state structures even in sophisticated states like Lagos.

The candidate who disagreed and thought Nigeria is Canada got his feedback today.

A large bloc of APC votes in 2015, 2019 still exists, and the party is still working successfully to acquire more, despite Buhari's terrible performance. PDP votes still exist and are losing some of them to APC in the NW. PDP votes in 2015, 2019 has been shared by NNPP, PDP, and LP.
Re: A Divided Opposition Can't Defeat A Ruling Party. by Papichulostunne(m): 2:38am On Feb 12, 2023
The ruling party is divided for them to sue their own party member and for tinubu to talk bad about his own party.. they are surely divided.. When i see APC, I see a husband and wife who fights all day everyday inside the house but when they come outside they hold hands and pretend all is well..

Let me tell you.. there is nothing like G-5 govs again..

Seyi campaigned for Atiku..

Ortom endorsed Obi.

Ikpeazu lost his anointed candidate and ran back to national chairman (Ayu) because he needs their help.

Only wike is out to get Atiku. He better pray atiku dont win.. Nigeria will be uncomfortable for him.

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