nameo:


When did NOI or Bantupage or any of the scientific poll give Tinubu 60%.

It is a lie and you know it.

None of them gave Tinubu more than 10 % point on the average from Obi.

I just wanted to point that out

Am rounding it up to 60%.even if its 50%,he will still win

obailala:
Where exactly is Atiku in all these your analyses?

Funny how most of you BATISTS still havent woken up to smell the coffee - The north is supporting their own; Atiku will likely sweep most of the northern votes even from APC strongholds. Even Buhari himself might be voting Atiku on Saturday. The entire Naira swap policy stinks like a strategy of the northern cabal to deprive Tinubu of votes, to the advantage of Atiku...

Atiku is NOT sweeping any Northern vote. He may win but the win will be very narrow.

The so-called northern consensus has not happened except for the noise.

Kwankwaso is still in the race. Both the ACF and NEF have not endorsed Atiku until today, 2 days before the elections.

Atiku, Tinubu and Kwankwaso will get a majority of the upper North (NW and NE) votes whilst Obi and Voter-aparthy will get a few sef.

Whilst Obi will win the majority of the Middle belt(which is also North).

There is no path for Atiku in this election

Kaduna south will give obi at least 600,000 votes

garfield1:


Am rounding it up to 60%.even if its 50%,he will still win

He never got anything even approaching 30% and even then Obi was always clode to him

I dont know where you are getting the 50% from

nameo:


He never got anything even approaching 30% and even then Obi was always clode to him

I dont know where you are getting the 50% from

What exactly is your problem? I said I am rounding it up to 100%.whether obi is far or close to him,he will lose in sw

Ttalk:
You didn't factor PDP in your analysis, what should be the turnout of NW?
Since the poll says Atiku will win NE and NW and come second in SS then the poll suggests Atiku win.

Not that I believe in that Kangaroo poll anyway.

Obi and Atiku have no place in this election. Their selfishness has won the race for Tinubu

Tinubu has lost already.
When they pay u ur last salary as an urchin on the 28th of Feb, tell them u'd prefer transfer. Don't accept the old naira notes from them because of the Supreme Court's adjournment today.

DearDealz:
Kaduna south will give obi at least 600,000 votes

Highest they have ever given is 200k

garfield1:


Highest they have ever given is 200k

PDP vs APC Muslim Muslim Governorship 2019 election states otherwise

garfield1:


What exactly is your problem? I said I am rounding it up to 100%.whether obi is far or close to him,he will lose in sw

You cannot round it up cos you dont know who the 30-50% of the undeciders /undisclosed would vote.

Also, i repeat that Obi and Tinubu are always very close(i one of the polls they were even equal) so you cannot predict that Tinubu will win based on SW

DearDealz:


PDP vs APC Muslim Muslim Governorship 2019 election states otherwise

I mean for presidential

nameo:


You cannot round it up cos you dont know who the 30-50% of the undeciders /undisclosed would vote.

Also, i repeat that Obi and Tinubu are always very close(i one of the polls they were even equal) so you cannot predict that Tinubu will win based on SW

Tinubu figures in ne nw will cancel out all obi figures in the south.sw will be the decider

garfield1:


No.it said he will win narrowly in ne nw.latest anap polls show him and Tinubu drawing there plus him taking second in the ss is bad.he needs to win one southern region

If he win NW, NE and second in SS and APC and LP also win 2region each, then Atiku will be in the race either as a first ballot winner or winner in a runoff

Ttalk:


If he win NW, NE and second in SS and APC and LP also win 2region each, then Atiku will be in the race either as a first ballot winner or winner in a runoff

Hmmm

In NC, Tinubu will get more than 50% of casted votes in Kwara and Kogi but wins Niger and Nasarawa with little margin. He's highly likely to get 25% spread in Benue, Plateau and FCT.

Forget social media hype, lot of first time voters does even know their polling unit. And this will have effect to turnouts in most metropolitan states/cities.....

Tinubu will win NC but the margin is what I'm not sure of. To me NW is the battleground not just because of it's high voters population but also for having the highest average voters turnout in the country ( 48% )

Anybody that wins NW with at least 10% margin between ATIKU and Tinubu would be president!!!

Different perspectives are welcome....

All this million million votes been accredicted to Obi na twitters votes? Na votes from his LGA? Na only Igbo votes? 4 people tweeting don turn million million votes
Being Obidient is the best thing dat has happened to me.

garfield1:


How can I say obi won't get votes in ne? I stated it that he will get 1 mil in ne and nw while tinubu and atiku will get 500k in se

You are right I missed that part my apologies.

Digitron:
For once you are realistic. The worst case will be a run off.

But there is a bigger problem I am seeing.

If Kwankwaso does not collapse his structure to BAT, BAT may not also make the spread

Kwankwaso Will not fold his campaign for anyone. Why?.
Because his eyes and ego are trained on taking Kano governorship seat, then running for president in 2031.